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CHAPTER 6
DECISION MAKING

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LEARNING OBJECTIVES
1. Compare rational and nonrational decision
making.
2. Describe how evidence-based management
and business analytics contribute to decision
making.
3. Compare four decision-making styles.
4. Outline the basics of group decision making.

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Decision Making Approaches

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1. RATIONAL DECISION MAKING

Examples:
• customer complaints,
supplier breakdowns,
• staff turnover,
• sales shortfalls,
• competitor innovations,
• low employee
motivation,
• poor quality
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Decision making - Creativity

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Examples;
• Is it ethical?
• Is it feasible? (time, cost,
technology, customer
resistance)
• Is it effective? (good enough,
Optimal in lung run)

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Implementation
• Plan carefully Evaluation
(written plans) • Give it more time
• Be sensitive to those • Change it slightly
affected • Try another
(inconvenienced, alternative
insecure, even fearful, • Start over
resistance)
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SOME HINDRANCES to PERFECTLY


RATIONAL DECISION MAKING

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2. NONRATIONAL DECISION MAKING

2.1 Satisficing model

• Managers seek alternatives until they


find one that is satisfactory, not
optimal.

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2. NONRATIONAL DECISION MAKING


2.2 INTUITION MODEL
• Intuition is making a choice without the use of
conscious thought or logical inference.
• Stems from both:
• Expertise: A person’s explicit and tacit
knowledge about a person, a situation, an
object, or a decision opportunity—is known as a
holistic hunch.
• Automated experience: The involuntary
emotional response to those same matters.
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Learning Activity 1

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3. MAKING ETHICAL DECISIONS

Ethics
Standards of right and wrong that
influence behavior.

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4. EVIDENCE-BASED DECISION MAKING


• Systematic use of the
best available
evidence to improve
management
practice.
• Don’t brag, just use
facts.
• Brings rationality to
the decision-making
process.
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Evidence - Big data


Includes not only data
in corporate
databases but also
web-browsing data
trails, social network
communications,
sensor data, and
surveillance data.

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BIG DATA – examples

• Improving hiring & personnel management


• It applies people analytics to hiring for all
the airline’s positions.
• It helps the company sort through the
125,000 job applications it receives each
year.

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BIG DATA – examples

• Twitter data is used to predict accurately box-


office revenues of Hollywood movies.

• Uses data about people’s reading habits to reshape


the way publishers acquire, edit and market books.

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Decision Making Styles

Style: reflects the combination of


how an individual perceives and
responds to information

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DECISION-MAKING STYLES

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Directive
autocratic exercise power & control focus on the short run
decisive action oriented focus on fact
Efficient, logical, practical, & systematic in their approach to solving
problems

CEO, Jeff Bezos fits this pattern. He said: “Most


decisions should probably be made with
somewhere around 70% of the information you
wish you had. If you wait for 90%, in most cases
you are probably being slow”.
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Analytical
Careful decision makers
take longer to make decisions respond well to new/uncertain situation
They like to consider more information and alternatives than those
adopting the directive style.

Her decision to refocus the


company on cloud-based
technology and AI put it
squarely in unchanged
territory where it faces a
great deal of uncertainty.

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Conceptual
adopt a long-term perspective take a broad perspective to
problem solving
Willing to take risks Good at finding creative solutions
to problems
focus on the people or social like to consider many options and
aspects of a work future possibilities.

Elon Musk, founder of


Tesla fits this description
well.

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Behavioral
most people-oriented of the four Supportive, receptive to
styles suggestions, show warmth
work well with others & enjoy adopt wish-washy approach to
social interactions in which decision making
opinions are openly exchanged
prefer verbal to written information, have a hard time saying no
tend to avoid conflict.
Madeline Bell, CEO: I create a stakeholder
map of the key people who need to be on
board. I identify the detractors and their
concerns and then I think about how I can
take the energy that they might put into
resistance and channel it into something
positive. I make it clear to people that
they’re important to the process and they’ll
be part of a win.

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Learning Activity 2

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THREE EFFECTIVE REACTIONS:


DECIDING TO DECIDE
Importance
• “How high priority is this situation?”
Credibility
• “How believable is the information about the situation?”
Urgency
• “How quickly must I act on the information about the
situation?”

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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
• The potential of devices,
such as robots, drones,
and even home
appliances, to make
their own decisions and
act independently of
human oversight and
direction.
• Driverless cars.
• Marketing and pricing
strategies.

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Group Decision Making

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Advantages
• Greater pool of knowledge and information
from which to draw.
• Different perspectives, different people see
the problems from different angles.
• Intellectual stimulation, brainstorming
• Better understanding of decision rationale,
the reasonings behind the decision.
• Deeper commitment to the decision

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DISADVANTAGES
1. Few people dominate or intimidate.
• a handful of people will talk the longest and the
loudest, and the rest of the group will simply give
in.

One individual, such as a


strong leader, will exert
disproportionate influence,
sometimes by intimidation.
This cuts down on the
variety of ideas.
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2. Satisficing: The “good enough” decision.


• cut a meeting short
• groups have limited time
• lack the right kind of information,
• unable to handle large amounts of information.

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3. Goal displacement:
• During the meeting,
other considerations
may rise to the fore,
such as rivals trying to
win an argument.
• The primary goal is
subsumed by a
secondary goal.

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4. Groupthink
• members strive to agree
for the sake of unanimity
& thus avoid accurately
assessing the decision
situation.
• groupthink can include
failure to consider new
information and a loss of
new ideas.

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5. less efficient, take longer to make


decisions.
6. size affects decision quality.
• Optimal group size may be 5 or 7

people.
• Odd group numbers are best.

7. too confident, it can lead to


groupthink.

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Group Decision Technique - Brainstorming


• Individual members
are asked to
silently generate
ideas or solutions,
which are then
written on a board
or flip chart.
• Next step is to
critique and
evaluate the
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Self assessment as manager My
Decision-making Style

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10 mins to complete

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