The process of identifying and choosing alternative courses of action in a manner appropriate to the demands of the situation. Decision Process Effective decisions are made through a systematic process defining clearly the elements in a distinct sequence of steps. Most successful decision making follows a process that consist of the following steps: 1. Identify the problem 2. Specify objectives and the decision criteria 3. Develop alternatives 4. Select the best alternative 5. Implement the chosen alternative 6. Monitor results to ensure the desired results are achieved Identify the Problem Identifying the problem is the focal point of the process. Solution must address the basic problem not the symptoms. The decision maker must identify the criteria by which proposed solutions will be judged. Common criteria often relate to: 1. Capital 2. Time 3. Profits 4. Maintenance 5. Return of investment 6. Increase in costs 7. Risks Analyzing and Comparing Alternatives Often benefits from the use of mathematical or statistical techniques. Selection of the Best Alternative Depend on the objectives of the decision maker and the criteria that are being used to evaluate alternatives. Implementing The Chosen Solution Carrying out the actions indicated by the chosen alternative. If the alternative selected is to do nothing, no action will be required to implement. Reasons For Poor Decision
Sometimes despite the best efforts of the manager,
a decision turns out to be poor due to unforeseeable circumstances. Although such occurrences are not very common, but more often, failure can be traced on some combination of the following reasons: 1. Errors made in the decision process 2. Bounded rationality 3. Sub-optimism Reasons For Poor Decision . . .
Bounded Rationality. A term which refers to the limit
as control on making decision because of costs, human abilities, time, technology and the availability of information. Sub-Optimization. Is the result from each different department’s attempt to reaching a solution that is optimum for their department.