Dr HTumusiime(MD,MPH) Demography • Demography is the statistical study of populations, especially human beings. • encompasses the study of size, structure, and distribution of these populations, • and changes in them in response to birth, migration, aging, and death • the study of statistics such as births, deaths, income, or the incidence of disease, which illustrate the changing structure of human populations. • the composition of a particular human population. • Population growth is the increase in the number of people living in a particular area. • populations can grow exponentially (over population) • causing resource depletion rapidly that may lead to; • specific environmental concerns such as • global warming, deforestation and decreasing biodiversity • Other negative effects of population growth include poverty caused by low income per capita, famine and diseases Measurement of health & counting of diseases • The first task in measuring disease in a population is to count its occurrence. • Counting disease frequency can be done in several ways • Measures of morbidity frequency characterize the number of persons in a population who become ill (incidence) • or are ill at a given time (prevalence). • Incidence refers to the occurrence of new cases of disease or injury in a population over a specified period of time incidence • Incidence –no of new cases of a disease that occurs during a specified period of time in a pop at risk for developing the disease. • Is a measure of the probability of occurrence of a given disease in a population in a specified period of time. • Although loosely expressed as no of new cases ,its better expressed as rate or proportion with a denominator. • Denominator must have potential to become the numerator • Measure of risk of contracting disease • More useful than prevalence in regard to etiology • Disease that takes long to cure has high prevalence but low incidence Prevalence
• No of affected persons in the pop at a specific time
divided by the pop at that time. • What proportion of the pop is affected by the disease at that time. • It’s a snap shot or a slice thru the pop at a point in time. • Mix of people with different duration of disease and there4 its not a measure of risk • Point prevalence as described above • Period prevalence-over a duration of time. • Prevalence= Incidence x Duration Disease out break • is a sudden increase in occurrence of disease when case are in excess of normal expectancy in certain geographical location • May affect small n localized grp or thousands of pop across wider area. • An epidermic is more widespread than an outbreak • It can also be a single case in new area • If not quickly controlled an outbreak can become an epidermic Steps for investigating an outbreak • verification • Prepare to conduct further investigations • Construct a case definition • Collect lab tests & get results • Search & record more cases while managing the already identified cases • Describe the epidemic • Formulate hypothesis • Reach at a final decision • Take control measures/intervene • Report and disseminate findings Types of epidermic • Common source point, continuous, intermittent • Propagated • Mixed Community diagnosis • Community -A group of people who share common interests and experiences-(eg pple in same geog boundaries- village,street etc or pple wiz same cultural and social background eg religion,occupation etc • Community Diagnosis- Comprehensive assessment of state as an entire community in relation to its social,political,economical,physical & biological envt. • Purpose-it helps in identification &quantification of health problem in community as the whole in terms of morbidity & mortality rates and ratios. • Identification of those at risks & in need of health care Community assessment • process of gathering, analyzing and reporting information about the needs of the community • and the capacities or strengths that are also currently available in the community to meet those needs. • Begins by convening a meeting with community leaders, influential, political and professional people • establishing a vision and prioritizing the issues that require change Steps in conducting Community DX • Establishing the assessment team • Identifying & secure resources • Identifying & engaging community partners • Collecting ,analyzing & presenting data • Setting health priorities • Clarify the issue • Setting goals &presenting measuring progress • Choosing the strategy • Developing the community health assessment of results,managing and sustain the process. Criteria for identifying a problem • Relevance • Duplication • Urgency of data • Political • Feasibility • Ethical acceptability • Applicability of results MCH • Programs that focus on health issues concerning women, children and families • Access to recommended prenatal & wellbeing child care • Infant and maternal mortality prevention • New borne screening • Immunization • Child nutrition • aims to support pregnant women to experience healthy pregnancies • Support parents of infants &young children and their families • Access to quality MCH care ensures both mother n child are safe • Specific objectives of MCH include reduction of MMR,IMR,child hood mortality n morbidity • Promotion of reproductive health • Physical and psychosocial devt of the child Factors affecting MCH • Age of the mother • Social economic factors • Income level • Education level • General health status of the mother • Access to medical care