Professional Documents
Culture Documents
DR NAUMAN ARIF
PhD Scholar Public Health, MS Epidemiology, MPH, CHR
Coordinator Epidemiology / CHR
Faculty Khyber Medical University
Clinical Research Facilitator CPSP
drnauman@kmu.edu.pk
A Systematic and Scientific Process of Data
O Collection RESEARCH is
O Analysis &
O Interpretation
Individual based studies Population based studies Observational studies Experimental studies
Cross-sectional Cross-sectional
4
5
https://libguides.winona.edu/c.php?g=11614&p=61584
6
Descriptive study designs
•Descriptive studies is the systematic collection and presentation of data at
a single point in time to give a clear picture of a particular situation and
can be carried out on a small or large scale.
Introduction
The introduction gives a brief overview of the problem that the case addresses,
citing relevant literature where necessary. The introduction generally ends with a
single sentence describing the patient and the basic condition that he or she is
suffering from.
Case
This section provides the details of the case in the following order:
•Patient description
•Case history
•Physical examination results
•Results of pathological tests and other investigations
•Treatment plan
•Expected outcome of the treatment plan
•Actual outcome.
The author should ensure that all the relevant details are included and unnecessary
ones excluded.
Discussion
This is the most important part of the case report; the part that will convince the journal that
the case is publication worthy. This section should start by expanding on what has been said in
the introduction, focusing on why the case is noteworthy and the problem that it addresses.
This is followed by a summary of the existing literature on the topic. (If the journal specifies a
separate section on literature review, it should be added before the Discussion). This part
describes the existing theories and research findings on the key issue in the patient's condition.
The review should narrow down to the source of confusion or the main challenge in the case.
Finally, the case report should be connected to the existing literature, mentioning the message
that the case conveys. The author should explain whether this corroborates with or detracts
from current beliefs about the problem and how this evidence can add value to future clinical
practice.
Conclusion
A case report ends with a conclusion or with summary points, depending on the journal's
specified format. This section should briefly give readers the key points covered in the case
report. Here, the author can give suggestions and recommendations to clinicians, teachers, or
researchers. Some journals do not want a separate section for the conclusion: it can then be the
concluding paragraph of the Discussion section.
Patient consent
Informed consent in an ethical requirement for most studies involving humans,
so before you start writing your case report, take a written consent from the
patient as all journals require that you provide it at the time of manuscript
submission. In case the patient is a minor, parental consent is required. For
adults who are unable to consent to investigation or treatment, consent of
closest family members is required.
Patient anonymity is also an important requirement. Remember not to disclose
any information that might reveal the identity of the patient. You need to be
particularly careful with pictures, and ensure that pictures of the affected area
do not reveal the identity of the patient.
Examples
Reinfection of COVID-19 in Pakistan: A First Case Report
Hanif M, Haider MA, Ali MJ, Naz S, Sundas F. Reinfection of COVID-19 in Pakistan: A First Case Report. Cureus. 2020 Oct
26;12(10):e11176. doi: 10.7759/cureus.11176. PMID: 33262913; PMCID: PMC7689968.
J Fagliano, M Berry, F Bove and T Burke. (1990). Drinking water contamination and the incidence of leukemia: an
ecologic study. American Journal of Public Health, Vol. 80, Issue 10 1209-1212.
Grant WB. (1999). An ecologic study of dietary links to prostate cancer. Altern Med Rev. Jun;4(3):162-9. 10
Example
Figure 10.6 is an example of an
ecological study. The percentage of
people who smoke in each country is
the exposure and the mortality rate
from stroke in each country is the
outcome.
Ecological studies simply measure exposure and outcomes in populations, such
as a district, county, region, country.
For a non health example, you might find that medical schools (population)
which took students with higher A-level grades (exposure) had more honors
students (outcome) at finals.
However this doesn’t necessarily mean that it is the students with the higher
entry grades that achieved honors as the two are not necessarily linked.
Other study designs can directly test this hypothesis.
Annual per capita Chocolate consumption &
Nobel laureates per 10 million population
Correlation between Dietary Fat Intake and Breast Cancer by Country
250 USA
Switzerland
Japan
0
600 1600
Per Capita Supply of Fat (calories)
Source: Prentice, Kakar, Hursting, et al., Aspects of the rationale for the Womens’ Health Trial. JNCI 80:802-
814, 1988. 11
3. Cross Sectional study
•A cross-sectional study is a survey of a defined population at a single point in
time.
•Cross sectional study is the single examination of a cross section of a population
at one point in time, the result of which can be applied to the whole population.
•Cross-sectional studies often measure the prevalence of the disease and are also
known as prevalence studies.
•In cross-sectional studies the measurement of exposure and the outcome are
made at the same point.
•Pakistan demographic and health survey, National Nutrition Survey, Multiple
indicator cluster survey, Pakistan economic survey
Advantages
Cross sectional studies are easy to conduct and of short duration.
Cross sectional studies are economical
Cross sectional studies are useful for determining the prevalence or burden of
disease of a specified population.
Prevalence (not incidence)
Fast/Inexpensive - no waiting!
No loss to follow up
Associations can be studied
Disadvantages
Cross sectional studies only provide a snapshot in time of a situation in which
data regarding both exposure to the risk factors and the presence or absence of
disease are collected simultaneously.
Difficult to determine temporal relationship of a presumed cause and effect.
Cannot determine causality
Cannot study rare outcomes
Design Defined
Begin with: Population
Four
Exposed; Exposed; Not Not Exposed;
Groups
Have Do Not Exposed; Do Not Have
Are
Disease Have Have Disease
Possible
Disease Disease
Disease No Disease Disease No Disease
Exposed a b Exposed a b
Not Not
Exposed c d Exposed c d
USMLE Score
time
Cross-sectional Study:
Descriptive value:
◦ How many UCSF medical students drink Red Bull?
◦ What is the age and sex distribution of UCSF medical students who drink Red
Bull?
Analytic value:
◦ Is there an association between regular Red Bull consumption and test scores
among UCSF med students?
◦ Univariate
◦ Multivariate (controlling for “confounders”)
follow:
3
Design of a Cohort Study
Begin with: Defined population
Non-randomize
d
Identify :
Exposed Not exposed
follow:
Population Population
4
Cohort Study
Totals
Exposed a+ b
First,
identify Not
exposed c+d
4
Cohort Study
Then, follow to see whether
Disease
Disease does not
develops develop Totals
Exposed a b a+ b
First,
Not
identify exposed c d c+d
4
Cohort Study Calculate
Then, follow to see whether and
Disease compare
Disease does not Incidence
develops develop Totals of
disease
a
Exposed a b a+ b
First, a+ b
identify Not c
exposed c d c+d c+ d
a c
Incidence in Incidence in not
exposed a + b exposed c + d
4
Cohort Study Calculate
Then, follow to see whether
Do not
Develop develop Incidence
CHD CHD Totals of
disease
Smoke 84
cigarettes 84 2916 3000
First, 3000
select Do not 87
smoke 87 4913 5000
cigarettes 5000
84
0.028 Incidencein'smoke cigarettes'
3000
87
0.0174 =Incidencein 'notsmoke cigarettes '
5000 7
Types of Cohort Studies
■ Prospective cohort study
Concurrent cohort study or longitudinal study
■ Retrospective cohort study
Non-concurrent cohort or historical cohort study
= Investigator
10
Time Frames for a Hypothetical
Prospective Cohort Study Conducted in 2000
Defined population
2000
Non-randomize
Prospective d
Not
Exposed
exposed
No No
Disease Disease
disease disease
46
Time Frames for a Hypothetical
Retrospective Cohort Study ConductedRetrospective
in 2000
Defined population
1980
Non-randomized
Not
Exposed
exposed
No No
Disease Disease
disease disease 2000
47
Differentiating between Prospective and Retrospective
■ Prospective cohort study
Investigator
€ Starts the study (from the beginning) with the
identification of the population and the exposure
status (exposed/not exposed groups)
€ Follows them (over time) for the development of
disease
€ Takes a relatively long time to complete the study (as
long as the length of the study)
48
Differentiating between Prospective and Retrospective
■ Retrospective cohort study
Investigator
€ Uses existing data collected in the past to identify the population
and the exposure status (exposed/not exposed groups)
€ Determines at present the (development) status of disease
49
Combined Prospective and Retrospective Cohort Study
■ Investigator uses existing data collected in the past to:
Identify the population and the exposure status
(exposed/not exposed groups)
Follow them into the future for the development of the
disease
■ Investigator
Spends a relatively short time to assemble study population
(and the exposed/not exposed groups) from past data
Will spend additional time following them into the future for the
development of disease
50
Example of a Prospective Cohort Study: Framingham
Study
Defined Framingham
Prospective study population
1948
Non-randomize
d
Not
Exposed
exposed
No No
Disease Disease
disease disease
51
Framingham Study
Objectives
To study the impact of several factors on
incidence of cardiovascular diseases
Exposures
Blood pressure, smoking, body weight,
diabetes, exercise, etc.
Multiple Outcomes
Coronary heart disease, stroke, congestive
heart failure, peripheral arterial disease
52
Framingham Study as a Cohort Study
■ The study started with a defined population
Investigators started by identifying a new population
and did not use existing data to identify the population
and the exposure groups
■ There were several hypotheses to be tested
Different exposures and different outcomes
■ For each exposure, investigators identified the “exposed” and
the “not exposed” groups
■ For each exposure, the participants were followed for the
development of disease
■ Different exposures were studied, as well as different
diseases
53
Derivation of the Framingham Study Population
Men Women Total
Random sample 3074 3433 6507
Respondents free of
CHD* 1975 2418 4393
20
Timeline of Milestones from the
Framingham Study
■ 1948: start of the Framingham Heart Study
■ 1960: cigarette smoking found to increase risk of heart disease
■ 1961: cholesterol, blood pressure, and ECG abnormalities found to increase risk of
heart disease
■ 1965: first Framingham Heart Study report on stroke
■ 1967: physical activity found to reduce risk of heart disease; obesity to increase the risk
■ 1970: high blood pressure found to increase the risk of stroke
■ 1974: diabetes found to be associated with cardiovascular disease
■ More milestones: www.framingham.com/heart/timeline.htm
http://www.framingham.com/heart/timeline.htm 21
Book
■ A Change of Heart: How the
People of Framingham,
Massachusetts, Helped Unravel
the Mysteries of
Cardiovascular Disease
57
Average Annual Incidence of Coronary Heart Disease by
Weight, Gender, and Age Group
20
Women
0
30
20
Men
10
0
40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
Above median weight Age group
Below median weight
58
Average Annual Incidence of Coronary
Heart Disease by Systolic Blood Pressure
30
20
15
10
0
<120 120–139 140–159 160–179 180+
Men
Women
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg
59
CHD Risk Assessment Based on Relationship Between
HDL and LDL Cholesterol Men 50–70 Years
Average risk
Relative Risk
2
0
HDL < 26 100 160 220
mg/dl HDL <
56 mg/dl HDL LDL cholesterol
< 86 mg/dl (mg/dl)Study Update. Hosp Pract (Off Ed) 1990;25:119-127. 25
Source: Kannel WB. CHD Risk Factors: a Framingham
Types of Potential Bias in Cohort
Studies
■ Selection bias
Select participants into exposed and not exposed groups
based on some characteristics that may affect the
outcome
■ Information bias
Collect different quality and extent of information from
exposed and not exposed groups
Loss to follow-up differs between exposed and not
exposed (or between disease and no disease)
■ Misclassification bias
Misclassify exposure status or disease status
61
When Is a Cohort Study Warranted?
■ When the (alleged) exposure is known
■ When exposure is rare and incidence of disease among
exposed is high (even if the exposure is rare, determined
investigators will identify exposed individuals)
■ When the time between exposure and disease is relatively short
■ When adequate funding is available
■ When the investigator has a long life expectancy
62
Review
■ What are the differences in the study design between
prospective cohort study and retrospective cohort study?
■ What are the differences in the study design between
randomized clinical trial study and cohort study?
■ Why is cohort study preferred for studying rare
exposure?
63
Cohort Studies
Dr Nauman Arif
PhD Scholar, MS Epidemiology, MPH
Coordinator Epidemiology
Khyber Medical University
drnauman@kmu.edu.pk
Design of a Cohort Study
Identify:
Exposed Not exposed
follow:
6
Design of
Begin with:
a Cohort Study
Defined population
Non-randomize
d
Identify :
Exposed Not exposed
follow:
Population Population
6
Cohort Study
Totals
Exposed a+ b
First,
identify Not
exposed c+d
6
Cohort Study
Then, follow to see whether
Disease
Disease does not
develops develop Totals
Exposed a b a+ b
First,
Not
identify exposed c d c+d
6
Cohort Study
Then, follow to see whether
and
Calculate
Disease compare
Disease does not Incidence
develops develop Totals of
disease
a
Exposed a b a+ b
First, a+ b
identify Not c
exposed c d c+d c+ d
a c
Incidence in Incidence in not
exposed a + b exposed c + d
7
Cohort Study Calculate
Then, follow to see whether
Do not
Develop develop Incidence
CHD CHD Totals of
disease
Smoke 84
cigarettes 84 2916 3000
First, 3000
select Do not 87
smoke 87 4913 5000
cigarettes 5000
84
0.028 Incidencein'smoke cigarettes'
3000
87
0.0174 =Incidencein 'notsmoke cigarettes '
5000 7
Types of Cohort Studies
■ Prospective cohort study
Concurrent cohort study or longitudinal study
■ Retrospective cohort study
Non-concurrent cohort or historical cohort study
= Investigator
10
Time Frames for a Hypothetical
Prospective Cohort Study Conducted in
2000
Prospective Defined population
2000
Non-randomize
d
Not
Exposed
exposed
No No
Disease Disease
disease disease
73
Time Frames for a Hypothetical
Retrospective Cohort Study Conducted
in 2000Defined population Retrospective
1980
Non-randomized
Not
Exposed
exposed
No No
Disease Disease
disease disease 2000
74
Differentiating between Prospective an
■
Retrospective
Prospective cohort study
Investigator
€ Starts the study (from the beginning) with the
identification of the population and the exposure
status (exposed/not exposed groups)
€ Follows them (over time) for the development of
disease
€ Takes a relatively long time to complete the study (as
long as the length of the study)
75
Differentiating between Prospective an
■
Retrospective
Retrospective cohort study
Investigator
€ Uses existing data collected in the past to identify the
population and the exposure status (exposed/not
exposed groups)
€ Determines at present the (development) status of
disease
Investigator spends a relatively short time to:
€ Assemble study population (and the exposed/not
exposed groups) from past data
€ Determine disease status at the present time (no
future follow-up)
76
Combined Prospective and
■
Retrospective Cohort Study
Investigator uses existing data collected in the past to:
Identify the population and the exposure status
(exposed/not exposed groups)
Follow them into the future for the development of the
disease
■ Investigator
Spends a relatively short time to assemble study
population (and the exposed/not exposed groups) from
past data
Will spend additional time following them into the future
for the development of disease
77
Study: Framingham
Study
Defined Framingham
Prospective study population
1948
Non-randomize
d
Not
Exposed
exposed
No No
Disease Disease
disease disease
78
Framingham Study
Objectives
To study the impact of several factors on
incidence of cardiovascular diseases
Exposures
Blood pressure, smoking, body weight,
diabetes, exercise, etc.
Multiple Outcomes
Coronary heart disease, stroke, congestive
heart failure, peripheral arterial disease
79
■
Framingham Study as
The study started with a defined population
a Cohort Study
Investigators started by identifying a new population
and did not use existing data to identify the population
and the exposure groups
■ There were several hypotheses to be tested
Different exposures and different outcomes
■ For each exposure, investigators identified the “exposed” and
the “not exposed” groups
■ For each exposure, the participants were followed for the
development of disease
■ Different exposures were studied, as well as different
diseases
80
Derivation of the Framingham Study
Population Men Women Total
Random sample 3074 3433 6507
Respondents free of
CHD* 1975 2418 4393
20
Timeline of Milestones from the
Framingham Study
■ 1948: start of the Framingham Heart Study
■ 1960: cigarette smoking found to increase risk of heart disease
■ 1961: cholesterol, blood pressure, and ECG abnormalities found to increase risk of
heart disease
■ 1965: first Framingham Heart Study report on stroke
■ 1967: physical activity found to reduce risk of heart disease; obesity to increase the risk
■ 1970: high blood pressure found to increase the risk of stroke
■ 1974: diabetes found to be associated with cardiovascular disease
■ More milestones: www.framingham.com/heart/timeline.htm
http://www.framingham.com/heart/timeline.htm 21
■
Book
A Change of Heart: How the
People of Framingham,
Massachusetts, Helped Unravel
the Mysteries of
Cardiovascular Disease
84
Weight, Gender, and Age
Group
20
Women
0
30
20
Men
10
0
40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
Above median weight Age group
Below median weight
85
Coronary Heart Disease by
Systolic Blood Pressure
30
20
15
10
0
<120 120–139 140–159 160–179 180+
Men
Women
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg
86
CHD Risk Assessment Based on
Relationship Between HDL and LDL
Cholesterol Men 50–70 Years
3
Average risk
Relative Risk
2
0
HDL < 26 100 160 220
mg/dl HDL <
56 mg/dl HDL LDL cholesterol
< 86 mg/dl (mg/dl)Study Update. Hosp Pract (Off Ed) 1990;25:119-127. 25
Source: Kannel WB. CHD Risk Factors: a Framingham
Types of Potential Bias in Cohort
■
Studies
Selection bias
Select participants into exposed and not exposed groups
based on some characteristics that may affect the
outcome
■ Information bias
Collect different quality and extent of information from
exposed and not exposed groups
Loss to follow-up differs between exposed and not
exposed (or between disease and no disease)
■ Misclassification bias
Misclassify exposure status or disease status
88
■
When Is a Cohort Study
When the (alleged) exposure is known
Warranted?
■ When exposure is rare and incidence of disease among
exposed is high (even if the exposure is rare, determined
investigators will identify exposed individuals)
■ When the time between exposure and disease is
relatively short
■ When adequate funding is available
■ When the investigator has a long life expectancy
89
■
Review
What are the differences in the study design between
prospective cohort study and retrospective cohort study?
■ What are the differences in the study design between
randomized clinical trial study and cohort study?
■ Why is cohort study preferred for studying rare
exposure?
90
Group work 2
Case-cohort study design
https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat507/lesson/7/7.2/7.2.1
91
Reading materials
Research Methods
https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat507/lesson/welcome-stat-507
Epidemiological Study Designs: Traditional and Novel Approaches to Advance Life Course Health Development
Research
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK543721/
https://www.cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/about-cdsr
https://www.covidence.org
93
THANK YOU