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Chapter14 Social Cost Benefit Analysis
Chapter14 Social Cost Benefit Analysis
In SCBA the focus is on the social costs and benefits of the project.
These often tend to differ from the monetary costs and benefits of the
project. The principal sources of discrepancy are :
Market imperfections
Externalities
Taxes and subsidies
Concern for savings
Concern for redistribution
erit wants
UNIDO Approach
The UNIDO method of project appraisal involves five stages:
1. Calculation of the financial profitability of the project measured at
market prices.
2. Obtaining the net benefit of the project measured in terms of economic
(efficiency) prices.
3. Adjustment for the impact of the project on savings and investment
4. Adjustment for the impact of the project on income distribution
5. Adjustment for the impact of the project on merit goods and demerit
goods whose social values differ from their economic values.
Each stage of appraisal measures the desirability of the project from a
different angle.
Net Benefits in Terms of Economic
(Efficiency) Prices
Shadow Pricing : Basic Issues
• Choice of numeraire
• Concept of tradability
• Concept of shadow prices
• Taxes
• Consumer willingness to pay
Shadow Pricing of Specific Resources
• Tradable inputs and outputs
• Non-tradable inputs and outputs
• Externalities
• Labour inputs
• Capital inputs
• Foreign exchange
Illustration
Presently, a ferry service, operated privately, is being used to cross a river.
The ferry operator charges Rs.3 per person. It costs him Rs.2 per person.
50,000 persons use the ferry service. (This means that the number of persons
crossing the river by ferry service throughout the year is 50,000)
The government is considering construction of a bridge over the river. It is
estimated that after the bridge is constructed 2,50,000 persons will cross the
river on the bridge. The bridge is expected to cost Rs 3 million initially and its
annual maintenance cost would be Rs 10,000. It has an indefinitely long life.
Once the bridge is constructed the ferry operator is expected to close down the
ferry service and sell the ferry boats for Rs.100,00.
• Project
• Other private business
• Government
• Workers
• Consumers
[
• External sector
The gain or loss to an individual group within the society as a result of the project is
equal to the difference between the shadow price and the market price of each input or
output in the case of physical resources or the difference between the price paid and the
value received in the case of financial transactions.
Savings Impact and its Value
wi
ci
Where wi = weight attached to income at ci level
b = base level of income that has a weight of 1
n = elasticity of the marginal utility of income
Adjustment for Merit and Demerit Goods
In some cases, the analysis has to be extended beyond stage four to
reflect the difference between the economic value and social value
of resources. The difference exists in the case of merit goods and
demerit goods. A merit good is one for which the social value
exceeds the economic value. For example, a country may place a
higher social value than economic value on production of oil because
it reduces dependence on foreign supplies. The concept of merit
goods can be extended to include a socially desirable outcome like
creation of employment. In the absence of the project, the
government perhaps would be willing to pay unemployment
compensation or provide mere make-work jobs.
In case of a demerit good, the social value of the good is less than
its economic value. For example, a country may regard alcoholic
products as having a social value less than the economic value.
Little-Mirrlees Approach
There is considerable similarity between the UNIDO approach and the L-M approach.
Both the approaches call for:
1. Calculating accounting (shadow) prices particularly for foreign
exchange savings and unskilled labour.
2. Considering the factor of equity
3. Use of DCF analysis
Despite considerable similarities there are certain differences between the two
approaches:
1. The UNIDO approach measures costs and benefits in terms of domestic
rupees whereas the L-M approach measures costs and benefits in terms of
international prices, also referred to as border prices.
2. The UNIDO approach measures costs and benefits in terms of
consumption whereas the L-M approach measures costs and benefits in
terms of uncommitted social income.
3. The stage-by-stage analysis recommended by the UNIDO approach focuses
on efficiency, savings, and redistribution considerations in different stages.
The L-M approach, however, tends to view these considerations together.
Shadow Prices
• The outputs and inputs of a project are classified into the following
categories: traded goods and services, non-traded goods and services,
and labour.
• The shadow price of a traded good is simply its border price
• The shadow (or accounting) price of a non-traded item is defined in
terms of marginal social cost and marginal social benefit.
Use of Conversion Factors
Towards the end of the sixties and early seventies two principal approaches for
SCBA emerged : UNIDO approach and Little- Mirrlees approach.
The UNIDO method of project appraisal involves five stages: (i) calculation of the
financial profitability of the project measured at market prices; (ii) obtaining the net
benefit of the project measured in terms of economic (efficiency) prices; (iii)
adjustment for the impact of the project on savings and investment; (iv) adjustment
for the impact of the project on income redistribution; and (v) adjustment for the
impact of the project on merit and demerit goods.
As per the L-M approach, the outputs and inputs of a project are classified into the
following categories: (i) traded goods and services, (ii) non-traded goods and
services, and (iii) labour.
The shadow price of a traded good is simply its border price. If a good is exported
its shadow price is its FOB price and if a good is imported its shadow price is its
CIF price. The shadow prices for non-traded items are defined in terms of
marginal social cost and marginal social benefit.
The L-M approach suggests the following formula for calculating the shadow
wage rate (SWR) SWR = c’ – 1/s (c-m)
While the all-India term-lending institutions – IDBI, IFCI, and ICICI- approach
project proposals primarily from the financial point of view, they also evaluate
them from the larger social point of view.
Though there are some minor variations, the three institutions follow essentially a
similar approach which is a simplified version of the L-M approach.
IDBI, the apex term-lending financial institutions, considers three aspects in its
economic appraisal of industrial projects: economic rate of return, effective rate
of protection, and domestic resource cost
The economic rate of return is simply the internal rate of return of the stream of
social costs and benefits.
The effective rate of protection is calculated as follows: Value added at domestic
prices - Value added at world prices Value added at world prices.
Till the middle of the sixties the mechanism for appraisal and selection of public
sector projects was rather primitive. To improve the quality of project planning
and strengthen the public investment decision making process several steps were
taken: creation of the Bureau of Public Enterprises; establishment of the Project
Appraisal Division (PAD) in the Planning Commission; and institution of the
Public Investment Board (PIB).