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Python Weather Forecasting Guide

This document discusses using Python to implement a weather prediction project. It uses libraries like pandas, matplotlib, and numpy for data analysis and visualization. The dataset comes from Kaggle and contains weather data for multiple cities. The document focuses on Chicago data from 1743-2013, preprocessing it for stationarity and creating visualizations like scatter plots. It then builds and ARIMA model to account for non-stationarity and make predictions, concluding the methods are easy to adopt and predictions fit within the dataset's error range.

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Jia Ali
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56 views11 pages

Python Weather Forecasting Guide

This document discusses using Python to implement a weather prediction project. It uses libraries like pandas, matplotlib, and numpy for data analysis and visualization. The dataset comes from Kaggle and contains weather data for multiple cities. The document focuses on Chicago data from 1743-2013, preprocessing it for stationarity and creating visualizations like scatter plots. It then builds and ARIMA model to account for non-stationarity and make predictions, concluding the methods are easy to adopt and predictions fit within the dataset's error range.

Uploaded by

Jia Ali
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

WEATHER PREDICTION

USING PYTHON
IMPLEMENTATION
Project
Libraries

 The Libraries
 The libraries that have been used are the most famous ones for data analysis,
plot and mathematical operations (pandas, matplotlib, numpy). Then there
are some of them for advanced data visualization (like folium) and some of
them are specific libraries for ARIMA models (like statsmodels)
DATA SET

 The Dataset is open source and was taken from Kaggle


 To select the cities in dataset following lines of code is used

 city_data = data.drop_duplicates(['City'])
 city_data.head()
To Know the longitude/latitude

 If we want to plot these cities in a world map, we need to slightly change the
latitude and longitude we use these few lines of code:

LAT = []
LONG = []
for city in city_data.City.tolist():
locator = Nominatim(user_agent="myGeocoder")
location = locator.geocode(city)
LAT.append(location.latitude)
LONG.append(location.longitude)
Preprocessing, Advanced Visualization, Stationarity

 I’ve chosen to isolate Chicago and consider the data of that city to be my
dataset.
 The target is the AverageTemperature column, that is the Average
Temperature for that specific month. We have data from 1743 to 2013.

 With this line we identify the NaN values and display them with a pie chart:
SCATTER PLOT

 Using this dataset it is possible to obtain a scatter plot like this one:
Used Functions

• get_timeseries(start_year,end_year) extract the portion of the dataset


between the two years
• plot_timeseries(start_year,end_year) plots the timeseries extracted in
get_timeseries in a readable way
• plot_from_data(data, time, display_options) plots the data
(AverageTemperature) wrt the time (dt) in a readable way. The display options
permit to display the ticks, change the colors
ARIMA MODEL

 In order to take account of this non-stationarity, a differentiation term we


will be considering the ARIMA models
Statistical Models
Conclusions

 These methods are extremely easy to adopt as they don’t require any specific
computational power like Deep Learning methods (RNN, CNN … ).
 Nonetheless, predictions perfectly fit in the error range designed by the
dataset itself. It is important to consider that we only have examined
monthly average values while it may be interesting to consider daily values
too and have daily predictions.

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