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Lecture 17-18 - 19 - 21 Chapter 8
Lecture 17-18 - 19 - 21 Chapter 8
CHAPTER 8
Assessing a New Venture’s Financial Strength and
Viability
Copyright © 2016, 2012, 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Financial Management (1 of 2)
Financial Management
◦ Financial management deals with two things: raising money and
managing a company’s finances in a way that achieves the highest
rate of return.
1. Profitability
◦ Is the ability to earn a profit.
◦ Many start-ups are not profitable during their
first one to three years while they are
training employees and building their
brands.
◦ However, a firm must become profitable to
remain viable and provide a return to its
owners.
Financial Objectives of a Firm (2 of 4)
2. Liquidity
◦ Is a company’s ability to meet its short-term financial obligations.
◦ Even if a firm is profitable, it is often a challenge to keep enough
money in the bank to meet its routine obligations in a timely
manner.
To do so, a firm must keep a close watch on accounts receivable and inventories.
Its inventory is a firm’s merchandise, raw materials, and products waiting to be sold.
If a firm allows the levels of either of these assets to get too high, it may not be able to keep enough
cash on hand to meet its short-term obligations.
4. Stability
◦ Is the strength and vigor of the firm’s overall financial posture.
◦ For a firm to be stable, it must not only earn a profit and remain liquid
but also keep its debt in check.
If a firm continues to borrow from its lenders and its debt-to-
equity ratio gets too high, it may have trouble meeting its
obligations and securing the level of financing needed to fuel its
growth.
Budgets
◦ Are itemized forecasts of a company’s income, expenses, and capital
needs and are also an important tool for financial planning and control.
The Process of Financial
Management (3 of 4)
Financial Ratios
◦ Depict relationships between items on a firm’s financial statements.
◦ An analysis of its financial ratios helps a firm determine whether it is meeting
its financial objectives and how it stacks up against industry peers.
What is the purpose of analyzing financial ratios
Or
Explain the importance of financial ratios analysis to
an entrepreneurial firm
Importance of Financial Management
◦ Many experienced entrepreneurs stress the importance of keeping on top of
the financial management of the firm.
Management process for…
The Process of
Existing firms Start-ups
Financial
Management
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Financial Statements
https://www.sketchbubble.com/en/
presentation-financial-statements.html
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New Venture Fitness Drinks
Operating margin: operating income(profit before taxes and interest)/net sales (revenues)
• Are the company’s sales increasing?
• Is it profitable?
• Is the net income increasing?
• Is the company increasing or decreasing its material and labor costs per dollar of sales?
18
• One thing that is of a particular importance when evaluating a firm’s income
statements is a firm’s profit margin, or return on sales, which is computed by
dividing net income by net sales.
• A firm’s profit margin tells what percentage of every dollar in sales contributes to
the bottom line:
o An increasing profit margin means that a firm is either boosting its sales
without increasing its expenses or that it is doing a better job of controlling its
costs.
o In contrast, a declining profit margin means that a firm is losing control of its
costs or that it is slashing prices to maintain or increase sales.
You try:
Refer to the income statement in the previous slide. Calculate the profit margin or return on sales for each
year. Is the profit margin increasing or decreasing and why?
Copyright © 2016, 2012, 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
19
Copyright © 2016, 2012, 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Historical Balance Sheets (1 of 2)
Assets
Table 8.2 Consolidated Balance Sheets for New Venture Fitness Drinks, Inc.
Assets December 31, 2018 December 31, 2017 December 31, 2016
Current assets Blank Blank Blank
Cash and cash equivalents $63,800 $54,600 $56,500
Accounts receivable, less allowance for 39,600 48,900 50,200
doubtful accounts
Inventories 19,200 20,400 21,400
Total current assets 122,600 123,900 128,100
Property, plant, and equipment Blank Blank Blank
Land 260,000 160,000 160,000
Buildings and equipment 412,000 261,500 149,000
Total property, plant, and equipment 672,000 421,500 309,000
Less: accumulated depreciation 65,000 51,500 45,600
Net property, plant, and equipment 607,000 370,000 263,400
Total assets 729,600 493,900 391,500
Historical Balance Sheets (2 of 2)
Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity
Table 8.2 (continued)
Assets December 31, 2018 December 31, 2017 December 31, 2016
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity Blank Blank Blank
Current liabilities
Accounts payable 30,200 46,900 50,400
Accrued expenses 9,900 8,000 4,100
Total current liabilities 40,100 54,900 54,500
Long-term liabilities Long-term debt 249,500 130,000 111,000
Long-term liabilities 249,500 130,000 111,000
Total liabilities 289,600 184,900 165,500
Shareholders’ equity Blank Blank Blank
Common stock (100,000 shares) 10,000 10,000 10,000
Retained earnings 430,000 299,000 216,000
Total shareholders’ equity 440,000 309,000 226,000
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity 729,600 493,900 391,500
2. Balance Sheet: Is a snapshot of a company’s assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity at a specific
point in time.
Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016
Assets Cash 63,800 54,600 56,500
Accounts receivable 39,600 48,900 50,200
inventories 19,200 20,400 21,400
Land 260,000 160,000 160,000
Building & equipment 412,000 261,500 149,000
Less depreciation 65,000 51,500 45,600
Total assets 729,600 493,900 391,500
Liabilities Accounts payable 40,100 54,900 54,500
Long-term debt 249,500 130,000 111,000
Must
Total liabilities 289,600 184,900 165,500
equal
Shareholders equity Common Stock 10,000 10,000 10,000
Retained earnings 430,000 309,000 226,000
Total shareholders’ equity 440,000 309,000 226,000
Total Liabilities + Total shareholders’ equity 729,600 493,900 391,500
23
When evaluating a balance sheet, the two primary questions are:
1. whether a firm has sufficient short-term assets 2. whether it is financially sound overall.
to cover its short-term debts and
There are two calculations that provide the answer Computing a company’s overall debt ratio will
to the first question: give us the answer to the second question, as
2. the working capital defined as its current assets it is a means of assessing a firm’s overall
minus its current liabilities. This number financial soundness. A company’s debt ratio is
represents the amount of liquid assets the firm computed by dividing its total debt by its total
has available. assets.
3. Its current ratio, which equals the firm’s current
assets divided by its current liabilities, can tell us When the ratio is decreasing this means the
more about the firm’s ability to pay its short-term company is relying less on debt to finance its
debts. operations. In general, less debt creates more
if the equation produces a negative number or if its current ratio, freedom for the entrepreneurial firm in terms
which is current assets divided by current liabilities, is less than
of taking different actions.
one, for an extended period of time, it may be a cause of concern
for certain types of companies, indicating that they are struggling
to make ends meet and have to rely on borrowing
24
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Historical Statement of Cash Flows (1 of 2)
Table 8.3 Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows for New Venture Fitness Drinks, Inc.
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of each year 54,600 56,500
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of each year 63,800 54,600
3. Cash flow: Summarizes the changes in a firm’s cash position for a specified period of time and details why the
changes occurred.
December 31,2018 December 31,2017
28
Ratio Analysis (1 of 2)
Ratio Analysis
◦ The most practical way to interpret or make sense of a firm’s
historical financial statements is through ratio analysis, as shown
in the next slide.
Comparing a Firm’s Financial Results to Industry Norms
◦ Comparing a firm’s financial results to industry norms helps a
firm determine how it stacks up against its competitors and if
there are any financial “red flags” requiring attention.
Historical Ratio Analysis (1 of 2)
Table 8.4 Ratio Analysis for New Venture Fitness Drinks, Inc.
Ratio Formula 2018 2017 2016
Profitability ratios: associate the amount of Blank Blank Blank Blank
income earned with the resources used to
generate it
• Return on assets ROA = net income/average total 21.4% 18.7% 14.7%
assetsa
• Return on equity ROE = net income/average 35.0% 31.0% 24.9%
shareholders’ equityb
• Profit margin Profit margin = net income/net 22.3% 17.9% 13.6%
sales
Liquidity ratios: measure the extent to which a Blank Blank Blank Blank
company can quickly liquidate assets to cover
short-term liabilities
• Current Current assets/current liabilities 3.06 2.26 2.35
Overall financial stability ratio: measures the Blank Blank Blank Blank
overall financial stability of a firm
• Debt Total debt/total assets 39.7% 37.4% 42.3%
• Debt to equity Total liabilities/owners’ equity 65.8% 59.8% 73.2%
• Ratio analysis: Depict relationships between items on a firm’s financial statements.
• An analysis of its financial ratios helps a firm determine whether it is meeting its financial objectives and how it
stacks up against industry peers.
Profitability ratios Return on Assets Net income/average total assets 21.4% 18.7% 14.7%
Return on Equity Net income/average shareholders’ equity 35.0% 31.0% 24.9%
Profit Margin Net income/net sales 22.3% 17.9% 13.6%
Liquidity ratios Current Current assets/ current liabilities 3.06 2.26 2.35
Quick Quick assets/ current liabilities 2.58 1.89 1.96
Financial stability Debt Total debt/ total assets 39.7% 37.4% 42.3%
ratios
Debt to Equity Total liabilities/ owner’s equity 65.8% 59.8% 73.2%
31
Kamal is the owner of a digital photography. The In general, many investors look for a company to have a debt
company has been profitable every year of its ratio between 0.3 and 0.6. From a pure risk perspective, debt
existence. ratios of 0.4 or lower are considered better, while a debt ratio
• Its debt ratio (Total debt/ Total assets) is of 0.6 or higher makes it more difficult to borrow money.
currently 68 percent,
• its current ratio is 1.1 (Current assets/ current
liabilities),
• and its debt-to-equity ratio (Total liabilities/
In general, a good current ratio is anything over 1, with 1.5 to
Owner’s equity) is 72.2 percent. 2 being the ideal. If this is the case, the company has more than
Do these financial numbers cause any reason to be enough cash to meet its liabilities while using its capital
concerned? Why or why not? effectively.
Copyright © 2016, 2012, 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Comparing a Firm’s Financial Results to Industry Norms:
• Comparing a firm’s financial results to industry norms helps a firm determine how
it stacks up against its competitors and if there are any financial “red flags”
requiring attention.
• This type of comparison works best for firms that are of similar size, so the results
should be interpreted with caution by new firms.
• Sometimes raw financial ratios that are not viewed in context are deceiving. For
example, a firm’s past three years’ income statements may show that it is
increasing its sales at a rate of 15 percent per year. This number may seem
impressive—until one learns that the industry in which the firm competes is
growing at a rate of 30 percent per year, showing that the firm is steadily losing
market share.
33
Forecasts (1 of 4)
Forecasts
◦ The analysis of a firm’s historical financial statements are followed by
the preparation of forecasts.
◦ Forecasts are predictions of a firm’s future sales, expenses, income,
and capital expenditures.
◦ A firm’s forecasts provide the basis for its pro forma financial
statements.
◦ A well-developed set of pro forma financial statements helps a firm
create accurate budgets, build financial plans, and manage its finances
in a proactive rather than a reactive manner.
Management process for…
Existing firms Start-ups
Copyright © 2016, 2012, 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Forecasts (2 of 4)
Sales Forecast
◦ A sales forecast is a projection of a firm’s sales for a specified period (such as a year).
◦ It is the first forecast developed and is the basis for most of the other forecasts.
◦ A sales forecast for a new firm is based on a good-faith estimate of sales and on
industry averages or the experiences of similar start-ups.
completely new firm’s forecast should be preceded in its business plan by an
explanation of the sources of the numbers for the forecast and the assumptions
used to generate them. This explanation is called an assumptions sheet
◦ A sales forecast for an existing firm is based on (1) its record of past sales, (2) its
current production capacity and product demand, and (3) any factors that will affect
its future production capacity and product demand.
◦ If a company overestimates the demand for its products, it might get stuck with
excess inventory and spend too much on overhead. If it underestimates the demand
for its product, it might have to turn away business, and some of its potential
customers might get into the habit of buying other firms.
Forecasts (3 of 4)
Figure 8.3 Historical and Forecasted Annual Sales for New Venture Fitness
Drinks
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39
Forecasts (4 of 4)
Forecast of Costs of Sales and Other Items
◦ Once a firm has completed its sales forecast, it must forecast its
cost of sales (or cost of goods sold) and the other items on its
income statement.
◦ The most common way to do this is to use the percent-of-sales
method, which is a method for expressing each expense item as a
percentage of sales.
◦ If a firm determines that it can use the percent-of-sales method
and it follows the procedures described in the textbook, then the
net result is that each expense item on its income statement will
grow at the same rate as sales (with the exception of items that can
be individually forecast, such as depreciation).
First step was: forecasting sales… refer to previous slides
Second step is: forecasting costs… to do so:
1. Calculate the average of costs of sales of previous
performance as in the example (1)
2. Multiply the percentage of costs of sales by the
forecasted sales for the next periods as in the
example (2)
Operating Per In a year Operating at 50% Operating at 65% Operating at 80% Operating at 80%
expenses mont (full capacity) capacity First year capacity Second capacity Third year capacity Fourth year If the fixed costs for the
h (per month x 12) year project during a year reach
Startup cost 8,000 18,800 JDs…
Payroll 1200 14,400 and the startup costs were
Rent 200 2,000 8,000 JDs…
Marketing 50 600
Utilities 50 600 • calculate the break-
Insurance 50 600 even point for the
18,800+ (8,000 startup 18,800 + 10,600 = 18,800 + 8,340 = 18,800 + 1,220 =
Other 50 600 costs) = 26800 JDs 29,400 JDs 27,140 JDS 20,020 JDS project for that year.
Total 1600 18,800+ (8,000 startup • when can the project
costs) = 26800 JDS cover up the startup
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3. break-even point
Is the point where total revenue received equals total costs associated with the sale of the product
The formula for break-even analysis:
For the “pizza maker” Project
If the fixed costs for the project during the year reach
Total fixed costs + (startup costs) 18,800 JDs and the start up cost is 8000, calculate the
(price per unit – average variable costs per unit) break-even point during that year.
26, 800/(4-1) = 8934 pizzas
If the total fixed cost associated with opening a new restaurant is $101,000 per year, the
average price for a fitness drink is $2.75, and the variable cost (or cost of goods sold) for
each drink is $1.10, then the break-even point for the new restaurant is as follows:
43
Pro Forma Financial Statements Start-ups
Pro Forma Financial Statements
◦ Pro Forma Financial Statements: Are
projections for future periods based on
forecasts and are typically completed for two Assumptions sheet
to three years in the future. They are • estimate of sales
planning tools •
•
industry averages
or the experiences of
◦ A firm’s pro forma financial statements are similar start-ups
Pro Forma Shows a projected snapshot of a company’s assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity
Balance Sheet at a specific point in time.
how its activities will affect its ability to meet its short-term liabilities and how its finances will
evolve over time. It can also quickly show how much of a firm’s money will be tied up in
accounts receivable, inventory, and equipment. It is common for a new firm to invest the
majority of its cash in activities that fund its growth, such as property, plant, and equipment
purchases, rather than pay dividends.
45
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/my-company-grew-too-fast-and-went-out-of-business/
Read for your own benefit… not
My Company Grew Too Fast -- and Went Out of Business required for exam
When I started Wise Acre Frozen Treats, no other company was making organic popsicles from unrefined sweeteners. Working out of a schoolhouse kitchen in March 2006, I developed my recipes using
honey and maple syrup. A year and a half in, I brought on my first employee, and then it really took off from there.
By 2008, we had 15 employees, a 3,000-square-foot manufacturing facility, and distribution to all of the natural foods stores and many major supermarket chains on the East Coast. Then we landed a contract
to distribute on the West Coast, too -- but we never got the chance to fill all the orders. By the end of the year, we'd gone bankrupt and I was unemployed.
A meteoric rise
After our first year, opportunities started coming up really fast. We won the "Most Innovative Product" award out of more than 2,000 products at a large food show called Expo East. From there, we lined up a
contract with a huge national distributor, United National Foods, and got freezer space in premier stores like Wegmans and Whole Foods.
Previously, we'd been filling orders for eight stores for a few hundred dollars each, but our first order from United National was something like $45,000 worth of product. It was a quantum leap.
The company's progress was right in line with my business plan's best-case scenario.
A run-in with the local billionaire
Once business took off, I knew I needed to raise more capital to cover our operating expenses, which included labor, equipment, ingredients, packaging materials, insurance, taxes, legal fees, design and
marketing, as well the lease on our building.
Local bankers gave us $300,000, split between a regular loan and an equipment loan. We also received $200,000 from an investment firm. But because we had so many orders to fill, I knew we really needed
about $1 million to keep us solvent.
We made a handshake deal for that amount with a local billionaire at the end of spring 2008. He told me, "I'll be able to make this happen really quickly," so I went back home and bought equipment -- even
though I didn't have the money to pay for it.
Weeks later, the bottom fell out of the economy. Our would-be investor was all wrapped up in the stock market decline and pulled out of our deal. That was the beginning of the end.
Investor issues
There were five or six months when I was constantly doing a mad dash between running the company and meeting with potential investors. The investors would always say, "We're looking for someone
making $2 million in revenue."
At that point, Wise Acre was making about $200,000. I'd ask them, "If we were making that much, why would I need you? I have a product that sells really well, no one else has it -- what else do I need to do?"
They all said, "We'd like to see what you can do without our money first."
It's a chicken-and-egg thing: If you're already really successful and you don't really need the money, they'll give it to you.
Why we failed
Our business plan indicated that it would be about two years from starting production to making a profit. But one of our biggest problems was that we didn't raise the money we needed before we hit
milestones like getting distribution throughout the East Coast. We went from eight stores to dozens, then hundreds, immediately. We were burning through about $30,000 a month at our peak, but we didn't
have the capital in place to back it up.
I also wish I'd hired people who were good at raising money. The people I did hire had good contacts, but they didn't have the background or experience to effectively raise the funds we needed. Even in that
economy, I could have raised the money if I'd had the right people on board from the start.
The aftermath
By the end of 2008, Wise Acre had gone out of business. Even though the orders were still coming in, we couldn't pay our bills. The $300,000 bank loan was in my name, and I had to declare bankruptcy. Now
the bank owns the product, the equipment and all of the trademarks.
To add insult to injury, I live in a remote area without many jobs, so I was unemployed for about a year. To go from being the boss of a big shop to being unemployed was really demoralizing. Now, thankfully, I
have a professional job, but it's not at the same level.
It was incredibly frustrating and depressing to have things end the way they did, but running my own company was a hell of an experience. It's important to stand behind a product that you believe in. A lot of it
is timing, and a lot of it is making your own luck.
Copyright © 2016, 2012, 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Pro Forma Income Statements
Table 8.6 Pro Forma Income Statement for New Venture Fitness Drinks, Inc.
blank 2018 Actual 2017 Projected 2016 Projected
Net sales $586,600 $821,200 $1,026,500
Cost of sales 268,900 390,000 487,600
Gross profit 317,700 431,200 538,900
Operating expenses blank blank blank
Selling, general, and 117,800 205,300 256,600
administrative expenses
Depreciation 13,500 18,500 22,500
Operating income 186,400 207,400 259,800
Other income blank blank blank
Interest income 1,900 2,000 2,000
Interest expense (15,000) (17,500) (17,000)
Other income (expense), net 10,900 20,000 20,000
Income before income taxes 184,200 211,900 264,800
Income tax expense 53,200 63,600 79,400
Net income 131,000 148,300 185,400
Earnings per share 1.31 1.48 1.85
Pro
Assets
Forma Balance Sheets (1 of 2)
Table 8.7 Pro Forma Balance Sheets for New Venture Fitness Drinks, Inc.
Assets December 31, 2018 Projected 2019 Projected 2020
Current assets blank blank blank
Cash and cash equivalents $63,800 $53,400 $80,200
Accounts receivable, less allowance for 39,600 57,500 71,900
doubtful accounts
Inventories 19,200 32,900 41,000
Total current assets 122,600 143,800 193,100
Property, plant, and equipment blank blank blank
Land 260,000 260,000 360,000
Buildings and equipment 412,000 512,000 687,000
Total property, plant, and equipment 672,000 772,000 1,047,000
Less: accumulated depreciation 65,000 83,500 106,000
Net property, plant, and equipment 607,000 688,500 941,000
Total assets 729,600 832,300 1,134,100
Pro Forma Balance Sheets (2 of 2)
Table 8.7 (continued)
Assets December 31, 2018 Projected 2019 Projected 2020
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity blank blank blank
Current liabilities blank blank blank
Accounts payable 30,200 57,500 71,900
Accrued expenses 9,900 12,000 14,000
Total current liabilities 40,100 69,500 85,900
Long-term liabilities blank blank blank
Long-term debt 249,500 174,500 274,500
Total long-term liabilities 249,500 174,500 274,500
Total liabilities 289,600 244,000 360,400
Shareholders’ equity blank blank blank
Common stock (100,000 shares) 10,000 10,000 10,000
Retained earnings 430,000 578,300 763,700
Total shareholders’ equity 440,000 588,300 773,700
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity 729,600 832,300 1,134,100
Pro Forma Statement of Cash
Flows (1 of 2)
Operating Activities
Table 8.8 Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flows for New Venture Fitness Drinks, Inc.