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G1. FM1a. Economics of Financial Markets
G1. FM1a. Economics of Financial Markets
• Ms. Lyons and Ms. Clyde jointly provide the capital goods for an
enterprise, which produces an income of either $60 or $140 in any
given year. These two outcomes are equally likely, and the outcome
for any year is independent of the outcomes for all previous years.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Example 1
• Assume that Mr. Black and Mr. Green are employed. Each man’s
income for the current year is the value of his contribution to the
production of goods and services this year.
• Each man’s income entitles him to remove a volume of goods and
services from the economy that is equal in value to what he
produced during the year.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Divergence…
• Now suppose that Mr. Black wants to spend $x more than his
current income (during this year).
• That is, he wants to remove a volume of goods and services from
the business sector whose value exceeds by $x the value of what
he produced during the current year.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 1
• Suppose that Mr. Green agrees to do this, in exchange for the right
to consume next year a volume of goods and services whose value
exceeds the value of what he will produce next year. Mr. Black is
now a borrower and Mr. Green is a lender.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 1
• Both Mr. Black and Mr. Green can increase their levels of lifetime
utility by undertaking this mutually beneficial exchange.
• Mr. Black gains utility by reducing his consumption next year by $y
and increasing his current consumption by $x. Were this not so,
Mr. Black would not have agreed to the exchange.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 1
• If Mr. Green spends less than his current income, the economy can
re-allocate resources out of the production of goods and services
intended for households and into the production of capital goods,
such as railroad locomotives and computer languages.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 2
• Assume that Ms. Tall and Ms. Short operate adjacent farms that are
identical in all respects.
• The output of corn on each farm is equal to either 800 tons or
1200 tons, depending on whether nature is beneficial or
detrimental that year.
• The state of nature for any particular year is unpredictable.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 3
• Over the longer run, each of the two states occurs with a
probability equal to 50%. Therefore, each woman’s annual product
fluctuates unpredictably between 800 and 1200 tons of corn. Their
average annual product is 1000 tons [=(0.5*800) + (0.5*1200)] of
corn.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 3
• Ms. Tall and Ms. Short construct the following mutually beneficial
exchange based on the difference in their attitudes toward
uncertainty: they combine their farms into a single firm.
• In a year in which nature is beneficial, each farm will produce
1200 tons of corn, so that output of the firm will be 2400 tons.
When nature is detrimental, each farm will produce only 800 tons,
and the output of the firm will be 1600 tons.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 3
• The risk-averse Ms. Tall will hold a contractual claim: she will
receive 900 tons of corn each year regardless of the state of nature.
• Ms. Short will absorb the vagaries of nature by holding a residual
claim: each year she will receive whatever is left over from the
aggregate output after Ms. Tall is paid her contractual 900 tons.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 3
• In summary, the risk-averse Ms. Tall will reduce the level of her
average annual income from 1000 tons to 900 tons, in exchange
for being insulated from unpredictable fluctuations in her income.
• While, the risk-preferring Ms. Short will accept an increase in the
range over which her annual income will fluctuate, in exchange for
an increase in the average level of her income.
Mutually Beneficial Intertemporal Exchanges
Intertemporal Exchange 3
• A realtor might advise a homeowner that she can expect to sell the
house for a price between $115000 and $120000 if the
homeowner is willing to wait for several weeks while prospective
buyers canvass the market, inspect the house, obtain an engineer’s
report on the house, arrange for financing, and have their
attorneys inspect the title to the property.
Additional Functions of Financial Markets
Liquidity: Example 1
• A homeowner can sell her house more quickly, but only if she
accepts a price that is low enough to induce a prospective buyer to
forego collecting the information that would reduce the risks
involved in purchasing her home.
• One could probably sell his home within a day, for cash, by
accepting a price that is 20% less than what the owner could get if
he were willing to leave the house on the market for several weeks.
Additional Functions of Financial Markets
Liquidity: Example 1
• Unlike a house, the shares of IBM common stock are quite liquid.
The prices at which an investor can buy or sell a share of IBM stock
does not depend on the speed of the transaction.
• One reason for this is that shares of IBM common stock are
standardized. Any share is a perfect substitute for any other share,
just as any five-dollar bill is interchangeable with any other five-
dollar bill. No one is interested in inspecting a particular share of
IBM as a condition of purchasing it.
Additional Functions of Financial Markets
Liquidity: Example 2
• During the hours that the market is open, dealers in IBM common
stock announce a bid price at which they will purchase shares of
IBM, and an ask price at which they will sell shares of IBM. For
instance, a dealer’s bid price can be $80.25, and his ask price can
be $80.75.
• In this case, any investor can immediately sell a share of IBM for
$80.25 to the dealer or purchase a share of IBM for $80.75 from
him.
Additional Functions of Financial Markets
Liquidity: Example 2
• However, the company does not have sufficient funds of its own to
purchase the new tugboat.
• Mr. Apple is willing to finance the Mosquito Point Barge
Company’s investment project. In order to do so, he will obtain a
financial security issued by the company.
Additional Functions of Financial Markets
Liquidity
• The Spring Lake Railroad wants to build a tunnel. The tunnel will
enable the railroad to move freight trains more quickly between
two major cities and thus generate a relatively small increase in
profit each year. The tunnel will be extremely expensive to build,
but it will last indefinitely with little maintenance. The railroad
cannot finance the construction of the tunnel with its own funds.
Additional Functions of Financial Markets
Liquidity: Example 3
• Mr. Block’s potato farm produces between 500 and 800 tons of
potatoes each year if there is bad weather, and between 700 and
1000 tons each year if there is good weather. The farm has several
investors who together own a bond that entitles them to receive
600 tons of potatoes each year. Today there is 0.50 probability that
weather will be good next year. If tomorrow that probability is
changed to 0.40 for the succeeding year, what will happen to the
price for which the investors could sell their bond?
Problem 2
• ABC Furniture has been struggling to get customers into its store.
In an attempt to increase sales, the firm has advertised that
interest-free payments on furniture are not due until one year
after the furniture is purchased. Under what condition would this
be a mutually beneficial exchange between ABC Furniture and
prospective new customers?
Problem 3
• Ms. White and Ms. Black own farms next to each other. When the
weather is good, each farm produces 2000 tons of apples per year.
When the weather is bad, each farm produces 1000 tons per year.
Ms. White is risk-averse. Ms. Black is willing to accept additional
risk in exchange for a sufficient increase in her average rate of
return.
Problem 4
• If good and bad weather occur with equal probability, and if Ms.
White will accept a guaranteed return of 1000 apples per year, can
the two women effect a mutually beneficial exchange? What type
of claim would each woman hold?
Economics of Financial Markets
References
References