PROFESSOR-ECONOMICS WELINGKAR INSTITUE OF MANAGEMENT, MUMBAI. Role of FDI in Economic Development
• Benefits of FDI to Developing Countries CAD-
financing, Transfer of Latest Technology, Facilitating new Avenues of Exports, Global Managerial Practices, other compelling reasons • Generally, FDI is considered as the most durable form of overseas financing … preferred over FII, Foreign Aid, OCBs / ECB … etc Salient Features of Current Global FDI Scenario • MNCs Dominate – Developing Countries (DCs)-Multinationals fast emerging across various countries and sectors • Advanced Countries (ACs) and DCs … Almost equal recipients of FDI • Total Global FDI inflow in 2020 estimated TO REGISTER HUGE FALL from about 1.5 Trln $ to about $900 bln ! • This is well-below the pre-crisis peak of $2 trillion (WIR, UNCTAD, 2018)
• Salient features – USA, UK, China major recipients, India in the
first 10 recipients of FDI -Dominance of Service Sector FDI -Global Value Chains (GVCs) – A Critical Component linking FDI in India : Pre- Reforms • Not much significance attached : Closed, controlled and command economy being the guiding philosophy and policy • No overseas enterprise was allowed to hold more than 40 % of ownership • Only perceived as a vehicle for the transfer of new technology. The foreign equity component – next to negligible 1991-92 Reforms and Sea-change in FDI Policy Paradigm • 51 % Foreign Equity ownership allowed for the First Time • Start of Automatic Approval for FDI and FTAs by RBI • Steady Opening up of Various sectors to FDI begins (with caps / ceilings initially)…. Principal Highlights of Post-Reform FDI Policy • Several sectors opened up and caps/ceilings relaxed… Manufacturing; Services, Infrastructure and Utilities - across all Govts. (Today almost all sectors opened up for FDI; many for 100% foreign equity) • Three Tracks of NDA Govt. Policies A. Make in India; B. Ease of Doing Business C. FDI Liberlization of Key Sectors including Defence, Pharma; Broadcasting, SBRT….E-COMMERCE… State Govts. making own efforts to woo FDI Performance : FDI Inflows • 1991-2000 : Very gradual / slow • 2000- 2006 Steady Pick-up ($3to4 billion p.a.) • 2007- 2014/15 Quantum Jump in Inflows (over $25 billion p.a.) • Currently (2017-20 ) Total FDI =$45 Billion –$50 Bln. • Covid Pandemic likely to make significant dent on FDI for 2020-2021 • (Outflow of FDI also steadily rising, though magnitude small as of now) Highlights of FDI Performance • Sectors : Services Dominate, followed by Construction, Computer, Telecom and Automobiles • Major Recipient States – M, D, TN, G, Ka • Important Investors in India – Mauritius, Singapore, USA, UK and Japan • Infrastructure still attracting low FDI Global Comparison • China annually receives more than $125-150 billion FDI in recent years • Among other DCs, Brazil receiving higher FDI than India Prospects for Higher FDI Critically dependent on - • Imperative of Joining the GVCs for SMEs • Investment Climate Reforms a. Land b. Labour c. Environment d. EoDB Recovery in Global Economy and trade Issues and Concerns * Growing protectionist trends overseas Domestic apprehensions - whether FDI is against a. Indian Industry and SMEs b. National Security / Sovereignty c. Environment d. “Indian habits/customs/culture” e. Fair Competition Concluding Remarks • India one of the leading FDI destinations, globally • FDI Performance/inflows vastly improved with progressive Policy-liberalization • Prospects depend on – Domestic reforms, Global Economic environment • Apprehensions still remain, despite 25 years of liberalization…. • References – UNCTAD/WIRs, OECD, A T Kearney (for global FDI data and analysis) • dipp.nic.in - For FDI in India – Data on Inflows, their Composition, Investing Countries , Recipient States etc.