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Benchmarking Rwanda, Botswana and Singapore

By: Arslan Yousaf


Agenda

1. Foundational Factors


2. Social Factors
3. Economic and Energy Factors

Agenda 2
Foundational Factors

1. Foundational Factors

Foundational Factors 3
Foundational Factors - Flags

Country: Botswana Country: Rwanda Country: Singapore


Colours: Sky blue and black Colours: Ocean blue, green Colours: Red and white
The contrasting colours and yellow Red represent universal
show belief in racial The colours represent brotherhood, white
cooperation and equality peace, harmony and represents purity and
economic development crescent represent young
nation and the five stars
symbolizes democracy,
peace, progress and justice
Foundational Factors 4
Foundational Factors - Map

Country: Rwanda Country: Botswana Country: Singapore


Continent: Africa Continent: Africa Continent: Asia
Position: Landlocked Position: Landlocked Position: Strategic island
Size: 26,338 square Size: 581,730 square Size: 734.3 square
kilometers kilometers kilometers
Foundational Factors 5
Foundational Factors – Trade routes

 Country: Rwanda  Country: Botswana  Country: Singapore


 Type: Land and rail  Type: Land and rail  Type: Maritime
 Level: Local  Level: Local  Level: International
 Security: Dependent on  Security: Dependent on  Security: Global level
neighboring conditions neighboring conditions where threat of China vs
USA
Foundational Factors 6
Foundational Factors – Urban vs Rural size (2021)

Country Urban Size (%) Rural Size (%)


Rwanda 17.5 82.5
Botswana 71.5 28.5
Singapore 100 0

 As of the year 2021, Singapore’s 100% population


resides in urban land
Rwanda has most of its population living in rural
lands (82.5%), in contrast to Botswana which has
most of its population living in urban lands (71.5%)

Foundational Factors 7
Foundational Factors – Landscape (Rwanda)

Rwanda is mostly hilly, agricultural and forest type land


Known to be land of thousand hills

Foundational Factors 8
Foundational Factors – Landscape (Botswana)

Rwanda is mostly dried with African elephants


Known for Kalahari desert and Okavanga delta (drainage)

Foundational Factors 9
Foundational Factors – Landscape (Singapore)

Rwanda has little remains of nature, but has Flamingoes


It is mostly busy urban area
There is nature based urban living standards at some areas

Foundational Factors 10
Foundational Factors – Natural Resources

Country Main Natural Resources Climate conditions


Rwanda • Agricultural crops (coffee mainly) • Avg. Annual rainfall: 1170 mm
• Fishing • Avg. Temp. summer: 28 C
• Tungset • Avg. Temp. winters: 25 C
• Tin • Avg. Conditions: Lively
• Gold
Botswana • Livestock (cows and goats) • Avg. Annual rainfall: 468 mm
• Copper • Avg. Temp. summer: 34 C
• Bronze • Avg. Temp. winters: Near
• Diamonds freezing
• Gold • Avg. Conditions: Dry and humid

Singapore • Fruits (rumbutans and durians) • Avg. Annual rainfall: 250 mm


• Flowers (export quality) • Avg. Temp. summer: 36 C
• Avg. Temp. winters: 25 C
• Avg. Conditions: Humid

Foundational Factors 11
Foundational Factors – Ethnic Composition

Country Main Ethnic Composition


Rwanda • Hutu 84%
• Tutsi 15%
• Twa (Pygmoid) 1%
Botswana • Tswana (or Setswana) 79%
• Kalanga 11%
• Basarwa 3%,
• other, including Kgalagadi and people of European
ancestry 7%
Singapore • Chinese 74.2%
• Malay 13.7%
• Indian 8.9%, other 3.2%

Foundational Factors 12
Foundational Factors – Colonial history matrix

Features Rwanda Botswana Singapore


Colonial Period • German East Africa: 1884–1919 • Bechuanaland Protectorate: 1885– • British East India Company: 1819–
• Belgian Rwanda-Urundi: 1919– 1966 1824
1962 • Under British protection • Straits Settlements: 1826–1942
Colonial Rulers Germany and Belgium British British

Cultural Impact Heightened ethnic divisions Traditional Tswana culture preserved Diverse cultural influences due to
trade
Economic Exploitation • Forced labor Limited economic exploitation Thriving as trading post and port
• Forced coffee export
Borders defined Arbitrary borders set by colonial Borders largely maintained Geographical location influenced by
powers borders
Independence year 1962 (From Belgium) 1966 (from British) • 1963 (from Malaysia)
• 1965 (full independence)

Post colonial challenges Ethnic tensions leading to genocide Stable transition Rapid economic development
Economic challenges

Foundational Factors 13
Foundational Factors - Comparison of History
Features Rwanda Botswana Singapore
Independence Year 1962 1966 1965
Colonial History German/Belgian mandate, British Protectorate, relatively British colony, strategic trade
post-colonial ethnic tensions smooth post-colonial transition location

Post-Independence Rwandan Genocide in 1994, Stable post-colonial era, Rapid economic development,
Challenges followed by recovery and focused on economic stability nation-building
reconciliation

Economic Strategy Emerging from genocide, Leveraged diamond resources Transformation into a global
diverse economic development for economic stability economic and technological
efforts hub

Current Status Stable government, economic Stable democracy, economic Developed nation, global
growth, and social success with diamond financial and technological hub
development resources

Foundational Factors 14
Foundational Factors – Governance (local level)
Features Rwanda Botswana Singapore
Local Governance Structure Decentralized Unitary State Decentralized Unitary State Centralized Unitary State
Local Government Levels • Districts • Districts • Town Councils
• Sectors • Sub-districts • Community Development Councils
• Cells • Councils
District Level • District Executive Committee • District Commissioner • Mayoralties
• District Council • District Councils • Town Councils
Sector Level • Sector Executive Committees • Sub-district Councils Not applicable
Cell Level • Cell Executive Committees • Village Development Committees Not applicable
Local Government Functions • Local infrastructure development • Local infrastructure development • Town planning and development
• Public services • Education • Public health and sanitation
• Local economic development • Health • Community welfare
• Public safety
Local Leadership • District Councils (elected) • District Councils (elected) • Mayoralties (elected)
• Sector Executive Committees (appointed) • Sub-district Councils (appointed) • Town Councils (elected)
• Cell Executive Committees (elected) • Village Development Committees (elected) • Community Development Councils (appointed)

Election of Local Leaders • Direct elections at the district level • Direct elections at the district level • Direct elections for Mayoralties
• Indirect elections at the sector and cell levels • Direct elections at the village level • Direct elections for Town Councils
• Appointed members for Community
Development Councils

Central Government Role • Provides guidance and resources • Provides guidance and resources • Directly oversees and manages local affairs
Citizen Participation • Emphasizes citizen participation in decision-making through • Encourages citizen participation through local • Encourages citizen participation, but decision-
community meetings and participation in local elections elections and councils making is primarily centralized

Successes and Challenges • Success in local economic development and community • Success in providing basic services and • Success in urban planning and development
empowerment infrastructure at the local level • Challenges with limited political pluralism and
• Challenges with potential power imbalances at the local level • Challenges with limited local revenue sources centralized decision-making

Foundational Factors 15
Foundational Factors – Governance (national level) and policies
Features Rwanda Botswana Singapore
Form of Government Unitary presidential republic Unitary multiparty republic Unitary parliamentary republic
Head of State President Paul Kagame President Mokgweetsi Masisi President Halimah Yacob
Head of Government President Paul Kagame President Mokgweetsi Masisi Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong
Legislative Body Parliament (Chamber of Deputies & Senate) National Assembly Parliament (unicameral)
Electoral System Mixed-member proportional representation First-past-the-post Group Representation Constituency (GRC)
Judicial System Independent judiciary with Supreme Court Independent judiciary with High Court Independent judiciary with Supreme Court
Political Parties Dominated by the Rwandan Patriotic Front Dominated by the Botswana Democratic Party Dominated by the People's Action Party (PAP)
(BDP)
Decentralization Emphasis on decentralization and local Decentralized governance with district councils Centralized governance with limited
governance decentralization
Anti-Corruption Measures Strong emphasis on anti-corruption measures, Generally low corruption levels, with anti- Low corruption levels, strict anti-corruption
ranking high in global corruption indices corruption agencies measures

Economic Model Emphasis on economic development and poverty Stable and diversified economy with a focus on Highly developed and export-oriented, mixed
reduction, pursuing a market-oriented approach fiscal discipline economy with strong government intervention

Human Development Index (HDI) Moderate HDI ranking, with improvements in High HDI ranking, with a strong focus on Very high HDI ranking, with emphasis on
education and healthcare education and healthcare education, healthcare, and economic prosperity

Civil Liberties Improvements in civil liberties, but concerns Generally high levels of civil liberties and political High levels of civil liberties, with some restrictions
about political freedom and media freedom freedoms on political freedoms

Technological Advancements Investments in technology and ICT infrastructure Embracing technology with a focus on innovation Highly developed technological infrastructure and
a hub for innovation
Environmental Policies Focus on sustainable development and Active conservation efforts and policies Emphasis on environmental sustainability and
conservation efforts clean energy

Foundational Factors 16
Foundational Factors – Political Stability and Absence of Violence

Political Stability and Absence of Violence


Rwanda Singapore Uganda Tanzania Botswana Burundi
2

1.5

0.5

0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
-0.5

-1

-1.5

-2

-2.5

-3

Rwanda is gradually improving


Singapore and Botswana have maintained good stability

Foundational Factors 17
Foundational Factors

1. Social Factors

Social Factors 18
Social Factors: Urban and Rural Population

Urban and Rural Populati on (millions)


Rwanda Urban Population (millions) Rwanda Rural Population (millions) Botswana Urban Population (millions)
Botswana Rural Population (millions) Singapore Urban Population (millions) Singapore Rural Population (millions)

12000000

10000000

8000000

6000000

4000000

2000000

0
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

 Singapore’s all population in urban


 Botswana’s urban population > rural population
 Rwanda’s rural population > urban population

Social Factors 19
Social Factors: Male – Population Pyramid(Rwanda)
Population Pyramid (Rwanda - 2030) Population Pyramid (Rwanda - 2050)
[100] [100]
[95-99] [95-99]
[90-94] [90-94]
[85-89] [85-89]
[80-84] [80-84]
[75-79] [75-79]
[70-74] [70-74]
[65-69] [65-69]
[60-64] [60-64]
[55-59] [55-59]
[50-54] [50-54]
[45-49] [45-49]
[40-44] [40-44]
[35-39] [35-39]
[30-34] [30-34]
[25-29] [25-29]
[20-24] [20-24]
[15-19] [15-19]
[10-14] [10-14]
[5-9] [5-9]
[0-4] [0-4]
20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15%
%. Female % Male %. Female % Male

Rwanda has healthy outlook by 2030, and will have a lot of population
between 0 to 50 years old by 2050
Source: UNCTADstat. (n.d.). Retrieved November 3, 2023, from Social Factors 20
https://unctadstat.unctad.org/datacentre/dataviewer/US.PopAgeStruct
Social Factors: Male – Population Pyramid (Botswana)
Population Pyramid (Botswana - 2030) Population Pyramid (Botswana - 2050)

[100] [100]
[95-99] [95-99]
[90-94] [90-94]
[85-89] [85-89]
[80-84] [80-84]
[75-79] [75-79]
[70-74] [70-74]
[65-69] [65-69]
[60-64] [60-64]
[55-59] [55-59]
[50-54] [50-54]
[45-49] [45-49]
[40-44] [40-44]
[35-39] [35-39]
[30-34] [30-34]
[25-29] [25-29]
[20-24] [20-24]
[15-19] [15-19]
[10-14] [10-14]
[5-9] [5-9]
[0-4] [0-4]
15% 10% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

%. Female % Male %. Female % Male

Botswana will have more population between 40 to 55 years old by 2030,


and will continue to 2050
Social Factors 21
Social Factors: Male – Population Pyramid (Singapore)

Population Pyramid (Singapore - 2030) Population Pyramid (Singapore - 2050)


[100] [100]
[95-99] [95-99]
[90-94] [90-94]
[85-89] [85-89]
[80-84]
[80-84]
[75-79]
[75-79]
[70-74]
[70-74]
[65-69]
[60-64] [65-69]
[55-59] [60-64]
[50-54] [55-59]
[45-49] [50-54]
[40-44] [45-49]
[35-39] [40-44]
[30-34] [35-39]
[25-29] [30-34]
[20-24] [25-29]
[15-19]
[20-24]
[10-14]
[15-19]
[5-9]
[10-14]
[0-4]
[5-9]
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
[0-4]
%. Female % Male 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

Disaster! %. Female % Male

Social Factors 22
Social Factors: Population vs Life Expectancy

Population vs Life Expectancy Population vs Life Expectancy Population vs Life Expectancy


(Rwanda) (Botswana) (Singapore)
80 15000000 80 3000000 86 6000000
84 5000000
Life Ex[ectancy

60 2500000

Life Ex[ectancy
10000000 60

Life Ex[ectancy
Population
2000000 82 4000000

Population
40

Population
5000000 40 1500000 80 3000000
20 1000000
20 78 2000000
0 0 500000
00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 0 0 76 1000000
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 00 003 006 009 012 015 018 021 74 0
20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Year 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Axis Title
Axis Title
Life Expectancy (Years) Population
Life Expectancy (Years) Population
Life Expectancy (Years) Population

Rwanda: Life expectancy around 65 years old, gradually increasing


Botswana: Life expectancy around 63 years old, sudden decrease
Singapore: Life expectancy around 85 years old, gradually increasing

Social Factors 23
Social Factors: Mortality vs Fertility rate

Mortality rate (per 1000 births) vs Mortality rate (per 1000 births) vs Fertility rate
Fertility rate (Rwanda) Mortality rate (per 1000 births) vs Fer- (Singapore)
tility rate (Botswana)
120 7 4 1.8
6
Mortaltiy rate

100 4 3.5 1.6

Fertility rate
5 40
80 3 1.4
4 3

Mortaltiy rate

Mortaltiy rate
30 1.2

Fertility rate
60

Fertility rate
3 2.5
40 20 2 1
2 2
20 0.8
1 10 1 1.5 0.6
0 0 1
0 0 0.4
90 00 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 98 00 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 0.5 0.2
19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0
Year Year 1998 2000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Year
Mortality rate Fertility rate Mortality rate Fertility rate
Mortality rate Fertility rate

Rwanda: Fertility rate at 4 (good level), and mortality rate rapidly decrease
Botswana: Fertility rate at 2.8 (average level), and mortality slowly decrease
Singapore: Fertility rate at 1.2 (danger zone), and mortality rate slow
decrease

Social Factors 24
Social Factors: % of GDP spent on healthcare

% of GDP spent on healthcare over the year % of GDP spent on healthcare over the
(Rwanda) year (Botswana) % of GDP spent on healthcare over the
year (Singapore)
3 7
5
2.5 6 4.5
4
5
2 3.5
3

% of GDP
4
% of GDP

% of GDP
1.5 2.5
3 2
1 1.5
2 1
0.5 0.5
1 0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
0 0
1999 2004 2009 2014 2019 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Year

Year Year

Rwanda: Around 2.5% of GDP


Botswana: Around 6% of GDP
Singapore: Around 4.5% of GDP
Social Factors 25
Social Factors: Current health expenditure per capita (Rwanda)

Healthcare Expenditure (Rwanda)


2500 160
Current health exp. per capita, PPP

140
2000
120

GDP per capita, PPP


1500 100

80
1000 60

40
500
20

0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Year

GDP per capita, PPP (current international $) Current health expenditure per capita, PPP (current international $)

As GDP per capita (PPP) is increasing, the healthcare


expenses has been increasing also
Social Factors 26
Social Factors: Current health expenditure per capita (Botswana)

Healthcare Expenditure (Botswana)


18000 500

16000 450

400
Current health exp. per capita, PPP

14000
350
12000

GDP per capita, PPP


300
10000
250
8000
200
6000
150
4000
100

2000 50

0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Year

GDP per capita, PPP (current international $) Current health expenditure per capita, PPP (current international $)

As GDP per capita (PPP) is fluctuating, so is the healthcare


expenditure
Social Factors 27
Social Factors: Current health expenditure per capita (Singapore)

Healthcare Expenditure (Singapore)


120000 3000
Current health exp. per capita, PPP

100000 2500

GDP per capita, PPP


80000 2000

60000 1500

40000 1000

20000 500

0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Year

GDP per capita, PPP (current international $) Current health expenditure per capita, PPP (current international $)

GDP per capita is increasing more exponentially than the


healthcare expenses
Social Factors 28
Social Factors: Health care expenditure vs GDP per capita PPP

Healthcare expenditure vs GDP, 2019


400000000000
[Y VALUE]
350000000000
Current health exp. per capita, PPP

300000000000

250000000000

200000000000

150000000000

100000000000
Rwanada, [X VALUE],
50000000000 [Y VALUE], [BUBBLE
Botswana, [X
SIZE]
VALUE], [Y VALUE],
0 [BUBBLE SIZE]
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
GDP per capita, PPP

Rwanda: Population size too big for healthcare


Botswana: Higher GDP per capita PPP than healthcare
expenditure per PPP
Singapore: Perfect model
Social Factors 29
Social Factors: Equality

Equality of political power Civil liberties accross social groups


Rwanda Botswana Singapore Rwanda Singapore Botswana
3 2
2 1
1 0

0 -1

Rating
Rating

-1 -2
-3
-2
-4
-3
50 54 58 62 66 70 74 78 82 86 90 94 98 02 06 10 14 18 22
50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 74 77 80 83 86 89 92 95 98 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year
Year

 Singapore has the highest fairness rating in equality in political power followed by Botswana. Rwanda is on the
negative side, suggesting an autocratic authority.
 Rwanda has been performing better than Singapore and Botswana in ensuring equality in civil liberties, i.e.
justice across all types of social groups.

Social Factors 30
Social Factors: Rich vs Poor

Income Share by wealth level (Rwanda)


80% Income Share by wealth level (Botswana) Income Share by wealth level (Sin-
70% 60%
gapore)
60% 50% 100%
50%
40% 80%
40%
30% 60%
30%
20%
20% 40%
10%
10% 20%
0%
0%
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 0%
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Income Share Held by Highest 20%
Income Share Held by Highest 20% Income Share Held by Lowest 20% Income Share Held by Highest 20%
Income Share Held by Lowest 20%
Income Share Held by Lowest 20%

Rwanda: Poor getting poorer, rich more richer


Botswana: Rich getting richer, poor already too poor
Singapore: Rich population

Social Factors 31
Social Factors: Change in Poverty lines (Rwanda)

% of Population with 2.15$, $3.65, and $6.85 a day (Rwanda)


120

100
96 93.9 93.4 92.9 92.2
80
% of population

75.2
66.1
60 59.2
55.7 53.7
48.8 52
40 43.4
39.4 38.5

20

0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Year

Below $2.15 a day (% of pop.) Polynomial (Below $2.15 a day (% of pop.)) Below $3.65 a day (% of pop.)
Polynomial (Below $3.65 a day (% of pop.)) Below $6.85 a day (% of pop.) Polynomial (Below $6.85 a day (% of pop.))

Not much change, lots of population below poverty line of 6.85 dollar a
day
Social Factors 32
Social Factors: Change in Poverty line (Botswana)

% of Population with 2.15$, $3.65, and $6.85 a day


80

70 68.6
63.5
60 60.4

50
% of population

40

30 29.1

23.2
20
17.7
14.4 15.4
13.6
10

0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Year

Below $2.15 a day (% of pop.) Polynomial (Below $2.15 a day (% of pop.)) Below $3.65 a day (% of pop.)
Polynomial (Below $3.65 a day (% of pop.)) Below $6.85 a day (% of pop.) Polynomial (Below $6.85 a day (% of pop.))

The poverty lines are rebounding


Social Factors 33
Social Factors: Change in Poverty line (Singapore)

No population below poverty line for Singapore!

Social Factors 34
Social Factors: MDP headcount vs Poverty rate (Rwanda)

MDP headcount (%) vs Poverty rate (Rwanda)


50 45
45 40
40 35
35
MDP headcount (%)

30

Poverty rate (%)


30
25
25
20
20
15
15
10 10

5 5

0 0
2010 2013 2016
Year

Multidimensional poverty headcount (%) Poverty Rates (%)

No data available for Botswana and Singapore


Social Factors 35
Social Factors – Undernourishment

% of Population below minimum dietry values vs GDP % of Population below minimum dietry values vs GDP
per capita, PPP (Rwanda) per capita, PPP (Botswana)
45 2500 30 18000
40 16000
2000 25
35 14000

GDP per Capita, PPP

GDP per Capita, PPP


30 20 12000
% of Population

% of Population
1500
25 10000
15
20 8000
1000
15 10 6000
10 500 4000
5
5 2000
0 0 0 0
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year Year

% of population below min. daily dietry values % of population below min. daily dietry values
GDP Per Capita, PPP (US $) GDP Per Capita, PPP (US $)

Rwanda: Around 35% of population is malnourish


Botswana: Around 23% of population is malnourish
Social Factors 36
Social Factors: GINI index

GINI index vs GDP per


Capita, PPP (R wanda) GINI index vs GDP per
Capita, PPP (Botswana) GINI index vs GDP per
54 2500
52 Capita, PPP (Singapore)
64 20000

GDP per Capita, PPP


2000
50

GDP per Capita, PPP


62 42.6 100000

GDP per Capita, PPP


48 60 15000
Gini index

1500 42.5 80000

Gini index
46 58 42.4

Gini index
44 1000 56 10000 60000
54 42.3
42 42.2 40000
500 52 5000
40 50 42.1 20000
38 0 48 0 42 0
2000 2005 2010 2013 2016 2000 2005 2010 2013 2016 2000 2005 2010 2013 2016
Year Year Year

GDP per capita, PPP GINI index GDP per capita, PPP GINI index GDP per capita, PPP GINI index

Rwanda: GINI index lowering, towards equality


Botswana: High GINI index and maintained, inequality
Singapore: Similar to Rwanda, somewhat equality
Social Factors 37
Social Factors: Human Development Index (HDI) (Rwanda)

HDI index vs GDP per Capita, PPP (USD)


(Rwanda)
0.54 2500

GDP per Capita, PPP (USD)


0.53
0.52 2000
0.51
HDI index

1500
0.5
0.49 1000
0.48 500
0.47
0.46 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year

GDP per Capita, PPP (USD) HDI index

HDI index just improved by 0.3 points over a decade!

ource: Roser, M. (n.d.). Human development index (HDI). Our World in Data.

Social Factors 38
Social Factors: Human Development Index (HDI) (Botswana)

HDI index vs GDP per Capita, PPP (USD) (Botswana)


0.74 18000
16000
0.72
14000

GDP per capita, PPP


HDI index 0.7 12000
10000
0.68
8000
0.66 6000
4000
0.64
2000
0.62 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year

GDP per Capita, PPP (USD) HDI index

HDI index is at 0.71, saw a decline over past 3 years


ource: Roser, M. (n.d.). Human development index (HDI). Our World in Data.

Social Factors 39
Social Factors: Human Development Index (HDI) (Singapore)

HDI index vs GDP per Capita, PPP (USD) (Sin-


gapore)
0.945 120000
0.94 100000

GDP per Capita, PPP


0.935
80000
HDI Index
0.93
60000
0.925
40000
0.92
0.915 20000
0.91 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year

GDP per Capita, PPP (USD) HDI index

HDI index is high at 0.94, demonstrating good living


ource: Roser, M. (n.d.). Human development index (HDI). Our World in Data.

Social Factors 40
Social Factors: Education system (Rwanda)
• Sciences • General
• Humanities • College of Technology
• Language • College of Education
• Teacher Training college • School of Nursing
• Technical and Vocational

Junior Secondary Senior Secondary University (4


Primary (6 years)
(3 years) (3 years) years)

2.3M, 50.9% 0.34 M, 52.5% 0.14 M, 49.3% 0.07 M, 43.2%


female female female female

40,299 staff, 2543 12,587 staff, 851 8,659 staff, 569 2,583 staff, 31
schools schools schools universities

Source: erneste. (n.d.). https://www.mineduc.gov.rw/index.php?eID=dumpFile&t=f&f=57546&token=da3c87074eca4dc22ddbaa730ddd43de4937394d Overloaded and outdated!


Social Factors 41
Social Factors: Education system (Botswana)
• English • Agriculture
• Setswana • Education
• Social studies • Engineering
• Mathematics • Health and welfare
• Integrated science • Humanities
• Design and technology • Science
• Agriculture • Services
• Moral education • Social Science

Junior Secondary Senior Secondary University (4


Primary (7 years)
(3 years) (2 years) years)

0.35M , 49% 0.18 M, 52% 0.06 M, 60.9%


female female female

14,313 staff, 821 15,513 staff, 291 - staff, 7


schools schools universities

Source: erneste. (n.d.). https://www.mineduc.gov.rw/index.php?eID=dumpFile&t=f&f=57546&token=da3c87074eca4dc22ddbaa730ddd43de4937394d Overloaded and but updated!


Social Factors 42
Social Factors: Education system (Singapore)
• English
• Chinese
• Mathematics
• Science • Many latest varieties like data science,
• Geography
• Art
machine learning, law, medicine etc.
• Music
• IT
• Physical educational
• Pastoral care
• Career guidance

Primary (6 years) Secondary (5 years) University (4 years)

0.24 M 0.16 M, 48.5%


female

Up to date education


15,850 staff, 186 12,587 staff, 136
with less load on staff and
schools schools
school
Source: erneste. (n.d.). https://www.mineduc.gov.rw/index.php?eID=dumpFile&t=f&f=57546&token=da3c87074eca4dc22ddbaa730ddd43de4937394d

Social Factors 43
Social Factors – Literacy rates (Rwanda)

Literacy rate (%) vs % of GDP spent on education


(Rwanda)
78 20

% of GDP spent on education


76 18
74 16
Literacy rate (%)

72 14
70 12
68 10
66 8
64 6
62 4
60 2
58 0
2000 2010 2012 2014 2018 2021
Year

Literacy Rate (%) % of GDP spent on education

Low investment on GDP but good literacy


rate of 70% of population
Social Factors 44
Foundational Factors – Literacy rates (Botswana)

Literacy rate (%) vs % of GDP spent on education


(Botswana)
98 12

% of GDP spent on education


Literacy rate (%) 97 10

96 8

95 6

94 4

93 2

92 0
2005 2009 2015 2018 2019 2020
Year

Literacy Rate (%) % of GDP spent on education

Low investment on GDP but high literacy


rate of 90+% of population
Social Factors 45
Foundational Factors – Literacy rates (Singapore)

Literacy rate (%) vs % of GDP spent on education


(Singapore)

% of GDP spent on education


100 3.4
99.9 3.3

Literacy rate (%)


99.8 3.2
99.7 3.1
3
99.6
2.9
99.5 2.8
99.4 2.7
99.3 2.6
99.2 2.5
2000 2010 2012 2014 2018 2021
Year

Literacy Rate (%) % of GDP spent on education

Schools are already well developed, and


almost all population is literate
Social Factors 46
Social Factors: Gender equality in education

L i t e r a c y r a t e o f y o u n g e r m e n v s y o u n g e r w o m e n ( % o f P o p u l a ti o n 1 5 - 2 4 ) ( R w a n d a )
2021, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

100
2010, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]
Literacy rate, youth female (% of females ages 15-24)

90
2005, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]
80

70
2015, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]
60 2000, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

50

40

30

20

10

0
72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86

Literacy rate, youth male (% of males ages 15-24)

Higher literate female than male by year 2021

Social Factors 47
Social Factors: Gender equality in education (Botswana)

Liter acy r ate of younger m en vs younger wom en (% of Populati on


102 15-24) 2021, [X VALUE], [Y
VALUE]
2010, [X VALUE], [Y
VALUE]
Literacy rate, youth female (% of females ages 15-24)

100

98
2005, [X VALUE], [Y 2015, [X VALUE], [Y
VALUE] VALUE]

96

94

92 2000, [X VALUE], [Y
VALUE]

90
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Literacy rate, youth male (% of males ages 15-24)

Almost equal male to female educated ratios by year 2021

Social Factors 48
Social Factors: Gender equality in education (Singapore)

Liter acy r ate of younger m en vs younger wom en (% of Populati on 15-


24)
99.9

2021, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]


99.85
2010, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]
Literacy rate, youth female (% of females ages 15-24)

99.8
2005, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

99.75 2015, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

99.7

99.65

99.6

99.55
2000, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

99.5

99.45
99.3 99.4 99.5 99.6 99.7 99.8 99.9 100

Literacy rate, youth male (% of males ages 15-24)

Almost equal number of male and female literate

Social Factors 49
Social Factors: Age equality in education (Rwanda)

E l d e r l y l i t e r ac y v s Y o u t h L i t e r ac y as a % o f P o p u l ati o n ( R w an d a)

2014, [X VALUE], [Y
VALUE] 2018, [X VALUE], [Y
88 VALUE]

86

84
Yputh literacy rate

82

80
2012, [X VALUE], [Y
2000, [X VALUE],
78 [Y VALUE]
VALUE]
76

74 2010, [X VALUE], [Y
VALUE]
72
18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34
Elder literacy rate

Youths more literate than adults


Source: World Bank open data. (n.d.). World Bank Open Data. Retrieved November 3,
2023, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.MDIM?locations=RW

Social Factors 50
Social Factors: Age equality in education (Botswana)

Elder ly liter acy vs Youth Liter acy as a % of Populati on


88 2014, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE] 2018, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

86

84

82
Yputh literacy rate

80
2012, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

78
2000, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

76

2010, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]


74

72
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88

Elder literacy rate

Trend is better than Rwanda, where adults are also at literate levels along
with youths
Social Factors 51
Social Factors: Age equality in education (Singapore)

Elderly literacy vs Youth Literacy as a % of Populati on


2014, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]
100 2018, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

99.9

99.8
2012, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]
99.7
Yputh literacy rate

99.6 2010, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]

2000, [X VALUE], [Y VALUE]


99.5

99.4

99.3

99.2
92 93 94 95 96 97 98

Elder literacy rate

Balance, suggesting nearly all population is literate


Source: World Bank open data. (n.d.). World Bank Open Data. Retrieved November 3,
2023, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.MDIM?locations=RW

Social Factors 52
Social Factors: Access to clean water

% of population with clean water % of population with clean water access % of population with clean water access
access (Rwanda) (Botswana) (Singapore)
14 84 120
83.5
12 100
83
10
% of population

82.5
80

% of population

% of population
82
8
81.5 60
6 81
40
4 80.5
80
2 20
79.5
0 79 0
1999 2004 2009 2014 2019 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

Year Year Year

Rwanda: Around 12% of population access to clean water


Botswana: Around 83% of population access to clean water
Singapore: All population has access to clean water
Social Factors 53
Comparison Matrix of Social Factors
Factor Rwanda Botswana Singapore
Healthcare Rwanda has made significant progress in Botswana has a relatively well-developed Singapore has a highly efficient healthcare
healthcare, but challenges still exist in healthcare system with a focus on primary system, known for its quality and
access and infrastructure. care. accessibility.

Education Rwanda has improved access to education, Botswana has a well-established education Singapore boasts a world-class education
but there are still challenges in terms of system, with a focus on improving quality system, consistently ranked among the best
quality and infrastructure. and access. globally.

Poverty Rwanda has made progress in reducing Botswana has a lower poverty rate Singapore has a low poverty rate, thanks to
poverty, but it remains a challenge, compared to many African countries, but its strong economic development and social
especially in rural areas. income inequality exists. policies.

Access to Clean Water Rwanda has made strides in improving Botswana generally has good access to Singapore has excellent infrastructure,
access to clean water, but challenges persist clean water, with ongoing efforts to ensuring widespread access to clean water.
in certain regions. improve infrastructure.

Rwanda has been working on improving Botswana has relatively good access to Singapore provides high-quality basic
access to basic amenities, but disparities basic amenities, with ongoing efforts to amenities across the country, reflecting its
Access to Basic Amenities exist between urban and rural areas. address disparities. developed status.
Equality in political power Poor Fair Good
Equality in justice Good Good Poor

Social Factors 54
Social Factors Ranking

Rank Country Justification

1 Singapore Singapore consistently ranks high in all factors due to its strong
economy, efficient governance, and comprehensive social policies.
2 Botswana Botswana has made significant progress in social factors, with a
relatively well-developed healthcare and education system.
3 Rwanda Rwanda has made remarkable strides, it faces ongoing challenges in
various social factors, placing it third in this comparison.

Social Factors 55
Foundational Factors

3. Economic and Energy Factors

Economic and Energy Factors 56


Economic and Energy Factors: Military Expenditure

Military expenditure (% of GDP)


6

4
% of GDP

0
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year

Rwanda Botswana Singapore

All countries are showing decline in military expenditures


Economic and Energy Factors 57
Economic and Energy Factors: Distribution of labour force by education

Distribution of labour force by education Distribution of labour force by educa-


(Rwanda) Distribution of labour force by education tion (Singapore)
(Botswana)
90 70
80 50
60
70 40

Percentage of labor
Percentage of labor

50

Percentage of labor
60
50 30
40
40 20 30
30
20 10 20
10 0
None Primary Lower Upper University 10
0
None Primary Lower Upper University Secondary Secondary 0
Secondary Secondary None Primary Lower Upper University
Education level Secondary Secondary
Education level
Education level

Rwanda: Most labor from no formal or primary education


Botswana: Most labor from lower secondary level
Singapore: Most labor are university graduates
ource: Roser, M. (n.d.). Human development index (HDI). Our World in Data.

Economic and Energy Factors 58


Economic and Energy Factors: Economic activates of labor

Top twelve economic activities of the Top twelve economic activities of


employed labor (Rwanda) the employed labor (Botswana)
Other retail activities Agriculture
Retail seller in stores Finance and insurance
Growing rice Transport and Storage
Textile manufacturing Textile manufacturing
Teacher Accomodation and Food Service
Growing beverage crops
Construction
Transport service
Social Work
Retail seller in open market
Manufacturing
Personal staff of households
Construction buildings Administrative
Growing vegetables Education
Growing cereals (except rice) Wholesale, Retail and Repair
0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 Public Administration
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000
Count of employed population
Count of employed population
Female Male
Rwanda: Most labor are in agriculture based industries Female Male

Botswana: Most labor are in service based industries


Singapore: Most labor are in service based industry (see sources)
Economic and Energy Factors 59
Economic and Energy Factors: Labor Force breakdown (Rwanda)

Most jobs are in rural side with approx. equality in gender

Economic and Energy Factors 60


Economic and Energy Factors: Labor Force breakdown (Botswana)

Most jobs are in urban side

Economic and Energy Factors 61


Economic and Energy Factors: GDP/capita vs GDP/capita,PPP (Rwanda)

GDP per capita vs GDP per capita, PPP (Rwanda)


1200 2500

1000
2000

GDP per Capita, PPP (USD)


800

GDP per Capita (USD)


1500

600

1000
400

500
200

0 0
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Year

GDP per capita (current) GDP per capita, PPP

Informal economy!

Economic and Energy Factors 62


Economic and Energy Factors: GDP/capita vs GDP/capita,PPP (Botswana)

GDP per capita vs GDP per capita, PPP


9000 20000

8000 18000

16000
7000
14000
6000

GDP per Capita, PPP (USD)


GDP per Capita (USD)

12000
5000
10000
4000
8000
3000
6000
2000
4000

1000 2000

0 0
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Year

GDP per capita (current) GDP per capita, PPP

GDP profile better than Rwanda


Economic and Energy Factors 63
Economic and Energy Factors: GDP/capita vs GDP/capita,PPP (Singapore)

GDP per capita vs GDP per capita, PPP (Singapore)


90000 140000

80000
120000
70000
100000
60000

GDP per Capita, PPP (USD)


GDP per Capita (USD)

50000 80000

40000 60000

30000
40000
20000
20000
10000

0 0
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Year

GDP per capita (current) GDP per capita, PPP

GDP profile better than Rwanda and Botswana


Economic and Energy Factors 64
Economic and Energy Factors: GDP of Agriculture and industry

GDP of Agriculture vs Industry


GDP of Agriculture and Industry GDP of Agriculture and Industry (Sin-
80
70
(Botswana) gapore)
60 70 40
Percentage of GDP

50

Percentage of GDP
60 30
40

Percentage of GDP
50
30 20
40
20 30 10
10 20 0
0 10 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21
66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96 99 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0
73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 Year
Year 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year
Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (% of GDP) .. .. .. .. .. ..
Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (% of GDP) .. .. .. .. .. .. Industry (including construction), value added (% of GDP) .. .. .. .. .. ..
Industry (including construction), value added (% of GDP) .. .. .. .. .. .. Agriculture,
Industry (including
forestry,
construction),
and fishing, value added (% of GDP) .. .. .. .. .. ..

Rwanda: Agriculture decreasing while industries increasing


Botswana: Maintained industrial output
Singapore: Always been industrial
Economic and Energy Factors 65
Economic and Energy Factors: Ease of doing business

Business expansion (Botswana) Business expansion (Singapore)

Time required tostart a new business (days)


Business expansion (Rwanda)
Time required tostart a new business (days)

Time required tostart a new business (days)


120 50000 7 350000
20 20000 45000 6 300000

Number of new businesses


100

Number of new businesses


40000
15 15000 5 250000
80 35000
4 200000
10 10000 30000
60 25000 3 150000
5 5000 20000 2 100000
40 15000 1 50000
0 0 10000
20
06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
0 0
5000
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Year
Year
Time requird to start a new business (days) Time requird to start a new business (days)
Number of new businesses
Number of new businesses Time requird to start a new business (days)
Number of new businesses

Rwanda: Takes 2-3 days to start a business


Botswana: Takes 48 days to start business
Singapore: Takes 1.5 days to start business
Economic and Energy Factors 66
Economic and Energy Factors: Reserves and FDI (Rwanda)

Total reserves (current $), FDI (% of GDP)


(Rwanda)
2000000000 4.5
1800000000 4
1600000000 3.5
1400000000 3
1200000000 2.5

% of GDP
1000000000
USD ($)

800000000 2
600000000 1.5
400000000 1
200000000 0.5
0 0
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year

Total reserves (includes gold, current $) Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP)

Reserves are not really sufficient and need to work on attracting more
FDI
Economic and Energy Factors 67
Economic and Energy Factors: Reserves and FDI (Botswana)

Total reserves (current $), FDI (% of


GDP) (Botswana)
12000000000 0.6
10000000000 0.5
8000000000 0.4

% of GDP
6000000000 0.3
USD ($)

4000000000 0.2
2000000000 0.1
0 0
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year

Total reserves (includes gold, current $)


Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP)

Similar to Rwanda, reserves are not really sufficient and need to work on
attracting more FDI
Economic and Energy Factors 68
Economic and Energy Factors: Reserves and FDI (Singapore)

Total reserves (current $), FDI (%


of GDP) (Singapore)
450000000000 160
400000000000 140
350000000000 120
300000000000 100
250000000000

% of GDP
USD ($) 80
200000000000
150000000000 60
100000000000 40
50000000000 20
0 0
01 003 005 007 009 011 013 015 017 019 021
20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Year

Total reserves (includes gold, current $)


Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP)

High reserve and high FDI for Singapore

Economic and Energy Factors 69


Economic and Energy Factors: Financial stability

Debt-GDP ratio (%), Trade-GDP ratio


Debt-GDP ratio (%), Trade-GDP (%), Inflation rate (%) (Singapore)
ratio (%), Inflation rate (%) Debt-GDP ratio (%), Trade-GDP ratio (%), Infla- 500 8
tion rate (%) (Botswana) 450 7
100 14 400
140 14 6
80 12 120 12 350

Inflation rate (%)


10 100 10
5

Inflation rate (%)

Inflation rate (%)


60 300
8
Ratio (%)

80 8 4

Ratio (%)

Ratio (%)
250
40 6 60 6 3
4 40 4 200
20 2 20 2 150
2

0 0 1
0 0 100
01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21
01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 50 0
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year 0 -1
Year

01

03

05

07

09

11

13

15

17

19

21
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20
Debt to GDP ratio (%) Trade to GDP ratio (%) Year
Inflation Rate (%)
Debt to GDP ratio (%) Trade to GDP ratio (%)
Inflation Rate (%) Debt to GDP ratio (%) Trade to GDP ratio (%)
Inflation Rate (%)

 Botswana has lower debt to GDP ratio, while Singapore has the highest of them
 The inflation pattern were shown to be similar, but the percentage rate were highest for Botswana, followed by Rwanda and Singapore
 The trade to GDP ratio of Rwanda and Botswana are similar

Economic and Energy Factors 70


Economic and Energy Factors: Tourism
Tourist spending as a % of total export per year Tourist spending as a % of total export
700000000 35
700000000 per year (Botswana) 18 Tourist spending as a % of total export
per year (Singapore)
Tourist spending (USD in Millions)

16
600000000 30 600000000
25000000000 4
14
500000000 25

Tourist spending (USD)


3.5

% of total export
500000000 20000000000

% of total export
12

% of total export
400000000 20 3

Tourist spending (USD)


400000000 10 15000000000 2.5
300000000 15 2
200000000 10 300000000 8 10000000000 1.5
100000000 5 6 5000000000 1
200000000 0.5
0 0 4 0 0
07 09 11 13 15 17 100000000 2
20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017
20 20 20 20 20 20 Year
0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Year Spending ($) % of Exports
Spending ($) % of Exports Year
Spending ($) % of Exports

 Despite COVID, Botswana and Singapore continued to maintain tourism resilience but Rwanda could not
 Singapore’s tourism sector is booming, even though it values low in terms of % of exports
 Rwanda and Botswana has potential to expand their tourism sector

Economic and Energy Factors 71


Economic and Energy Factors: Import vs Export profile (Rwanda)

Top 5 importing products Top 5 exporting products


Sugar cane Coffee
9% 11%
Gold Medical instruments
35% 12%
Electrical equipment
10% Gold
49%
Palm oil Black tea
11% 14%
Crude oil Crude oil
34% 15%

Gold Crude oil Palm oil Gold Crude oil Black tea
Electrical equipment Sugar cane Medical instruments Coffee

Top 5 import sources Top 5 export destination


Country Value ($), in millions Country Value ($), in millions
China 716 DRC 587
Tanzania 496 UAE 487
UAE 306 Tanzania 97
India 296 UK 45
Kenya 281 Pakistan 37

Source: Rwanda trade summary 2021. (n.d.). WITS Data. Retrieved November 3, 2023, from https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/RWA/Year/2021/Summary

Economic and Energy Factors 72


Economic and Energy Factors: Import vs Export profile (Botswana)

Top 5 exporting products Top 5 importing products


Cars Corn
3% 2%
Gold Carbonates Electricity Refined Petroleum
1% 1% 4% 21%
Insulated wire Diamonds
2% 95%

Copper Ore Diamond


1% 71%
Diamonds Insulated wire Copper Ore
Refined Petroleum Diamond Electricity
Gold Carbonates
Cars Corn

Top 5 export destination


Country Value ($), in millions Country Value ($), in millions
UAE 1940 South Africa 4470
Belgium 1660 UAE 426
India 1310 Belgium 992
South Africa 684 India 369
Israel 451 China 228

ource: Roser, M. (n.d.). Human development index (HDI). Our World in Data.

Economic and Energy Factors 73


Economic and Energy Factors: Import vs Export profile (Singapore)

Top 5 exporting products Top 5 importing products


Edibles Plastics
21% Integrated Circuits 3%
28% Organic Chemicals
4% Electrical equipment
41%
Machinery
34%
Refined Petroleum
15%
Photolab Equipments
30% Minerals
Gold 18%
7%

Integrated Circuits Refined Petroleum Gold Electrical equipment Minerals Machinery


Photolab Equipments Edibles Organic Chemicals Plastics

Top 5 export destination Top 5 import sources


Country Value ($), in millions Country Value ($), in millions
China 5680 China 5390
HongKong 5450 Malaysia 4960
Malaysia 2770 Japan 1820
Indonesia 1840 South Korea 1580
Japan 1080 UAE 1200

ource: Roser, M. (n.d.). Human development index (HDI). Our World in Data.

Economic and Energy Factors 74


Economic and Energy Factors: Merchandise Trade

Merchandise trade (% of GDP)


400
350
300
250
% of GDP 200
150
100
50
0
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year

Rwanda Botswana Singapore

 Due to strategic port location of Singapore, it has the highest merchandise trade contributing towards GDP
 Rwanda’s landlock position keeps it in trouble position
 Botswana has more easier access to ports than Rwanda hence better performance

Economic and Energy Factors 75


Economic and Energy Factors: % of population access to energy

Percentage of population with energy


Percentage of population with energy access (Singapore)
Percentage of population with
energy excess access (Botswana)
100

Percentage of population
Percentage of population
50
Percentage of population

80
99.6
40 60
30 40 99.2
20
20 0 98.8
10 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 98.4
19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
0 997 999 001 003 005 007 009 011 013 015 017 019
Year 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19
19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Year
Year Percentage of population with energy excess
Percentage of population with energy excess

 Despite COVID, Botswana and Singapore continued to maintain tourism resilience but Rwanda could not
 Singapore’s tourism sector is booming, even though it values low in terms of % of exports
 Rwanda and Botswana has potential to expand their tourism sector

Economic and Energy Factors 76


Economic and Energy Factors: % of population access to clean fuel and tech

Percentage of population with access to clean fuel and technologies (year 2022)
120 Singapore, $ [X VALUE],
[Y VALUE]%

Percentage of population 100

80 Botswana, $ [X VALUE],
[Y VALUE]%

60

40

20
Rwanda, $ [X VALUE],
[Y VALUE]%
0
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 100000
GDP per capita ($)

 Rwanda has the lowest number of population with access to clean fuel and technologies
 While Singapore has the highest

Economic and Energy Factors 77


Economic and Energy Factors: Sources of Electricity (Rwanda)

Source of total electricity and populati on with


access to electricity (Rwanda)
100 60
Percentage of total electricity (%)

90
80 50

% of total population
70 40
60
50 30
40
30 20
20 10
10
0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Year

Hydro Solar Oil Bioenergy % of Population

 Rwanda is slowly incorporating solar energy while also using oil and hydro based power

Economic and Energy Factors 78


Economic and Energy Factors: Sources of Electricity (Botswana)

Source of total electricity and populati on with


access to electricity (Botswana)
100 70
Percentage of total electricity (%)

90
60
80

% of total population
70 50
60 40
50
40 30
30 20
20
10
10
0 0
2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021
Year

Hydro Solar Oil Bioenergy % of Population

 Botswana is working on making itself less reliant on oil, hence there is presence of solar and bioenergy along with
hydropower to meet the demand of their population
Economic and Energy Factors 79
Economic and Energy Factors: Sources of Electricity (Singapore)

Source of total electricty and populati on with


access to electricity (Singapore)
100 120
Percentage of total electricity (%)

90
80 100

% of total population
70 80
60
50 60
40
30 40
20 20
10
0 0
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year

Hydro Solar Oil Bioenergy % of Population

 Singapore has the energy needs of their population met, but has started to utilize hydropower and solar power
more and can export extra energy
Economic and Energy Factors 80
Economic and Energy Factors: Death rate from air pollution (Rwanda)

Death rate from air pollution (Rwanda)


400
350
300
Death per 100,000 people

250
200
150
100
50
0
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year

House hold air pollution Ambient particulate air pollution


All causes attributed to air pollution All causes attributed to ambient ozone pollution

 Most of air pollution contributing to death is household, however it has been steadily declining

Economic and Energy Factors 81


Economic and Energy Factors: Death rate from air pollution (Botswana)

Death rate from air pollution (Botswana)


250

200
Death per 100,000 people

150

100

50

0
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year

House hold air pollution Ambient particulate air pollution


All causes attributed to air pollution All causes attributed to ambient ozone pollution

 Botswana’s household air pollution has been decreasing but the outside air pollution has been increasing cause of
death
Economic and Energy Factors 82
Economic and Energy Factors: Death rate from air pollution (Singapore)

Death rate from air pollution (Singapore)


70
Death per 100,000 people 60

50

40

30

20

10

0
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Year

House hold air pollution Ambient particulate air pollution


All causes attributed to air pollution All causes attributed to ambient ozone pollution

 Singapore has some outside air pollution problems but not as severe as Botswana and Rwanda

Economic and Energy Factors 83


Economic and Energy Factors: CO2 emission

CO2 Emissions (metric tons per capita)


Rwanda Botswana Singapore
12

10
Metric ton per capita

0
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Year

 Rwanda has been contributing low toward CO2 emission while Singapore has the highest
 Botswana on the average side

Economic and Energy Factors 84


Economic and Energy Factors: Nitroux Oxide (NO)

Nitrous oxide emissions (Thousand metric tons of CO2 equivalent)


Nitrous oxide emission (Thousand metric tons c02 12000

10000

8000

6000
eq.)

4000

2000

0
20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Year

Rwanda Botswana Singapore


 Botswana has worked to reduce NO emission
 Singapore has major problem
 Rwanda’s NO emission has been steadily increasing

Economic and Energy Factors 85


Economic and Energy Factors Matrix
Factor Rwanda Botswana Singapore

GDP (PPP) Lower-middle income Upper-middle income High-income

Financial Stability Developing economy Stable economy Developed economy

Ease of Doing Business Favorable Improving Highly favorable

Tourism Growing sector Safari destination Major tourist hub

Imports & Exports Moderate Diversified Highly diversified

Energy Access Expanding Developing Highly developed

Air Pollution Bad Bad Mild

Energy Generation Profile Developing Diverse sources Advanced technologies

Economic and Energy Factors 86


Economic and Energy Factors Ranking

Justification
Rank Country
1 Singapore Singapore tends to lead in most categories due to its highly developed economy,
advanced infrastructure, and efficient energy systems.

2 Botswana Botswana follows closely, with a stable economy, favorable business environment,
and diversified trade. However, it may lag in certain energy-related aspects
compared to Singapore.

3 Rwanda Rwanda is making progress in various areas but may still be in the early stages of
development compared to Botswana and Singapore. It is, however, growing steadily
and focusing on sustainable practices.

Economic and Energy Factors 87


THANK YOU

Questions and Comments?

88

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