Professional Documents
Culture Documents
• Misalkan terdapat lima jenis saham BBTN,BBCA, UNVR, BBRI, TLKM, ICBP
periode harian 1/3/2017-12/29/2017
• Melalui data tersebut kita dapat menghitung daily return, expected return maupun excess
return (setelah mempertimbangkan risk-free, data yang digunakan Indonesia 10 Year
Government Bond)
• Data dapat diperoleh dari https://www.wsj.com/market-data atau
https://finance.yahoo.com/ maupun basis data lainnya.
ILUSTRASI 01; Return Saham ( Daily Return, Expected Return dan Excess
Return)
Close Price Kalkulasi Actual Return Kalkulasi Excess Return
Date Rf Rf (daily) JKSE BBTN BBCA UNVR BBRI TLKM ICBP Rf JKSE BBTN BBCA UNVR BBRI TLKM ICBP BBTN BBCA UNVR BBRI TLKM ICBP
12/29/2017 6.31 0.017528 6355.65 3570 21900 11180 3640 4440 8900 0.00 0.00657 0.01410 -0.00114 0.02720 0.00275 0.01133 0.00000 0.01410 -0.00114 0.02720 0.00275 0.01133 0.00000
12/28/2017 6.31 0.017528 6314.05 3520 21925 10880 3630 4390 8900 -0.01 0.00586 0.00856 0.01841 0.00507 0.02229 0.02071 -0.01117 0.01488 0.02473 0.01139 0.02860 0.02703 -0.00485
12/27/2017 6.35 0.017639 6277.16 3490 21525 10825 3550 4300 9000 -0.02 0.00899 -0.00286 0.00116 0.00000 0.02568 0.00000 0.00000 0.01431 0.01834 0.01717 0.04285 0.01717 0.01717
12/22/2017 6.46 0.017944 6221.01 3500 21500 10825 3460 4300 9000 0.00 0.00607 -0.00285 0.01878 0.01068 0.01163 0.01170 -0.00830 -0.00285 0.01878 0.01068 0.01163 0.01170 -0.00830
12/21/2017 6.46 0.017944 6183.39 3510 21100 10710 3420 4250 9075 0.00 0.01203 0.01146 0.00833 0.01032 0.00587 0.02140 0.01667 0.01146 0.00833 0.01032 0.00587 0.02140 0.01667
12/20/2017 6.46 0.017944 6109.48 3470 20925 10600 3400 4160 8925 -0.01 -0.00948 -0.00288 -0.00833 -0.02054 -0.01170 -0.00719 0.00562 0.00330 -0.00216 -0.01437 -0.00552 -0.00101 0.01179
12/19/2017 6.5 0.018056 6167.67 3480 21100 10820 3440 4190 8875 0.00 0.00548 0.01447 0.00000 0.02101 0.01464 -0.01186 -0.00562 0.00985 -0.00463 0.01639 0.01002 -0.01649 -0.01024
12/18/2017 6.47 0.017972 6133.96 3430 21100 10595 3390 4240 8925 0.00 0.00237 0.01765 0.00000 0.01618 0.00000 0.00236 0.02266 0.01765 0.00000 0.01618 0.00000 0.00236 0.02266
12/15/2017 6.47 0.017972 6119.42 3370 21100 10425 3390 4230 8725 -0.01 0.00094 0.00000 0.00000 0.02182 -0.02044 -0.00472 -0.00856 0.00616 0.00616 0.02798 -0.01428 0.00145 -0.00240
12/14/2017 6.51 0.018083 6113.65 3370 21100 10200 3460 4250 8800 0.00 0.00971 0.00297 0.00833 0.00000 0.00289 0.01183 0.00284 0.00604 0.01140 0.00307 0.00596 0.01490 0.00591
12/13/2017 6.53 0.018139 6054.6 3360 20925 10200 3450 4200 8775 0.00 0.00368 0.00000 -0.01541 -0.00196 0.00000 0.00717 -0.00284 -0.00460 -0.02002 -0.00656 -0.00460 0.00256 -0.00745
12/12/2017 6.5 0.018056 6032.37 3360 21250 10220 3450 4170 8800 0.00 0.00095 -0.02643 0.00827 0.00196 0.00290 0.00722 0.01143 -0.02183 0.01287 0.00656 0.00751 0.01183 0.01603
12/11/2017 6.53 0.018139 6026.63 3450 21075 10200 3440 4140 8700 -0.01 -0.00072 -0.02575 -0.00237 0.00196 0.02056 0.00000 -0.00858 -0.01206 0.01132 0.01565 0.03425 0.01369 0.00510
12/8/2017 6.62 0.018389 6030.96 3540 21125 10180 3370 4140 8775 0.00 0.00401 -0.00282 0.00713 0.01186 -0.00296 -0.01439 0.01146 -0.00282 0.00713 0.01186 -0.00296 -0.01439 0.01146
12/7/2017 6.62 0.018389 6006.84 3550 20975 10060 3380 4200 8675 0.00 -0.00476 0.04907 -0.01538 0.01301 -0.02339 0.00000 -0.01997 0.04907 -0.01538 0.01301 -0.02339 0.00000 -0.01997
12/6/2017 6.62 0.018389 6035.51 3380 21300 9930 3460 4200 8850 0.00 0.00582 -0.00590 0.01418 0.00000 0.03231 0.00000 0.02286 -0.00590 0.01418 0.00000 0.03231 0.00000 0.02286
12/5/2017 6.62 0.018389 6000.47 3400 21000 9930 3350 4200 8650 0.00 0.00038 0.03289 0.00957 0.00707 0.01504 0.00000 -0.01149 0.03289 0.00957 0.00707 0.01504 0.00000 -0.01149
12/4/2017 6.62 0.018389 5998.19 3290 20800 9860 3300 4200 8750 0.00 0.00771 0.02774 0.02187 0.00000 0.02765 0.01198 0.03489 0.02774 0.02187 0.00000 0.02765 0.01198 0.03489
11/30/2017 6.62 0.018389 5952.14 3200 20350 9860 3210 4150 8450 0.00 -0.01819 0.01258 -0.03974 -0.01859 -0.02765 -0.01198 -0.03774 0.01258 -0.03974 -0.01859 -0.02765 -0.01198 -0.03774
Ilustrasi 02
• Terdapat tiga jenis aset dengan tingkat return masing-masing 5,0%; 4,30% dan 3,25%.
Jika ada Dana sebesar IDR 22.000.000, hitunglah return portfolio nya?
R e t u r n & R i s k o f P o r tf o l i o a n d
M a r k e t
0 .1 0 %
0 . 0 8 %
0 . 0 6 %
0 . 0 4 %
0 . 0 2 % σ m 2
E ( R m )
0 . 0 0 %
σ p 2
0 5 A
0 5 B E ( R p )
0 5 C
0 5 D
0 5 E
E (R p ) σ p 2 E (R m ) σ m 2
TWR dan DWR
Formul 𝐶1 𝐶2 𝐶𝑛
1 + 𝑟𝐺 𝑛 = 1 + 𝑟1 1 + 𝑟2 … 1 + 𝑟𝑛 𝑃𝑉 = + +. .
a 1+𝑟 1 1+𝑟 2
. 1+𝑟 𝑛
Ilustrasi 10
Information Ratio
1 2 3
• Menggunakan data 5 portfolio reksa dana periode Januari 2015-Desember 2015, maka
dapat diilustrasikan sebagai berikut
r r a b(r r ) c(r r )2 e
P f M f M f P
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept 0.002 0.008 0.278 0.787 α
SDP X Variable 1 0.847 0.216 3.929 0.003 b
X Variable 2 -0.630 3.793 -0.166 0.872 c
Intercept 0.002 0.008 0.278 0.787
AIEP X Variable 1 0.847 0.216 3.929 0.003
X Variable 2 -0.630 3.793 -0.166 0.872 `
Intercept 0.002 0.009 0.240 0.816
DEP X Variable 1 1.335 0.258 5.177 0.001
X Variable 2 3.349 4.536 0.738 0.479
Intercept -0.001 0.011 -0.051 0.960
CPID X Variable 1 1.185 0.315 3.766 0.004
X Variable 2 0.146 5.540 0.026 0.980
Intercept 0.006 0.007 0.747 0.474
MSA X Variable 1 1.164 0.206 5.641 0.000
X Variable 2 0.435 3.630 0.120 0.907