Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Nescaum Models
Nescaum Models
Presented by:
Rob Klausmeier
de la Torre Klausmeier Consulting, Inc
Harold Garabedian
Vermont Agency of Natural Resources
Introduction 5
dKC Copyright 2001
What Can the Model Do?
• Analytical Tool that can be applied for Air Quality Planning
• Can be used to estimate emission impacts from:
– Future Vehicle Fleets
– Diesel/Alternate Fuel Use
– Vehicle Speeds
– Roadway types
– Ambient Temperature
– Fuel RVP/Oxygen content/Sulfur content/RFG
– Air Conditioning
– Cold Starts
– Inspection/Maintenance Programs
– On-Board Diagnostics
– Vehicle Tampering
– New Vehicle Standards
– Other Strategies
• Evaporative Controls
• Refueling Controls
Introduction 6
dKC Copyright 2001
REFER TO BARRETT CAC
MOBILE6 PRESENTATION
C. Vehicle types:
- Gasoline powered cars vs. light trucks
E. Ambient parameters:
- Temperature
F. Fuel parameters:
- Reformulated gasoline (RFG)
- % sulfur
- % oxygenates
Fuel 18
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Overview
Fuel 19
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LEV Normal Emitter Composite
Emission Effects Based on
200 Regression Coefficients
% Increase in Emissions from 30 ppm
150 NOx
baseline
100 CO
HC
50
NMHC
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Sulfur, ppmW
Fuel 20
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“Gross Liquid Leakers”
I/M 22
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OBD Assumptions (Con’t)
• I/M Identification Rate
– Ability of the OBD system to find high emitters in an I/M
program.
– Assumed to be 90 percent.
I/M 23
dKC Copyright 2001
Phase-in IM240 vs. Phase-in
ASM2525 for 1988-93 PFI HC
Emissions NO I/M Phase ASM Phase IM240
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
FTP HC (g/mi)
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
0 50 100 150 200 250
Mileage (in thousands)
I/M 24
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Phase-in IM240 vs. Phase-in
ASM2525 for 1988-93 PFI NOx
Emissions NO I/M FTP Phase 2525 ASM Phase IM240
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
FTP NOx (g/mi)
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
0 50 100 150 200 250
Mileage
I/M
(in thousands) 25
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FTP HC Emission Effect of OBD
and OBD I/M on Tier1 Cars
No OBD OBD Only OBD I/M
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
FTP HC (g/mi)
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
0 50 100 150 200 250
Mileage
I/M 26
dKC Copyright 2001
FTP NOx Emission Effect of OBD
and OBD I/M on Tier1 Cars
No OBD OBD Only OBD I/M
2.00
1.80
1.60
FTP NOx (g/mi)
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
0 50 100 150 200 250
Mileage
I/M 27
dKC Copyright 2001
Heavy Duty Emissions
1,400,000
1,200,000
NOx (Tons)
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Calendar Year
Heavy-Duty 29
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Running MOBILE6
RUN DATA
Run MIN/MAX TEMP : 64. 92.
FUEL RVP : 7.0
Scenario
SCENARIO REC : Scenario Title Text
CALENDAR YEAR : 2010
END OF RUN
31
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EXAMPLE MOBILE6 RUNS
1.5
(g/mile)
1
0.5
10% below
0
Default
10% above
Vehicle Type
1
VOC Emissions (g/mile)
0.2
0
LDGV LDGT12 LDGT34 HDGV
Vehicle Type
4
NOx Emissions (g/mile)
3.5
3
2.5
No RFG
2
RFG
1.5
1
0.5
0
LDGV LDGT12 LDGT34 HDGV
Vehicle Type
0.5
RVP 6.5
VOC Emissions
0.4
RVP 6.8
(g/mile)
0.3
0.2 RVP 7.1
0.1 RVP 7.4
0 RVP 7.8
Exhaust Non-Exhaust
Fuel RVP level
2
Office of Transportation and Air Quality, EPA
Ann Arbor, MI 48105
38
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TWO TYPES OF RUNS
PERFORMED
• Runs with the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments
(CAAA) turned off. Basic emissions rates (g/mile)
calculated by the models are shown for direct
comparisons across models.
• Runs with all emissions regulations applicable at the
time of release and those additions (shown in the
table describing each model) of the models for a
'typical' high ozone southern metropolitan region.
The results (in tons per day) show the changes in
total on-road emission inventories with different
versions of the model.
MOBILE2
MOBILE3
MOBILE4
3 MOBILE41
MOBILE5A
MOBILE5B
MOBILE6
0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
MOBILE2
MOBILE3
10
MOBILE4
MOBILE41
MOBILE5A
8 MOBILE5B
MOBILE6
0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
3.5
2.5
1.5
0.5
MOBILE1 MOBILE3 MOBILE41 MOBILE5B
MOBILE2 MOBILE4 MOBILE5A MOBILE6
43
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2000 THC Emissions by Vehicle Class for a Metropolitan Area
(default VMT mix and applicable standards)
225
MC
HDDV
200 LDDT
LDDV
HDGV
175
LDGT34
LDGT12
150 LDGV
125
100
75
50
25
0
MOBILE1 MOBILE3 MOBILE41 MOBILE5B
MOBILE2 MOBILE4 MOBILE5A MOBILE6
250
200
150
100
50
0
MOBILE1 MOBILE3 MOBILE41 MOBILE5B
MOBILE2 MOBILE4 MOBILE5A MOBILE6
MC
HDDV
LDDT
LDDV
HDGV
LDGT34
LDGT12
LDGV