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Exchange Rate

determination
Some basic facts
• IMF came into existence in 1945 with the aim of promoting exchange
rate stability and fluctuation international flow of currencies
• Bretton Woods and the principle of par value
• IMF Quotas and Special Drawing Rights (SDRs)
Exchange rate arrangements
• Hard Peg
Dollarisation and Currency Boards

• Soft Peg

• Floating
Floating and free floating
Determination of Exchange Rate
• Non intervention: Floating exchange rate
• With intervention: Fixed rate of managed floating
• Convertibility and hard and soft currencies
• Controlling convertibility: licenses, multiple exchange rates, import
deposits, quantity restrictions
• Purchasing Power Parity and the Big Mac index
Inflation, Interest rates and Exchange rates
• Fisher Effect
• International Fisher Effect
Exchange rate forecasting
• Fundamental
• Technical

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