PRESENTATION BY Ogbu Chinedu E.

Development of a generic Spreadsheet model for calculating Fatality Rate from Evacuation, Escape and Rescue process in offshore Multi-Platform Complex.

Engineering Challenges and Opportunities that could be faced by Subsea 7 8th Feb. 2012

WHY MODEL FATALITY RATE FROM EER



Regulatory Requirement
SAFETY CASE QRA

Fire and Explosion Analysis PFEER Evacuation, Escape and Rescue Analysis

For Decision Making

-It can identify weaknesses in the evacuation system -It can be used to determine the impact of failure of each of the available means of evacuation -Will result in the development of appropriate

procedures and strategies for any type of emergency

Ecofisk Complex

Mumbai High: before the accident

Mumbai High: after the accident

PROJECT METHODOLOGY
Literature Review Discussions with Industry and Academic Supervisors Familiarisation with the EER process Understanding Existing EER Models

Development of a Model for Calculating Fatality Rate during EER Process

Test Running the Model on a Hypothetical Platform Complex

Recommendations on How to Improve the Model

CONCEPTS IMPLEMENTATION
Personnel are required to move to, and evacuate from the temporary refuge (TR).  Accident on one of the platforms, leaves some or all the platform cut-off from the TR.  As a result, personnel could evacuate from a maximum of five possible locations (Evacuation Points)


....concept implementation
Group A

Group B

Platforms with access to the TR

Location of accident

Platform used as the TR

Group C Platform Bridge Link

...concept implementation
Evacuation Points The five possible evacuation points are:  Platform used as the TR, PLTR  Platform where the accident has occurred, PLaccident  Group A Platforms, PLgrp A  Group B Platforms, PLgrp B  Group C Platforms, PLgrp C

CALCULATING FATALITY RATE

...calculating fatality rate

Total Fatalities = ( Evacuation Phase Fatalities ) + ( Rescue Phase Fatality ) Fatality Rate= Total Fatalities * Evacuation Freq.

Spreadsheet Samples
INPUT TABLE FOR PERSONNEL AND EQUIPMENT DISTRIBUTION
Platforms Number of Personnel Helideck Lifeboat: Number Available Capacity Liferaft: Number Available Capacity Table 1:Personnel and Equipment Distribution AP 120 1 6 40 3 12 P1 35 0 2 40 2 13 P2 50 0 2 30 2 14 P3 70 0 2 40 2 15 P4 60 0 1 40 2 16 P5 80 0 4 40 2 18 P6 98 0 2 30 2 19 P7 60 0 3 40 2 23 P8 0 0 0 0 0 0 P9 ...........Pn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Platform Used as TR Location of Accident Platform(s) with Access to the TR Platform(s) with no Access to the TR: Groups A B C Table 2: For Platform selection

AP 1 0 0 0 0 0

P1 0 0 0 0 1 0

P2 0 0 0 0 1 0

P3 0 0 0 1 0 0

P4 0 1 1 0 0 0

P5 0 0 0 0 0 1

P6 0 0 1 0 0 0

P7 0 0 1 0 0 0

P8 0 0 0 0 0 0

P9 ...........Pn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

.....continuation
CASE A EVACUATION FROM THE ACCIDENT LOCATION PLATFORM (PLaccident) RESULT HELICOPTER EVACUATION FATALITY Total Number of pe rsonnel evacuated by he licopter 0 IN SEA

Pre-Embarkation
LIFEBOAT EVACUATION Number of Personne l to be e vacuated by Lifeboat from ALP Number of Life boats Launched Successfully Number of Personne l on each Lifeboats Number of Personne l Re maining Afte r Lifeboat Evacuation LIFERAFT EVACUATION Number of Personne l falling into the Sea During Embarkation Number of fatality as a result of falling into sea during Embarkation Number of Personne l alive in sea as a re sult of falling into sea during Embarkation Number of Life raft Launched Succe ssfully Number of Personne l on each Liferaft ESCAPE TO SEA Number of Personne l Re maining after Liferaft Evacuation that will Escape to Sea Number of Fatalities from Initial Drowning Number of personne l alive in sea Sub-Total (Pre-Embarkation) 12 1 12 0

0 0 0 0 0.0

0 0 0

Post-Embarkation
LIFEBOAT EVACUATION LAUNCH Number of personne l Successfully Evacuated by Life boat DESCENT Probability of failure during descent Number of Fatality as a Re sult of Lifeboats failure during de scent Number of Personne l alive in Sea as a Result of Lifeboat Failure during de scent Number of Personne l intact in Life boat afte r de scent IN SEA Probability of Hook failing to release Probability of Lifeboat capsizing Probability of life boat colliding with Structure Probability of life boat failing afte r successful descent Number of Personne l in sea due to lifeboat failure afte r succe ssful desce nt LIFERAFT EVACUATION LAUNCH Number of personne l Successfully Evacuated by Life boat DESCENT Probability of Liferaft failure during de scent Number of Fatality as a Re sult of Liferaft failure during de scent Number of Personne l alive in Sea as a Result of Liferaft Failure during de scent Number of Personne l intact in Life boat afte r de scent IN SEA Probability Probability Probability Probability RESULTS 12 FATALITY IN SEA

0 0 0 12

0 0 0.3 0.3 3.6

0 0 0 0

of of of of

Hook failing to release Liferaft De flating Liferaft colliding with Structure Liferaft failing after succe ssful de scent

0 0.3 0.1 0.4 0

Number of Personne l in sea due to liferaft failure afte r succe ssful desce nt

FATALITY
Sub-Total (Post-Embarkation)

IN SEA

3.6

TOTAL

0.00

3.60

.....continuation
RESULT FOR CASE A
Platform Used as the TR Platforms with access to the TR Number of Personnel to be Evacuated from this Platform Number of Fatality from the Evacuation phase Number of fatality fron the Rescue phase Total number of fatality Location of Accident Number of personnel to be evacuated from this Platform Number of fatalities from the Evacuation phase Number of fatalities from the Rescue Phase Total number of fatality Group A Platform(s) Number of personnel to be evacuated from this group Number of fatalities from the Evacuation phase Number of fatalities from the Rescue Phase Total number of fatality Group B Platform(s) Number of personnel to be evacuated from this group Number of fatalities from the Evacuation phase Number of fatalities from the Rescue Phase Group C Platform(s) Total number of fatality Number of personnel to be evacuated from this group Number of fatalities from the Evacuation phase Number of fatalities from the Rescue Phase Total number of fatality Overral Result for Case A NUMBER OF FATALITY FROM EVACUATION PHASE NUMBER OF FATALITY FROM RESCUE PHASE TOTAL FATALITY FROM BOTH OPERATIONS FATALITY RATE (Per installation year) 54.38 116.9568 171.34 5.14E-01 AP P4 356 54.38 85.128 139.51 P4 12.00 0.00 1.44 1.44 P3 80.8 0.00 9.7248 9.72 P1 92.2 0.00 11.064 11.06 P5 80 0.00 9.6 9.60 P2 P6 P7

MOTIVATIONS FOR CHOOSING THIS TOPIC

 An

interest in undertaking a challenging project in an interesting area of offshore operation.  The opportunity to learn about an area of offshore operation that is relatively unfamiliar.  The prospect of gaining mastery of the excel spreadsheet.

ENGINEERING SKILLS DEMONSTRATED

 Ability

to solve engineering problems through creative and innovative thinking ability to apply mathematical, scientific and technological tools the application of knowledge, understanding and skills in solving problems

 The

 Enthusiastic, in

 Self-motivation  Good

time management skills

Engineering Challenges and Opportunities

Increase in technical complexity of projects will mean that y Onerous regulatory requirements. y Extending the life of subsea infrastructure and decommissioning uneconomic subsea asset.
y