Mcmahon by A Nose in Close Connecticut Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds Obama Tops Romney by 7 Points

Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.
Director,
Quinnipiac
University
Poll
(203)
FOR RELEASE:
AUGUST 28,
2012
McMAHON BY A NOSE IN CLOSE CONNECTICUT SENATE RACE,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
OBAMA TOPS ROMNEY BY 7 POINTS
Connecticut likely voters put Republican former wrestling executive Linda McMahon on the right
side of a 49 46 percent too-close-to-call U.S. Senate race against Democratic U.S. Rep.
Christopher Murphy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This is the first look at likely voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack)
University and can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters.
In todays survey, McMahons 54 42 percent lead among men swamps Murphys small
50 46 percent lead among women. McMahon leads 88 10 percent among Republicans and 55
40 percent among independent voters, while Murphy takes Democrats 82 16 percent.
McMahon leads among all income groups, except voters making $50,000 to $100,000 per
year. Voters under 35 years old back Murphy 51 43 percent, while McMahon leads 54 42
percent among voters 35 to 54 years old. Voters over 55 are split 48 48 percent.
Connecticut voters give McMahon a 47 35 percent favorability rating, while Murphy gets
a 38 30 percent favorability, with 32 percent who dont know enough about him to form an
opinion.
The poll is good news for Linda McMahon. In our first likely voter poll in Connecticut,
McMahon has a 3 point advantage in a too-close-to-call-race. Her edge is due to her double-digit
lead among independent voters and being close among women, a group she struggled with in her
2010 run, said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.
McMahon has worked on her image in the last two years, and it shows. Voters like her
more now than they did when she faced Richard Blumenthal in 2010.
-more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/August 28, 2012 page 2

President Barack Obama holds a narrow 52 45 percent lead over Gov. Mitt Romney, his
Republican challenger, among Connecticut likely voters. Twelve percent of Obama voters and 12
percent of Romney backers say they might change their mind.
The gender gap is yawning with women backing Obama 59 38 percent while men back
Romney 53 45 percent. Independent voters are divided with 49 percent for Romney and 47
percent for Obama. Obama leads among all income groups except for a 49 49 percent split
among voters making more than $100,000 per year. Voters in all age groups back the president.
Obama gets a 51 46 percent favorability while Romney has a negative 41 44 percent.
Vice President Joseph Biden gets a negative 38 43 percent favorability, compared to a negative
30 33 percent for U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan. Another 37 percent dont know enough about Romneys
running mate to form an opinion.
Connecticut voters say 43 35 percent that Biden is qualified to be president, compared to
29 26 percent, with 44 percent undecided, for Ryan.
The economy will be extremely important to their presidential vote, 58 percent of voters
say, higher than any other issue. Medicare will be extremely important, 41 percent say.
Romney would do a better job on the economy, Connecticut voters say 49 44 percent.
Obama would be better on Medicare, voters say 51 41 percent.
Although President Barack Obama is ahead of Gov. Mitt Romney, his 7-point lead is a far
cry from his 23-point victory in 2008 over John McCain. We shouldnt, however, expect to see the
candidates campaigning in Connecticut, which hasnt voted for a Republican since 1988, Dr.
Schwartz said.
This smaller than expected margin for Obama could affect the Senate race. The Murphy
campaign is hoping to benefit from Obamas coattails, but right now they are not very long.
From August 22 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,472 likely voters with a margin of
error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey,
Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and the nation as a public service and for
research.
For more data or RSS feed http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201,
or follow us on Twitter.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If
undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners)
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Obama
Romney
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
DK/NA
52%
45
2
6%
93
-
92%
7
1
47%
49
1
4
45%
53
2
59%
38
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No
ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
56%
43
1
63%
35
2
61%
39
-
49%
47
3
51%
45
1
3
52%
46
2
49%
49
1
51%
46
2
51%
46
2
1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your
mind before the election?
LIKELY VOTERS.......
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1
Tot
Obama Romney
Mind made up
Might change
DK/NA
87%
12
1
87%
12
1
88%
12
1
2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
41%
44
14
2
85%
5
9
1
10%
75
14
1
42%
42
14
2
48%
39
12
1
34%
47
16
2
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
41%
49
9
2
30%
43
24
4
34%
44
22
-
41%
40
18
2
40%
45
14
1
42%
44
13
1
47%
43
9
2
41%
44
14
2
43%
44
11
2
3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
51%
46
2
2
8%
91
1
90%
8
2
1
45%
51
1
2
44%
54
1
1
57%
39
2
2
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
56%
43
1
58%
35
4
2
58%
40
2
-
47%
49
2
2
47%
47
4
1
51%
46
1
2
49%
51
-
49%
47
1
2
50%
46
2
2
4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates
were Chris Murphy the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote?
(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Murphy or McMahon? (Table includes
leaners)
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Murphy
McMahon
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
DK/NA
Murphy
McMahon
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
DK/NA
46%
49
4
10%
88
2
82%
16
2
40%
55
5
42%
54
4
50%
46
5
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
52%
45
3
44%
49
7
51%
43
6
41%
53
5
45%
51
4
51%
46
2
45%
50
5
42%
54
4
48%
48
4
4a. (If Senate candidate chosen q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might
change your mind before the election?
LIKELY VOTERS........
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q4..
Tot
Murphy McMahon
Mind made up
Might change
DK/NA
79%
20
1
80%
19
1
77%
21
1
5. Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
47%
35
18
1
83%
9
7
-
18%
61
19
2
50%
29
21
1
51%
34
15
1
43%
36
20
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
42%
43
14
1
41%
30
29
1
42%
35
23
-
50%
29
20
1
48%
33
18
1
48%
37
15
-
45%
37
18
-
48%
33
19
-
46%
36
15
2
6. Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
38%
30
32
1
12%
56
32
-
66%
10
24
-
33%
30
36
1
36%
35
29
-
40%
25
34
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
41%
27
32
-
42%
29
28
-
39%
23
38
-
36%
32
31
1
38%
29
32
1
41%
31
28
-
35%
30
34
1
34%
31
34
1
41%
31
27
1
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
43%
44
12
20%
70
10
66%
22
13
38%
49
13
43%
49
9
44%
41
16
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
52%
41
8
47%
37
16
48%
36
16
37%
48
16
39%
48
13
42%
48
10
48%
43
9
45%
47
9
42%
44
14
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
33%
50
17
20%
66
14
49%
31
20
30%
55
15
31%
57
12
36%
43
21
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
36%
49
15
33%
43
24
45%
42
13
32%
51
17
35%
50
15
36%
50
14
33%
54
13
36%
51
13
28%
51
21
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United
States Senator?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
50%
38
13
68%
24
8
35%
51
15
52%
35
13
52%
40
8
48%
35
17
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
49%
40
11
44%
38
19
54%
30
16
51%
36
13
54%
35
12
52%
38
10
51%
40
10
50%
41
9
46%
40
14
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as
United States Senator?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
61%
24
15
41%
45
14
79%
7
14
59%
25
16
56%
32
12
65%
18
17
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
60%
27
13
64%
20
16
59%
21
20
62%
23
15
60%
24
16
66%
22
12
59%
30
11
62%
27
11
62%
24
14
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
Approve
Disapprove
DK/NA
49%
48
2
7%
91
2
88%
9
2
42%
55
3
43%
55
2
55%
42
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
52%
46
2
60%
39
1
58%
40
2
47%
51
2
46%
51
3
50%
48
3
47%
51
2
48%
50
2
48%
49
3
12. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today;
are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Very satisfied
Smwht satisfied
Smwht dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
DK/NA
Very satisfied
Smwht satisfied
Smwht dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
DK/NA
3%
37
32
27
1
2%
20
31
47
-
6%
56
27
10
1
1%
34
37
27
-
4%
35
31
30
-
2%
39
34
24
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
4%
41
30
24
1
2%
36
37
23
2
8%
43
32
17
-
2%
34
35
28
1
2%
39
29
29
1
3%
37
32
28
-
3%
38
32
26
-
1%
38
31
30
-
3%
36
32
28
1
13. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of
enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic
than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
More
Less
About the same
DK/NA
More
Less
About the same
DK/NA
32%
21
46
1
45%
17
37
-
25%
17
56
2
29%
27
44
-
37%
19
44
-
28%
23
48
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
31%
21
48
-
34%
19
47
-
31%
15
54
-
33%
22
44
1
38%
18
43
1
30%
21
49
-
31%
23
45
-
27%
24
48
-
37%
21
41
1
14. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about it?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
41%
48
9
2
8%
88
3
2
79%
12
9
1
30%
55
11
4
36%
57
5
1
45%
40
12
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
45%
48
4
2
44%
34
19
2
53%
38
9
-
38%
47
12
2
39%
46
13
2
44%
48
6
2
41%
53
3
2
38%
50
9
3
39%
49
8
3
15. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about it?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
36%
53
9
2
83%
12
3
2
7%
85
8
1
34%
51
12
3
40%
54
5
1
33%
51
13
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
32%
61
5
2
26%
49
22
3
32%
56
13
-
39%
46
13
2
40%
49
9
2
35%
58
5
2
38%
53
7
1
36%
51
11
2
36%
54
7
3
16. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
38%
43
17
1
10%
78
12
-
65%
14
19
2
32%
48
19
2
34%
54
11
1
41%
35
23
2
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
43%
43
13
1
40%
33
24
3
38%
35
27
-
34%
44
20
2
37%
42
20
1
39%
43
17
1
38%
49
13
-
36%
46
17
1
40%
44
14
2
17. Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED
30%
33
37
-
63%
3
34
-
7%
57
36
1
29%
29
41
-
38%
33
29
-
22%
32
45
-
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
31%
40
29
-
20%
30
49
-
22%
36
43
-
28%
27
44
-
30%
28
42
-
30%
32
38
-
33%
36
31
-
30%
29
40
-
31%
35
34
-
18. Does Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden for Vice President make you more likely to
vote for Obama for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
11%
16
71
1
1%
29
68
1
23%
5
71
1
8%
18
73
1
9%
19
72
1
13%
14
71
2
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
10%
13
76
1
20%
13
65
2
11%
11
78
-
12%
19
67
1
15%
20
64
2
8%
17
75
-
9%
14
77
-
10%
15
75
1
13%
18
68
2
19. Does Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan for Vice President make you more likely to
vote for Romney for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
23%
25
50
2
46%
4
50
1
5%
41
52
3
23%
25
50
2
29%
25
46
1
17%
25
54
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
23%
28
48
1
19%
27
51
3
16%
26
56
3
23%
23
52
3
22%
22
55
2
22%
26
51
1
23%
26
50
2
23%
24
52
1
24%
25
48
2
20. Do you think Joe Biden is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes
necessary, or don't you know enough about Joe Biden to say?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Qualified
Not qualified
Don't know enough
DK/NA
Qualified
Not qualified
Don't know enough
DK/NA
43%
35
20
1
17%
67
15
1
67%
11
21
-
38%
39
21
1
43%
41
14
1
43%
30
26
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
52%
33
14
-
40%
29
29
2
47%
22
30
-
36%
37
25
1
38%
33
29
-
43%
37
20
1
50%
35
14
-
46%
36
17
1
41%
38
20
2
21. Do you think Paul Ryan is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes
necessary, or don't you know enough about Paul Ryan to say?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Qualified
Not qualified
Don't know enough
DK/NA
Qualified
Not qualified
Don't know enough
DK/NA
29%
26
44
1
59%
3
37
1
10%
44
45
1
27%
25
47
1
37%
25
36
2
21%
26
52
-
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
34%
31
35
-
22%
24
53
-
21%
25
53
1
25%
22
51
2
32%
27
41
1
28%
24
46
1
30%
28
42
-
29%
24
45
1
31%
27
41
1
22. Will - health care be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or
not at all important to your vote for President?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
52%
35
11
2
-
48%
35
15
2
1
60%
32
6
2
-
46%
39
12
2
-
47%
35
14
3
-
55%
35
9
1
-
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
51%
35
13
2
-
65%
25
7
2
1
57%
28
14
1
-
53%
35
10
2
-
49%
34
14
3
-
47%
39
13
2
-
50%
36
12
2
-
46%
38
13
3
-
56%
34
9
1
-
10
23. Will - taxes be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not
at all important to your vote for President?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
41%
38
19
2
-
52%
39
8
1
-
34%
39
24
2
1
39%
38
21
2
-
40%
39
19
2
-
42%
38
18
1
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
41%
35
22
3
-
42%
42
14
2
-
51%
28
20
1
-
41%
41
16
1
-
38%
39
20
2
1
38%
39
21
2
-
44%
33
21
2
-
43%
39
17
1
-
35%
42
20
3
1
24. Will - the economy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
58%
35
6
-
69%
27
3
-
46%
42
10
1
-
60%
36
4
1
59%
33
6
1
-
57%
36
7
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
60%
32
6
1
-
51%
40
8
1
58%
31
9
1
1
57%
37
6
-
54%
39
6
-
56%
37
6
1
1
67%
27
6
1
-
64%
29
7
-
54%
40
5
1
25. Will - the budget deficit be extremely important, very important, only somewhat
important or not at all important to your vote for President?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
42%
35
19
3
-
58%
36
5
1
-
28%
35
32
5
1
44%
36
18
2
-
46%
32
19
3
-
38%
39
20
2
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
45%
31
19
5
1
35%
42
17
3
2
47%
32
18
2
2
40%
39
20
1
-
37%
37
25
1
1
42%
36
21
2
-
48%
31
18
3
-
43%
35
19
3
-
38%
38
20
3
1
11
26. Will - foreign policy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important
or not at all important to your vote for President?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
30%
41
25
4
1
32%
47
20
1
-
27%
40
28
4
1
31%
41
25
2
1
32%
40
24
3
1
28%
41
26
4
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
29%
43
25
2
-
26%
31
31
8
4
28%
39
27
6
-
30%
39
25
4
1
29%
46
20
4
1
32%
43
24
2
-
28%
41
28
3
-
26%
41
29
4
-
32%
41
22
3
2
27. Will - Medicare, which is the government program which pays for health care for
seniors be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all
important to your vote for President?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
41%
36
20
3
-
33%
39
26
1
1
47%
36
15
1
-
39%
36
22
3
-
38%
34
23
4
-
43%
37
18
2
-
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
34%
36
26
4
-
56%
29
8
5
1
23%
33
38
7
-
46%
35
16
2
-
44%
42
14
-
39%
37
22
2
-
31%
35
29
5
-
30%
38
27
4
-
56%
35
8
1
-
28. Will - women's reproductive health issues be extremely important, very important,
only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
31%
26
24
17
2
13%
24
33
28
2
50%
29
13
7
1
25%
26
29
17
3
19%
24
31
23
3
41%
28
19
11
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
31%
24
21
23
1
39%
32
13
12
5
40%
25
18
16
1
31%
27
27
12
3
33%
25
27
13
3
28%
26
27
17
1
30%
22
25
22
1
26%
27
27
19
1
32%
25
24
15
3
12
29. Will - abortion be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not important
DK/NA
24%
25
27
23
2
19%
20
31
30
-
33%
31
23
11
2
19%
24
28
26
2
15%
21
29
32
2
31%
28
25
15
2
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
23%
25
26
26
1
30%
26
19
19
5
30%
22
21
25
1
24%
25
27
21
3
22%
30
28
19
1
25%
22
31
21
1
21%
23
26
29
1
20%
25
28
26
1
25%
26
26
20
3
30. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
57%
40
2
20%
79
1
91%
7
2
51%
45
3
52%
46
1
62%
35
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
61%
37
2
67%
32
-
66%
33
1
55%
43
2
55%
41
4
58%
40
2
55%
43
2
56%
42
2
56%
41
3
31. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
43%
49
8
85%
10
5
15%
78
7
43%
49
8
47%
47
7
40%
52
8
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
44%
51
5
33%
54
13
40%
56
4
42%
48
9
43%
46
11
41%
52
7
48%
48
4
45%
47
7
41%
49
9
13
32. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on
- health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Health Care Extrm
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Imp to Vote Q22
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
52%
43
5
9%
90
1
90%
7
3
46%
46
9
47%
48
5
56%
39
6
56%
41
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
55%
40
4
61%
32
7
56%
38
6
49%
45
7
51%
42
7
51%
45
4
48%
46
5
52%
45
3
51%
42
7
- taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Taxes Extrm
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Imp to Vote Q23
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
47%
47
7
6%
91
3
84%
11
5
40%
50
9
41%
55
5
52%
39
8
38%
58
4
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
48%
46
6
62%
30
8
55%
40
5
46%
47
7
47%
43
10
45%
50
6
42%
52
5
44%
50
7
48%
45
7
the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Economy Extrm
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Imp to Vote Q24
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
44%
49
8
4%
94
1
82%
12
6
35%
53
12
39%
56
5
47%
43
10
33%
61
6
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
47%
47
6
55%
35
11
51%
43
7
41%
50
8
43%
48
10
43%
50
7
40%
54
6
40%
52
8
45%
48
7
14
the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Budget Def Extrm
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Imp to Vote Q25
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
40%
53
7
4%
94
1
76%
16
8
30%
61
9
34%
61
5
45%
46
9
26%
69
5
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
39%
54
7
60%
33
7
44%
54
2
40%
53
7
39%
50
11
37%
57
6
35%
60
5
37%
56
7
41%
51
8
- foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Foreign Pol Extrm
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Imp to Vote Q26
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
52%
40
8
11%
81
8
85%
8
7
50%
41
8
49%
47
5
56%
34
11
49%
48
4
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
57%
37
6
55%
35
11
62%
33
5
49%
42
9
50%
39
11
53%
40
7
54%
41
5
51%
41
8
51%
40
9
- Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Medicare Extrm
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Imp to Vote Q27
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
51%
41
7
11%
86
3
87%
8
5
44%
44
11
47%
46
7
55%
37
8
58%
37
5
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
54%
40
6
61%
31
8
61%
35
4
49%
42
8
45%
44
11
49%
46
6
52%
43
5
48%
44
8
51%
42
7
15
- women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Wom Rep Hlth Extr
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Imp to Vote Q28
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
62%
23
15
28%
55
17
90%
3
7
57%
23
20
57%
25
18
65%
22
12
82%
14
4
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
68%
19
13
63%
23
14
80%
9
10
56%
27
17
51%
30
18
63%
22
15
67%
19
14
61%
24
15
55%
28
17
- abortion, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Abortion Extrm
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Imp to Vote Q29
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
Obama
Romney
DK/NA
56%
27
16
24%
60
16
83%
7
11
54%
26
21
51%
31
18
61%
24
15
68%
28
4
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
64%
22
14
53%
27
20
73%
16
12
51%
32
18
47%
32
21
61%
27
12
62%
23
15
56%
26
18
51%
32
16
40. Which comes closer to your view? Government should do more to solve national
problems, or Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and
individuals?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Should do more
Doing too much
DK/NA
Should do more
Doing too much
DK/NA
39%
54
7
13%
85
2
65%
25
10
33%
61
7
34%
62
4
42%
48
10
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
44%
50
6
43%
44
13
47%
49
5
35%
58
7
41%
53
6
34%
62
4
40%
55
5
37%
58
5
37%
53
10
16
41. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit, do you support or oppose raising
income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Support
Oppose
DK/NA
Support
Oppose
DK/NA
67%
29
4
39%
56
4
87%
10
4
68%
28
4
62%
35
3
71%
25
5
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
67%
32
2
71%
24
5
70%
28
2
67%
27
5
75%
21
4
72%
27
1
63%
35
2
66%
32
2
68%
27
5
42. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in
most cases or illegal in all cases?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Legal all cases
Legal most cases
Illegal most cases
Illegal all cases
DK/NA
Legal all cases

Legal most cases
Illegal most cases
Illegal all cases
DK/NA
35%
35
16
7
7
22%
31
32
10
6
47%
37
7
5
4
36%
36
15
5
9
30%
39
17
6
8
40%
31
15
8
5
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
41%
34
15
4
6
31%
27
14
15
12
46%
36
12
5
1
31%
35
17
10
7
33%
32
20
6
9
33%
41
17
4
4
43%
35
15
3
4
40%
34
15
6
6
29%
35
18
10
8
43. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion
should be legal in that situation or illegal?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Legal
Illegal
DK/NA
Legal
Illegal
DK/NA
87%
8
5
80%
13
7
91%
6
3
88%
6
5
89%
6
5
85%
10
5
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
90%
5
4
77%
17
6
95%
5
-
85%
10
5
84%
10
6
89%
6
5
93%
4
3
87%
7
6
84%
10
6
17
44. Do you think Linda McMahon has the right kind of experience to be a United States
Senator from Connecticut or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
50%
42
9
83%
14
4
23%
67
10
53%
37
10
52%
41
7
48%
42
10
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
45%
46
8
48%
43
9
49%
43
8
53%
38
9
51%
35
14
49%
45
6
51%
41
8
54%
38
9
47%
45
8
45. Do you think Chris Murphy has the right kind of experience to be a United States
Senator from Connecticut or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
52%
30
17
27%
56
17
76%
9
15
49%
32
19
49%
37
13
55%
24
21
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
55%
28
17
47%
30
23
52%
31
17
51%
32
17
50%
33
16
57%
30
13
57%
28
16
53%
29
18
53%
31
16
46. Would you say that Linda McMahon cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
56%
35
9
86%
10
4
30%
55
15
60%
32
9
56%
36
9
56%
34
10
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
51%
40
9
59%
30
12
54%
35
11
60%
31
9
62%
29
9
53%
38
9
54%
39
8
58%
35
7
55%
34
11
18
47. Would you say that Chris Murphy cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
50%
36
14
26%
64
10
74%
12
14
46%
38
15
44%
45
11
56%
28
16
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
55%
32
14
44%
42
14
48%
40
12
48%
39
13
53%
33
14
53%
37
10
53%
34
13
48%
39
13
53%
34
14
48. Which type of candidate would you prefer to see as a United States Senator; someone
who has government experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
DC experience
DC outsider
DK/NA
DC experience
DC outsider
DK/NA
40%
51
9
16%
79
6
69%
21
11
31%
60
9
36%
56
8
44%
47
10
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
40%
50
10
55%
38
7
43%
49
8
40%
52
8
35%
58
7
35%
58
7
39%
53
8
36%
57
7
43%
47
9
49. Does Chris Murphy's experience as a Connecticut Congressman make you more likely to
vote for him for United States Senator, less likely or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
33%
24
41
2
10%
42
47
1
58%
6
33
3
29%
27
43
2
32%
31
37
1
35%
17
44
4
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
38%
22
38
1
29%
21
45
5
31%
18
49
2
30%
25
42
3
33%
25
40
3
35%
24
40
1
35%
26
38
1
32%
25
42
1
35%
25
37
3
19
50. Does Linda McMahon's experience as CEO of World Wrestling Entertainment make you
more likely to vote for her for United States Senator, less likely or doesn't it make
a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
21%
30
47
1
40%
10
49
2
7%
52
39
1
22%
25
52
1
28%
28
42
1
15%
32
51
2
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
23%
37
39
1
18%
28
51
3
18%
27
52
3
19%
26
53
2
20%
27
50
3
21%
33
46
-
23%
32
45
-
24%
30
47
-
20%
32
46
2
51. If Linda McMahon is elected United States Senator she would be Connecticut's first
woman U.S. Senator. Does this make you more likely to vote for her, less likely, or
doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
More likely
Less likely
No difference
DK/NA
11%
5
83
1
14%
1
85
-
8%
9
82
1
9%
5
85
-
8%
5
86
1
13%
5
80
1
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
9%
4
85
1
21%
7
68
4
18%
3
77
2
12%
6
81
1
8%
6
85
1
8%
4
87
1
10%
3
87
-
11%
3
86
-
9%
7
83
2
52. Have you seen any of Linda McMahon's television advertisements for this year's
election for United States Senator? IF YES: From what you have seen of Linda McMahon's
television ads, are they more informative or more annoying?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes/Informative
Yes/Annoying
No/Haven't seen ads
DK/NA
Yes/Informative
Yes/Annoying
No/Haven't seen ads
DK/NA
41%
42
12
4
67%
20
10
3
24%
56
13
7
40%
45
12
3
43%
43
10
4
39%
42
14
4
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
37%
45
13
5
44%
31
21
4
39%
40
17
3
45%
41
11
4
38%
43
14
5
42%
45
9
4
40%
45
11
4
45%
40
11
4
39%
44
11
6
20
53. Have you seen any of Chris Murphy's television advertisements for this year's
election for United States Senator? IF YES: From what you have seen of Chris Murphy's
television ads, are they more informative or more annoying?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes/Informative
Yes/Annoying
No/Haven't seen ads
DK/NA
Yes/Informative
Yes/Annoying
No/Haven't seen ads
DK/NA
29%
36
28
7
11%
53
28
8
43%
20
29
7
29%
41
25
6
28%
40
27
6
31%
33
28
8
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
28%
33
32
7
25%
35
33
7
23%
34
39
4
30%
39
24
6
28%
40
25
7
33%
39
23
5
30%
35
29
6
29%
37
27
6
31%
36
25
8
54. As you may know the Republican National Convention will meet in Tampa August 27th to
the 30th. Do you think you will watch any of the television coverage of the convention?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
69%
29
2
86%
13
-
62%
35
2
64%
33
3
68%
30
2
69%
29
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
70%
29
1
71%
27
2
65%
35
-
68%
30
2
71%
28
1
61%
36
3
73%
25
2
67%
30
3
70%
28
2
55. As you may know the Democratic National Convention will meet in Charlotte September
3rd to the 6th. Do you think you will watch any of the television coverage of the
convention?
LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA
Yes
No
DK/NA
68%
29
3
62%
35
3
80%
19
1
62%
35
3
66%
32
2
71%
27
3
COLLEGE DEG
Yes
No

<30K
30-50 50-100 >100K
AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+
69%
29
1
70%
26
4
64%
33
3
68%
29
3
74%
25
2
60%
36
4
72%
27
1
67%
30
3
70%
27
2
21

Mcmahon by A Nose in Close Connecticut Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds Obama Tops Romney by 7 Points

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Mcmahon by A Nose in Close Connecticut Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds Obama Tops Romney by 7 Points

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Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.

McMAHON BY A NOSE IN CLOSE CONNECTICUT SENATE RACE,

Quinnipiac University Poll/August 28, 2012 page 2

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