‫ــﺎ
‪2010‬‬

‫‪ 29‬ﻣﻣــﺎ
‬

‫ﺧﺒﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ  ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻧﺸﺎ  ﺗﺤﻮﻻ ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ  ﺳﻄﺢ‬

‫ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ‪ .‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﻦﺑﺴــﺖﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻢ ﻛﺎ‪ #‬ﺳــﻔﻴﺪ ﺧﻴﺮ ً‬
‫ ‪ 7‬ﭘﺎ‪ 0‬ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﻮ‪  ،‬ﻫﻢ ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮ‪0‬ﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ 0‬ﺑﺎ ‪7‬ﻫﺎ  ﻗﺮ ﺷــﺖ‪7 ،‬ﻏﺎ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ ﻣﻰﻧﻤﻮ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﺗﻼﺷﻰ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺧﺮ>  ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺖ ﺣﺘﻤﻰ ﺑﻮ‪.‬‬
‫ﻟﻰ ﭘﺲ  ﺗﺄﺋﻴﺪ ﺳــﻤﻰ ﺗﻮﻓﻘﻨﺎﻣﺔ »ﺳﺘﺎ« ﺗﻮﺳــﻂ ﺑﺎ‪ A‬ﺑﺎﻣﺎ‪،‬‬
‫ﺗﻮﻓﻘﻰ ﻛــﻪ ‪  0‬ﻣﺼﺎﺣﺒﺔ ﻣﻄﺒﻮﻋﺎﺗﻰ ﻛﺎ‪ #‬ﺳــﻔﻴﺪ ‪  7‬ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬
‫ﻛﻨﻮ ﺑﻪ ‪ 40‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻎ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ‪  .‬ﻳﻚ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻓﻘﻨﺎﻣــﻪ ﻃــﻰ  ﻫــﺔ ﺧﻴــﺮ ﺟﻬــﺖ »ﻛﻨﺘﺮ‪J‬‬
‫ﺗﺮﻳﺴﺘﻰ »ﺷــﻬﺮ‪ ،«0‬ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً  ﻛﺸﻮ‪ 0‬ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺴﻠﻴﺤﺎ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ« ﻟﻘﺐ ‪ ،‬ﻣﺴﻠﻢ ﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ‬
‫ﺳــﻤﺎً ﮔﻴﺮ ﺟﻨﮓ  ﺷﻐﺎ‪ J‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ ،‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﺪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ ﻳﻦ »ﺗﻮﻓﻘﻨﺎﻣﻪ« ﻗﺮ‬
‫ﺗﻌﺪ ﺗﻠﻔﺎ ﻫﻮﻟﻨﺎ‪ A‬ﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰ‪» 0‬ﻳﺮﻧﺎ«‪،‬‬ ‫ﮔﻴﺮ‪ .‬ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﻫﻀﻢ ‪7‬ﻧﭽﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮ »ﺳــﺘﺎ«‬
‫ ﺗﻮﺻﻴﻒ ﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎ ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺮﻓــﻰ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ  ﺗﻠﻮﻳﺤﺎً ﺑــﻪ ﻣﻀﺎء ﺳــﻴﺪ‪ ،‬‬
‫ﺑﺎﺗﺎﺑﻰ ﺳــﺖ  ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪0‬ﻫﺎ  ﻫﻤﺮﻫﻰﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻣﺴﻜﻮ‬
‫»ﻋﻮﻣﻞ ﻧﻔﺠﺎﻫﺎ‪ c‬ﻣﺮ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‬ ‫ ﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺳﻨﮕﻴﻦ  ﺛﻘﻴﻞ‬
‫ﺷــﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺘﺨــﺖ ‪7‬ﻣﺪ  ﺑﺎ ﻧﻔﺠــﺎ ﺑﻤﺐ ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪ .‬ﻧﻔﺠﺎ   ﻳﺴﺘﮕﺎ ﻣﺘﺮ  ﭘﺎﻳﺘﺨﺖ‬
‫ﻳﺴــﺘﮕﺎﻫﻬﺎ‪ c‬ﻣﺘﺮ‪ c‬ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻧﺘﻘﺎ‪ e‬ﻗﺘﻞ ﺳﺮ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﻪ ﻧﺸﺎﻧﻰ ﺳﺖ  ﻛﻨﺶ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ‪.‬‬
‫ﻛﺸﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ ﺧﻮ   ﺳﻴﻪ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻨﺪ‪«.‬‬
‫ﻣﻨﺒﻊ‪ :‬ﻳﺮﻧﺎ‪ ،‬ﻛﺪﺧﺒﺮ‪1028376 :‬‬ ‫ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰ‪0‬ﻫﺎ ﻃﻼ‪ X‬ﻣﻰﻫﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻔﺠﺎ  ﺑﻤﺐ ‬
‫ ﻳﺴــﺘﮕﺎ ﻣﺘﺮ‪ 0‬ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺗﻠﻔﺎ  ﺧﺴﺎ ﺟﺎﻧﻰ‬
‫ﻳــﻦ »ﻇﻬﺎ« ﻛﻪ  ﻗــﻮ‪» J‬ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﺧﺒﺮ‪ «0‬‬ ‫ﭼﺸــﻢﮔﻴﺮ‪ 0‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤــﺮ ‪ .7‬ﻳﻦ ﺗﻠﻔــﺎ ﻛﻪ ‬
‫ﻳﺮﻧﺎ ﻋﻨﻮ ﺷــﺪ‪  ،‬ﺷــﺮﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺳــﺎﻋﺎ ‪7‬ﻳﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً ﺑﻴﺶ  ﻳﻦﻫﺎ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺗﺎ‬
‫ ﺛﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻗﻴﻘﺎً ﭼﻨﺪ  ﭘﺲ  »ﻟﻮ« ﻓﺘﻦ ﺷﺒﻜﺔ‬ ‫ﻣــﻴــﺪ  ﺑﻮ‪ m‬ﭘﺮﭘﺎﮔﺎﻧــﺪﺷــﺒﺎﻫﺖ‪ ،‬ﺗــﺎ‬
‫‪ 101‬ﻧﻔﺮ‪ 0‬ﻟﻘﺎﻋﺪ  ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘﺎ‪ ،‬ﺷــﺒﻜﻪ‪ 0‬ﻛﻪ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﻳــﻚ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮ‪ 0‬ﻣﺴــﺌﻮﻻﻧﻪ‪ .‬ﭼﺮ ﻛــﻪ ﺣﺘﻰ ﮔﺮ‬
‫ﻣﺮ  ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ »ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮ‪ «w‬ﺳﻴﺪ‪   ،‬ﺷﺮﻳﻄﻰ‬ ‫ﻳﻦ »ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﺧﺒﺮ‪  «0‬ﻣﻮ ﻳﺸــﻪﻫﺎ‪» 0‬ﻗﻮﻣﻰ«‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﻣﻀﺎء ﻗــﺮ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪0‬ﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ »ﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ـ‬ ‫ﺳــﻮءﻗﺼﺪﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎ  ﻫــﺪ‪  o‬ﻧﮕﻴﺰﻫــﺎ‪7 0‬ﻧﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ«   ﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﭼﻨﺪ ﺗﺮﻳﺴﺖ ﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻃﻤﻴﻨﺎ ﻛﺎﻣﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﻨﺪ ـ ﻳﻦ ﻃﻤﻴﻨﺎ‬
‫ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺗﻰ ﺑﺰﻧﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻧﺸــﺎ ﻣﻰﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺘﻰ ﮔﺮ‬ ‫ ﺣﺎ‪ J‬ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ ﻧﺎﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ ﻣﻰﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ ـ ﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬
‫ﺗﺮﻳﺴــﺖﻫﺎ ﻫﻢ ﻫﻞ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﺑﺎﺷــﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣــﻮ ﻣﻨﻔﺠﺮ ‬ ‫ﻳــﻦ ﻓﺮ ﺑﺘﻮﻧﻨﺪ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺷــﻤﺎ‪ J‬ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﺑﺎ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ‬
‫ﺷــﺒﻜﺔ ﻟﻮژﻳﺴﺘﻴﻚ ﺣﺎﻣﻰﺷﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮ »ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‪«0‬‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺎ  ﺣﺘﻤﺎﻻً »ﻣﺤﻤﻮﻟﻪﻫﺎﺋﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ‪7‬ﻣﺪ ‬
‫ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﮔﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑــﺪ ﻃﻼ‪ X‬ﺷــﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻣﺨﺘﻠــﻒ ﻃﻼﻋﺎﺗﻰ‪ ،‬ﭼﻪ‬
‫ﺳــﻰ  ﭼﻪ ﻏﻴﺮ  ﻳﺴــﺘﮕﺎ ﻣﺘــﺮ‪ 0‬ﻳﺮﻣﻴﻨﻰ‬
‫ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺟﺰﺋﻴﺎ ﻳﻦ »ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ« ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺳﻴﻪ ﻣﺮﺑﻮ‪z‬‬ ‫» ﻃﻼﻋﺎ« ﺳــﻴﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻧﻔﺠﺎ‪ 0‬ﺻﻮ‬
‫ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺎ ﻳﺮﻧﻴﺎ‪ ،‬ﻟــﻰ  ‪7‬ﻧﺠﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﺗﺎ‪ r‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﺪ ﻧﺸﺎ ﻫﻨﺪ‪» p‬ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ «0‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﻫﺴﺖ‪ .‬‬
‫ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻳﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﺷــﺎﻳﺪ ﻋﺠﻠﺔ ﻳﻦ »ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﺧﺒــﺮ‪ ،«0‬ﻛﻪ ﻳﺮﻧﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ‬
‫ﻛﻨﺪ  ﻫﻤﻴﻨﺠــﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻋﻨﻮ ﻛﺮ ﻛــﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮ‪0‬‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺎﺷــﺎ ﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻧﮕﺸﺖ ﺗﻬﺎ‪ e‬ﺑﻪ‬
‫»ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ« ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ ﻋﺠﻮﻻﻧــﻪ‪ ،‬ﮔﺮ ﻧﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ  »ﭘﻴﺶ‬ ‫ﺳﻮ‪ 0‬ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎ ﻓﺪﺳﻴﻮ ﺳﻴﻪ  ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‪ ،‬ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ‬
‫ﺗﻌﻴﻴــﻦ ﺷــﺪ« ﻣﻰﻧﻤﺎﻳــﺪ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴــﺮ‪ 0‬ﺻﺮﻓﺎً‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺖ ﻗــﺮ  ﻫﻤﺎ »ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﻳﮕﺮ«  ﭘﺲ‬
‫ﻧﺸــﺎ ﻣﻰﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻠﻰ  ﺳﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ  ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً‬ ‫ﭘﺮ‪ p‬ﺑﻬﺎ‪ e‬ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ 0‬ﻗﺼﺪ ‪ 7‬ﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺠﺎ‪ 0‬ﺗﺨﺎ{ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﻣﺘﻴﻦ  ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  ﺑﺮﻗــﺮ‪ 0‬ﺻﻠﺢ ﻣﺪ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻧﻴــﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻮ ﻣﻨﻔﺠﺮ‪ p‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‪7 ،‬ﻧﻬﻢ  ﺣﺪ‪0‬‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﻣﻴﺪ  ﺗﻨﻮ ﮔﻴﺮ‪0‬ﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻗﻮﻣﻰ ﺧﺮﺣﺴﺎ‪r‬ﻫﺎ ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺘﻮﻧﺪ ﭼﻨﻴــﻦ ﻗﺘﻞﻋﺎﻣﻰ ﺻﻮ ﻫﺪ  ﺧﺘﻴﺎ‬
‫ـ ﻳﻦ ﺧﺮﺣﺴــﺎ‪r‬ﻫﺎ ﻟﺰﻣﺎً ﺗﺒﺎﻃﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ  ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﻛﺲ  ﻧﺎﻛﺴﻰ ﻗﺮ ﻧﻤﻰﮔﻴﺮ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬
‫ﻗﻮﻣﻴﺖﻫﺎ ﻫﻢ ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ـ »ﺗﺼﻔﻴﻪ« ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﺻﺎﻓﻰ ﺷــﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎ‪» 0‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ـ ﻃﻼﻋﺎﺗﻰ« ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ‬
‫ﺑﺎﻳــﺪ ﮔﻔﺖ  ﺻﻮ ﺑﺮ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻋﻜﺲﻟﻌﻤﻠﻰ  ﺟﺎﻧﺐ‬ ‫ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺄﺋﻴﺪ »ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎ« ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺖ ﺗﺮﻳﺴﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﺳﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﺗﺄﺳﻒﺑﺎ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻳﻨﻜــﻪ ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ‪ ،0‬ﮔﺮﻫﻰ‬
‫ﺳــﺎﻛﻨﺎ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ »ﻗﻔﻘــﺎ« ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ‬
‫ﻟــﻰ  ﻣﻪ‪» ،‬ﻳﺮﻧﺎ« ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎ  ﻻ‪» A‬ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﺧﺒﺮ‪«0‬‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻧﺎﺑﺨﺮﻧﻪ  ﻣﻴﺎﻧﺔ ‪7‬ﺗﺶ »ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ‬
‫ﺑﻴﺮ ‪7‬ﻣﺪ‪ ،‬ﺳــﺨﻨﺎ ﻳﻤﻴﺘﺮ‪ 0‬ﮔﺰﻳﻦ  ﻣﻮ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ـ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ« ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪  ،‬ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺳــﻮ‪0‬‬
‫»ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳــﻰ ﻧﻔﺮﭘﺮﻛﻨــﻰ«  ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻨﻌﻜــﺲ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ ‪ 7‬ﺳــﻮ‪ 0‬ﺟﺬ‪ r‬ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ ﺗﺎ‪ 0‬ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﮔﺰﻳﻦ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫‪7‬ﻧﭽﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﺖ  ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺖ ﻛــﻪ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ‬
‫ﻳــﻦ ﻓــﺮ  ﺗﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺣﺪ »ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺗﻰ« ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﺷــﺎﻳﺪ‬
‫»ﻫﺪ‪ o‬ﺗﺮﻳﺴــﺖﻫﺎ  ﺗﻜﺎ‪ r‬ﻳﻦ ﻗﺪﻣﺎ‪ ،‬ﻳﺎﺋﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺘــﺮ ﺑﻮ »ﻣﻨﺎﺑــﻊ ﺧﺒﺮ‪ «0‬ﺑﺠﺎ‪ 0‬ﺑﻴﺮ ﻛﺸــﻴﺪ‬
‫ﭘﻴﺮ ﻣﺬﻫﺐ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﺳــﻴﻪ  ﺗﻀﻌﻴﻒ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ‬ ‫ﺗﻬﺎﻣﺎ ﻧﺦﻧﻤﺎ‪ 0‬ﻫﻤﻴﺸﮕﻰ  ﻳﺨﺘﻦ ‪ r7‬ﺑﻪ ‪7‬ﺳﻴﺎ‪r‬‬
‫ﺳﺖ«‬ ‫»ﻧﮋﭘﺮﺳﺘﻰ« ﻣﺴﻜﻮﻳﺖﻫﺎ  ﻣﺘﻬﻢ ﻛﺮ »ﺳﻴﺎﻫﺎ«‬
‫ﻫﻤﺎ ﻣﻨﺒﻊ!‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﻳﺴــﻢ  ‪7‬ﻣﻜﺸﻰ ـ »ﺳﻴﺎ« ﻟﻘﺒﻰ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬
‫‪u‬ﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻛﻨﺎ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﻧﺪ ـ ﻣﻰﮔﻔﺘﻨﺪ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺗﻰ   ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﭼﻪ‬
‫ﺷﺒﻜﻪ‪ 0‬ﺗﻮﻧﺴﺘﻪ »ﺟﺮﺋﻰ« ﺷﻮ؟‬
‫ﻣﺮﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﺑﻠﻮﭼﺴــﺘﺎ  ﻫﺰ ﻣــﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ‬
‫ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﺮﺳــﻴﺪ ﻛﺪ‪ e‬ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ  ﻗﻔﺎ‪ 0‬ﺷــﺒﻜﺔ‬
‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﺸﺨﻴﺺ ﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫‪ 101‬ﻧﻔﺮ‪ 0‬ﻟﻘﺎﻋﺪ ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﺧﻮﺷﺎ  ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎ‬
‫ﺳﻌﻮ‪ 0‬ﺧﻮ‪  r‬ﺧﻴﺎ‪ J‬ﻳﺪ ﺑﻮﻧﺪ‪  ،‬ﻳﺎ ﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬
‫ﭘﺎﻛﺴﺘﺎ  ﻗﻊ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﭘﺎﻳﮕﺎ ﺟﻨﺒﻰ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻀــﺎء ﻗﺮ »ﺳــﺘﺎ«  ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ‬
‫ﺷــﺪ‪ ،‬ﺗﺎ ﭘﺲ  ﺳــﺘﻘﻼ‪ J‬ﻫﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪﻳﺞ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ‬
‫ﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ  ﻧﻄﻔﻪﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬
‫ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻏﺮ‪ ،r‬ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺷــﺒﻜﺔ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ‪ 0‬ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ‬
‫ ﺳــﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧــﻰ ﺻﺪﻣــﻪ  ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ‪7‬؟‬
‫  ﺷــﺒﻪ ﻗﺎ ﺑــﻪ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﺧــﻮ ﻣﻨﺘﻘﻞ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﮔﺮ ﭘﺎﺳــﺦ ﻳﻦ  ﺳﺌﻮ‪ J‬ﺷــﻦ ﺷﻮ‪ ،‬ﺧﻂ‬
‫ﻧﻘﺶ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ‪ 0‬ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ  ﺷــﻜﻞﮔﻴﺮ‪» 0‬ﭘﻴﻤﺎ‬
‫ﺗﺮﻳﺴــﻤﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ  ﻣﺮ ﻟﺮﻧﺪ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ 0‬ﺳﻨﺘﻮ«  ﻧﻘﺶ ﺑﻂ ﻧﺰﻳﻚ ﻏﺮ‪ r‬ﺑﺎ ژﻳﻢﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺳﺖﻧﺸــﺎﻧﺪ‪ p‬ﭘﻬﻠﻮ‪  0‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ‬
‫ﻫﺪ‪ o‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ 0‬ﺳﻼ‪7e‬ﺑﺎ  ﻧﺸﺎ ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﺳﻼ‪7e‬ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﻟﻰ ﺗــﺎ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷــﺪ ﻳﻦ »ﺧﻂ ﺗﺮﻳﺴــﻢ«‪،‬‬
‫ﻳﻨﻚ ﭘﺎ‪  0‬ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ   ﺻﺤﻨﺔ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋ‪0‬‬
‫ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﻴﻢ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷﺪ‪p‬‬
‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ 0‬ﻣﺔ ﺷــﺮﻳﻂ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻜﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﺳــﺎ‪J‬ﻫﺎ‬
‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ .‬ﻳﻜﻰ  ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ »ﺷــﻦ‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ »ﻛﺸــﻮ« ﺣﻖ ﻣﻮﺟﻮﻳﺖ ﻋﻄــﺎ ﻛﺮ ﺑﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ‬
‫ﺷــﺪ‪ «p‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﺷﻮ ﭘﺎﻛﺴﺘﺎ‬
‫ﻣﻜﺎﻧﭙﺬﻳــﺮ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎ ﺳــﻌﻮ‪  0‬ﺷــﺮﻳﻂ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ‬
‫ﻋﻨﻮ ﻳﻚ ﻛﺸــﻮ‪  ،‬ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮ ﻳــﻚ ﭘﺎﻳﮕﺎ ﺟﻨﺒﻰ‬
‫ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴــﺖ  ﻳﻦ ‬
‫ﻓﻠﺴﻔﺔ ﺟﻮ‪ 0‬ﺧﻮ   ﺳﺖ ‪ .‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻳﺪ ﺟﻬﺖ‬
‫ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻛﻪ  ﻓﺮ‪ 0‬ﺟﻨــﮓ ‪ e‬ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ  ‬
‫ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮ‪  0‬ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ  ﻛﻞ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻗﺪﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻫﻨﺪ‬
‫ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪ r‬ﻧﻴﺎﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻏﺮ‪ r‬ﺷﻜﻞ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ ﺳــﻴﻪ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻗــﺎ ﺧﻮﻫﻨﺪ ﺑﻮ  ﻓــﺮ‪ 0‬ﺧﺮ>‬
‫ﺳــﺮﻋﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻘﻄﻪ‪ 0‬ﻣﻰﺳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ  ‪7‬‬
‫‪7‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ  ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎ‪ ،‬ﻛﺸﻮ ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ  ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎ ﺳﺮ‬
‫ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮ »ﻧﻘﻄﺔ ﭘﺎﻳﺎ« ﻳﺎ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ‬
‫ﭘﺎ ﻧﮕﺎ ﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﭘﺎﻛﺴﺘﺎ  ﻣﻮ ﺑﺮﺳﻰ ﻗﺮ ﻣﻰﻫﻴﻢ‪.‬‬
‫ﻟــﻰ  ﻳﻦ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ ﭼﻴﻦ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺣﺮﻓــﻰ ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﮔﻔﺘﻦ ‪.‬‬
‫ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ  ﺑﺪﻧﺔ ﺷﺒﻪ ﻗﺎ‪p‬‬
‫ﻧﻴــﺎ‪ 0‬ﺑﻪ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻟﻰ ﻣﺎﺋﻮﺋﻴﺴــﺖﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﭘﻜﻦ ‬
‫ﻫﻨــﺪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻓﺮﻫــﻢ ‪ 7‬ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﺧﺎﻟﺖﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﻳﺮﺑﺎ  ﭘﺮژ‪ p‬ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬ‪ 0‬ﻛﻼ‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻴﺮ ﻛﺸﻴﺪ ﺷﺪ‪  ،‬ﺗﺤﺖ‬
‫ﻛــﺮ ﺑﻮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  ﺗﺤﻮﻻ »ﺳــﻼ‪e‬ﮔﺮﻳﺎﻧﻪ« ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﻋﻨﻮ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  ﺷﻜﻞﮔﻴﺮ‪ 0‬ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ »ﻟﺖ‬
‫ﻃــﻰ  ﺑﻮﺗﻮﻫﺎ ـ ﭘﺪ  ﺧﺘﺮ ـ  ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ ‪7‬ﻏﺎ‬
‫ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺗﺎﻳﺦ ﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮ«‪ ،‬ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ‬
‫ﺷــﺪ  ﺷــﺪ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﭘﻴﻮﺳــﺘﻪ ﻣﻮ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﭼﻴﻦ ﻗﺮ‬
‫‪7‬ﺳﻴﺎ‪ 0‬ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ  ﻣﺮﻛﺰ‪ 0‬ﺟﺰ ‪7‬ﺷﻮ‪  r‬ﮔﻴﺮ‪0‬‬
‫ﺷــﺖ‪ .‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺻﻞ  ﻧﻴﺰ ﻓﺮﻣــﻮ‪ w‬ﻧﻜﻨﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ‬
‫ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ  ﺛﻤﺮ‪ 0‬ﻧﻪ ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﭘﺎﻛﺴﺘﺎﻧﻰﻫﺎ  ﻧﻪ ﺑﺮ‪0‬‬
‫ﻗﻔﺎ‪» 0‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ« ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ 0‬ﭼﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ‬
‫ﻫﻤﺴﺎﻳﮕﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮ ﻧﻴﺎ‪  .‬ﺷﺮﻳﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﻣﺪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺷــﺖ! ﻟﻰ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﭼﻴﻦ  ﭘﺎﻛﺴﺘﺎ ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﺪ ﻋﻤــ ً‬
‫ﻼ ﮔﺎ‪ e‬ﺑﻪ ﮔﺎ‪ e‬ﺗﺒﺪﻳــﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻗﺪ‬
‫ﺣﻠﺔ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ  ﺳﺘﻘﻼ‪ J‬ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸــﻮ ‪7‬ﻏﺎ ﺷﺪ  ﺻﺮﻓﺎً‬
‫ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ  ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ‪ ،‬ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ‬
‫ﺟﻬــﺖ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺎﻟﺶ ﻛﺸــﺎﻧﺪ ﻗﺪ ﻫﻤﺴــﺎﻳﻪ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﻫﻨﺪ‬
‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎ  ﺣﺪ ﻳﻚ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻧﻔﻮ{ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﺻﻮ ﻣﻰﭘﺬﻳﺮﻓــﺖ‪ ،‬ﻣﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪﻳﺞ ﺑﻌﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ 0‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺧﺎﺟﻰ ﺟــﺎ ﻣﻰﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﻘﺶ ﻣﺨﺮﺑﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ‬
‫ﺧﻮ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪  .‬ﻃﻰ ﺳــﺎ‪J‬ﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ‪ 0‬ﻧﺎﻟﺪ‬
‫»ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ‪7‬ﺷــﻮ‪7  «r‬ﺳــﻴﺎ ﻳﻔــﺎ ﻛﺮ ‬
‫ﻳــﮕﺎ  ﺟﻨﮓ ﻳﺮ  ﻋﺮ‪ ،m‬ﭼﻴﻦ ﺳــﺖ  ﺳــﺖ‬
‫ﺑﺤﺮ ﻃﺎﻟﺒﺎﻧﻴﺴــﻢ ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎ‪ ،‬ﮔﻴﺮ‪0‬ﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ  »ﻫﻨﮓﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻋﺮ‪ r‬ﺳﻌﻮ‪  «0‬ﻋﻤﻞ‬
‫ﻛﺸــﻤﻴﺮ‪ ،‬ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﻣﻠــﺖ ﻳﺮ ‬
‫ﻟﻰ  ﺗﺸﺮﻳﺢ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻳﻦ ﻗﻌﻴﺖ ‬
‫ﻧﻴﺰ  ﻧﻈﺮ ‪7‬ﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻓﻌﺎ‪J‬ﻣﺎﻳﺸــﺎﺋﻰ ﭼﻴﻦ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﺪ‬
‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺻﻮﻻً ﻣﻜﺎﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪.‬‬
‫ﻳﻦ ﻣﻄﻠﺒﻰ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞﮔﺮ ﺻﺪ‪ 0‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﻠﻰ‬
‫ ‪ 7‬ﭼﺸﻢﭘﻮﺷــﻰ ﻛــﺮ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻــﺔ ﻛﻼ‪ ،e‬ﮔﺮ ﺑﺨﻮﻫﻴﻢ‬
‫ ﭼﺎﭼﻮﺑﻰ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰﺗﺮ ﺳــﺨﻦ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴــﻢ‪ ،‬ﭼﻴﻦ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ‬
‫ﻫﻤﺰﻣــﺎ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ     ﻳﻦ‬
‫ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪  ،‬ﻫﻢ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ‪  0‬ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ‪7‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‬
‫  ﻗﻔﻘﺎ  ﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ‪ 0‬ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺎﻟﺶ‬
‫ﺑﻄﻠﺒــﺪ! ‪7‬ﻧﭽــﻪ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞﮔﺮ ﺻﺪ‪ 0‬ﺳــﻴﻪ ﻓﺮﻣﻮ‪ w‬ﻛﺮ‬
‫ﻳﻦ ﺻﻞ ﻛﻠﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻫﺎ  ﻫﻤﻴــﻦ ﺑﻼگﻫﺎ ﺗﻜﺮ‬
‫ﻛﺮﻳــﻢ‪ :‬ﻫﻴﺌــﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺔ ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺷــﺎﺧﻪ‬
‫ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ ﺷﺪ  ﻫﺮ ﺷﺎﺧﻪ ﺳﻌﻰ  ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺧﻮ  ﻣﺴﺘﻘ ً‬
‫ﻼ‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ »ﭼﻨﺪﺷــﺎﺧﮕﻰ«‬
‫ﺗﻌﻤــﺪ‪  0‬ﻫﻴﺌﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺔ ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﭼﻪ ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺠﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ‪  7‬ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ‬
‫ﻳﻦ ﺷــﺮﻳﻂ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ ﺑﺎ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﺗﺎﻳﺦ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ‪ .‬ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ‪ 0‬ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ‪» 7‬ﻧﺴــﺠﺎ‪  «e‬ﻗﻠﺐ ﻳﻚ‬
‫ﻗــﺪ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﺣﺪﻗــﻞ  ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ﻣﺮ ﺑــﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺻﻮ ‬
‫ﻣﻴﺎ ﻓﺘﻪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻧﻴﺎ‪ 0‬ﺑﻪ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻛﻪ »ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪0‬ﻫــﺎ‪ 0‬ﻧﺰﻳﻚ« ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ‪7‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺎ ﻧﺪ ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺧﻄﺮﻧﺎ‪A‬‬
‫ﺧﻮﻫــﺪ ﺑــﻮ ﻛــﻪ ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﭼﻴــﻦ! ﺑﻪ ﻃــﻮ ﻣﺜﺎ‪ ،J‬ﻳﺸــﺔ‬
‫ﻧﻔﺠﺎﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻣﺮ  ﻣﺘﺮ‪ 0‬ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ  ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺘﻨﺒﺎ‪ z‬ﻣﺎ ‬
‫ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎ »ﻳﮋ‪ «p‬ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻳــﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ  ﻫﺔ‬
‫ﺧﻴﺮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺟﺴــﺘﺠﻮ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺳﺖ »ﺧﻄﺮ‪«0‬‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﺎﻧﻰ ﺣﺘﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﭘﺎﻛﺴﺘﺎ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﭼﻴﻦ   ﻗﺎ‪p‬‬
‫‪7‬ﺳــﻴﺎ ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻋﻜﺲﻟﻌﻤــﻞ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬
‫ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﺳــﻴﻪ  ﭼﻴﻦ  ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ »ﭘﺪﻳﺪ«‬
‫ﻣﺘﻔﺎ ﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ ﻫﺮ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻌﻰ  ﻛﻪ ‪7‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ‬
‫ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ  »ﮔﺎ« ﺧﻮ ﻗﺮ ﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺘﻨﺒﺎ‪ z‬ﻣﺎ ﻳﻦ‬
‫ﻳﻚ ﺷﺘﺒﺎ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻫﺰﻳﻨﺔ ﺳﻨﮕﻴﻨﻰ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺮ‪0‬‬
‫ﻣﺴﻜﻮ  ﻫﻢ ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﭘﻜﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺒﺎ‪ J‬ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ‪.7‬‬
‫ﻟــﻰ ﺧﺒﺮﻫﺎ‪» 0‬ﺑــﺪ« ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﭼﻴــﻦ ﻓﻌ ً‬
‫ﻼ  ﺷــﺒﻪ ﺟﺰﻳﺮ‪p‬‬
‫ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘﺎ ﻣﺘﻤﺮﻛﺰ ﺷﺪ! ﻣﺤﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪0‬ﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻧﺰﻳﻚ‬
‫ﺟﺒﻬــﺔ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ  ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﻳــﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺗﻀﻌﻴﻒ‬
‫ﻣﻰﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻧﻴﺎ ﻣﺴــﺘﻤﺮ ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑــﻪ ﻧﻘﺶ‪7‬ﻓﺮﻳﻨﻰﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﭼﻴــﻦ  ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮ ﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ  ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  ﺳــﻼ‪e‬ﮔﺮﻳﺎ‬
‫ ﻳﺮ‪ ،‬ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ  ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎ ﻛﺎ  ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺑﺠﺎﺋﻰ‬
‫ﻛﺸــﺎﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺗﺒﺪﻳــﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻻ‪ J‬ﺻﻠﻰ ﻳــﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ‬
‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺷــﺪ‪  .‬ﻋﻤﻞ ﺷﺪ ﭼﺸــﻢﮔﻴﺮ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ‪ 0‬ﭼﻴﻦ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ ﺑﻄﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺎﻫﺎ‪7 0‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‪ 0‬ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ  ﺑﻌﺪﻫﺎ ﭘﺎ‪ 0‬ﻏﺮﺑﻰ‬
‫ﺑﻪ > ﻣﻰﺳــﺪ ﻧﺒﺎﻟﻪ‪ 0‬ﺳــﺖ »ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ« ﺑﺮ ﻳﻦ ﻧﻴﺎﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ‪.‬‬
‫ﺣــﺎ‪ J‬ﮔﺮ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻀﻌﻴــﻒ ﺑﻴﺶ  ﭘﻴﺶ ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ‪ ،‬ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎ‬
‫ژﺋﻮﭘﻮﻟﻴﺘﻴــﻚ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﻠﻰ  ﻫﻢ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﺪ ﺗﻜﻠﻴﻒ‬
‫ﭼﻴﻦ ﭼﻪ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ؟ ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺌﻮﻟﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰ‪0‬‬
‫ﻧﻮﺳــﺘﻰ  ﻣﻄﻠﺒﻰ  »‪7‬ﻧﺪ ﺳﻴﺮﻧﻜﻮ«‪ ،‬ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞﮔﺮ ﺻﺪ‪0‬‬
‫ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ‪ 7‬ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﻣﻰﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺳﻴﺮﻧﻜﻮ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪:‬‬
‫»]‪ [...‬ﺑﺮﻫﺔ ﻳﮕﺮ‪  0‬ﺑﻂ ] ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪ [0‬ﺳــﻴﻪ  ‪7‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‬
‫‪7‬ﻏﺎ ﺷــﺪ ]ﻟﻰ[ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ ﺗﻮﺳــﻌﻪ ﻃﻠﺒﻰ ﭼﻴــﻦ  ﻓﻀﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﺷﻮ‪ 0‬ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ﻣﻄﺮ‚ ﺳﺖ ]ﻳﻨﻚ[  ﻓﻀﺎ‪ 0‬ﺷﻮ‪ 0‬ﺳﺎﺑﻖ‪،‬‬
‫ﻗﻴﺐ ﺳــﺨﺘﮕﻴﺮ  ﺷــﺪﻳﺪ ً ﻓﻌﺎ‪ J‬ﺟﺪﻳﺪ‪] 0‬ﺑﺠﺎ‪ 0‬ﺳﻴﻪ ‬
‫ﺑﺮﺑﺮ ‪7‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ[«‬
‫ﻣﻨﺒﻊ‪ :‬ﻧﻮﺳﺘﻰ ‪ 9‬ﻓﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺎ ‪1389‬‬
‫ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞﮔﺮ »ﺻﺪ‪ 0‬ﺳﻴﻪ«  ﻣﻪ  ﻓﻀﺎ‪ 0‬ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ‪7‬ﻧﭽﻪ‬
‫ﻣﺤﺪ‪ p‬ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ‪ 0‬ﺳــﺎﺑﻖ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﻨــﺪ ﭘﺎ‪ 0‬ﻓﺮﺗﺮ‬
‫ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻴﻤﺎً ﻛﺸﻮ ﻳﺮ  ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﺪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻗﺮ ﻣﻰﻫﺪ‪.‬‬
‫  ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪0‬ﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ p‬ﭼﻴﻦ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ »ﭘﺮ«‬
‫ﺑﺮ ﻣﻰ‪ .‬ﻧﻮﻳﺴﻨﺪ ﻣﺪﻋﻰ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻂ ﺗﻬﺮ ﺧﻴﺮ ً ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺴﻜﻮ  ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮ‪ 0‬ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻜﻰ  ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰ‪0‬ﻫﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﻟﺘﻰ ﺳــﻴﻪ  ﺗﻬﺮ ﺗﻌﻄﻴﻞ ﺷﺪ  ﻧﺘﻘﺎ  ﺳﻴﻪ‬
‫ ﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫــﺎ‪ 0‬ﻟﺘﻰ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﺎﻻ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ! ‪0‬‬
‫ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮ ﻛﻪ‪:‬‬
‫»ﻣﺴﻠﻢ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻧﺸــﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻟﻴﺔ ﺳﺮ‪ 0‬ﺑﻂ‬
‫ﺳﻴﻪ  ﻳﺮ ﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻣﺎ ‪7‬ﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪«.‬‬
‫ﻫﻤﺎ ﻣﻨﺒﻊ!‬
‫ﻫﻤــﻜﺎ‪ 0‬ﻣﻰﻛﻨــﺪ  ﻫﻢ ﻗﻴﺐ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ ﺳــﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻳﻌﻨﻰ‬
‫ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘﺎ  ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺳﺖ  ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪0‬‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ  ﺧﻄﺮ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﻣﻰﻫﺎﻧﺪ! ﻳﻦ ﺻﻮﺗﺒﻨﺪ‪0‬‬
‫ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴﻢ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﭘﻴﭽﻴﺪ ﺷﺪ‪   ،‬ﻧﺪ‬
‫ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪  w‬ﺗﺤﻮ‪  7 J‬ﻫﺮ ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ ﻣﻜﺎ ﺳﺖﻳﺎﺑﻰ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺠﻰ ﻧﻔﺠﺎ‪ 0‬ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋ‪ 0‬ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‬
‫ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ »ﻳﺮﻛﺎﻧﻪ« ﻣﻰ‪7‬ﻳﺪ ‬
‫ﻗﻊ ﻳﻚ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋ‪ 0‬ﻧﻔﺠﺎ‪ 0‬ﺳﺖ  ﻫﻤﭽﻮ ﮔﻤﺎﺷﺘﻦ‬
‫ﻳﻚ ﻧﮕﻴﻦ ﭘﻮﺳــﺖ  ﻣﻘﺎ‪ e‬ﻳﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ‪ ،0‬ﻓﻘﻂ‬
‫ﺟﻬــﺖ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮ‪  0‬ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ  ﺧﻞ ﻣﺮﻫﺎ ﺗﺨﺎ{‬
‫ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﮔﺮ ﻗﺎﻳﻖ ﻳﻦ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋ‪ 0‬ﻣﻮ ﻋﻨﺎﻳﺖ  ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬
‫ﻗــﺮ ﻧﮕﻴﺮ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣــﺖ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ  ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻤﺪ ﻳﮕﺮ‬
‫ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ  ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺎ ﺧﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻃﺔ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻜﺸﺎﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺳﻴﻪ  ﺟﻨﺎ‚ »ﺳــﻮﻓﻴﻞ« ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ‬
‫ﻣﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻮ ﻓﺘﻦ ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﭼﻴﻨﻰ ﻟﻘﺎﻋﺪ  ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‬
‫ﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻨﻰ ‪ 7‬ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎ‬
‫ﺟﻬــﺖ ﺣﻤﺎﻳــﺖ  ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺷــﺮﻛﺖﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﻧﻔﺘﻰ‬
‫ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ  ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘﺎ ﺻﻮ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻟﻰ‬
‫ﺳﻴﻪ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً  ﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎ  ﻣﻘﺎ‪ e‬ﻗﻴﺐ‬
‫ﺑﺎﻫﺎ‪ 0‬ﺻﺎﺗﻰ ﻧﻔﺖ  ﮔﺎ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ  ﻧﺎ‬
‫ ﻧﻌﻤﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺮ ﺑﺮ ‪7‬ﻧﻘﺪﻫﺎ ‪J‬ﺧﻮﺷﻰ ﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻳﻨﺠﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻟﻴﻞ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺷــﺎﺧﻪ‬
‫ﺷــﺪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ‪7‬ﺷﻜﺎ ﻣﻰﺷﻮ‪.‬‬
‫ﺷــﺎﺧﻪ‪  0‬ﻫﻴﺌــﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺔ ﻳــﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪ 0‬ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺷﺎﺧﻪ‪ 0‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﺳﺖ‬
‫ ﺳﺖ ﭘﻜﻦ ‪...  ،‬‬

‫ ﺻﻮﺗــﻰ ﻛﻪ ﮔــﺮ ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺘﻰ‬

‫»ﻣﺘﻤﺮﻛــﺰ« ﺗﺨﺎ{ ﻣﻰﻛﺮ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻃــﻮ ﻣﺜﺎ‪ J‬‬
‫ﻳﻨﻤﻮ ﺑﺨﺼﻮ† ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴــﺖ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ‪ 0‬ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﭼﻴﻦ  ﻗﻴﻤﺖﺳــﺎ‪ 0‬ﺑﺮ‪ 0‬ﻧﻔﺖ ﺧــﺎ‪ e‬ﻳﻜﻰ ‬
‫ﻧﺘﺨﺎ‪ r‬ﻛﻨﺪ؛ ﻣﺮ  ﻋﻤﻞ ﻫﺮ   ﻧﺘﺨﺎ‪r‬‬
‫ﻛــﺮ‪ .‬ﻫﻢ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔــﺖ ﻣﺼﺮﻓﻰ ﭼﻴﻦ  ﺑﺎﻻ‬
‫ﻧﮕﺎ ﺷﺘﻪ‪  ،‬ﭘﻜﻦ  ﻣﻰﺷﺪ؛ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻴﻪ‬