did not lose jobs year-over-year in the current downturn until December 2008 and employmentlosses remained below the national rate through the recession, with non-farm employment down3.4% in 2009 versus 4.3% nationwide. Job growth has resumed at a modest rate, up .3% in May2010 while the U.S. continues to show some losses at .4%. Although unemployment levels haveincreased significantly, the unemployment rate remains well below the national average at 6.4% inMay 2010 versus 9.7% for the U.S. Per capita personal income is 108% of the nation's, rankingNew Hampshire ninth among the states.New Hampshire's tax structure, specifically its lack of a personal income or general sales tax,differentiates it from all other states except Alaska and is a key influence on its economy andfinancial operations. The state relies on business, real estate, and excise taxes, as well as a statewideproperty tax dedicated solely to education. This unique tax structure is volatile, especially the taxeson business profits, which are vulnerable to swings in the business cycle, and on real estatetransfers, which are sensitive to housing market conditions.The enacted budget for the fiscal 2010-2011 biennium assumed minimal growth in base revenues,and used a combination of revenue enhancements, expenditure reductions, reserves and one-shots toachieve balance. Expense reductions included lay-offs, health benefit restructuring, and the closingof state facilities, including a prison and courts. The budget increased education spending by $120million to address State Supreme Court decisions regarding primary and secondary educationfunding. In 1997 the court placed the responsibility for adequate education on the state. The stateresponded with the statewide property tax, increases in various taxes, including cigarette and realestate, and a new car rental tax, among other revenue enhancements.Revenue enhancements in the fiscal 2010-2011 enacted plan included a 45 cent increase in thetobacco tax, a 1% increase in the meals and room tax and its expansion to campsites (an expansionsince repealed), a 10% tax on gambling winnings, and the expansion of the interest and dividendstax (an expansion also since repealed). Revenue sharing with local governments was reduced,saving the state $25 million per year. The budget assumed $22.5 million transfer in each year fromthe surplus in the medical malpractice fund, which will not take place due to a successful legalchallenge. The operating expenses of the liquor commission were moved from the general fund to aseparate enterprise fund and some assets of the liquor commission are to be sold.Despite all of these adjustments, a $295 million budget gap has been identified in the fiscal2010-2011 biennial budget and some uncertainty remains on both the spending and revenue side of the budget. The shortfall is due largely to revenues falling short of expectations, but also reflects the$45 million that cannot be transferred from the medical malpractice fund, as well as increasedcaseloads associated with the economic downturn. Revenues, which had begun to show signs of stabilizing at the end of the first half of the fiscal year in December, performed under expectationfor fiscal 2010 as a whole and are projected to fall $164 million short for the biennium. Estimatedrevenues for fiscal 2010 were essentially flat to fiscal 2009, but down an estimated $84.8 million, or3.8%, below plan. Business taxes are down 4.3% year-over-year and are 6.1% below plan. Mealsand rooms tax revenue is up 9.2% year-over-year, reflecting the increase in the rate, but is 8.5%below plan. Tobacco taxes, which also were increased in the budget, are up 24% and are 10.4%above plan.In response, the legislature enacted a deficit reduction plan that includes $82 million in spendingreductions, additional lapses and fund transfers, debt restructuring, a $25 payment from theuniversity system and other smaller revenue and spending items. The university system will alsoreceive $25 million in additional bonding capacity. Some uncertainty remains in the budget as thegap closing measures also include an assumption that the enhanced federal match for Medicaid(FMAP) will be extended as well as $60 million in as yet unidentified asset sales.Applicable criteria available on Fitch's website at www.fitchratings.com:--'Tax-Supported Rating Criteria', dated Dec. 21, 2009;--'U.S. State Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria', dated Dec. 28, 2009.Contact: Karen Krop +1-212-908-0661 or Laura Porter +1-212-908-0575, New York.
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