Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Investor Presentation
June 2011
INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACT: Steve Tschiegg, Director - Capital Markets & Investor Relations PH: (330) 471-7446 E-mail: steve.tschiegg@timken.com
Safe Harbor
Certain statements in this presentation (including statements regarding the company's forecasts, beliefs, estimates and expectations) that are not historical in nature are "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In particular, the statements related to Timkens plans, outlook, future financial performance and liquidity, including the information under the headings Outlook and Target are forwardlooking. The company cautions that actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in forward-looking statements due to a variety of important factors, including: the companys ability to respond to the changes in its end markets that could affect demand for the companys products; unanticipated changes in business relationships with customers or their purchases from the company; changes in the financial health of the companys customers, which may have an impact on the companys revenues, earnings and impairment charges; fluctuations in raw-material and energy costs and their impact on the operation of the companys surcharge mechanisms; the impact of the companys last-in, first-out accounting; weakness in global economic conditions and financial markets; changes in the expected costs associated with product warranty claims; the impact on operations of general economic conditions, higher or lower raw-material and energy costs, fluctuations in customer demand, and the companys ability to achieve the benefits of its ongoing programs and initiatives. These and additional factors are described in greater detail in the company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010, page 44. The company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement.
Note: Segment sales are based on 2010 actual. Process Industries and Steel Group sales exclude inter-segment sales of $3 million and $103 million respectively.
Portfolio Diversification
Industrial Machinery
China and India home markets Expanding in ASEAN Indonesia Growing brand reputation Broader product range Significant industrial bearing manufacturing capacity & supply chain Strong local organizations
Enhance existing products and services Leverage technology to create value Capture lifetime of opportunity
Strategic Accomplishments
Improved leverage
Reduced asset intensity SAP investment Working capital improvement Reduced structural S&A costs
Increased productivity
Lean performance: sustaining flexible force Improved manufacturing throughput Streamlined supply chain logistics Leverage greater returns on higher volume
High-margin Aerospace & Defense and Process Industries businesses moving into the up cycle
Strategic Accomplishments
Record New Products
Attractive Markets
Expanding in diverse industries, channels, services, distribution Aerospace engines Wood, pulp, paper Food processing Wind energy & services Aerospace aftermarket
Focused Acquisitions
Focus on Power Transmission Adjacent Products High aftermarket, services, distribution components Challenging, highly engineered, critical end-user applications Target market segments that value Timkens brand promise
Enclosed Gearing
Replacement Parts
End-Markets Served
Power Generation (Coal Fired) Oil & Gas Mining Municipal, Water Treatment Cement, Pulp & Paper, Sugar Military Marine
Mobile Industries
Segment Overview
Bearings, power transmission components and related products and services Serves diverse market sectors Light Vehicle Auto Aftermarket Off Highway Heavy Truck Rail Customers: OEMs and aftermarket distributors
Sector Profile
2010 Sales: $1.6 billion
Off Highway 21%
Light Truck 29%
2010 Achievements
Completed portfolio re-pricing Effectively managed OE attrition Penetration in strategic markets Strong operational performance
2011 Outlook
Revenues expected to be up modestly Growth in off-highway, rail, heavy truck auto/heavy truck aftermarkets Continuing automotive OE attrition Sustained margins
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Process Industries
Segment Overview
Bearings and power transmission products and related services for broad industrial markets
Sector Profile
2010 Sales: $903 million
Service 4%
Energy 22%
2010 Achievements
Accelerated growth in new products:
2011 Outlook
Key markets will continue to rebound and grow Strong leverage from manufacturing investments Expand Asia growth initiatives Penetrate global wind energy market Expand new products and services Growth launch in Latin America & ASEAN regions
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Sector Profile
2010 Sales: $338 million
Health & Position'g Control 18% Commercial Aero. 24%
2010 Achievements
Implemented business systems infrastructure Rationalized footprint Qualified over 150 new parts
2011 Outlook
Strengthening commercial aerospace Continued weakness in general aviation Defense spending uncertain Improving positioning control markets globally Margin improvement Strong cash flow
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Steel Group
Segment Overview
Market leadership position in high quality air-melted alloy steel bars, tubes, precision components and value-added services
Bars: 1 to 16 Tubes: 2 to 13
Sector Profile
2010 Sales: $1.4 billion
Aero. & Defense 5%
Rail 3%
Off-Highway 12%
2010 Achievements
Pricing
2011 Outlook
Sustained market recovery for light vehicle market Initial stage recovery for heavy & mediumduty truck market
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Financial Review
2010 Results
Sales of $4.1 billion, up 29% from prior year
Note: EBIT and EPS reflect continuing operations and include the impact of special items: impairment and restructuring, manufacturing rationalization/ integration/reorganization and special charges and credits. Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities (includes pension contributions) minus capital expenditures and dividends. See Appendix for GAAP Reconciliations on these items.
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17
Sales
Net Sales ($ in Millions)
2013 Target* 10-15% CAGR
$7,000 $6,000 including organic & inorganic growth 6
CAGR 2002-2009: 4%
$5,000
4
$4,000
CAGR 1991-2001: 4%
$3,000
2 $2,000 $1,000 1
$0
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Note: 2003 includes Torrington acquisition as acquired February 2003. Historical results exclude the discontinued operations of Latrobe Steel (2006 divestment) and the Needle Roller Bearings (NRB) business (2009 divestment). NRB discontinued operations for 2003 and 2004 are based on internal estimates.
Note: Earnings are reported on a GAAP basis and include the impact of special items, such as restructuring and reorganization expenses, CDO payments and goodwill amortization. EPS assumes dilution. 2003 includes Torrington acquisition as acquired February 2003. Historical results exclude the discontinued operations of Latrobe Steel (2006 divestment) and the Needle Roller Bearings (NRB) business (2009 divestment). NRB discontinued operations for 2003 and 2004 are based on internal estimates.
$400
$300
$200
$0
-$100 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Note: Free cash flow defined as net cash provided by operating activities (includes pension contributions) minus capital expenditures and dividends. A reconciliation to GAAP and description of this measure can be found in the Appendix. Results include discontinued operations until divested.
Net Debt
Net Debt ($ in Millions) Net Debt /Capital
$1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 -$200 -$400 -$600 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
50% 40%
Note: 2003 includes Torrington acquisition as acquired February 2003. Net Debt / Capital (leverage) defined as Net Debt / (Net Debt + Equity). A reconciliation to GAAP and description of this measure can be found in the Appendix. Results include discontinued operations until divested.
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16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Cost of Capital ~ 9% 9101 Avg. : 6.2% 0209 Avg. : 7.8%
2011
2013
Note: The company uses NOPAT/Average Invested Capital as a type of ratio that indicates return on capital (ROIC). A reconciliation to GAAP and description of this measure can be found in the Appendix. Results include discontinued operations until divested.
Capital Allocation
Organic growth and performance improvement initiatives
Targeted in industrial market sectors; wind, aerospace, heavy industries, oil & gas Asia Growth
Acquisitions
Industrial and aftermarket focus Market-leading position Strong management team International focus Accretive to earnings / cash in year one Earn cost of capital within three years
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Incentive Compensation
Short-Term
(Cash) Program Annual Performance Award Plan (APA) Short-term operational business priorities
Intermediate
(Cash) Intermediate Incentive Plan (IIP) Mid-term strategic business priorities
Long-Term
(Equity) Restricted Shares Non Qualified Stock Options
Objective
Long-term shareholder value creation 400 Senior Managers and above coupled with certain ownership requirements 4 Years 10 Years
5,700 Associates globally 1 Year 40% 30% Corporate EBIT/BIC Business Unit EBIT/BIC BU working capital % sales Customer service or New business sales ratio
Metrics
15% 15%
Share price
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Enhance existing products and services Leverage technology to create value Capture lifetime of opportunity
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June 2011
Appendix
Rest of World 6%
Europe 12%
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Sales up 25% to $1.6 billion Growth drivers: Market recoveries in light vehicles, off highway, heavy truck and automotive aftermarket Leveraged the economic recovery / manufacturing costs
Completed portfolio re-pricing Effectively managed OE attrition Penetration in strategic markets Strong operational performance
Margins
20%
15% Adjusted Revised
$1,500
$200 $100
10% 5% 0%
$1,000
$0
-5% -10%
2008 2009 2010
-$100
2008
2009
2010
Note: Adjusted EBIT excludes the impact of special items. Revised EBIT is inclusive of special items. See appendix for reconciliation.
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Inventory destocking
Earned 6% adjusted margin for the full year
Rationalized footprint
Qualified over 150 new parts
Revenue - $Mils.
$500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0
2008 2009 2010
$0
Margins
20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
Adjusted Revised
2008
2009
2010
2008
2009
2010
Note: Adjusted EBIT excludes the impact of special items. Revised EBIT is inclusive of special items. See appendix for reconciliation.
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Key Accomplishments
Accelerated growth in new products: spherical,
Revenue - $Mils.
$1,200 $1,000
$150 $250 $200
Margins
20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
Adjusted Revised
$800
$100 $50
$0
$600 $400
2008
2009
2010
2008
2009
2010
2008
2009
2010
Note: Adjusted EBIT excludes the impact of special items. Revised EBIT is inclusive of special items. See appendix for reconciliation.
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Accelerated ramp up
Daido steel source Working Capital control Capital Investment
Revenue - $Mils.
$2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
$200 $100 $0 -$100 $300
Margins
20%
15%
Adjusted
Revised
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-15%
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AS REPORTED Full Year Full Year 2010 2009 3,141.6 $ 4,055.5 $ 2,550.7 3,028.3 5.5 8.2 582.7 1,021.7 469.8 563.0 2.9 0.8 164.1 21.7 (54.1) 436.2 1.9 1.5 (2.0) 2.3 (54.2) 440.0 (40.0) (34.5) (94.2) 405.5 (28.2) 136.0 (66.0) 269.5 (72.6) 7.4 (138.6) 276.9 (4.6) 2.1 (134.0) $ 274.8 $
AS ADJUSTED (1) Full Year Full Year 2009 2010 $ 4,055.5 $ 3,141.6 2,550.7 3,028.3 590.9 1,027.2 469.8 563.0 121.1 464.2 1.9 1.5 123.0 465.7 (40.0) (34.5) 83.0 431.2 30.6 139.8 52.4 291.4 (20.2) 32.2 291.4 1.5 2.5 30.7 $ 288.9 $
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$ $ $
$ $ $
$ $ $
2.98 2.98
$ $ $
(1) "Adjusted" statements exclude the impact of impairment and restructuring, manufacturing rationalization/reorganization and special charges and credits for all periods shown. Management believes that the Adjusted Consolidated Statement of Income may be helpful in understanding the company's performance and therefore useful to investors. (2) EBIT is defined as operating income plus other income (expense). EBIT Margin is EBIT as a percentage of net sales. EBIT and EBIT margin on a segment basis exclude certain special items set forth above. EBIT and EBIT Margin are important financial measures used in the management of the business, including decisions concerning the allocation of resources and assessment of performance. Management believes that reporting EBIT and EBIT Margin best reflect the performance of the company's business segments and EBIT disclosures are responsive to investors. (3) Discontinued Operations relate to the sale of the Needle Roller Bearings (NRB) operations to JTEKT Corporation on December 31, 2009.
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2009
(5)
$ $ 90.3 4.0 86.3 1.4 0.1 12.3 (2.0) (24.3) (0.4) 73.4 $ $ 73.4 86.6 0.3
EPS $ 0.91 0.04 0.87 0.01 0.00 0.12 (0.02) (0.25) (0.00) 0.74 $ $ 0.74 0.88 0.00 0.87
(5)
$ EPS (20.2) $ (0.21) (12.7) (0.13) (7.5) 4.6 1.3 80.0 1.4 (50.3) 0.1 29.6 (0.08) 0.05 0.01 0.83 0.01 (0.52) 0.00 0.31 $ 0.09 0.40 (0.07) 0.00 (0.08) (0.13) 0.22 0.09
$ $ 274.8 7.4 267.4 5.5 0.8 21.7 (2.3) (3.8) (0.4) 288.9 $ 288.9 $ 269.5 2.1 $ $ $ 267.4
EPS 2.81 0.08 2.73 0.06 0.01 0.22 (0.02) (0.04) (0.00) 2.95
$ EPS (5) $ (134.0) $ (1.39) (72.6) (0.75) (61.4) 8.2 2.9 164.1 2.0 (58.8) (6.1) 50.9 $ $ (20.2) 30.7 $ (66.0) $ (4.6) (61.4) $ (72.6) $ 52.4 (20.2) $ (0.64) 0.09 0.03 1.71 0.02 (0.61) (0.06) 0.53 (0.21) 0.32 (0.69) (0.05) (0.64) (0.75) 0.54 (0.21)
$ $
9.4 39.0
$ $
$ $ $
0.04 $ (0.04) $
7.4 $ (7.4) $
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Reconciliation to GAAP
Total Debt (a) Less: Cash Net Debt Equity Total Debt to Capital Net Debt to Capital
1,019 985 685 733 821 922 1,032 1,056 1,046 1,005 21.1% 24.5% 28.7% 27.6% 20.5% 24.7% 25.8% 30.8% 30.1% 33.8% 21.0% 24.1% 28.4% 26.7% 19.9% 24.4% 25.3% 30.8% 29.7% 33.4%
3 months
Total Debt (a) Less: Cash Net Debt Equity Total Debt to Capital Net Debt to Capital
782 609 1,090 1,270 1,497 1,476 1,961 1,663 1,596 1,942 2,066 38.9% 43.1% 40.3% 38.0% 32.5% 28.8% 26.9% 27.3% 24.3% 20.9% 20.2% 37.2% 38.4% 39.3% 36.5% 30.5% 25.2% 26.1% 22.8% -18.0% -23.0% -5.9%
(a) Total Debt is the sum of Commercial Paper, Short-Term Debt, Current Portion of long-term debt and Long-term debt Results include discontinued operations until divested.
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1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 (9) 42 14 132 203 247 280 225 133 106 (8) (2) (6) 2 (5) (5) 7 (16) (10) (7) (17) 41 8 135 198 242 287 209 123 99 (6) 15 3 51 73 93 102 80 45 35 37.6% 37.6% 37.6% 37.6% 36.9% 38.3% 35.7% 38.2% 36.8% 35.0% (10) 25 5 84 125 149 184 129 78 64 273 1,019 1,292 1,317 -0.8% 321 985 1,306 1,299 1.9% 277 685 962 1,134 0.4% 280 733 1,012 987 211 821 1,032 1,022 303 922 1,225 1,129 359 1,032 1,392 1,308 469 1,056 1,526 1,459 8.9% 450 1,046 1,496 1,511 5.2% 514 1,005 1,519 1,507 4.3%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 (18) 79 98 237 327 219 295 462 (54) 436 22 37 10 12 68 80 5 16 (0) 4 4 115 108 249 395 299 300 478 (54) 440 2 46 43 80 129 91 61 171 (16) 148 39.8% 39.8% 40.0% 32.1% 32.6% 30.6% 20.4% 35.7% 29.9% 33.5% 3 69 65 169 266 208 239 307 (38) 292 497 782 1,279 1,399 0.2% 461 609 1,070 1,175 5.9% 735 1,090 1,824 1,447 4.5% 779 1,270 2,049 1,937 721 1,497 2,218 2,134 598 1,476 2,074 2,146 723 1,961 2,684 2,379 624 1,623 2,246 2,465 513 1,596 2,108 2,177 514 1,942 2,456 2,282
8.7% 12.5%
-1.7% 12.8%
GAAP Operating Income exclude discontinued operations for Latrobe Steel (divested Dec. 8, 2006) for years 2004 through 2006 and the Needle Roller Bearings business for years 2007 through 2009 (divested Dec. 31, 2009). EBIT is defined as operating income plus other income (expense) - net. NOPAT is defined as EBIT less an estimated provision for income taxes. This tax provision excludes the tax effect of pre-tax special items on the company's effective tax rate, as well as the the impact of discrete tax items recorded during the year. The company uses NOPAT/Average Invested Capital as a type of ratio that indicates return on capital (ROIC). Average Invested Capital is the sum of Total Debt and Shareholders' Equity taken at the beginning and ending of each year and then averaged. Total Debt is the sum of commercial paper, ST-debt, curr. portion of LT-debt & LT-debt.
(2) (3)
(4)
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GAAP Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities GAAP Capital expenditures GAAP Cash dividends paid to shareholders Free Cash Flow (1)
3 months
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities Capital expenditures Cash dividends paid to shareholders Free Cash Flow (1)
(1) Free cash flow defined as net cash provided by operating activities (incld. pension contributions) minus capital expenditures and dividends. Results include discontinued operations until divested.
Management believes that free cash flow is useful to investors because it is a meaningful indicator of cash generated from operating activities that is available for the execution of its business strategy.
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Reconciliation to GAAP
Revised Segment Results
(Dollars in millions) Net sales to external customers: (Dollars in millions) Mobile Industries Process Industries Aerospace and Defense Steel Mobile Process Industries Steel Mobile Industries, as adjusted Impairment and Restructuring Other Special items Mobile Industries, revised Process Industries, as adjusted Impairment and Restructuring Other Special items Process Industries, revised Aerospace and Defense, as adjusted Impairment and Restructuring Other Special items Aerospace and Defense, revised Steel, as adjusted Impairment and Restructuring Other Special items Steel, revised Unallocated corporate expenses, as adjusted Impairment and Restructuring Other Special items Unallocated corporate expenses, revised Total Segment EBIT, revised Segment EBIT, revised Total Interest expense Interest income Intersegment adjustments Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Intersegment sales: $
1st Qtr 2010 367.5 205.9 92.1 248.2 913.7 0.7 22.1 22.8 42.4 (2.6) (0.2) 39.6 26.9 (1.6) (1.2) 24.1 12.8 (0.7) (0.2) 11.9 19.9 19.9 (13.8) (0.6) -
2nd Qtr 2010 $ 400.4 211.0 82.7 317.3 $ 1,011.4 $ 0.6 20.8 21.4 68.5 0.1 $ 68.6 28.9 (0.2) (0.4) $ 28.3 7.2 (1.0) (0.1) $ 6.1 43.0 0.1 (0.1) $ 43.0 (17.8) (17.8) $ 128.2 (10.0) 0.9 1.1 $ 120.2 $ $ $ $ $ $ $
3rd Qtr 2010 404.1 233.7 81.0 340.9 $ 1,059.7 $ 0.8 30.4 31.2 60.6 (2.1) (1.4) 57.1 37.2 (0.1) (0.3) 36.8 3.8 (0.7) (0.6) 2.5 41.3 41.3 (17.6) (17.6) $ 120.1 (9.1) 0.8 (1.0) 110.8 $ $ $ $ $ $ $
4th Qtr 2010 388.3 249.4 82.5 350.5 $ 1,070.7 $ 0.3 1.3 29.3 30.9 52.0 (8.8) (0.9) 42.3 45.2 (1.3) 0.5 44.4 (2.6) (2.2) 1.0 (3.8) $ 42.1 (0.1) 42.0 (17.6) (17.6) $ 107.3 (9.5) 1.4 0.7 99.9 $ $ $ $ $
Year 2010 $ 1,560.3 900.0 338.3 1,256.9 $ 4,055.5 $ 0.3 3.4 102.6 106.3 223.5 (13.4) (2.5) 207.6 138.2 (3.2) (1.4) 133.6 21.2 (4.6) 0.1 16.7 146.3 0.1 (0.2) 146.2 (66.8) (0.6) (67.4) $ 436.7 (38.2) 3.7 3.3 405.5 $ $ $ $ $ $
Year 2009 $ 1,245.0 806.0 417.7 672.9 $ 3,141.6 $ 2.7 42.0 44.7 30.5 (108.4) (7.6) (85.5) $ 118.5 (45.3) (0.6) 72.6 72.5 (5.0) (2.1) 65.4 (57.9) (3.3) (2.2) (63.4) $ (48.7) (2.1) (0.6) (51.4) $ (62.3) $ (41.9) 1.9 8.1 (94.2) $ $ $
Year 2008 $ 1,771.9 1,163.0 411.9 1,694.0 $ 5,040.8 $ 3.1 158.0 161.1 35.8 (27.2) 0.7 9.3 218.7 (3.8) 0.0 214.9 41.5 3.4 44.9 264.0 (1.5) 18.9 281.4 (68.4) (0.3) 0.3 (68.4) 482.1 (44.4) 5.8 (3.9) 439.6
$ Segment EBIT $
$ $
$ $
$ $
$ $
$ $
$ $
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