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FINANCIAL
CRISIS
A seesaw is a long, narrow board suspended in the middle
so that, as one end goes up, the other goes down. The
origins of the word come from the visibility gained and lost
as players take turns giving each other a vantage point.
TIMELINE OF EVENTS………………………………………………………2
2007: SUB-PRIME MARKET COMPLICATIONS ..................................................................... 2
APRIL-AUGUST 2007: SUB-PRIME CONTAGION ................................................................. 2
AUGUST 2007: THE SCOPE OF THE CRISIS EXPANDS ......................................................... 2
SEPTEMBER 2007: A BANK RUN ......................................................................................... 2
OCTOBER 2007: WRITEDOWNS ........................................................................................... 3
OCTOBER-NOVEMBER 2007: MORTGAGE AND DERIVATIVES MARKETS WORSEN .......... 3
DECEMBER 2007: OFFICIAL INTERVENTIONS ..................................................................... 3
DECEMBER 2007: BOND INSURERS FALTER ........................................................................ 3
JANUARY 2008: RUNS ON FUNDS AND MARKETS............................................................ 3
FEBRUARY - MARCH 2008: LARGE INSTITUTIONS FAIL ..................................................... 3
APRIL - JUNE 2008: LOOKING FOR CASH .......................................................................... 4
JULY 2008: MARKET MAKERS FAIL .................................................................................... 4
AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2008: NO MORE INVESTMENT BANKING ...................................... 5
OCTOBER 2008: THE BAILOUTS .......................................................................................... 5
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TIMELINE OF EVENTS1
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7 March: The Fed makes $200bn of funds available to banks and other institutions to try to improve liquidity
in the markets.
11 March: The Dutch government approves break-up plan for ABN Amro, issuing a “declaration of no
objection” to a plan proposed by Royal Bank of Scotland, Santander of Spain and Fortis, the Belgo-Dutch
group.
17 March: Bear Stearns is acquired by JP Morgan Chase for $240m, backed by $30bn of central bank
loans. In the first quarter of 2007, Bear Stearns was valued at $34 bn.
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21 July: Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS) investors do not participate in its £4bn rights issue, forcing the
issue's underwriters to buy unsold shares. In the following days, HBOS announces that profits for the first half
of 2008 fell 72% to £848m. Bad debts rose 36% to £1.31bn as customers failed to repay loans.
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8 October: UK government announces a £50bn banking sector rescue package. The Federal, European
Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England, and the central banks of Canada, Sweden and Switzerland make
emergency interest rate cuts of half a percentage point. The Fed cut its base lending rate to 1.5%, the ECB to
3.75%, and the Bank of England to 4.5%.
10 October: Asian, European and US markets crash.
11 October: The G7 nations issue a five-point plan of "decisive action" to unfreeze credit markets, after a
meeting in Washington.
13 October: Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Lloyds TSB and HBOS will receive £37bn in UK governmental
injections.
14 October: The US will purchase $250bn in stakes in a wide variety of banks. Concerns rise about sovereign
default, particularly with respect to Pakistan, Argentina, Ukraine, Latvia, Kazakhstan, Turkey and Iceland.
15 October: Figures for US retail sales in September show a fall of 1.2%, the biggest monthly decline in more
than three years, as consumer confidence drops.
16 October: Hungary and Ukraine approach the IMF for assistance; to date, the IMF has agreed to support
relief in Hungary. Hungary’s problems stem from foreign currency loans and big budget deficits. Ukraine’s
banks face difficulties repaying foreign credits as its current account widens.
17 October: Eight European banks form a preferred interbank lending consortium, the Unico Banking Group,
comprised of: Credit Agricole, DZ Bank, Iccrea Holding, Pohjola Bank, Rabobank and Raiffeisen Zentralbank,
and Raiffeisen Switzerland.
18 October: Analysts predict Iceland will seek IMF assistance over the weekend, as Russia remains cool to its
requests for emergency lending. With Iceland on the edge of bankruptcy, Iceland adopted banking
legislation which gives the state broad banking operations powers, including state compulsion of mergers and
declaration of bankruptcy by a bank. Other European nations are threatening legal action based on the
terms of its depository guarantees, alleging discrimination against foreign holders. The krona has lost half its
value against other currencies and no longer is being traded. In other restrictions, Icelandic citizens’ use of
credit cards abroad has been limited, corporations may only foreign currency to import fuel, food or
medicine, and individuals may only obtain foreign currency with an international airline ticket. Iceland had
established itself in recent years as an offshore banking haven for continental Europe, and banking services
comprised the largest sector of its economy in 2008.
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2 From http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2008/05/credit-crisis-timeline.html.
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The following table shows the $590.8 billion in asset writedowns and credit losses at more than 100 of the
world's biggest banks and securities firms as well as the $434.2 billion capital raised to cope with them.
3 Note, AR: The author has edited a table originally appearing in Yalman Onaran and Dave Pierson, Banks' Subprime-Related
Losses Surge to $591 Billion: Table, http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aSlW.imTKzY8
(Bloomberg, 29 September 2008), retaining excerpts of the original text. Specifically, I have added the fourth column,
Spread, to indicate which firms have faced rescue or bankruptcy – or are likely do so in the near future.
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of Commerce
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All the charges stem from the collapse of the U.S. subprime-mortgage market and reflect credit losses or
writedowns of mortgage assets that aren't subprime, as well as charges taken on leveraged-loan commitments
since the beginning of 2007. They are net of financial hedges the firms used to mitigate losses and pre-tax
figures unless the bank only provided after-tax numbers. Credit losses include the increase in the provisions for
bad loans, impacted by the rising defaults in mortgage payments.
Capital raised includes common stock, preferred shares, subordinated debt and hybrid securities which count
as Tier 1 or Tier 2 capital as well as equity stakes or subsidiaries sold for capital strengthening. Capital data
begins with funds raised in July 2007.
All numbers are in billions of U.S. dollars, converted at today's exchange rate if reported in another currency.
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Canadian NTR Stock performing well; general trend among Canadian financial institutions
Imperial Bank
of Commerce
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Mizuho NTR
Financial
Group Inc.
E*TRADE NTR
Financial
Corp.
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Bank of NTR
Montreal
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4 http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7644238.stm.
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