could potentially have had a large economic impact on the organization,and required major company-wide changes in behavior, tasks, andprocesses.Two dimensions interested us. First, we gauged the difference betweenthe expected value of a project (essentially calculated in the businesscase for it) and the value the company claimed to have achieved when itwas completed. Second, we rated each company’s strength in 12 widelyrecognized factors for managing change effectively, including the rolesof senior and middle managers in the initiative as well as the company’sproject-management skills, training, and incentives for promoting change(Exhibit 1). These two dimensions made it possible for us to compare pat-terns in change-management strengths and weaknesses with realizedreturns in all 40 initiatives.In all, 58 percent ofthe companies failedto meet their targets;20 percent capturedonly a third or less ofthe value expected. Theremaining 42 percent ofthese companies gainedthe expected returnsor exceeded them—insome instances byas much as 200 to300 percent.Not surprisingly, perhaps,companies with thelowest returns alsohad poor change-management capabili-ties, and companies that gained big returns had strong ones (Exhibit 2).
2
But we also found that strength on any one level of the organization—senior executives, middle managers, or frontline troops—gave companiesa better chance of success. No single level was more critical in thatrespect than any other.
18
THE McKINSEY QUARTERLY
2002 NUMBER 4
EXHIBIT
2
Effective change management pays
P e r c e n t o f v a l u e c a p t u r e d
Level of change-management effectiveness
1
r
2
= 0.70
12345160140120100806040200–20WorstBest
r
2
= the proportion or percentage of variance explained by a regression
1
Company’s average score (on scale from 1 to 5, worst to best) across all 12 change-management factors; n = 37 (does not include 3 outliers at high end of value-capture range).
2
The correlation between a company’s average score (on a scale from 1 to 5, worst to best)across all factors, on the one hand, and the percentage of expected value captured from aninitiative, on the other, was extremely high across all types of initiatives and industry sectors.This convergence clearly suggests that companies with deficient change-managementcapabilities failed to capture the potential impact of the initiatives.
Add a Comment