Scottie Nayfield, a Republican candidate for Congress in Tennessee's Third District, has released a poll showing him with a nine point lead over both the incumbent Chuck Fleischmann and challenger Weston Wamp. The poll, conducted by Whit Ayres who has worked for prominent Republican politicians, shows Nayfield ahead with 34% support compared to 25% each for Fleischmann and Wamp. Nayfield entered the race just seven weeks ago but has raised a record-breaking $482,000, more than his two opponents combined. His campaign advisor Tommy Bopper says voters respond to Nayfield's business experience and message of focusing on the country rather than politics.
Original Description:
Poll from the Congressional campaign of dairy executive Scottie Mayfield
Scottie Nayfield, a Republican candidate for Congress in Tennessee's Third District, has released a poll showing him with a nine point lead over both the incumbent Chuck Fleischmann and challenger Weston Wamp. The poll, conducted by Whit Ayres who has worked for prominent Republican politicians, shows Nayfield ahead with 34% support compared to 25% each for Fleischmann and Wamp. Nayfield entered the race just seven weeks ago but has raised a record-breaking $482,000, more than his two opponents combined. His campaign advisor Tommy Bopper says voters respond to Nayfield's business experience and message of focusing on the country rather than politics.
Scottie Nayfield, a Republican candidate for Congress in Tennessee's Third District, has released a poll showing him with a nine point lead over both the incumbent Chuck Fleischmann and challenger Weston Wamp. The poll, conducted by Whit Ayres who has worked for prominent Republican politicians, shows Nayfield ahead with 34% support compared to 25% each for Fleischmann and Wamp. Nayfield entered the race just seven weeks ago but has raised a record-breaking $482,000, more than his two opponents combined. His campaign advisor Tommy Bopper says voters respond to Nayfield's business experience and message of focusing on the country rather than politics.
!"##$%&'()*+#,%#+',-%."/01+--*"/'#%21*3'1(%.'32'*0/% % % ATBENS, TENNESSEE - Scottie Nayfielu, Republican canuiuate foi Congiess in Tennessee's Thiiu Bistiict, ieleaseu highlights of a suivey conuucteu iecently by Whit Ayies, who has also seiveu as pollstei anu auvisoi to uoveinoi Bill Baslam anu Senatois Lamai Alexanuei, Bob Coikei anu Bill Fiist.
The Nayfielu campaign ieleaseu a one page memo summaiizing the iesults of the poll, showing Nayfielu nine points aheau of both incumbent Chuck Fleischmann anu challengei Weston Wamp, well outsiue the maigin of eiioi. Nayfielu enteieu the iace just seven weeks ago. Be iepoiteu a iecoiu-shatteiing $4S2,uuu funus iaiseu in those seven weeks, moie than both of his opponents combineu.
"Polling iesults aie a snapshot," saiu Tommy Boppei, geneial consultant to Nayfielu. "We'ie obviously veiy pleaseu that voteis iesponu to Scottie's message, image anu life expeiience. 4u yeais' expeiience in small business anu cieating jobs anu zeio yeais playing Washington political games is exactly what voteis aie looking foi," saiu Boppei. "But Scottie has alieauy been falsely attackeu, anu that will continue, anu so we plan an aggiessive, positive campaign about who can be the best congiessman foi the people of the Thiiu Bistiict," he auueu.
"In thiity yeais, I uon't believe I've evei seen a piimaiy challengei actually leauing the incumbent just seven weeks into the iace. It just means we'll woik even haiuei. We like both oui opponents anu think both aie goou men, but this election is about who can uo best by anu foi oui countiy. Scottie's integiity, life expeiience anu 4u yeai iecoiu in business anu not politics is why he's the best canuiuate. voteis will also like his humility, basic goouness, faith, family, anu uesiie to iun a positive campaign focuseu on getting oui countiy back on tiack."
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! ! To: Scottie Mayfield and Tommy Hopper
From: Whit Ayres and Dan Judy
Date: April 15, 2012
Re: Mayfield Leads 3rd District Republican Primary Race for Congress
Our firm conducted a survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Tennessee's new 3rd Congressional District on April 3-5, 2012, with a margin of error of 4.90 percent. Key highlights of the survey are:
1. Scottie Mayfield currently leads both incumbent Chuck Fleischmann and Weston Wamp among likely Republican primary voters in the race for the Republican nomination for Congress. In the three-way primary race, Mayfield leads with 34 percent, while Fleischmann and Wamp are tied at 25 percent each, and 17 percent are undecided. Fleischmann holds a slim advantage among voters in the old 3 rd District, leading Mayfield by 32 to 30 percent with Wamp at 23 percent. In the new portion of the district, however, Mayfield leads with 41 percent, followed by Wamp with 27 percent and Fleischmann with just 12 percent.
2. Chuck Fleischmanns numbers are weak for an incumbent. Fleischmann has 78 percent total name ID in the district, with a 42 to 19 percent favorable-unfavorable rating (18 percent have no opinion of him). His job approval is a similar 42 to 23 percent. On the reelection question the toughest measure of an incumbents strength he fares poorly, with only 28 percent saying he deserves reelection, and 48 percent saying it is time for someone else.
3. Scottie Mayfield is well known and popular among 3 rd District Republicans. Scottie Mayfield has 75 percent total name ID in the district, and his 48 to 6 percent favorable- unfavorable rating is remarkable for a non-politician. Regionally, his numbers are similar in the old and new portions of the 3 rd District.
4. Weston Wamp is reasonably well known but undefined. Wamp has 62 percent total name ID, with a modest 30 to 11 percent favorable-unfavorable rating. He is significantly better known in the old 3 rd District, where he has 68 percent name ID and a 34 to 13 percent favorable- unfavorable rating. In the new parts of the district, he has just 49 percent name ID and a 22 to 7 percent favorable-unfavorable rating.
The 3rd District Republican primary contest is wide open. Scottie Mayfield holds the initial lead, and stands in an excellent position to win the nomination with a strong, well-funded campaign.