Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Elections DA Neg
Elections DA Neg
Elections DA Neg........................................................................................................................................................1
Elections DA Neg............................................................................................................................1
1NC Elections DA......................................................................................................................................................4
1NC Elections DA..........................................................................................................................4
1NC Elections DA......................................................................................................................................................5
1NC Elections DA..........................................................................................................................5
1NC Elections DA......................................................................................................................................................6
1NC Elections DA..........................................................................................................................6
Yes Obama .................................................................................................................................................................7
Yes Obama .....................................................................................................................................7
Yes Obama – 8 Yr Jinx................................................................................................................................................8
Yes Obama – 8 Yr Jinx..................................................................................................................8
Yes Obama – NV ........................................................................................................................................................9
Yes Obama – NV ...........................................................................................................................9
Yes Obama – Enthusiasm Gap..................................................................................................................................10
Yes Obama – Enthusiasm Gap....................................................................................................10
Links – Nuclear Power .............................................................................................................................................11
Links – Nuclear Power ................................................................................................................11
Links – Alternative Energy.......................................................................................................................................12
Links – Alternative Energy.........................................................................................................12
Links – Alternative Energy.......................................................................................................................................13
Links – Alternative Energy.........................................................................................................13
Links – Ethanol ........................................................................................................................................................14
Links – Ethanol ...........................................................................................................................14
Links – PHEVs..........................................................................................................................................................15
Links – PHEVs.............................................................................................................................15
Links – Colorado ......................................................................................................................................................16
Links – Colorado .........................................................................................................................16
Links – Colorado ......................................................................................................................................................17
Links – Colorado .........................................................................................................................17
Link/Internals – Energy Key.....................................................................................................................................18
Link/Internals – Energy Key......................................................................................................18
Internals – West/Colorado Key.................................................................................................................................19
Internals – West/Colorado Key...................................................................................................19
WNDI 2008 2
Elections DA Neg
1NC Elections DA
( ) Obama leads but the race is close
Steve Kornacki, op-ed writer, 7-18-2008, “State Polls Indicate Obama’s Tidal-Wave Potential, But National
Polls Are Tight; Both Are Right,” The New York Observer, http://www.observer.com/2008/politics/state-polls-
indicate-obamas-tidal-wave-potential-national-polls-are-tight-both-are-rig
If you look at the national-level data, Barack Obama seems to be underachieving. In the latest Gallup
daily tracking poll, the presumptive Democratic nominee holds a scant two-point edge over John McCain.
The margin is also two points in Rasmussen's daily poll—which also shows a dead-even race when
"leaners" are factored in. Some other recent polls have been a little more favorable to Obama, but the
combined weight of the available national data strongly suggests that Obama, despite his personal
popularity and the enormous built-in advantages his party enjoys this year, is locked in a much closer
race than he should be.
1NC Elections DA
( ) McCain would hurt US science competitiveness.
Michael Feldman, Editor for HPCwire. 2-1-2008. HPCwire, “Looking for a Tech-Savvy President.”
http://www.hpcwire.com/hpc/2089255.html
Romney and McCain strike me as science and technology lightweights, especially in the realm of federal
funding for basic research and science/math education. Since the Republican mantra for government is
"less is more," I'm not sure what else we should expect. That said, I assume both candidates would
support bipartisan COMPETES-type initiatives in the future, but commitment to funding is the real issue here
(see below). On the other hand, Romney and McCain are both tech business-friendly, not just in their support
for more H-1B visas, but also in other areas, such as reducing corporate tax rates and making the R&D tax
credit permanent. While neither candidate has shown any interest in politicizing science, as has been done in
the current administration, overall Romney and McCain have demonstrated little enthusiasm for science
and technology issues. If I had to pick one, I'd go with McCain for his Senate support for NASA and the
COMPETES Act. But his penchant for low taxes, high military spending and fiscal conservatism
suggests he's going to leave a lot of U.S. science and technology up to the private sector. While the
Republicans may think this approach is favorable to businesses, tech companies are unlikely to be
enthusiastic. In a recent article in the San Francisco Chronicle, Intel Chairman Craig Barrett expresses his
frustration about the bipartisan failure of Congress to fund the science research and education agenda set out
in the COMPETES Act. Writes Barrett: "The funding decisions on the America COMPETES Act took place
a few days after Congress passed a $250 billion farm bill. In the eyes of our political leaders, apparently, corn
subsidies to Iowa farmers are more important for our competitiveness in the next century than investing a few
billion in our major research universities."
1NC Elections DA
( ) Sparks nuclear war
Zalmay Khalilzad, RAND, The Washington Quarterly, Spring 1995
Under the third option, the United States would seek to retain global leadership and to preclude the rise of a
global rival or a return to multipolarity for the indefinite future. On balance, this is the best long-term guiding
principle and vision. Such a vision is desirable not as an end in itself, but because a world in which the
United States exercises leadership would have tremendous advantages. First, the global environment would
be more open and more receptive to American values -- democracy, free markets, and the rule of law. Second,
such a world would have a better chance of dealing cooperatively with the world's major problems, such as
nuclear proliferation, threats of regional hegemony by renegade states, and low-level conflicts. Finally, U.S.
leadership would help preclude the rise of another hostile global rival, enabling the United States and the
world to avoid another global cold or hot war and all the attendant dangers, including a global nuclear
exchange. U.S. leadership would therefore be more conducive to global stability than a bipolar or a
multipolar balance of power system.
WNDI 2008 7
Elections DA Neg
Yes Obama
( ) Obama leads, but the race is fluid
CBS News, 7-15-2008, “CBS Poll: Obama Leads But Race Looks Fluid,”
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/07/15/opinion/polls/main4263422.shtml
(CBS) Presumptive Democratic nominee Barack Obama leads Republican counterpart John McCain 45
percent to 39 percent in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll of registered voters nationwide. The six
percentage point spread is unchanged since June, when Obama led McCain 48 percent to 42 percent. But
more than 1 in 10 voters now say they are undecided between the candidates - twice as many,
percentage-wise, as last month - and 28 percent of those who did express a preference say they might still
change their mind. The race between McCain and Obama appears to be more fluid than the 2004 battle
between Democratic nominee John Kerry and President George W. Bush. Four years ago this month, just 6
percent of those surveyed were undecided between the candidates. And only 20 percent of those asked
indicated their minds weren't yet made up.
WNDI 2008 8
Elections DA Neg
Yes Obama – NV
( ) Obama will win Nevada – new registration numbers
Don Frederick, LAT Political Blogger, 7-7-2008, “In Nevada, the numbers game tilts Democratic,” LA Times
Blog, http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/07/in-nevada-the-n.html
In Nevada, the numbers game tilts Democratic Nevada's vote in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections
was relatively stable -- good news for Republicans. Its party registration figures, though, have been
undergoing a transformation, which this November might translate into glad tidings for Democrats.
Emphasis on "might." Eight years ago, George W. Bush carried the Sagebrush State against Al Gore by
21,597 votes out of about 609,000 cast (giving him a winning margin of roughly 3.5 percentage points).
Four years ago, Bush won Nevada over John Kerry by 21,500 votes; with almost 830,000 cast, the
president's margin was reduced a bit, to about 2.6 percentage points. Democrats could at least take solace in
the trendline. But they are finding much greater joy in a new set of numbers -- the voter registration
breakdown, as of June, from the Nevada secretary of state's office. On its list of "active" voters, Democrats
outnumber Republicans by 55,560 -- an edge of about 5% among this entire pool of registrants, which
numbers a bit more than 1 million. Especially encouraging for Democrats, as state Democratic Party official
Kirsten Searer pointed out to the Las Vegas Review-Journal, is that at this point in 2004, the GOP had a 1%
advantage in voter registration. We've got to give credit to Zac Moyle, executive director of the Nevada
Republican Party; he didn't try to sugarcoat the matter, saying, "We're disappointed by the numbers." Most
distressing must be ... ... the change so far this year. Since January, the GOP voter figure in Nevada has
actually gone down, by more than 5,000, while the number of Democrats has increased by close to 40,000.
WNDI 2008 10
Elections DA Neg
Links – Ethanol
( ) Ethanol is popular
Alex Kaplun, E&ENews PM reporter, 3-10-2008, “ENERGY POLICY: Poll shows voters united on alternatives,
split on nuclear, oil industry incentives,” E&E News, nexis
A majority of voters -- 57 percent -- also supported increased funding for ethanol research, but that
figure has dropped over the last couple of years from a high of 67 percent in early 2006. The decline was
especially pronounced among Republican voters, with 59 percent favoring the additional funding this
year compared to 72 percent two years ago.
WNDI 2008 15
Elections DA Neg
Links – PHEVs
( ) Support for PHEV’s is popular and key in Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania
Lorraine Wollert and Jeff Green, staff writers, 7-18-2008, “GM’s Volt Becomes Centerpiece in Presidential
Debate on Energy,” http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601070&sid=aVV3eMUSiMgQ&refer=politics
July 18 (Bloomberg) -- General Motors Corp.'s plug-in electric car, the Chevrolet Volt, is becoming a must-
have prop for the U.S. presidential candidates as they try to appeal to workers in contested states such
as Michigan and Ohio and show their commitment to weaning the country off of imported oil.
Stopping at a technical center run by the largest U.S. automaker in Warren, Michigan, Republican John
McCain today called the Volt an illustration of how the U.S. can cope with rising crude oil prices and the
decline of manufacturing jobs. ``The eyes of the world are now on the Volt,'' McCain said at a meeting with
autoworkers after sitting in the vehicle and getting a briefing on the car's technology from GM Chief
Executive Officer Rick Wagoner and Vice Chairman Bob Lutz. ``It's the future of America and the world.''
The Arizona senator and his Democratic rival, Senator Barack Obama of Illinois, are holding up GM --
beset by a collapse of its U.S. sales and three years of losses -- as a model of American ingenuity. McCain
said the Volt, which GM aims to roll off assembly lines by 2010, demonstrates how U.S. automakers can
move smartly and quickly away from fossil fuels without shedding manufacturing jobs. ``I've said the old
automotive jobs aren't coming back,'' McCain said yesterday. ``But I also said in the same sentence that the
Big Three would lead in green technologies and innovation and the new technologies that would restore the
life and vitality of the automotive industry in America. And General Motors is doing exactly that by
developing the Volt.'' Alternatives While the candidates' differences over whether to allow more oil drilling
off the U.S. coast has dominated the debate, on the stump they both are giving prominence to their plans to
boost alternative energy development and foster technology to cut emissions. McCain, 71, and Obama, 46,
come at the issue from different directions. McCain wants to boost innovation by offering purchasers of zero
carbon-emission cars a $5,000 tax credit. A graduated tax credit would apply to purchases of lower emission
cars such as the Volt. He would establish a $300 million prize for development of new battery technology for
vehicles. He also wants to encourage construction of 100 new nuclear plants and invest government money in
development of clean-burning coal. Obama has pledged $150 billion in federal spending to create 5 million
``green collar'' jobs to cut pollution and energy use, in part by promoting the use of renewable fuels and
retooling factories. Oil Dependency McCain adviser Jim Woolsey said both proposals share the same goal,
``an end-run around oil dependency.'' The plans have another common target: protecting American
manufacturing jobs. Touting clean and green technology is a way for candidates to resonate in
competitive states such as Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, where factory workers are a substantial
voting bloc.
WNDI 2008 16
Elections DA Neg
Links – Colorado
( ) Alternative energy is popular in Colorado and key to the election
Alex Kaplun, E&E Daily Reporter, 6-3-2008, “Campaign 2008: Colo. Senate candidates seek upper hand in
renewable energy debate,” Environment and Energy Daily, nexis
Energy policy -- and in particular the development of renewable energy -- has been a major campaign
topic in Colorado for several campaign cycles. And while it figures to be in play once again this time
around, Democrats and their allies in particular see an opening to score major electoral points by
highlighting what they describe as the Republican candidate's oil-friendly record in an era when such
an image can prove to be highly damaging to a campaign. Shortly after becoming the nominee last
month, Udall launched a 16-city tour in which he highlighted his renewable energy policy at stop after stop.
Udall's first campaign ad of the season also focused on renewable energy. "Standing on your own. That's just
the Colorado way," Udall says in the 30-second spot. "We need energy solutions, green jobs and a cleaner
future for Colorado." Thus far, Udall's message has been largely positive, focusing primarily on his own
track record and vowing to expand the availability of renewable fuels if he gets to the Senate. Attacking
Schaffer In the meantime, environmental groups -- which view the Colorado Senate race as one of their top
priorities in this cycle -- have gone on the air with ads attacking Schaffer for accepting campaign
contributions from oil and gas companies as well as voting in favor of tax breaks for the industry. "As a
politician and corporate oil executive, Bob Schaffer has had all of his fingers in big oil," the ad states.
"Colorado deserves cleaner representation in the Senate." Udall has long been a favorite of the
environmental community, most notably for his efforts to push through a federal renewable electricity
mandate. At the same time, environmental groups pledged to target Schaffer because of what they describe as
an industry-friendly voting record and his background as an executive at the oil company Aspect Energy. But
Schaffer's allies have moved quickly to blunt what is expected to be a barrage of attacks from environmental
groups by running their own ads that tout the former congressman's support for renewables. The same week
that the League of Conservation Voters-led ads went on the air, the group Coloradans for Economic Grown
launched its own ad campaign praising Schaffer for being an advocate for renewable energy -- highlighting
his vote for a 2001 energy bill that contained incentives for solar power, hybrid vehicles and alternative fuels.
"As a businessman, Bob led efforts to increase wind power sources," states the ad. "As our congressman, Bob
Schaffer voted to fund research for renewable energy projects." On the campaign trail, Schaffer has likewise
discussed the need for renewable energy but has also said the country needs to establish energy independence
in part by increasing domestic energy production. Critics, however, say Schaffer's effort to embrace
renewable energy is an attempt to change his oil-friendly perception that will fall flat with voters.
"Obviously it's an attempt to mitigate the Oil Slick Bob image, but his record doesn't stand up" said Rick
Ridder, a Colorado-based Democratic strategist. "It's difficult to become Mahatma Gandhi when you've been
Genghis Khan all your life." Colorado trend The back-and-forth on energy policy has become a staple of
recent statewide political campaigns, as voters view the development of renewable energy as a
potentially major economic engine for Colorado and as voters in some corners of the state have
expressed concern about the impact of drilling on the environment. Pundits say that with voters
worried about high gas prices in general and the economy as a whole, the candidates' ability to win the
energy debate could prove to be particularly critical this time around. "As a candidate, you've got to
have an economic policy and something about Iraq, but a very good way to frame it, whether you're
talking about foreign and domestic issues, is through energy policy and in particular a renewable energy
policy," said Republican Colorado pollster Floyd Ciruli. "It's become a very popular sort of framework for
discussing everything else." Experts say that while swing voters will likely never view the former
Republican congressman as being particularly strong on the environment, the campaign could find
success if it can simply eliminate from the voters' minds that he is an "Big Oil" candidate.
Links – Colorado
( ) Alternative energy massively popular in Colorado – democrats control the issue now
John Ingold, staff writer, 3-31-2008, “Renewable energy draws most legislators' support Democrats are more
likely than Republicans to want Colorado to push the issue,” The Denver Post, nexis
Over the past several years, renewable energy has become the great unifier in Colorado politics, an issue
so popular and so multifaceted that just about every lawmaker can find something there to like.
Environmentalists love its eco-friendliness. National security hawks love its potential to make the
country more energy-independent. Economy wonks love the promise of new jobs that come with the
burgeoning industry. Support in some form or another for renewable energy bridges party and
geographic lines. So far this year, at least 17 bills boosting renewable energy have been introduced in the
state legislature - 11 from Democrats, five from Republicans and one with bipartisan prime sponsorship. Of
those, two have been signed into law, including one last week that standardizes how people with solar panels
on their homes or businesses get paid for the extra power they produce. The bill drew rafts of supporters in
both parties who said it allows Colorado residents to take advantage of the state's abundant sunshine. "It's a
perfect setup for Colorado to be a leader in this arena," said Rep. Judith Solano, a Brighton Democrat who
was the bill's chief sponsor. Where there are differences between the parties in the legislature, it is not so
much about the value of renewable energy as it is about how best to promote and foster its development.
Republicans say they want to provide incentives for renewable energy but not to push it on the state. "I'm a
huge fan of renewable energy," said Sen. Greg Brophy, a Republican from Wray who drives a Toyota Prius.
"I seek to promote the use of renewable energy but not force it regardless of cost." Democrats, though, say a
firm hand is needed to foster renewable-energy development. Sen. Ron Tupa, a Boulder Democrat, said
Republicans have come around to supporting renewable energy bills only now that the issue is popular with
voters. "It's just plain good politics," he said of supporting renewable energy. "And I think the general
public is recognizing that, of the two parties, the Democratic Party is the one that has really taken this
policy and run with it. So I guess the Republicans will oppose these bills at their own political peril."
WNDI 2008 18
Elections DA Neg
( ) That would cause a big nuclear war with Russia and China.
Matthew Yglesias, Writer for The Atlantic. 2/21/08. The Atlantic, “McCain and the Missiles.”
http://matthewyglesias.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/02/mccain_and_the_missiles.php
John McCain strongly supports the development and deployment of theater and national missile defenses.
Effective missile defenses are critical to protect America from rogue regimes like North Korea that
possess the capability to target America with intercontinental ballistic missiles, from outlaw states like Iran
that threaten American forces and American allies with ballistic missiles, and to hedge against potential
threats from possible strategic competitors like Russia and China. Effective missile defenses are also
necessary to allow American military forces to operate overseas without being deterred by the threat of
missile attack from a regional adversary. For starters, north Korea doesn't possess ICBM capabilities.
Second, it's hard to see how national missile defense will protect our forces from Iranian missile attacks
when our forces are right next door in Iraq and Afghanistan. Indeed, it's unclear why we'd be particularly
worried about any sort of ballistic missile attack given the close quarters situation at hand. But while this is a
bit dishonest and ignorant, the business about hedging against "potential threats from possible strategic
competitors like Russia and China." Simply put, a scenario in which the United States possesses an
effective ability to shoot down a Russian or Chinese ICBM threat would be completely intolerable in
Moscow or Beijing. It would, in effect, give the United States a viable a threat of a nuclear first strike.
Neither Russia nor China is going to let that happen. Instead, they'll spend money on building up their
nuclear arsenals in order to maintain their deterrent capacity. Thus, at great cost to the Unites States, to
Russia, and to China we'll be back at the status quo. But beyond the monetary cost, the large buildup in
Chinese nuclear capabilities that would result from this situation would force India to engage in a
nuclear build-up of its own. And that, in turn, would force Pakistan to follow suit. This large increase
in the global stock of nuclear weapons would, of course, imply an increase in the odds of a nuclear
accident or the loss or theft of nuclear material. At the same time, a nuclear buildup of this sort might
create incentives for Iran to reinitiate its nuclear weapons research program. And even if it didn't,
revitalizing the Non-Proliferation Treaty desperately requires the status quo nuclear powers to be working
together on nuclear issues, and fulfilling our treat obligations to move toward reduced arsenals. In short,
what McCain has on tap here is a recipe for disaster -- a breakdown in great power relations, new arms
races, massive nuclear proliferation, etc. And why? I suspect the last bit is the real reason. He wants "to
allow American military forces to operate overseas without being deterred." Basically, we need to spend huge
sums of money and encourage an enormous amount of nuclear proliferation because that would facilitate the
launching of new aggressive wars. Probably the proliferation McCain's policies helped induce would become
the rationale for a new round of warfighting.
WNDI 2008 32
Elections DA Neg
Impacts – Leadership
( ) Obama’s background would restore American soft power
Peter Canellos, Boston Globe Washington Bureau Chief, 12-25-2007, “Clinton, Obama offer chance to fix US
image,” Boston Globe, academic
There is little doubt that Obama's background gives him a unique stature - and that having him as the
symbol of America could alter perceptions of the United States in Africa, Asia, and South America.
Emphasizing the multiracial aspect of the United States to a multiracial world could give the American
Dream new currency: It would prove that American values are applicable to everyone. Such a
possibility is obviously thrilling to the Democrats who've flooded Obama's campaign events.
( ) Tax cuts lead to total economic crisis – this leads to a massive economic collapse
Isabel V. Sawhill, Senior Fellow and Vice President, Economic Studies. USA Today, “The Danger of Deficits.”
August 16, 2005. http://www.brookings.edu/views/op-ed/sawhill/20050816.htm
Psychiatrists have clinical terms to describe how most elected officials are responding to the deficit —
denial, repression, magical thinking. In short, they're doing next to nothing. There is a deafening silence — from the halls of
Congress and corporate boardrooms to the living rooms and voting booths where Americans make decisions about their own and their
children's futures. In fact, there is some good news on the deficit front. The Congressional Budget Office outlook for 2005 has improved
markedly since its March projection. But no one should be lulled into thinking that this good news will last. The problem will get
much worse if nothing is done. Deficits will become unsustainable when baby boomers begin to retire
in 2008 and are poised to balloon out of control a generation hence, wreaking havoc on today's younger Americans.
Solutions are all painful. We need to reform the three major entitlement programs (Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid), curb
soaring health care costs, raise federal revenue (yes, that means taxes), cut low-priority spending and impose budgeting
rules. President Bush deserves praise for putting Social Security reform on the table, but his proposed private accounts would add $5
trillion in deficits over two decades. He talks about halving the deficit in five years, but the most recent congressional budget blueprint
actually increases deficits by $168 billion over that period. The prescription drug law will add a half-trillion dollars or more over the
coming decade. The Bigger Picture Social Security is a surprisingly small part of the problem. Medicare and Medicaid costs will
increase four times faster than Social Security. If the big three entitlement programs — 42% of federal spending — grow at
present rates, either everything else that government does will be crowded out, or a 33% tax increase will be needed by
2030. If taxes stay at current levels, no money will be left for national parks, highways, extra police, better-trained
teachers, veterans' health care, and the environment. Without deficit reduction, just interest on the debt will absorb one out
of every three personal income tax dollars collected by 2015. But why should anyone care? One danger is that Asian and other
central banks, which hold a huge and growing chunk of American debt, could stop financing our deficits.
Interest rates would rise, stocks and bonds would plunge, and recession would follow. Another possibility is
that increasing federal debt — combined with America's dwindling private savings — would mean much less money
available to invest in new infrastructure and equipment, new technologies and new businesses. And a cardinal
rule of economics is: Less investment means less economic growth and a slower increase in living standards. The
failure to address deficits reflects wishful thinking, irresponsible political rhetoric and myopia. We'd need indefinite
economic growth of more than 4% per year, something the U.S. economy did not do even during the go-go late 1990s, when growth
averaged 3.3%. Selective cuts alone wouldn't work either because only 19% of the budget is not for mandated entitlement programs,
defense, or debt interest. Finally, it's myopic to believe that budget deficits just don't matter. You would be hard-pressed to find an
economist who concurs. So, what's to be done? We need to reform Social Security and Medicare eligibility and benefit formulas: We
could raise the eligibility age as life expectancy rises, and reduce benefits for the well-off, but protect lower-wage workers. We could
transform Medicare from an open-ended, fee-for-service system to one protecting all Americans from catastrophic expenses. Those with
limited means would be given enough to buy a basic health plan, but no one would be guaranteed unlimited care at public expense.
Plenty of federal programs are ineffective, obsolete, or cater to politically powerful elites — and could be cut. The big hitch is politics.
The U.S. tax system cries out for overhaul. It must be simpler, fairer and more conducive to growth and efficiency. We could introduce a
modest consumption or value-added tax, and eliminate $200 billion in tax subsidies. What might be most troubling is the lack of
presidential leadership and bipartisan congressional action to restore fiscal sanity. What will it take? Another Ross Perot? A stock
market crash? Rallies in Washington? The Chinese moving their money into euros?
WNDI 2008 34
Elections DA Neg
Impacts – CTBT
( ) Obama will ratify CTBT
Will Lambers, author "Nuclear Weapons" and "The Road to Peace”, 7-18-2008, “Obama or McCain Can Finish
Journey to Nuclear Test Ban Treaty,” http://blogcritics.org/archives/2008/07/18/203804.php
Obama has already signaled his intentions to push for ratification of the CTBT should he be elected.
McCain has promised to reexamine the CTBT, perhaps realizing that the U.S. may be better off living under
such a treaty than without. Either Obama or McCain is going to have the golden opportunity to make
history by ratifying this landmark treaty. By doing so, the next president can set the conditions for deep
reduction of nuclear arsenals and perhaps, for their complete elimination.