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Presidential elections are not about the popular vote, so dont worry about that number. Instead, keep an eye on how many winner-take-all electoral votes the candidates capture as the night goes on. Because the Electoral College vote is the only number that matters Tuesday.
Save this page and keep it handy Tuesday as the returns roll in. Well even give you a place to keep your own score.
KEEP YOUR OWN TALLY
WINNER
HAWAII 4
ALASKA 3
WIS. 10 MINN. 10
N.Y. 29 N.J. 14
IOWA MONT. 3 N.D. 3 6 WASH. S.D. 3 NEB. ILL. IND. IDAHO 12 20 11 4 WYO. 3 5 ORE. UTAH COLO. KAN. MO. 7 6 6 10 9 NEV. OKLA. ARK. CALIF. TENN. 6 N.M. 7 6 55 5 11 ARIZ. 11 TEXAS 38 LA. MISS. ALA. 6 9 8
OHIO 18 KY. 8
Each state in this map is shown in proportion to the number of that D.C. 3 states electoral DEL. 3 votes. The colors show who is expected to win in each state, according to an aggregate of national media. It takes 270 electoral votes to clinch a victory.
POLLS CLOSE AT
All times are Eastern.
6 P.M.
Indiana Kentucky*
ELECTORAL VOTES
Larry Sabato
RealClear Politics
WINNER IN...
N.Y. Times Wash. Post USA Today Fox News CNN The AP 2008 2004 2000
11 8
ELECTORAL VOTES WINNER
Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney
Larry Sabato RealClear Politics N.Y. Times Wash. Post USA Today Fox News CNN The AP
Obama McCain
2008
Bush Bush
2004
Bush Bush
2000
POLLS CLOSE AT
7 P.M.
Florida* Georgia South Carolina Vermont Virginia
Look for Mitt Romney to take Florida and probably Virginia, too. But dont expect either state to be called until much later and perhaps well into Wednesday.
29 16 9 3 13
ELECTORAL VOTES WINNER
Romney TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP
Larry Sabato RealClear Politics N.Y. Times Wash. Post USA Today Fox News CNN The AP
POLLS CLOSE AT
Is Ohio critical? Whoever has won the state in the past 12 elections won the election.
7:30 P.M.
North Carolina Ohio West Virginia
15 18 5
ELECTORAL VOTES WINNER
Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney
Larry Sabato RealClear Politics N.Y. Times Wash. Post USA Today Fox News CNN The AP
POLLS CLOSE AT
8 P.M.
Alabama Connecticut Delaware
9 7 3 3 20 4 10 11 16 6 10 4 14 7 20 4 11 38 3
ELECTORAL VOTES WINNER
Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama TOSSUP Obama Obama TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama TOSSUP Obama Obama TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney
Larry Sabato RealClear Politics N.Y. Times Wash. Post USA Today Fox News CNN The AP
McCain Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama McCain McCain Obama Obama McCain Obama Obama McCain McCain McCain
2008
Bush Kerry Kerry Kerry Kerry Kerry Kerry Kerry Kerry Bush Bush Kerry Kerry Bush Kerry Bush Bush Bush Bush
2004
Bush Gore Gore Gore Gore Gore Gore Gore Gore Bush Bush Bush Gore Bush Gore Bush Bush Bush Bush
2000
By this time, well have an idea of how the night is going. Are networks calling states as soon as polls close? That means voters are behaving as expected. Swing states like Ohio and Florida are notorious for last-minute drama, however. Ohio wasnt settled until Wednesday morning in 2004. And you remember what happened in Florida in 2000. The biggest question marks at 8 p.m. are Michigan and Pennsylvania. The latest polls suggest President Obama will take both. The outcome in solid-red Texas and solid-blue Illinois have never been in doubt.
Dist. of Columbia Illinois Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan* Mississippi Missouri New Hampshire* New Jersey Oklahoma Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee Texas* Wyoming
8:30 P.M.
Arkansas
6
ELECTORAL VOTES WINNER
McCain
2008
Bush
2004
Bush
2000
9 P.M.
Arizona Colorado Kansas* Louisiana Minnesota Nebraska New Mexico New York South Dakota Wisconsin
11 9 6 8 10 5 5 29 3 10
ELECTORAL VOTES WINNER
Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney TOSSUP Romney Romney TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama TOSSUP Obama Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama Obama Obama Obama TOSSUP Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama
Larry Sabato RealClear Politics N.Y. Times Wash. Post USA Today Fox News CNN The AP
McCain Obama McCain McCain Obama McCain Obama Obama McCain Obama
2008
Bush Bush Bush Bush Kerry Bush Bush Kerry Bush Kerry
2004
Bush Bush Bush Bush Gore Bush Gore Gore Bush Gore
2000
POLLS CLOSE AT
Two more swing states close at 10 p.m.: Iowa and Nevada. Obamas polling lead in both is smaller than the margin of error. These states might not be called until the wee hours of Wednesday.
10 P.M.
Idaho* Iowa Montana Nevada North Dakota* Utah
4 6 3 6 3 6
ELECTORAL VOTES WINNER
Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Obama TOSSUP Obama TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP TOSSUP Obama Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney Romney
Larry Sabato RealClear Politics N.Y. Times Wash. Post USA Today Fox News CNN The AP
POLLS CLOSE AT
11 P.M.
California Hawaii Oregon Washington
By this time, polls have closed in all the swing states. Be on the lookout to ll in the holes in this chart as the count goes into the night.
55 4 7 12
ELECTORAL VOTES WINNER
Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama TOSSUP Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama Obama
Larry Sabato Larry Sabato RealClear Politics RealClear Politics N.Y. Times Wash. Post USA Today Fox News CNN The AP
POLLS CLOSE AT
MIDNIGHT
Alaska
McCain
Bush
Bush
261 235 42
243 206 89
237 206 95
237 206 95
277 205 56
NOTES: Media predictions are as of 3 p.m. Thursday. Larry Sabato is the director of the University of Virginias Center for Politics and a noted Electoral College expert. Fox News predictions are those of noted analyst Karl Rove. SOURCES: TheGreenPapers.com, Federal Election Commission, National Archives and Records Administration, University of Virginias Center for Politics, New York Times, Washington Post, USA Today, Fox News, CNN, Associated Press, RealClearPolitics.com CHARLES APPLE/Special to the Roanoke Times