Minggu

1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

F(t+1)

Unit Minggu Unit Minggu Unit Minngu

318.00 13.00 363.00 25.00 317.00 37.00
332.00 14.00 403.00 26.00 325.00 38.00
366.00 15.00 336.00 27.00 311.00 39.00
354.00 16.00 375.00 28.00 291.00 40.00
326.00 17.00 286.00 29.00 323.00 41.00
292.00 18.00 307.00 30.00 337.00 42.00
322.00 19.00 316.00 31.00 330.00 43.00
330.00 20.00 268.00 32.00 401.00 44.00
374.00 21.00 299.00 33.00 329.00 45.00
361.00 22.00 323.00 34.00 319.00 46.00
351.00 23.00 307.00 35.00 325.00 47.00
403.00 24.00 283.00 36.00 342.00 48.00

.(A(t))+ (1-)(F(t))

MAD =

Dt

Unit
337.00
304.00
380.00
409.00
384.00
353.00
326.00
407.00
333.00
348.00
327.00
392.00

1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

(Kum. |e(t)|)/t

KELOMPOK 1.2
ASWAR
HIJRI VIRGIAWAN

MSD =

(Kum. ((e(t))^2))/t

1009025059
1009025021

TS = (Kum. e(t))/MAD

= 0,1
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.10 137.00
0.10 127.00
0.10 148.90
0.10 137.80
0.10 117.70
0.10 121.20
0.10 124.40
0.10 139.10
0.10 131.50
0.10 138.00
0.10 147.00
0.10 140.00

(1-)
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1360.00
1372.90
1373.41
1353.77
1339.59
1330.03
1336.13
1334.02
1338.61
1351.75
1356.58

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
129.00
5.10
-196.41
-141.77
-95.59
60.97
-21.13
45.98
131.39
48.25

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
16641.00
29.00
26.01
34.10
38576.89
-162.31
20098.45
-304.08
9137.85
-399.67
3716.99
-338.70
446.46
-359.83
2114.47
-313.85
17262.02
-182.47
2327.73
-134.22

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
129.00
229.00 114.50
26641.00
5.10
234.10 78.03
26667.01
196.41
430.51 107.63
65243.90
141.77
572.28 114.46
85342.35
95.59
667.87 111.31
94480.20
60.97
728.84 104.12
98197.19
21.13
749.97 93.75
98643.65
45.98
795.95 88.44
100758.11
131.39
927.34 92.73
118020.14
48.25
975.58 88.69
120347.87

MSD
0.00
10000.00
13320.50
8889.00
16310.97
17068.47
15746.70
14028.17
12330.46
11195.35
11802.01
10940.72

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.25
0.44
-1.51
-2.66
-3.59
-3.25
-3.84
-3.55
-1.97
-1.51

 = 0,2
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.20 274.00
0.20 254.00
0.20 297.80
0.20 275.60
0.20 235.40
0.20 242.40
0.20 248.80
0.20 278.20
0.20 263.00
0.20 276.00
0.20 294.00
0.20 280.00

(1-)
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1350.00
1377.80
1377.84
1337.67
1312.54
1298.83
1317.26
1316.81
1329.45
1357.56
1366.05

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
139.00
0.20
-200.84
-125.67
-68.54
92.17
-2.26
63.19
140.55
42.44

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
19321.00
39.00
0.04
39.20
40336.71
-161.64
15793.45
-287.31
4697.40
-355.85
8495.29
-263.68
5.13
-265.94
3992.82
-202.75
19754.58
-62.20
1801.22
-19.76

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
139.00
239.00 119.50
29321.00
0.20
239.20 79.73
29321.04
200.84
440.04 110.01
69657.75
125.67
565.71 113.14
85451.20
68.54
634.25 105.71
90148.60
92.17
726.42 103.77
98643.89
2.26
728.68 91.09
98649.02
63.19
791.87 87.99
102641.84
140.55
932.42 93.24
122396.42
42.44
974.86 88.62
124197.64

MSD
0.00
10000.00
14660.50
9773.68
17414.44
17090.24
15024.77
14091.98
12331.13
11404.65
12239.64
11290.69

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.33
0.49
-1.47
-2.54
-3.37
-2.54
-2.92
-2.30
-0.67
-0.22

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
22201.00
49.00
44.89
42.30
42308.38
-163.39
11877.29
-272.37
1961.44
-316.66
13455.61
-200.66
27.03
-195.46
4711.34
-126.82
19057.09
11.22
709.33
37.86

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
149.00
249.00 124.50
32201.00
-6.70
242.30 80.77
32245.89
205.69
447.99 112.00
74554.27
108.98
556.97 111.39
86431.56
44.29
601.26 100.21
88393.00
116.00
717.26 102.47
101848.61
-5.20
712.06 89.01
101875.64
68.64
780.70 86.74
106586.97
138.05
918.75 91.87
125644.07
26.63
945.38 85.94
126353.39

MSD
0.00
10000.00
16100.50
10748.63
18638.57
17286.31
14732.17
14549.80
12734.45
11843.00
12564.41
11486.67

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.39
0.52
-1.46
-2.45
-3.16
-1.96
-2.20
-1.46
0.12
0.44

= 0,3
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.30 411.00
0.30 381.00
0.30 446.70
0.30 413.40
0.30 353.10
0.30 363.60
0.30 373.20
0.30 417.30
0.30 394.50
0.30 414.00
0.30 441.00
0.30 420.00

(1-)
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1340.00
1384.70
1382.69
1320.98
1288.29
1275.00
1309.80
1311.36
1331.95
1373.37
1381.36

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
149.00
-6.70
-205.69
-108.98
-44.29
116.00
5.20
68.64
138.05
26.63

 = 0,4
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.40 548.00
0.40 508.00
0.40 595.60
0.40 551.20
0.40 470.80
0.40 484.80
0.40 497.60
0.40 556.40
0.40 526.00
0.40 552.00
0.40 588.00
0.40 560.00

(1-)
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1330.00
1393.60
1387.36
1303.22
1266.73
1257.64
1310.98
1312.59
1339.55
1391.73
1395.04

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
159.00
-15.60
-210.36
-91.22
-22.73
133.36
4.02
67.41
130.45
8.27

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
25281.00
59.00
243.36
43.40
44251.33
-166.96
8320.36
-258.18
516.63
-280.91
17785.49
-147.54
16.14
-143.53
4544.16
-76.12
17016.22
54.33
68.36
62.60

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
159.00
259.00 129.50
35281.00
15.60
274.60 91.53
35524.36
210.36
484.96 121.24
79775.69
91.22
576.18 115.24
88096.05
22.73
598.91 99.82
88612.68
133.36
732.27 104.61
106398.17
4.02
736.29 92.04
106414.31
67.41
803.70 89.30
110958.47
130.45
934.14 93.41
127974.69
8.27
942.41 85.67
128043.05

MSD
0.00
10000.00
17640.50
11841.45
19943.92
17619.21
14768.78
15199.74
13301.79
12328.72
12797.47
11640.28

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.46
0.47
-1.38
-2.24
-2.81
-1.41
-1.56
-0.85
0.58
0.73

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
28561.00
69.00
702.25
42.50
45903.06
-171.75
5202.02
-243.88
16.50
-247.94
21015.94
-102.97
12.36
-106.48
3999.57
-43.24
14791.69
78.38
84.45
69.19

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
169.00
269.00 134.50
38561.00
26.50
295.50 98.50
39263.25
214.25
509.75 127.44
85166.31
72.13
581.88 116.38
90368.33
4.06
585.94 97.66
90384.83
144.97
730.91 104.42
111400.77
3.52
734.42 91.80
111413.13
63.24
797.66 88.63
115412.70
121.62
919.29 91.93
130204.39
9.19
928.47 84.41
130288.84

MSD
0.00
10000.00
19280.50
13087.75
21291.58
18073.67
15064.14
15914.40
13926.64
12823.63
13020.44
11844.44

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.51
0.43
-1.35
-2.10
-2.54
-0.99
-1.16
-0.49
0.85
0.82

= 0,5
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.50 685.00
0.50 635.00
0.50 744.50
0.50 689.00
0.50 588.50
0.50 606.00
0.50 622.00
0.50 695.50
0.50 657.50
0.50 690.00
0.50 735.00
0.50 700.00

(1-)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1320.00
1404.50
1391.25
1284.13
1248.06
1246.03
1318.52
1316.76
1348.38
1409.19
1404.59

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
169.00
-26.50
-214.25
-72.13
-4.06
144.97
-3.52
63.24
121.62
-9.19

 = 0,6
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.60 822.00
0.60 762.00
0.60 893.40
0.60 826.80
0.60 706.20
0.60 727.20
0.60 746.40
0.60 834.60
0.60 789.00
0.60 828.00
0.60 882.00
0.60 840.00

(1-)
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1310.00
1417.40
1393.76
1263.70
1232.68
1239.47
1330.39
1321.16
1356.46
1424.58
1409.83

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
179.00
-39.40
-216.76
-51.70
11.32
151.53
-15.39
58.84
113.54
-24.58

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
32041.00
79.00
1552.36
39.60
46984.90
-177.16
2673.30
-228.86
128.11
-217.55
22960.54
-66.02
236.82
-81.41
3462.66
-22.56
12890.82
90.97
604.42
66.39

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
179.00
279.00 139.50
42041.00
39.40
318.40 106.13
43593.36
216.76
535.16 133.79
90578.26
51.70
586.86 117.37
93251.56
11.32
598.18 99.70
93379.67
151.53
749.71 107.10
116340.21
15.39
765.10 95.64
116577.03
58.84
823.94 91.55
120039.69
113.54
937.48 93.75
132930.51
24.58
962.07 87.46
133534.93

MSD
0.00
10000.00
21020.50
14531.12
22644.56
18650.31
15563.28
16620.03
14572.13
13337.74
13293.05
12139.54

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.57
0.37
-1.32
-1.95
-2.18
-0.62
-0.85
-0.25
0.97
0.76

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
35721.00
89.00
2948.49
34.70
47214.94
-182.59
911.25
-212.78
526.42
-189.83
23680.03
-35.95
890.13
-65.78
3141.54
-9.74
11409.41
97.08
1440.62
59.12

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
189.00
289.00 144.50
45721.00
54.30
343.30 114.43
48669.49
217.29
560.59 140.15
95884.43
30.19
590.78 118.16
96795.69
22.94
613.72 102.29
97322.11
153.88
767.60 109.66
121002.14
29.84
797.44 99.68
121892.27
56.05
853.49 94.83
125033.82
106.81
960.30 96.03
136443.23
37.96
998.26 90.75
137883.85

MSD
0.00
10000.00
22860.50
16223.16
23971.11
19359.14
16220.35
17286.02
15236.53
13892.65
13644.32
12534.90

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.62
0.30
-1.30
-1.80
-1.86
-0.33
-0.66
-0.10
1.01
0.65

= 0,7
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.70 959.00
0.70 889.00
0.70 1042.30
0.70 964.60
0.70 823.90
0.70 848.40
0.70 870.80
0.70 973.70
0.70 920.50
0.70 966.00
0.70 1029.00
0.70 980.00

(1-)
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1300.00
1432.30
1394.29
1242.19
1221.06
1237.12
1344.84
1323.95
1363.19
1437.96
1411.39

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
189.00
-54.30
-217.29
-30.19
22.94
153.88
-29.84
56.05
106.81
-37.96

 = 0,8
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80

.A(t)
1096.00
1016.00
1191.20
1102.40
941.60
969.60
995.20
1112.80
1052.00
1104.00
1176.00
1120.00

(1-)
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1290.00
1449.20
1392.24
1220.05
1213.61
1237.92
1360.38
1324.08
1368.82
1449.76
1409.95

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
199.00
-71.20
-215.24
-8.05
30.39
153.08
-45.38
55.92
101.18
-49.76

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
39601.00
99.00
5069.44
27.80
46328.26
-187.44
64.77
-195.49
923.58
-165.10
23432.90
-12.02
2059.74
-57.40
3127.40
-1.48
10238.33
99.70
2476.36
49.94

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
199.00
299.00 149.50
49601.00
71.20
370.20 123.40
54670.44
215.24
585.44 146.36
100998.70
8.05
593.49 118.70
101063.47
30.39
623.88 103.98
101987.04
153.08
776.96 110.99
125419.94
45.38
822.34 102.79
127479.69
55.92
878.26 97.58
130607.08
101.18
979.45 97.94
140845.41
49.76
1029.21 93.56
143321.77

MSD
0.00
10000.00
24800.50
18223.48
25249.67
20212.69
16997.84
17917.13
15934.96
14511.90
14084.54
13029.25

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.66
0.23
-1.28
-1.65
-1.59
-0.11
-0.56
-0.02
1.02
0.53

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t)
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00
43681.00
109.00
8118.01
18.90
44104.20
-191.11
195.97
-177.11
1115.55
-143.71
22602.11
6.63
3716.85
-54.34
3469.61
4.57
9194.96
100.46
3649.48
40.05

|e(t)|
Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
209.00
309.00 154.50
53681.00
90.10
399.10 133.03
61799.01
210.01
609.11 152.28
105903.21
14.00
623.11 124.62
106099.18
33.40
656.51 109.42
107214.74
150.34
806.85 115.26
129816.85
60.97
867.81 108.48
133533.70
58.90
926.72 102.97
137003.31
95.89
1022.61 102.26
146198.27
60.41
1083.02 98.46
149847.75

MSD
0.00
10000.00
26840.50
20599.67
26475.80
21219.84
17869.12
18545.26
16691.71
15222.59
14619.83
13622.52

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.71
0.14
-1.26
-1.42
-1.31
0.06
-0.50
0.04
0.98
0.41

= 0,9
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90

.A(t)
1233.00
1143.00
1340.10
1240.20
1059.30
1090.80
1119.60
1251.90
1183.50
1242.00
1323.00
1260.00

(1-)
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1280.00
1468.10
1387.01
1198.00
1210.60
1240.66
1375.97
1321.10
1374.11
1460.41
1406.04

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
209.00
-90.10
-210.01
14.00
33.40
150.34
-60.97
58.90
95.89
-60.41

Minggu
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Unit
318
332
366
354
326
292
322
330
374
361
351
403

F(t+1)
F'(t+1)

=
=

Minggu
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

Unit
363
403
336
375
286
307
316
268
299
323
307
283

Minggu
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

Unit
317
325
311
291
323
337
330
401
329
319
325
342

.(A(t))+ (1-)(F(t))
.(F(t+1))+ (1-)(F'(t))

Minngu
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48

Dt
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

Unit
337
304
380
409
384
353
326
407
333
348
327
392

MAD =

(Kum. |e(t)|)/t

KELOMPOK 1.2
ASWAR
HIJRI VIRGIAWAN

MSD = (Kum. ((e(t))^2))/t

1009025059
1009025021

TS = (Kum. e(t))/MAD

= 0,1
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.10 137.00
0.10 127.00
0.10 148.90
0.10 137.80
0.10 117.70
0.10 121.20
0.10 124.40
0.10 139.10
0.10 131.50
0.10 138.00
0.10 147.00
0.10 140.00

(1-)
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1360.00
1372.90
1373.41
1353.77
1339.59
1330.03
1336.13
1334.02
1338.61
1351.75
1356.58

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1369.00
1369.39
1369.79
1368.19
1365.33
1361.80
1359.23
1356.71
1354.90
1354.59
1354.79

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
120.00
8.61
-192.79
-156.19
-121.33
29.20
-44.23
23.29
115.10
45.41

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
14400.00
20.00 120.00
220.00 110.00
24400.00 12200.00 0.18
74.13
28.61
8.61
228.61 76.20
24474.13 8158.04 0.38
37168.76
-164.18 192.79
421.40 105.35
61642.89 15410.72 -1.56
24395.22
-320.37 156.19
577.59 115.52
86038.11 17207.62 -2.77
14720.95
-441.70 121.33
698.92 116.49
100759.06 16793.18 -3.79
852.63
-412.50 29.20
728.12 104.02
101611.69 14515.96 -3.97
1956.57
-456.74 44.23
772.35 96.54
103568.26 12946.03 -4.73
542.35
-433.45 23.29
795.64 88.40
104110.62 11567.85 -4.90
13247.58
-318.35 115.10
910.74 91.07
117358.20 11735.82 -3.50
2062.34
-272.94 45.41
956.15 86.92
119420.54 10856.41 -3.14

 = 0,2
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.20 274.00
0.20 254.00
0.20 297.80
0.20 275.60
0.20 235.40
0.20 242.40
0.20 248.80
0.20 278.20
0.20 263.00
0.20 276.00
0.20 294.00
0.20 280.00

(1-)
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1350.00
1377.80
1377.84
1337.67
1312.54
1298.83
1317.26
1316.81
1329.45
1357.56
1366.05

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1366.00
1368.36
1370.26
1363.74
1353.50
1342.57
1337.50
1333.37
1332.58
1337.58
1343.27

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
123.00
9.64
-193.26
-151.74
-109.50
48.43
-22.50
46.63
137.42
62.42

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
15129.00
23.00 123.00
223.00 111.50
25129.00 12564.50 0.21
92.93
32.64
9.64
232.64 77.55
25221.93 8407.31 0.42
37347.88
-160.62 193.26
425.90 106.47
62569.81 15642.45 -1.51
23024.78
-312.36 151.74
577.64 115.53
85594.60 17118.92 -2.70
11990.00
-421.85 109.50
687.13 114.52
97584.60 16264.10 -3.68
2345.94
-373.42 48.43
735.57 105.08
99930.54 14275.79 -3.55
506.47
-395.92 22.50
758.07 94.76
100437.01 12554.63 -4.18
2174.71
-349.29 46.63
804.71 89.41
102611.72 11401.30 -3.91
18883.50
-211.87 137.42
942.12 94.21
121495.23 12149.52 -2.25
3896.50
-149.45 62.42
1004.55 91.32
125391.73 11399.25 -1.64

= 0,3
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.30 411.00
0.30 381.00
0.30 446.70
0.30 413.40
0.30 353.10
0.30 363.60
0.30 373.20
0.30 417.30
0.30 394.50
0.30 414.00
0.30 441.00
0.30 420.00

(1-)
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1340.00
1384.70
1382.69
1320.98
1288.29
1275.00
1309.80
1311.36
1331.95
1373.37
1381.36

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1361.00
1368.11
1372.48
1357.03
1336.41
1317.99
1315.53
1314.28
1319.58
1335.72
1349.41

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
128.00
9.89
-195.48
-145.03
-92.41
73.01
-0.53
65.72
150.42
64.28

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
16384.00
28.00 128.00
228.00 114.00
26384.00 13192.00 0.25
97.81
37.89
9.89
237.89 79.30
26481.81 8827.27 0.48
38213.99
-157.59 195.48
433.37 108.34
64695.81 16173.95 -1.45
21034.77
-302.63 145.03
578.41 115.68
85730.58 17146.12 -2.62
8539.61
-395.04 92.41
670.82 111.80
94270.19 15711.70 -3.53
5330.82
-322.03 73.01
743.83 106.26
99601.02 14228.72 -3.03
0.28
-322.56
0.53
744.36 93.05
99601.30 12450.16 -3.47
4319.07
-256.84 65.72
810.08 90.01
103920.37 11546.71 -2.85
22625.56
-106.42 150.42
960.50 96.05
126545.93 12654.59 -1.11
4132.24
-42.14 64.28
1024.78 93.16
130678.18 11879.83 -0.45

 = 0,4
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.40 548.00
0.40 508.00
0.40 595.60
0.40 551.20
0.40 470.80
0.40 484.80
0.40 497.60
0.40 556.40
0.40 526.00
0.40 552.00
0.40 588.00
0.40 560.00

(1-)
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1330.00
1393.60
1387.36
1303.22
1266.73
1257.64
1310.98
1312.59
1339.55
1391.73
1395.04

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1354.00
1369.84
1376.85
1347.40
1315.13
1292.13
1299.67
1304.84
1318.73
1347.93
1366.77

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
135.00
8.16
-199.85
-135.40
-71.13
98.87
15.33
75.16
151.27
52.07

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
18225.00
35.00 135.00
235.00 117.50
28225.00 14112.50 0.30
66.59
43.16
8.16
243.16 81.05
28291.59 9430.53 0.53
39939.22
-156.69 199.85
443.01 110.75
68230.81 17057.70 -1.41
18331.86
-292.08 135.40
578.40 115.68
86562.67 17312.53 -2.52
5059.33
-363.21 71.13
649.53 108.26
91622.00 15270.33 -3.36
9774.79
-264.34 98.87
748.40 106.91
101396.78 14485.25 -2.47
234.93
-249.02 15.33
763.73 95.47
101631.72 12703.96 -2.61
5649.12
-173.86 75.16
838.89 93.21
107280.84 11920.09 -1.87
22884.09
-22.58 151.27
990.16 99.02
130164.92 13016.49 -0.23
2711.50
29.49 52.07
1042.23 94.75
132876.42 12079.67 0.31

= 0,5
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.50 685.00
0.50 635.00
0.50 744.50
0.50 689.00
0.50 588.50
0.50 606.00
0.50 622.00
0.50 695.50
0.50 657.50
0.50 690.00
0.50 735.00
0.50 700.00

(1-)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1320.00
1404.50
1391.25
1284.13
1248.06
1246.03
1318.52
1316.76
1348.38
1409.19
1404.59

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1345.00
1374.75
1383.00
1333.56
1290.81
1268.42
1293.47
1305.11
1326.75
1367.97
1386.28

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
144.00
3.25
-206.00
-121.56
-46.81
122.58
21.53
74.89
143.25
32.03

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
20736.00
44.00 144.00
244.00 122.00
30736.00 15368.00 0.36
10.56
47.25
3.25
247.25 82.42
30746.56 10248.85 0.57
42436.00
-158.75 206.00
453.25 113.31
73182.56 18295.64 -1.40
14777.44
-280.31 121.56
574.81 114.96
87960.00 17592.00 -2.44
2191.41
-327.13 46.81
621.63 103.60
90151.41 15025.24 -3.16
15025.40
-204.55 122.58
744.20 106.31
105176.81 15025.26 -1.92
463.59
-183.02 21.53
765.73 95.72
105640.41 13205.05 -1.91
5608.02
-108.13 74.89
840.62 93.40
111248.43 12360.94 -1.16
20521.68
35.13 143.25
983.88 98.39
131770.11 13177.01 0.36
1026.06
67.16 32.03
1015.91 92.36
132796.17 12072.38 0.73

 = 0,6
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.60 822.00
0.60 762.00
0.60 893.40
0.60 826.80
0.60 706.20
0.60 727.20
0.60 746.40
0.60 834.60
0.60 789.00
0.60 828.00
0.60 882.00
0.60 840.00

(1-)
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1310.00
1417.40
1393.76
1263.70
1232.68
1239.47
1330.39
1321.16
1356.46
1424.58
1409.83

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1334.00
1384.04
1389.87
1314.17
1265.28
1249.79
1298.15
1311.95
1338.66
1390.21
1401.99

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
155.00
-6.04
-212.87
-102.17
-21.28
141.21
16.85
68.05
131.34
9.79

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
24025.00
55.00 155.00
255.00 127.50
34025.00 17012.50 0.43
36.48
48.96
6.04
261.04 87.01
34061.48 11353.83 0.56
45314.49
-163.91 212.87
473.91 118.48
79375.97 19843.99 -1.38
10438.95
-266.08 102.17
576.08 115.22
89814.92 17962.98 -2.31
452.73
-287.36 21.28
597.36 99.56
90267.65 15044.61 -2.89
19938.98
-146.16 141.21
738.57 105.51
110206.63 15743.80 -1.39
283.88
-129.31 16.85
755.41 94.43
110490.51 13811.31 -1.37
4630.27
-61.26 68.05
823.46 91.50
115120.78 12791.20 -0.67
17250.48
70.08 131.34
954.80 95.48
132371.27 13237.13 0.73
95.76
79.87
9.79
964.59 87.69
132467.03 12042.46 0.91

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
168.00
-20.91
-218.68
-76.23
2.79
152.66
2.11
59.37
119.58
-11.69

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
28224.00
68.00 168.00
268.00 134.00
38224.00 19112.00 0.51
437.23
47.09 20.91
288.91 96.30
38661.23 12887.08 0.49
47819.19
-171.59 218.68
507.59 126.90
86480.42 21620.11 -1.35
5811.58
-247.82 76.23
583.82 116.76
92292.00 18458.40 -2.12
7.79
-245.03
2.79
586.61 97.77
92299.79 15383.30 -2.51
23303.67
-92.37 152.66
739.27 105.61
115603.46 16514.78 -0.87
4.46
-90.26
2.11
741.38 92.67
115607.92 14450.99 -0.97
3524.59
-30.89 59.37
800.75 88.97
119132.51 13236.95 -0.35
14299.58
88.69 119.58
920.33 92.03
133432.10 13343.21 0.96
136.76
76.99 11.69
932.02 84.73
133568.86 12142.62 0.91

= 0,7
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.70 959.00
0.70 889.00
0.70 1042.30
0.70 964.60
0.70 823.90
0.70 848.40
0.70 870.80
0.70 973.70
0.70 920.50
0.70 966.00
0.70 1029.00
0.70 980.00

(1-)
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1300.00
1432.30
1394.29
1242.19
1221.06
1237.12
1344.84
1323.95
1363.19
1437.96
1411.39

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1321.00
1398.91
1395.68
1288.23
1241.21
1238.34
1312.89
1320.63
1350.42
1411.69
1411.48

 = 0,8
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80

.A(t)
1096.00
1016.00
1191.20
1102.40
941.60
969.60
995.20
1112.80
1052.00
1104.00
1176.00
1120.00

(1-)
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1290.00
1449.20
1392.24
1220.05
1213.61
1237.92
1360.38
1324.08
1368.82
1449.76
1409.95

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1306.00
1420.56
1397.90
1255.62
1222.01
1234.74
1335.26
1326.31
1360.31
1431.87
1414.34

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
183.00
-42.56
-220.90
-43.62
21.99
156.26
-20.26
53.69
109.69
-31.87

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
33489.00
83.00 183.00
283.00 141.50
43489.00 21744.50 0.59
1811.35
40.44 42.56
325.56 108.52
45300.35 15100.12 0.37
48798.58
-180.46 220.90
546.46 136.62
94098.93 23524.73 -1.32
1902.63
-224.08 43.62
590.08 118.02
96001.57 19200.31 -1.90
483.49
-202.09 21.99
612.07 102.01
96485.06 16080.84 -1.98
24417.24
-45.83 156.26
768.33 109.76
120902.30 17271.76 -0.42
410.28
-66.09 20.26
788.59 98.57
121312.58 15164.07 -0.67
2882.34
-12.40 53.69
842.27 93.59
124194.92 13799.44 -0.13
12030.84
97.28 109.69
951.96 95.20
136225.76 13622.58 1.02
1015.92
65.41 31.87
983.83 89.44
137241.67 12476.52 0.73

= 0,9
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90

.A(t)
1233.00
1143.00
1340.10
1240.20
1059.30
1090.80
1119.60
1251.90
1183.50
1242.00
1323.00
1260.00

(1-)
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1280.00
1468.10
1387.01
1198.00
1210.60
1240.66
1375.97
1321.10
1374.11
1460.41
1406.04

F'(t)
0.00
1370.00
1289.00
1450.19
1393.33
1217.53
1211.29
1237.72
1362.14
1325.20
1369.22
1451.29
1410.57

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
200.00
-72.19
-216.33
-5.53
32.71
153.28
-47.14
54.80
100.78
-51.29

(e(t))^2 Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)

MSD
TS
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00 10000.00 -1.00
40000.00
100.00 200.00
300.00 150.00
50000.00 25000.00 0.67
5211.40
27.81 72.19
372.19 124.06
55211.40 18403.80 0.22
46797.80
-188.52 216.33
588.52 147.13
102009.20 25502.30 -1.28
30.62
-194.05
5.53
594.05 118.81
102039.82 20407.96 -1.63
1069.72
-161.35 32.71
626.76 104.46
103109.54 17184.92 -1.54
23493.73
-8.07 153.28
780.03 111.43
126603.27 18086.18 -0.07
2222.34
-55.21 47.14
827.18 103.40
128825.61 16103.20 -0.53
3002.92
-0.41 54.80
881.98 98.00
131828.53 14647.61 0.00
10156.85
100.37 100.78
982.76 98.28
141985.38 14198.54 1.02
2630.84
49.08 51.29
1034.05 94.00
144616.22 13146.93 0.52

Minggu
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
F(t+1)

Unit Minggu Unit Minggu Unit Minngu

318.00 13.00 363.00 25.00 317.00 37.00
332.00 14.00 403.00 26.00 325.00 38.00
366.00 15.00 336.00 27.00 311.00 39.00
354.00 16.00 375.00 28.00 291.00 40.00
326.00 17.00 286.00 29.00 323.00 41.00
292.00 18.00 307.00 30.00 337.00 42.00
322.00 19.00 316.00 31.00 330.00 43.00
330.00 20.00 268.00 32.00 401.00 44.00
374.00 21.00 299.00 33.00 329.00 45.00
361.00 22.00 323.00 34.00 319.00 46.00
351.00 23.00 307.00 35.00 325.00 47.00
403.00 24.00 283.00 36.00 342.00 48.00
=

.(A(t))+ (1-)(F(t))

MAD =

Unit
337.00
304.00
380.00
409.00
384.00
353.00
326.00
407.00
333.00
348.00
327.00
392.00

Dt
1370
1270
1489
1378
1177
1212
1244
1391
1315
1380
1470
1400

(Kum. |e(t)|)/t

KELOMPOK 1.2
ASWAR
HIJRI VIRGIAWAN

MSD =

(Kum. ((e(t))^2))/t

1009025059
1009025021

TS = (Kum. e(t))/MAD

= 0,05
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.05
68.50
0.05
63.50
0.05
74.45
0.05
68.90
0.05
58.85
0.05
60.60
0.05
62.20
0.05
69.55
0.05
65.75
0.05
69.00
0.05
73.50
0.05
70.00

(1-)
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1365.00
1371.20
1371.54
1361.81
1354.32
1348.81
1350.92
1349.12
1350.66
1356.63
1358.80

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
124.00
6.80
-194.54
-149.81
-110.32
42.19
-35.92
30.88
119.34
43.37

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
15376.00
24.00 124.00
224.00 112.00
25376.00
46.24
30.80
6.80
230.80 76.93
25422.24
37845.81
-163.74 194.54
425.34 106.34
63268.05
22443.93
-313.55 149.81
575.15 115.03
85711.99
12171.02
-423.88 110.32
685.48 114.25
97883.01
1780.31
-381.68
42.19
727.67 103.95
99663.32
1289.95
-417.60
35.92
763.59 95.45
100953.27
953.57
-386.72
30.88
794.46 88.27
101906.84
14241.05
-267.38 119.34
913.80 91.38
116147.89
1880.88
-224.01
43.37
957.17 87.02
118028.77

MSD
0.00
10000.00
12688.00
8474.08
15817.01
17142.40
16313.83
14237.62
12619.16
11322.98
11614.79
10729.89

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.21
0.40
-1.54
-2.73
-3.71
-3.67
-4.38
-4.38
-2.93
-2.57

 = 0,1
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.10 137.00
0.10 127.00
0.10 148.90
0.10 137.80
0.10 117.70
0.10 121.20
0.10 124.40
0.10 139.10
0.10 131.50
0.10 138.00
0.10 147.00
0.10 140.00

(1-)
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1360.00
1372.90
1373.41
1353.77
1339.59
1330.03
1336.13
1334.02
1338.61
1351.75
1356.58

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
129.00
5.10
-196.41
-141.77
-95.59
60.97
-21.13
45.98
131.39
48.25

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
16641.00
29.00 129.00
229.00 114.50
26641.00
26.01
34.10
5.10
234.10 78.03
26667.01
38576.89
-162.31 196.41
430.51 107.63
65243.90
20098.45
-304.08 141.77
572.28 114.46
85342.35
9137.85
-399.67
95.59
667.87 111.31
94480.20
3716.99
-338.70
60.97
728.84 104.12
98197.19
446.46
-359.83
21.13
749.97 93.75
98643.65
2114.47
-313.85
45.98
795.95 88.44
100758.11
17262.02
-182.47 131.39
927.34 92.73
118020.14
2327.73
-134.22
48.25
975.58 88.69
120347.87

MSD
0.00
10000.00
13320.50
8889.00
16310.97
17068.47
15746.70
14028.17
12330.46
11195.35
11802.01
10940.72

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.25
0.44
-1.51
-2.66
-3.59
-3.25
-3.84
-3.55
-1.97
-1.51

MSD
0.00
10000.00
13978.00
9321.47
16845.14
17054.18
15324.07
13994.33
12257.72
11249.67
12028.36
11138.06

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.29
0.47
-1.48
-2.59
-3.48
-2.88
-3.35
-2.87
-1.23
-0.76

= 0,15
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.15 205.50
0.15 190.50
0.15 223.35
0.15 206.70
0.15 176.55
0.15 181.80
0.15 186.60
0.15 208.65
0.15 197.25
0.15 207.00
0.15 220.50
0.15 210.00

(1-)
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1355.00
1375.10
1375.54
1345.75
1325.69
1313.44
1325.07
1323.56
1332.03
1352.72
1359.81

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
134.00
2.90
-198.54
-133.75
-81.69
77.56
-10.07
56.44
137.97
47.28

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
17956.00
34.00 134.00
234.00 117.00
27956.00
8.41
36.90
2.90
236.90 78.97
27964.41
39416.15
-161.64 198.54
435.44 108.86
67380.56
17890.33
-295.39 133.75
569.19 113.84
85270.89
6673.51
-377.08
81.69
650.88 108.48
91944.40
6015.89
-299.52
77.56
728.44 104.06
97960.29
101.45
-309.59
10.07
738.52 92.31
98061.74
3185.33
-253.15
56.44
794.95 88.33
101247.06
19036.52
-115.18 137.97
932.93 93.29
120283.58
2235.11
-67.90
47.28
980.20 89.11
122518.69

 = 0,2
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.20 274.00
0.20 254.00
0.20 297.80
0.20 275.60
0.20 235.40
0.20 242.40
0.20 248.80
0.20 278.20
0.20 263.00
0.20 276.00
0.20 294.00
0.20 280.00

(1-)
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1350.00
1377.80
1377.84
1337.67
1312.54
1298.83
1317.26
1316.81
1329.45
1357.56
1366.05

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
139.00
0.20
-200.84
-125.67
-68.54
92.17
-2.26
63.19
140.55
42.44

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
19321.00
39.00 139.00
239.00 119.50
29321.00
0.04
39.20
0.20
239.20 79.73
29321.04
40336.71
-161.64 200.84
440.04 110.01
69657.75
15793.45
-287.31 125.67
565.71 113.14
85451.20
4697.40
-355.85
68.54
634.25 105.71
90148.60
8495.29
-263.68
92.17
726.42 103.77
98643.89
5.13
-265.94
2.26
728.68 91.09
98649.02
3992.82
-202.75
63.19
791.87 87.99
102641.84
19754.58
-62.20 140.55
932.42 93.24
122396.42
1801.22
-19.76
42.44
974.86 88.62
124197.64

MSD
0.00
10000.00
14660.50
9773.68
17414.44
17090.24
15024.77
14091.98
12331.13
11404.65
12239.64
11290.69

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.33
0.49
-1.47
-2.54
-3.37
-2.54
-2.92
-2.30
-0.67
-0.22

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
20736.00
44.00 144.00
244.00 122.00
30736.00
9.00
41.00
3.00
247.00 82.33
30745.00
41310.56
-162.25 203.25
450.25 112.56
72055.56
13791.57
-279.69 117.44
567.69 113.54
85847.13
3144.76
-335.77
56.08
623.77 103.96
88991.89
11012.70
-230.82 104.94
728.71 104.10
100004.58
7.32
-228.12
2.71
731.41 91.43
100011.91
4492.96
-161.09
67.03
798.44 88.72
104504.87
19676.28
-20.82 140.27
938.71 93.87
124181.14
1239.33
14.39
35.20
973.92 88.54
125420.47

MSD
0.00
10000.00
15368.00
10248.33
18013.89
17169.43
14831.98
14286.37
12501.49
11611.65
12418.11
11401.86

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.36
0.50
-1.44
-2.46
-3.23
-2.22
-2.50
-1.82
-0.22
0.16

= 0,25
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.25 342.50
0.25 317.50
0.25 372.25
0.25 344.50
0.25 294.25
0.25 303.00
0.25 311.00
0.25 347.75
0.25 328.75
0.25 345.00
0.25 367.50
0.25 350.00

(1-)
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1345.00
1381.00
1380.25
1329.44
1300.08
1286.06
1312.29
1312.97
1329.73
1364.80
1373.60

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
144.00
-3.00
-203.25
-117.44
-56.08
104.94
2.71
67.03
140.27
35.20

 = 0,3
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.30 411.00
0.30 381.00
0.30 446.70
0.30 413.40
0.30 353.10
0.30 363.60
0.30 373.20
0.30 417.30
0.30 394.50
0.30 414.00
0.30 441.00
0.30 420.00

(1-)
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.70

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1340.00
1384.70
1382.69
1320.98
1288.29
1275.00
1309.80
1311.36
1331.95
1373.37
1381.36

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
149.00
-6.70
-205.69
-108.98
-44.29
116.00
5.20
68.64
138.05
26.63

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
22201.00
49.00 149.00
249.00 124.50
32201.00
44.89
42.30
6.70
255.70 85.23
32245.89
42308.38
-163.39 205.69
461.39 115.35
74554.27
11877.29
-272.37 108.98
570.37 114.07
86431.56
1961.44
-316.66
44.29
614.66 102.44
88393.00
13455.61
-200.66 116.00
730.66 104.38
101848.61
27.03
-195.46
5.20
735.86 91.98
101875.64
4711.34
-126.82
68.64
804.50 89.39
106586.97
19057.09
11.22 138.05
942.54 94.25
125644.07
709.33
37.86
26.63
969.18 88.11
126353.39

MSD
0.00
10000.00
16100.50
10748.63
18638.57
17286.31
14732.17
14549.80
12734.45
11843.00
12564.41
11486.67

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.39
0.50
-1.42
-2.39
-3.09
-1.92
-2.13
-1.42
0.12
0.43

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
23716.00
54.00 154.00
254.00 127.00
33716.00
118.81
43.10
10.90
264.90 88.30
33834.81
43299.37
-164.99 208.09
472.99 118.25
77134.18
10051.12
-265.24 100.26
573.24 114.65
87185.29
1099.98
-298.41
33.17
606.41 101.07
88285.27
15735.73
-172.96 125.44
731.85 104.55
104021.00
30.66
-167.43
5.54
737.39 92.17
104051.67
4705.87
-98.83
68.60
805.99 89.55
108757.53
18114.35
35.76 134.59
940.57 94.06
126871.88
305.66
53.25
17.48
958.06 87.10
127177.54

MSD
0.00
10000.00
16858.00
11278.27
19283.54
17437.06
14714.21
14860.14
13006.46
12084.17
12687.19
11561.59

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.43
0.49
-1.40
-2.31
-2.95
-1.65
-1.82
-1.10
0.38
0.61

= 0,35
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.35 479.50
0.35 444.50
0.35 521.15
0.35 482.30
0.35 411.95
0.35 424.20
0.35 435.40
0.35 486.85
0.35 460.25
0.35 483.00
0.35 514.50
0.35 490.00

(1-)
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1335.00
1388.90
1385.09
1312.26
1277.17
1265.56
1309.46
1311.40
1335.41
1382.52
1388.64

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
154.00
-10.90
-208.09
-100.26
-33.17
125.44
5.54
68.60
134.59
17.48

 = 0,4
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.40 548.00
0.40 508.00
0.40 595.60
0.40 551.20
0.40 470.80
0.40 484.80
0.40 497.60
0.40 556.40
0.40 526.00
0.40 552.00
0.40 588.00
0.40 560.00

(1-)
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1330.00
1393.60
1387.36
1303.22
1266.73
1257.64
1310.98
1312.59
1339.55
1391.73
1395.04

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
159.00
-15.60
-210.36
-91.22
-22.73
133.36
4.02
67.41
130.45
8.27

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
25281.00
59.00 159.00
259.00 129.50
35281.00
243.36
43.40
15.60
274.60 91.53
35524.36
44251.33
-166.96 210.36
484.96 121.24
79775.69
8320.36
-258.18
91.22
576.18 115.24
88096.05
516.63
-280.91
22.73
598.91 99.82
88612.68
17785.49
-147.54 133.36
732.27 104.61
106398.17
16.14
-143.53
4.02
736.29 92.04
106414.31
4544.16
-76.12
67.41
803.70 89.30
110958.47
17016.22
54.33 130.45
934.14 93.41
127974.69
68.36
62.60
8.27
942.41 85.67
128043.05

MSD
0.00
10000.00
17640.50
11841.45
19943.92
17619.21
14768.78
15199.74
13301.79
12328.72
12797.47
11640.28

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.46
0.47
-1.38
-2.24
-2.81
-1.41
-1.56
-0.85
0.58
0.73

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
26896.00
64.00 164.00
264.00 132.00
36896.00
432.64
43.20
20.80
284.80 94.93
37328.64
45130.75
-169.24 212.44
497.24 124.31
82459.39
6698.11
-251.08
81.84
579.08 115.82
89157.51
169.34
-264.10
13.01
592.10 98.68
89326.85
19556.01
-124.25 139.84
731.94 104.56
108882.85
0.83
-123.34
0.91
732.85 91.61
108883.69
4290.57
-57.84
65.50
798.35 88.71
113174.26
15882.64
68.19 126.03
924.38 92.44
129056.90
0.47
67.50
0.69
925.07 84.10
129057.37

MSD
0.00
10000.00
18448.00
12442.88
20614.85
17831.50
14887.81
15554.69
13610.46
12574.92
12905.69
11732.49

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.48
0.46
-1.36
-2.17
-2.68
-1.19
-1.35
-0.65
0.74
0.80

= 0,45
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.45 616.50
0.45 571.50
0.45 670.05
0.45 620.10
0.45 529.65
0.45 545.40
0.45 559.80
0.45 625.95
0.45 591.75
0.45 621.00
0.45 661.50
0.45 630.00

(1-)
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1325.00
1398.80
1389.44
1293.84
1257.01
1251.16
1314.09
1314.50
1343.97
1400.69
1400.38

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
164.00
-20.80
-212.44
-81.84
-13.01
139.84
0.91
65.50
126.03
-0.69

 = 0,5
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.50 685.00
0.50 635.00
0.50 744.50
0.50 689.00
0.50 588.50
0.50 606.00
0.50 622.00
0.50 695.50
0.50 657.50
0.50 690.00
0.50 735.00
0.50 700.00

(1-)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1320.00
1404.50
1391.25
1284.13
1248.06
1246.03
1318.52
1316.76
1348.38
1409.19
1404.59

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
169.00
-26.50
-214.25
-72.13
-4.06
144.97
-3.52
63.24
121.62
-9.19

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
28561.00
69.00 169.00
269.00 134.50
38561.00
702.25
42.50
26.50
295.50 98.50
39263.25
45903.06
-171.75 214.25
509.75 127.44
85166.31
5202.02
-243.88
72.13
581.88 116.38
90368.33
16.50
-247.94
4.06
585.94 97.66
90384.83
21015.94
-102.97 144.97
730.91 104.42
111400.77
12.36
-106.48
3.52
734.42 91.80
111413.13
3999.57
-43.24
63.24
797.66 88.63
115412.70
14791.69
78.38 121.62
919.29 91.93
130204.39
84.45
69.19
9.19
928.47 84.41
130288.84

MSD
0.00
10000.00
19280.50
13087.75
21291.58
18073.67
15064.14
15914.40
13926.64
12823.63
13020.44
11844.44

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.51
0.43
-1.35
-2.10
-2.54
-0.99
-1.16
-0.49
0.85
0.82

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
30276.00
74.00 174.00
274.00 137.00
40276.00
1069.29
41.30
32.70
306.70 102.23
41345.29
46532.96
-174.42 215.72
522.42 130.60
87878.25
3852.90
-236.49
62.07
584.49 116.90
91731.15
16.55
-232.42
4.07
588.55 98.09
91747.70
22150.51
-83.59 148.83
737.38 105.34
113898.21
81.47
-92.61
9.03
746.41 93.30
113979.68
3713.46
-31.68
60.94
807.35 89.71
117693.14
13787.97
85.75 117.42
924.77 92.48
131481.11
294.47
68.59
17.16
941.93 85.63
131775.58

MSD
0.00
10000.00
20138.00
13781.76
21969.56
18346.23
15291.28
16271.17
14247.46
13077.02
13148.11
11979.60

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.54
0.40
-1.34
-2.02
-2.37
-0.79
-0.99
-0.35
0.93
0.80

= 0,55
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.55 753.50
0.55 698.50
0.55 818.95
0.55 757.90
0.55 647.35
0.55 666.60
0.55 684.20
0.55 765.05
0.55 723.25
0.55 759.00
0.55 808.50
0.55 770.00

(1-)
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1315.00
1410.70
1392.72
1274.07
1239.93
1242.17
1324.03
1319.06
1352.58
1417.16
1407.72

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
174.00
-32.70
-215.72
-62.07
4.07
148.83
-9.03
60.94
117.42
-17.16

 = 0,6
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.60 822.00
0.60 762.00
0.60 893.40
0.60 826.80
0.60 706.20
0.60 727.20
0.60 746.40
0.60 834.60
0.60 789.00
0.60 828.00
0.60 882.00
0.60 840.00

(1-)
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1310.00
1417.40
1393.76
1263.70
1232.68
1239.47
1330.39
1321.16
1356.46
1424.58
1409.83

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
179.00
-39.40
-216.76
-51.70
11.32
151.53
-15.39
58.84
113.54
-24.58

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
32041.00
79.00 179.00
279.00 139.50
42041.00
1552.36
39.60
39.40
318.40 106.13
43593.36
46984.90
-177.16 216.76
535.16 133.79
90578.26
2673.30
-228.86
51.70
586.86 117.37
93251.56
128.11
-217.55
11.32
598.18 99.70
93379.67
22960.54
-66.02 151.53
749.71 107.10
116340.21
236.82
-81.41
15.39
765.10 95.64
116577.03
3462.66
-22.56
58.84
823.94 91.55
120039.69
12890.82
90.97 113.54
937.48 93.75
132930.51
604.42
66.39
24.58
962.07 87.46
133534.93

MSD
0.00
10000.00
21020.50
14531.12
22644.56
18650.31
15563.28
16620.03
14572.13
13337.74
13293.05
12139.54

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.57
0.37
-1.32
-1.95
-2.18
-0.62
-0.85
-0.25
0.97
0.76

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
33856.00
84.00 184.00
284.00 142.00
43856.00
2171.56
37.40
46.60
330.60 110.20
46027.56
47223.64
-179.91 217.31
547.91 136.98
93251.20
1685.80
-220.97
41.06
588.97 117.79
94937.00
310.80
-203.34
17.63
606.60 101.10
95247.80
23461.15
-50.17 153.17
759.77 108.54
118708.95
501.33
-72.56
22.39
782.16 97.77
119210.28
3267.65
-15.40
57.16
839.32 93.26
122477.93
12101.58
94.61 110.01
949.33 94.93
134579.51
992.09
63.11
31.50
980.83 89.17
135571.60

MSD
0.00
10000.00
21928.00
15342.52
23312.80
18987.40
15874.63
16958.42
14901.28
13608.66
13457.95
12324.69

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.59
0.34
-1.31
-1.88
-2.01
-0.46
-0.74
-0.17
1.00
0.71

= 0,65
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.65 890.50
0.65 825.50
0.65 967.85
0.65 895.70
0.65 765.05
0.65 787.80
0.65 808.60
0.65 904.15
0.65 854.75
0.65 897.00
0.65 955.50
0.65 910.00

(1-)
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1305.00
1424.60
1394.31
1253.06
1226.37
1237.83
1337.39
1322.84
1359.99
1431.50
1411.02

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
184.00
-46.60
-217.31
-41.06
17.63
153.17
-22.39
57.16
110.01
-31.50

 = 0,7
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

.A(t)
0.70 959.00
0.70 889.00
0.70 1042.30
0.70 964.60
0.70 823.90
0.70 848.40
0.70 870.80
0.70 973.70
0.70 920.50
0.70 966.00
0.70 1029.00
0.70 980.00

(1-)
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1300.00
1432.30
1394.29
1242.19
1221.06
1237.12
1344.84
1323.95
1363.19
1437.96
1411.39

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
189.00
-54.30
-217.29
-30.19
22.94
153.88
-29.84
56.05
106.81
-37.96

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
35721.00
89.00 189.00
289.00 144.50
45721.00
2948.49
34.70
54.30
343.30 114.43
48669.49
47214.94
-182.59 217.29
560.59 140.15
95884.43
911.25
-212.78
30.19
590.78 118.16
96795.69
526.42
-189.83
22.94
613.72 102.29
97322.11
23680.03
-35.95 153.88
767.60 109.66
121002.14
890.13
-65.78
29.84
797.44 99.68
121892.27
3141.54
-9.74
56.05
853.49 94.83
125033.82
11409.41
97.08 106.81
960.30 96.03
136443.23
1440.62
59.12
37.96
998.26 90.75
137883.85

MSD
0.00
10000.00
22860.50
16223.16
23971.11
19359.14
16220.35
17286.02
15236.53
13892.65
13644.32
12534.90

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.62
0.30
-1.30
-1.80
-1.86
-0.33
-0.66
-0.10
1.01
0.65

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
37636.00
94.00 194.00
294.00 147.00
47636.00
3906.25
31.50
62.50
356.50 118.83
51542.25
46926.39
-185.13 216.63
573.13 143.28
98468.64
366.96
-204.28
19.16
592.28 118.46
98835.60
740.44
-177.07
27.21
619.49 103.25
99576.04
23655.28
-23.27 153.80
773.29 110.47
123231.32
1409.95
-60.82
37.55
810.84 101.36
124641.27
3092.77
-5.20
55.61
866.46 96.27
127734.04
10795.87
98.70 103.90
970.36 97.04
138529.91
1938.13
54.67
44.02
1014.38 92.22
140468.04

MSD
0.00
10000.00
23818.00
17180.75
24617.16
19767.12
16596.01
17604.47
15580.16
14192.67
13852.99
12769.82

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.64
0.27
-1.29
-1.72
-1.71
-0.21
-0.60
-0.05
1.02
0.59

= 0,75
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75

.A(t)
1027.50
952.50
1116.75
1033.50
882.75
909.00
933.00
1043.25
986.25
1035.00
1102.50
1050.00

(1-)
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1295.00
1440.50
1393.63
1231.16
1216.79
1237.20
1352.55
1324.39
1366.10
1444.02
1411.01

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
194.00
-62.50
-216.63
-19.16
27.21
153.80
-37.55
55.61
103.90
-44.02

 = 0,8
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.80

.A(t)
1096.00
1016.00
1191.20
1102.40
941.60
969.60
995.20
1112.80
1052.00
1104.00
1176.00
1120.00

(1-)
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1290.00
1449.20
1392.24
1220.05
1213.61
1237.92
1360.38
1324.08
1368.82
1449.76
1409.95

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
199.00
-71.20
-215.24
-8.05
30.39
153.08
-45.38
55.92
101.18
-49.76

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
39601.00
99.00 199.00
299.00 149.50
49601.00
5069.44
27.80
71.20
370.20 123.40
54670.44
46328.26
-187.44 215.24
585.44 146.36
100998.70
64.77
-195.49
8.05
593.49 118.70
101063.47
923.58
-165.10
30.39
623.88 103.98
101987.04
23432.90
-12.02 153.08
776.96 110.99
125419.94
2059.74
-57.40
45.38
822.34 102.79
127479.69
3127.40
-1.48
55.92
878.26 97.58
130607.08
10238.33
99.70 101.18
979.45 97.94
140845.41
2476.36
49.94
49.76
1029.21 93.56
143321.77

MSD
0.00
10000.00
24800.50
18223.48
25249.67
20212.69
16997.84
17917.13
15934.96
14511.90
14084.54
13029.25

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.66
0.23
-1.28
-1.65
-1.59
-0.11
-0.56
-0.02
1.02
0.53

MSD
0.00
10000.00
25808.00
19360.05
25868.68
20696.79
17422.90
18228.77
16304.22
14853.85
14339.73
13313.29

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.68
0.18
-1.27
-1.55
-1.46
-0.02
-0.53
0.02
1.01
0.47

0.85
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.85

.A(t)
1164.50
1079.50
1265.65
1171.30
1000.45
1030.20
1057.40
1182.35
1117.75
1173.00
1249.50
1190.00

(1-)
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1285.00
1458.40
1390.06
1208.96
1211.54
1239.13
1368.22
1322.98
1371.45
1455.22
1408.28

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
204.00
-80.40
-213.06
3.04
32.46
151.87
-53.22
57.02
98.55
-55.22

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
41616.00
104.00 204.00
304.00 152.00
51616.00
6464.16
23.60
80.40
384.40 128.13
58080.16
45394.56
-189.46 213.06
597.46 149.37
103474.72
9.25
-186.42
3.04
600.50 120.10
103483.97
1053.40
-153.96
32.46
632.96 105.49
104537.37
23064.02
-2.09 151.87
784.83 112.12
127601.39
2832.34
-55.31
53.22
838.05 104.76
130433.73
3250.94
1.70
57.02
895.06 99.45
133684.67
9712.61
100.26
98.55
993.61 99.36
143397.28
3048.93
45.04
55.22
1048.83 95.35
146446.21

 = 0,9
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90

.A(t)
1233.00
1143.00
1340.10
1240.20
1059.30
1090.80
1119.60
1251.90
1183.50
1242.00
1323.00
1260.00

(1-)
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1280.00
1468.10
1387.01
1198.00
1210.60
1240.66
1375.97
1321.10
1374.11
1460.41
1406.04

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
209.00
-90.10
-210.01
14.00
33.40
150.34
-60.97
58.90
95.89
-60.41

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
43681.00
109.00 209.00
309.00 154.50
53681.00
8118.01
18.90
90.10
399.10 133.03
61799.01
44104.20
-191.11 210.01
609.11 152.28
105903.21
195.97
-177.11
14.00
623.11 124.62
106099.18
1115.55
-143.71
33.40
656.51 109.42
107214.74
22602.11
6.63 150.34
806.85 115.26
129816.85
3716.85
-54.34
60.97
867.81 108.48
133533.70
3469.61
4.57
58.90
926.72 102.97
137003.31
9194.96
100.46
95.89
1022.61 102.26
146198.27
3649.48
40.05
60.41
1083.02 98.46
149847.75

MSD
0.00
10000.00
26840.50
20599.67
26475.80
21219.84
17869.12
18545.26
16691.71
15222.59
14619.83
13622.52

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.71
0.14
-1.26
-1.42
-1.31
0.06
-0.50
0.04
0.98
0.41

(e(t))^2
Kum. e(t) |e(t)| Kum. |e(t)| MAD Kum. ((e(t))^2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10000.00
-100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00
10000.00
45796.00
114.00 214.00
314.00 157.00
55796.00
10060.09
13.70 100.30
414.30 138.10
65856.09
42442.18
-192.32 206.02
620.32 155.08
108298.27
610.05
-167.62
24.70
645.01 129.00
108908.32
1104.56
-134.38
33.23
678.25 113.04
110012.89
22100.32
14.28 148.66
826.91 118.13
132113.20
4701.42
-54.29
68.57
895.48 111.93
136814.62
3791.07
7.29
61.57
957.05 106.34
140605.69
8663.62
100.36
93.08
1050.13 105.01
149269.31
4270.11
35.02
65.35
1115.47 101.41
153539.42

MSD
0.00
10000.00
27898.00
21952.03
27074.57
21781.66
18335.48
18873.31
17101.83
15622.85
14926.93
13958.13

TS
0.00
-1.00
0.73
0.10
-1.24
-1.30
-1.19
0.12
-0.48
0.07
0.96
0.35

= 0,95
Periode
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00

A(t)
1370.00
1270.00
1489.00
1378.00
1177.00
1212.00
1244.00
1391.00
1315.00
1380.00
1470.00
1400.00

0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95
0.95

.A(t)
1301.50
1206.50
1414.55
1309.10
1118.15
1151.40
1181.80
1321.45
1249.25
1311.00
1396.50
1330.00

(1-)
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05

t
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00

F(t)
0.00
1370.00
1275.00
1478.30
1383.02
1187.30
1210.77
1242.34
1383.57
1318.43
1376.92
1465.35
1403.27

e(t)
0.00
-100.00
214.00
-100.30
-206.02
24.70
33.23
148.66
-68.57
61.57
93.08
-65.35