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02 October 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued ....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Over Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................7


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................8


Under Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Over Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Health
Under Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Over Valued .......................................... 12
Under Valued ................................................ 12

Personal Care & Household Products

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ..................................................................... 12
Real Estate - REIT
Under Valued ..................................................................... 13
Real Estate REIS
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .................................................... 13


Under Valued .......................................................... 13
Under Valued ..................................................................... 14
Over Valued ....................................................... 15

Telecommunication Services
Over Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities
DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target price


based upon 49
valuation metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVON RUBBER

550.50

297.50

550.50

Sell

Sell

508

0.93

BAE SYSTEMS

455.90

300.80

468.00

Neutral

Buy

623

0.70

CHEMRING GROUP

304.40

217.00

353.30

Neutral

Buy

337

0.67

COBHAM

290.20

190.10

307.70

Neutral

Neutral

297

0.82

MEGGITT

549.50

366.20

564.00

Neutral

Sell

519

1.25

QINETIQ GROUP

193.70

179.00

211.10

Neutral

Sell

116

0.65

1134.00

835.76

1240.00

Neutral

Buy

1522

0.98

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS
SENIOR

Target

Beta

273.40

185.90

288.40

Neutral

Neutral

274

1.66

SMITHS GROUP

1419.00

1018.00

1419.00

Neutral

Sell

1223

0.76

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1905.00

1505.00

1981.00

Neutral

Sell

1725

0.51

Over Valued

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

GKN

349.50

201.00

360.70

Neutral

Sell

-1699

1.96

INCHCAPE

606.00

353.30

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2808

1.41

LOOKERS

121.50

71.50

128.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

631

1.22

PENDRAGON

34.25

13.50

35.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

248

1.04

TOROTRAK

26.00

23.50

36.50

Neutral

Sell

12

0.73

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARCLAYS

269.80

203.45

308.39

Neutral

Sell

Target
-853

Beta
1.96

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

671.10

580.50

769.90

Neutral

Buy

820

1.19

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP

74.64

37.01

78.00

Neutral

Sell

1.88

ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

368.30

257.30

372.70

Neutral

Sell

-100

1.39

STANDARD CHARTERED

1471.50

1380.00

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3285

1.67

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARR (AG)

526.50

432.20

588.50

Neutral

Sell

417

BRITVIC

574.50

349.10

592.00

Neutral

Buy

808

0.73

DIAGEO

1956.50

1746.50

2136.50

Neutral

Buy

2279

0.51

SABMILLER

3055.00

2599.00

3657.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4978

0.89

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta
0.58

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

361.10

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3678

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

292.00

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

535

1.11

CARCLO

388.00

342.75

501.00

Neutral

Sell

123

0.74

2666.00

2164.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3220

1.05

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS

239.70

204.20

275.00

Neutral

Buy

294

1.07

JOHNSON MATTHEY

2813.00

2190.00

2985.00

Neutral

Buy

3961

1.44

VICTREX

1609.00

1331.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1325

1.16

SYNTHOMER

240.00

146.00

249.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

370

1.05

ZOTEFOAMS

195.00

186.50

225.00

Neutral

Buy

283

1.00

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

135.00

77.50

137.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

291

0.55

BALFOUR BEATTY

282.60

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1092

0.82

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

Target

Beta

312.20

174.50

355.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

640

1.67

BELLWAY

1319.00

913.00

1502.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2982

0.96

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

0.55

2118.00

1387.00

2340.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5220

BOOT (HENRY)

184.00

123.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

373

0.74

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

729.00

487.00

851.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1496

1.07

CARILLION

309.20

244.80

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1614

1.06

CLARKE (T)

67.00

40.00

68.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

405

0.76

263.75

226.25

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1170

0.50

CRH

1502.00

1090.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

908

1.03

GALLIFORD TRY

1055.00

678.00

1070.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3093

0.93

KELLER

1043.00

549.00

1161.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2492

1.28

KIER GROUP

1692.00

1106.00

1692.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5584

0.99

74.25

50.00

80.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

233

1.08

MARSHALLS

169.75

85.00

184.00

Neutral

Buy

215

1.33

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

747.50

508.00

750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4798

0.70

COSTAIN GROUP

LOW & BONAR

NORCROS

20.25

11.25

21.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

72

1.02

1106.00

685.75

1305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2084

0.99

REDROW

234.50

152.90

255.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

477

0.84

SIG

186.80

102.00

193.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

554

1.68

38.50

38.50

287.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

4461

0.89

PERSIMMON

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS
TAYLOR WIMPEY

101.30

54.70

113.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

237

1.58

TRAVIS PERKINS

1685.00

1060.00

1713.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4613

1.94

WOLSELEY

3296.00

2636.64

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6300

1.30

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1135.00

999.50

1399.00

Neutral

Sell

1067

0.67

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

644.00

522.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

894

1.12

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

145.75

105.50

148.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

291

1.25

INVENSYS

500.00

217.33

509.50

Neutral

Sell

293

1.42

LAIRD

220.40

171.10

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

452

2.06

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1330.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1165

1.11

RENISHAW

1815.00

1494.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2098

1.28

SPECTRIS

2250.00

1549.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2860

1.51

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

172.50

65.00

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-436

0.76

TT ELECTRONICS

196.25

114.00

200.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

440

1.61

XAAR

824.00

247.50

898.00

Neutral

Sell

424

1.08

DIALIGHT

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

128.75

54.25

128.75

Sell

Buy

Target
147

Beta
1.14

BODYCOTE

650.00

345.10

685.00

Neutral

Neutral

658

1.59

CASTINGS

425.00

291.00

450.00

Neutral

Buy

581

0.93

VESUVIUS

440.60

263.19

487.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1202

2.23

FENNER

393.00

305.90

435.20

Neutral

Buy

578

1.47

HALMA

567.50

410.40

578.00

Neutral

Sell

428

0.79

HILL & SMITH

472.50

364.00

480.00

Neutral

Buy

560

1.31

1460.00

902.00

1513.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4523

1.39

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN
SPIRAX-SARCO

310.00

220.30

318.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

515

1.89

2789.00

2229.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

282

1.01

59.75

35.40

76.91

Neutral

Sell

51

0.79

3025.00

1932.53

3090.00

Neutral

Sell

1851

0.81

VITEC GROUP

683.50

559.00

740.00

Neutral

Sell

489

1.34

WEIR GROUP

2335.00

1688.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2291

1.45

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

421.30

392.10

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

791

0.45

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

279.80

248.60

302.50

Neutral

Buy

380

0.37

SAINSBURY (J)

390.20

321.90

400.80

Neutral

Buy

459

0.55

TESCO

359.10

307.90

387.75

Neutral

Sell

192

0.67

97.00

28.63

100.50

Neutral

Sell

61

0.79

THORNTONS

Target

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1886.00

1308.00

2031.00

Neutral

Sell

1617

0.59

CRANSWICK

1155.00

732.50

1189.00

Neutral

Buy

1727

0.31

DAIRY CREST

460.00

339.90

528.50

Neutral

Sell

386

0.88

DEVRO

323.00

289.90

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

490

0.36

PREMIER FOODS

152.00

59.75

166.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

249

1.23

TATE & LYLE

738.00

671.00

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1294

0.65

2358.00

2262.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

2111

0.50

UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

25.50

24.00

29.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

46

0.67

522.50

266.40

577.00

Neutral

Neutral

534

0.50

1657.00

1000.00

1667.00

Neutral

Sell

1285

1.29

661.50

585.00

701.50

Neutral

Sell

256

0.87

46.52

20.00

47.67

Neutral

Neutral

45

1.46

245.00

108.00

253.75

Neutral

Sell

154

1.04

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL

Target

Beta

30.25

23.00

34.00

Sell

Sell

12

1.03

398.30

265.60

406.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

606

0.71

1060.00

670.00

1073.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2120

0.51

69.50

39.00

88.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

125

1.22

KINGFISHER

389.50

262.20

420.00

Neutral

Buy

563

0.90

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

501.00

359.00

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

764

0.61

69.00

51.50

74.88

Neutral

Buy

87

0.95

385.25

212.00

492.75

Neutral

Sell

136

0.36

NEXT

5175.00

3496.00

5205.00

Neutral

Neutral

5496

0.59

TED BAKER

1914.00

908.00

2017.00

Neutral

Sell

1080

0.57

89.00

46.50

94.00

Neutral

Sell

82

1.50

FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

146.00

130.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

116

0.38

CONSORT MEDICAL

880.00

660.50

880.00

Neutral

Sell

673

0.35

OPTOS

159.25

106.75

222.75

Neutral

Neutral

174

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

766.50

638.00

800.00

Neutral

Sell

663

0.40

Beta

Under Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

820.00

601.00

823.50

Neutral

Neutral

795

0.31

HEADLAM GROUP

395.50

295.00

415.00

Neutral

Buy

462

0.89

79.00

55.25

87.50

Neutral

Sell

47

0.69

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

998.00

577.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

442

0.69

CSR

520.00

330.90

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1554

1.13

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

65.50

30.75

83.25

Neutral

Buy

82

0.93

326.90

235.10

552.00

Neutral

Sell

238

1.04

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

127.10

118.00

169.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

400

0.90

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

174.50

140.00

226.25

Neutral

Sell

-20

0.93

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1225.00

1019.00

1416.00

Neutral

Sell

-481

0.52

AMLIN

403.50

364.10

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1538

0.38

BEAZLEY

211.70

167.30

242.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

953

0.52

CATLIN GROUP

484.70

455.30

552.50

Neutral

Neutral

477

0.23

HISCOX

654.50

463.32

660.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1909

0.42
0.30

ADMIRAL GROUP

Target

Beta

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

946.00

723.00

949.50

Neutral

Buy

1215

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

119.70

107.70

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.35

NOVAE GROUP

506.50

345.00

520.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3451

0.35

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2069.00

2069.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3244

0.95

ENTERPRISE INNS

151.00

62.25

153.80

Neutral

Sell

93

1.65

TUI TRAVEL

368.50

235.70

401.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

684

0.96

FULLER SMITH 'A'

901.50

716.00

969.00

Neutral

Sell

562

0.27

GREENE KING

787.00

587.00

897.50

Neutral

Sell

573

0.89

LADBROKES

168.20

168.20

243.10

Neutral

Buy

245

0.90

1820.00

1524.00

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1581

1.09

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

556.00

456.00

582.50

Neutral

Neutral

550

1.36

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

404.70

289.50

460.00

Neutral

Sell

250

0.98

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

122.00

101.30

156.00

Neutral

Sell

59

1.28

14.75

6.15

15.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

64

1.15

153.00

137.30

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

540

0.97
0.66

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

541.00

362.20

575.00

Neutral

Sell

366

WETHERSPOON (JD)

738.00

483.20

767.00

Neutral

Sell

645

0.54

WHITBREAD

2993.00

2300.00

3303.00

Neutral

Sell

2045

0.98

WILLIAM HILL

415.50

299.96

494.50

Neutral

Sell

341

0.84

MARSTON'S

148.10

115.10

165.50

Neutral

Sell

10

1.15

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

408.10

294.10

419.80

Neutral

Sell

375

1.18

CHESNARA

273.00

176.50

276.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

533

0.61

LEGAL & GENERAL

197.30

131.40

203.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

504

1.70

OLD MUTUAL

187.10

166.10

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

404

1.55

PRUDENTIAL

1185.00

820.00

1232.00

Neutral

Neutral

1206

1.69

622.50

371.90

641.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6878

0.83

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

02 October 2013
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Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

150.25

102.00

150.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

922

0.40

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

880.50

709.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1056

0.46

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

50.50

31.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.06

759.50

451.25

835.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3556

1.06

1160.00

747.50

1209.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5566

0.93

INFORMA

526.00

380.50

545.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.64

ITE GROUP

289.00

183.50

307.40

Neutral

Buy

201

1.46

ITV

178.70

85.65

183.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1369

1.46
1.21

JOHNSTON PRESS

14.00

8.01

19.00

Neutral

Buy

720

1250.00

1119.00

1350.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

0.65

PHOTO-ME INTL.

112.00

46.75

113.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2283

0.85

PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON

298.50

269.00

298.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

0.14

36.29

26.85

36.59

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

0.52

STV GROUP

256.00

91.00

262.50

Neutral

Sell

240

0.82

ST.IVES

173.00

85.25

174.00

Neutral

Sell

159

1.49

TRINITY MIRROR

121.00

51.25

128.25

Neutral

Sell

-289

1.58

UBM

720.50

636.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1421

1.34

212.50

125.00

212.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1390

0.83

1265.00

788.00

1296.00

Neutral

Sell

-827

1.25

PEARSON

THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP
WPP

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1484.50

1207.00

2072.00

Neutral

Sell

1227

1.85

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

195.75

161.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

201

1.09

ANTOFAGASTA

816.00

784.50

1381.00

Neutral

Neutral

813

1.42

1805.00

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2817

1.49

GLENCORE XSTRATA

330.50

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

982

#NA

LONMIN

315.20

240.84

380.10

Sell

Buy

425

2.05

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4338.00

3972.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

2765

0.48

RIO TINTO

2996.00

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2413

1.55

992.00

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2675

2.29

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

VEDANTA RESOURCES

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1175.50

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

874

0.84

BP

432.45

416.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

978

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

262.50

251.80

296.10

Neutral

Sell

-23

1.33

9.90

7.15

12.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

107

0.81

800.50

716.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

555

1.35

62.75

48.50

81.00

Neutral

Sell

-57

1.33

327.70

321.30

400.20

Neutral

Buy

399

1.49

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B

2116.00

2098.00

2365.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8143

0.83

SOCO INTERNATIONAL

398.00

290.14

398.00

Neutral

Buy

469

0.52

1031.00

977.00

1468.00

Neutral

Sell

683

1.07

797.50

720.50

915.50

Neutral

Sell

707

1.44

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL

TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

120.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Buy

164

PZ CUSSONS

416.20

304.40

432.50

Neutral

Sell

369

0.71

4463.00

3568.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

4600

0.31

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta
0.83

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.33

0.33

3.58

Strong Buy

Sell

-3

0.91

3211.50

2792.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

8472

0.49

BTG

382.00

317.50

397.90

Neutral

Sell

196

0.70

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

715.00

569.00

780.00

Neutral

Buy

813

0.18

1558.50

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Buy

1818

0.50
0.53

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE
OXFORD BIOMEDICA
PHYTOPHARM
SHIRE

Target

Beta

2.15

1.33

2.83

Buy

Sell

-3

63.50

51.50

612.50

Neutral

Sell

-261

0.90

2505.00

1727.00

2593.00

Neutral

Sell

1410

0.69

SKYEPHARMA

97.88

43.50

101.75

Neutral

Sell

66

0.55

VERNALIS

29.50

19.38

31.00

Neutral

Sell

10

0.84

Under Valued

Real Estate - REIT


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

460.00

312.00

460.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

764

BRITISH LAND

581.00

506.00

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

876

1.05

2400.00

1946.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5405

1.24

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

550.00

442.20

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1260

1.06

HAMMERSON

506.00

458.00

554.00

Neutral

Buy

591

1.27

INTU PROPERTIES

324.90

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

608

1.14

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

924.50

762.50

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1887

1.16

DERWENT LONDON

LOCAL SHOP.REIT (THE)

Target

Beta
1.18

29.50

24.25

38.75

Neutral

Sell

-182

0.81

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY

119.70

103.20

120.50

Neutral

Sell

-10

0.34

MCKAY SECURITIES

171.00

131.50

171.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

302

0.65

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

470.00

325.00

500.00

Neutral

Sell

250

0.37

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

330.00

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

117

0.26

46.25

30.69

47.25

Neutral

Sell

-420

0.62
1.82

REDEFINE INTL.REIT
SEGRO

313.80

221.60

313.80

Neutral

Sell

-341

SHAFTESBURY

607.00

522.50

668.00

Neutral

Buy

909

1.04

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

222.00

178.75

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-0

1.04

WORKSPACE GROUP

481.00

271.50

481.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1535

1.02

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Real Estate REIS


Stock
CAPITAL & CNTS.PROPS.
CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

344.10

218.70

365.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
686

Beta
0.73

40.50

22.75

42.00

Neutral

Sell

-54

0.56

CLS HOLDINGS

1171.00

656.50

1260.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2954

0.73

DAEJAN HOLDINGS

4200.00

2706.00

4200.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

14858

0.47

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

205.50

143.00

209.00

Neutral

Neutral

195

0.98

GRAINGER

181.00

105.10

187.50

Neutral

Sell

112

1.57

HELICAL BAR

297.00

178.00

302.50

Neutral

Sell

207

0.83

34.50

21.50

34.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

230

0.63

6412.50

4350.00

6512.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

14654

0.68
1.02

LONDON & ASSOCS.PROPS.


MOUNTVIEW ESTATES
QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

86.75

51.00

92.00

Sell

Sell

-213

RAVEN RUSSIA

76.00

61.50

79.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

211

1.52

622.00

391.20

664.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1795

0.69
0.32

SAVILLS

87.50

72.50

90.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

373

ST MODWEN PROPS.

SMART (J)

308.20

194.00

333.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

635

1.63

UNITE GROUP

392.50

260.70

403.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1652

1.78

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

113.00

109.60

162.00

Neutral

Buy

143

0.66

2625.00

1975.75

2650.00

Neutral

Sell

1504

1.52

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

530.00

333.29

564.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1484

0.90

KOFAX

363.00

260.75

388.00

Neutral

Neutral

347

1.04

30.25

20.75

30.25

Sell

Sell

27

0.81

762.00

543.00

812.50

Neutral

Buy

1048

0.81

PHOENIX IT GROUP

158.50

130.00

184.00

Neutral

Sell

-222

0.73

RM

109.00

64.00

114.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

270

0.54

2008.00

1275.00

2190.00

Neutral

Neutral

2177

0.77

330.60

289.36

368.18

Neutral

Buy

440

0.69

INNOVATION GROUP
MICRO FOCUS INTL.

FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

378.70

316.50

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1228

1.12

BREWIN DOLPHIN

272.70

169.80

283.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

643

0.69

8676.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

80665

0.85

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

456.50

260.00

474.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1408

0.93

CHARLES TAYLOR

210.00

155.00

228.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1619

0.65

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1185.00

830.00

1189.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4760

0.85

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

96.30

90.00

110.40

Neutral

Sell

77

0.86

5.45

0.75

5.70

Neutral

Sell

-124

0.61
1.44

HELPHIRE GROUP
HENDERSON GROUP

189.60

109.10

192.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

783

ICAP

369.90

280.80

422.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

819

1.07

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

446.00

287.20

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2198

1.70

INVESTEC

396.60

358.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2594

1.56

1567.00

930.00

1652.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6661

1.13

83.10

71.80

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4773

1.39

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1575.00

1208.00

1691.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5386

0.71

SCHRODERS

2613.00

1518.00

2631.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8040

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

2193.00

1190.00

2193.00

Sell

Strong Buy

11173

1.28

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

275.00

157.75

284.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

604

0.83

AGGREKO

1541.00

1541.00

2370.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3148

1.14

AMEC

1073.00

965.50

1150.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3224

1.11

620.00

336.10

730.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

945

1.64

1218.00

940.00

1218.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2523

0.49

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.

Target

Beta

630.00

372.50

637.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2281

0.80

1352.00

1009.00

1409.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2700

0.50

600.00

261.88

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1587

0.42

1015.00

713.00

1057.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1838

0.54

61.50

34.54

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

424

0.83

COMPASS GROUP

849.50

671.50

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1932

0.75

BERENDSEN

906.00

563.00

939.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3269

1.08

DE LA RUE

972.50

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2315

#NA

BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS

DIGNITY

1430.00

922.31

1567.68

Neutral

Buy

1627

0.25

DIPLOMA

651.00

435.00

661.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1290

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

279.30

200.00

280.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

862

0.98

ESSENTRA PLC

746.50

508.50

830.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1238

1.14

G4S

256.30

207.50

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

897

0.47

HAYS

118.00

75.20

118.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

388

1.03

HOMESERVE

259.80

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

906

0.89

INTERSERVE

573.00

349.10

591.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3030

1.25

INTERTEK GROUP

3354.00

2697.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4331

0.80

JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP

49.25

32.75

51.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

232

1.10

MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

26.50

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

181

0.57

MENZIES (JOHN)

799.00

573.00

809.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2014

1.41

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

500.00

346.40

502.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

783

1.36

MITIE GROUP

295.90

248.00

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1004

0.52

OFFICE2OFFICE

45.50

33.75

139.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

636

0.31

1077.00

741.00

1185.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1792

0.75

PREMIER FARNELL

219.60

165.50

238.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

538

1.41

REGUS

190.60

96.00

193.40

Sell

Sell

72

1.38

RENTOKIL INITIAL

108.80

83.00

111.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

447

1.26

PAYPOINT

REXAM

484.30

432.56

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1756

0.84

RICARDO

567.00

349.63

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1580

0.90

ROBERT WALTERS

335.00

191.00

335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

924

1.15

RPC GROUP

460.80

378.00

477.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1594

0.81

RPS GROUP

274.60

195.50

274.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

885

1.51

SERCO GROUP

553.00

535.00

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2185

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

93.00

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

357

1.49

SPEEDY HIRE

65.00

29.50

65.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.18

200.50

92.25

206.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

517

0.65

67.50

40.50

70.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

314

0.90

VP

490.00

313.00

499.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2210

0.79

WYG

110.00

50.25

110.00

Sell

Strong Buy

186

0.82

TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

347.50

212.50

348.90

Neutral

Buy

Target
427

40.89

34.31

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

79

0.67

717.50

542.50

749.00

Neutral

Sell

253

0.53

0.89

90.00

68.25

91.50

Neutral

Buy

118

1.20

1268.00

830.00

1399.00

Neutral

Sell

794

0.05

218.00

154.45

218.50

Neutral

Sell

121

0.51

Over Valued

Transport
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

295.90

195.70

326.00

Neutral

Sell

220

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

492.00

350.00

520.00

Neutral

Buy

557

1.06

CLARKSON

2270.00

1150.00

2270.00

Strong Sell

Sell

1251

0.86

EASYJET

1318.00

594.00

1448.00

Neutral

Sell

841

0.77

122.00

92.00

198.94

Neutral

Strong Buy

266

0.88

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1077.00

748.00

1148.00

Neutral

Sell

783

0.72

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1689.00

1220.00

1689.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2853

0.97

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta
1.22

NATIONAL EXPRESS

258.90

164.50

274.90

Neutral

Sell

242

1.39

NORTHGATE

439.00

243.25

439.00

Neutral

Sell

347

1.34

STAGECOACH GROUP

331.90

265.90

337.60

Neutral

Buy

455

0.97

WINCANTON

102.50

43.75

105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

271

0.95

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

368.10

310.80

402.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

564

0.50

NATIONAL GRID

731.00

682.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

964

0.45

PENNON GROUP

696.00

598.00

734.50

Neutral

Sell

618

0.63

SSE

1469.00

1364.00

1676.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2240

0.40

SEVERN TRENT

1774.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1481

0.37

700.00

647.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

745

0.49

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

02 October 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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