PERIODO

1
2
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7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
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20
21
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33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49

PRODUCCION
PRONOSTICO
ERROR DE PRONOSTICO
0.563
0.24
#N/A
0.558
#N/A
0.805
#N/A
0.417
#N/A
0.545
0.5166
0.00080656
0.549
0.513
0.001296
0.559
0.5748
0.00024964
0.772
0.575
0.038809
0.233
0.5684
0.11249316
0.102
0.5316
0.18455616
0.471
0.443
0.000784
0.569
0.4274
0.02005056
0.38
0.4294
0.00244036
0.822
0.351
0.221841
0.687
0.4688
0.04761124
0.71
0.5858
0.01542564
0.935
0.6336
0.09084196
0.139
0.7068
0.32239684
0.454
0.6586
0.04186116
0.095
0.585
0.2401
0.136
0.4666
0.10929636
0.919
0.3518
0.32171584
0.15
0.3486
0.03944196
0.165
0.3508
0.03452164
0.977
0.293
0.467856
0.13
0.4694
0.11519236
0.11
0.4682
0.12830724
0.252
0.3064
0.00295936
0.444
0.3268
0.01373584
0.95
0.3826
0.32194276
0.941
0.3772
0.31787044
0.741
0.5394
0.04064256
0.933
0.6656
0.07150276
0.081
0.8018
0.51955264
0.83
0.7292
0.01016064
0.457
0.7052
0.06160324
0.186
0.6084
0.17842176
0.55
0.4974
0.00276676
0.393
0.4208
0.00077284
0.903
0.4832
0.17623204
0.113
0.4978
0.14807104
0.111
0.429
0.101124
0.876
0.414
0.213444
0.001
0.4792
0.22867524
0.622
0.4008
0.04892944
0.461
0.3446
0.01354896
0.069
0.4142
0.11916304
0.916
0.4058
0.26030404

50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

0.348
0.942
0.38
0.876
0.534
0.659
0.827
0.593
0.428
0.916
0.73
0.093
0.469
0.574
0.562
0.191
0.214
0.267
0.786
0.322
0.476
0.558
0.089
0.397
0.015
0.86
0.961
0.775
0.046
0.112
0.756
0.425
0.733
0.879
0.444
0.886
0.638
0.661
0.289
0.89
0.313
0.178
0.051
0.598
0.328
0.041
0.267
0.556
0.814
0.326

0.4138
0.4832
0.5472
0.531
0.6924
0.616
0.6782
0.6552
0.6978
0.6082
0.6846
0.6988
0.552
0.5272
0.5564
0.4856
0.3778
0.402
0.3616
0.404
0.356
0.413
0.4818
0.4462
0.3684
0.307
0.3838
0.4644
0.6016
0.5314
0.5508
0.53
0.4228
0.4144
0.581
0.6474
0.6734
0.716
0.7016
0.5836
0.6728
0.5582
0.4662
0.3442
0.406
0.2936
0.2392
0.257
0.358
0.4012

0.00432964
0.21049744
0.02795584
0.119025
0.02509056
0.001849
0.02214144
0.00386884
0.07279204
0.09474084
0.00206116
0.36699364
0.006889
0.00219024
3.136E-05
0.08678916
0.02683044
0.018225
0.18011536
0.006724
0.0144
0.021025
0.15429184
0.00242064
0.12489156
0.305809
0.33315984
0.09647236
0.30869136
0.17589636
0.04210704
0.011025
0.09622404
0.21585316
0.018769
0.05692996
0.00125316
0.003025
0.17023876
0.09388096
0.12945604
0.14455204
0.17239104
0.06441444
0.006084
0.06380676
0.00077284
0.089401
0.207936
0.00565504

100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110

0.795
0.226
0.145
0.508
0.611
0.76
0.979
0.02
0.601
0.145
0.123

0.4008
0.5516
0.5434
0.4612
0.4
0.457
0.45
0.6006
0.5756
0.5942
0.501
0.3736

N=5

0.15539364
0.10601536
0.15872256
0.00219024
0.044521
0.091809
0.279841
0.33709636
0.00064516
0.20178064
0.142884

E.C.M
0.108001812

Media mvil
1
0.5

Real

0
1
6
11
16
21
26
31
36
41
46
51
56
61
66
71
76
81
86
91
96
101
106

Valor

1.5

Punto de datos

Pronstico

PERIODO1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49

PRODUCCION1 PRONOSTICO1
ERROR DE PRONOSTICO1
0.563
0.24
#N/A
0.558
#N/A
0.805
0.534333333
0.073260444
0.417
0.593333333
0.031093444
0.545
0.589
0.001936
0.549
0.503666667
0.002055111
0.559
0.551
6.4E-05
0.772
0.626666667
0.021121778
0.233
0.521333333
0.083136111
0.102
0.369
0.071289
0.471
0.268666667
0.040938778
0.569
0.380666667
0.035469444
0.38
0.473333333
0.008711111
0.822
0.590333333
0.053669444
0.687
0.629666667
0.003287111
0.71
0.739666667
0.000880111
0.935
0.777333333
0.024858778
0.139
0.594666667
0.207632111
0.454
0.509333333
0.003061778
0.095
0.229333333
0.018045444
0.136
0.228333333
0.008525444
0.919
0.383333333
0.286938778
0.15
0.401666667
0.063336111
0.165
0.411333333
0.060680111
0.977
0.430666667
0.298480111
0.13
0.424
0.086436
0.11
0.405666667
0.087418778
0.252
0.164
0.007744
0.444
0.268666667
0.030741778
0.95
0.548666667
0.161068444
0.941
0.778333333
0.026460444
0.741
0.877333333
0.018586778
0.933
0.871666667
0.003761778
0.081
0.585
0.254016
0.83
0.614666667
0.046368444
0.457
0.456
1E-06
0.186
0.491
0.093025
0.55
0.397666667
0.023205444
0.393
0.376333333
0.000277778
0.903
0.615333333
0.082752111
0.113
0.469666667
0.127211111
0.111
0.375666667
0.070048444
0.876
0.366666667
0.259420444
0.001
0.329333333
0.107802778
0.622
0.499666667
0.014965444
0.461
0.361333333
0.009933444
0.069
0.384
0.099225
0.916
0.482
0.188356

50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

0.348
0.942
0.38
0.876
0.534
0.659
0.827
0.593
0.428
0.916
0.73
0.093
0.469
0.574
0.562
0.191
0.214
0.267
0.786
0.322
0.476
0.558
0.089
0.397
0.015
0.86
0.961
0.775
0.046
0.112
0.756
0.425
0.733
0.879
0.444
0.886
0.638
0.661
0.289
0.89
0.313
0.178
0.051
0.598
0.328
0.041
0.267
0.556
0.814
0.326

0.444333333
0.735333333
0.556666667
0.732666667
0.596666667
0.689666667
0.673333333
0.693
0.616
0.645666667
0.691333333
0.579666667
0.430666667
0.378666667
0.535
0.442333333
0.322333333
0.224
0.422333333
0.458333333
0.528
0.452
0.374333333
0.348
0.167
0.424
0.612
0.865333333
0.594
0.311
0.304666667
0.431
0.638
0.679
0.685333333
0.736333333
0.656
0.728333333
0.529333333
0.613333333
0.497333333
0.460333333
0.180666667
0.275666667
0.325666667
0.322333333
0.212
0.288
0.545666667
0.565333333

0.009280111
0.042711111
0.031211111
0.020544444
0.003927111
0.000940444
0.023613444
0.01
0.035344
0.073080111
0.001495111
0.236844444
0.001469444
0.038155111
0.000729
0.063168444
0.011736111
0.001849
0.132253444
0.018586778
0.002704
0.011236
0.081415111
0.002401
0.023104
0.190096
0.121801
0.008160111
0.300304
0.039601
0.203701778
3.6E-05
0.009025
0.04
0.058241778
0.022400111
0.000324
0.004533778
0.057760111
0.076544444
0.033978778
0.079712111
0.016813444
0.103898778
5.44444E-06
0.079148444
0.003025
0.071824
0.072002778
0.057280444

100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110

0.795
0.226
0.145
0.508
0.611
0.76
0.979
0.02
0.601
0.145
0.123

0.645
0.449
0.388666667
0.293
0.421333333
0.626333333
0.783333333
0.586333333
0.533333333
0.255333333
0.289666667
0.134

0.0225
0.049729
0.059373444
0.046225
0.035973444
0.017866778
0.038285444
0.320733444
0.004578778
0.012173444
0.027777778

E.C.M
0.059444213

N=3

Media mvil
1
0.5

Real

Pronstico
1
7
13
19
25
31
37
43
49
55
61
67
73
79
85
91
97
103
109

Valor

1.5

Punto de datos

PERIODO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

PRODUCCION
0.348219163
2.428767182
2.298970468
5.205497963
3.577095906
3.16387532
1.171276398
7.725048439
0.308734685
0.293396648
1.247957784
6.608770386
1.631994443
2.039977845
2.51057215
1.37297058
3.077934558
5.13556828
5.63451003
0.421527889
2.338336022
2.485277559
0.557194116
5.121386594
0.380185753
7.862326509
2.348909205
1.362775265
9.805527894
0.873327672
7.257447575
0.265713535
1.565260877
1.443349441
5.362395686
2.915479664
6.865455611
0.237349456
4.038102187
3.379803563
2.328551135
6.542726744
3.364366304
1.368035221
3.936238009
1.370835578

PRONOSTICO ERROR DE PRONOSTICO

#N/A
#N/A
#N/A
#N/A
2.771710136
0.648646238
3.334841368
0.029229389
3.083343211
3.655999497
4.168558805
12.64861852
3.18920615
8.297115857
2.532466298
5.013432899
2.149282791
0.812386768
3.236781588
11.37030845
2.018170789
0.149132171
2.364419421
0.105262336
2.807854522
0.088376808
2.832857081
2.131268595
2.126689915
0.904866371
2.827404683
5.327619192
3.54631112
4.36057469
3.128502268
7.327710285
3.321575356
0.966759588
3.203043956
0.5151886
2.287369123
2.993505557
2.184744436
8.623867164
2.176476009
3.226658684
3.281274106
20.98604112
3.254000435
0.819190136
3.415116665
4.212105222
4.351944925
29.7415672
4.450573309
12.79668635
4.329597522
8.572305932
3.912958388
13.30239502
3.953455511
5.703473608
2.28101982
0.701691664
3.178833423
4.767944159
2.310439841
0.366073188
3.630388256
10.46566079
3.364805972
9.780984255
3.883756521
0.023822585
3.487238096
0.011542179
3.369852391
1.084308305
3.305306617
10.48088908
3.930709987
0.320745167
3.396696594
4.115466965
3.507983483
0.18340194
3.316440371
3.785378012

47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93

3.026319221
5.443501544
0.329589227
7.516192515
1.366886375
0.042700048
0.607936281
2.032423243
0.115713485
10.59281882
3.803980921
2.118697935
0.907659275
1.577684511
0.016733388
8.899183261
0.393747939
6.80618868
0.448516363
2.966814561
0.017703597
7.614402522
2.735537499
2.573214196
0.699135897
3.092014853
0.208013083
0.437102803
3.807402139
5.411067534
7.780662259
3.261114716
4.361864961
7.264553296
1.94991484
0.277653233
0.71333438
1.414461105
1.427169369
3.572602361
0.801253593
2.04157544
1.971986993
8.744994222
0.552624047
9.583498945
8.950822149

2.613158867
3.028985915
2.821296716
3.537287617
3.536497776
2.939773942
1.972660889
2.313227693
0.833131887
2.678318376
3.430574551
3.732726882
3.507774088
3.800168293
1.684951206
2.703991674
2.359001675
3.538707556
3.312873926
3.902890161
2.126594228
3.570725145
2.756594909
3.181534475
2.727998742
3.342860994
1.861583106
1.401896166
1.648733755
2.591120082
3.528849563
4.13946989
4.924422322
5.615852553
4.923622015
3.423020209
2.913464142
2.323983371
1.156506586
1.48104409
1.585764162
1.851412374
1.962917551
3.426482522
2.822486859
4.578935929
5.960785271

0.170701478
5.829885726
6.20860621
15.83168419
4.707213634
8.393037146
1.862473256
0.078851139
0.514689163
62.63931733
0.139432317
2.60508944
6.760597042
4.93943416
2.782950687
38.3803988
3.862222247
10.6764329
8.204544249
0.876237528
4.447419693
16.35132673
0.000443414
0.370053563
4.116284444
0.062923786
2.73429382
0.930826234
4.659849191
7.952103629
18.07791119
0.771507812
0.316470784
2.718214141
8.842934358
9.893333417
4.84057097
0.827230752
0.073258342
4.374616003
0.615456832
0.036161992
8.22548E-05
28.28656671
5.152277187
25.04565097
8.94032053

94
95
96
97
98
99
100

4.086956489
0.281443756
2.036375453
8.249766631
2.220159366
0.517871104
1.821080192

6.38377917
4.691069077
4.987819358
4.721072895
3.374940339
2.661123262
2.969050549
3.202219323

N=5

5.27539443
19.44479547
8.711021127
12.45167948
1.333519095
4.593529813
1.317835942

E.C.M
6.462998576

Media mvil
10
5

Real

Pronstico
1
5
9
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
53
57
61
65
69
73
77
81
85
89
93
97

Valor

15

Punto de datos

PERIODO1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

PRODUCCION1 PRONOSTICO1 ERROR DE PRONOSTICO1

1.497554792
9.823776256
#N/A
3.317888328
#N/A
1.872930595
4.879739792
9.040901545
0.362819245
5.00486506
21.54858935
3.351480964
1.851212723
2.250804796
0.017788677
1.862410268
3.402628814
4.647588798
1.244029629
11.58421502
1.070359565
2.672286146
2.566168771
1.950996626
1.911912346
0.001527581
13.75455137
2.556314996
125.4004979
0.775957575
5.591969186
23.19396784
7.284315151
5.49383519
3.205818491
0.088958757
7.271608032
51.59045061
0.803793313
2.716410494
3.658104484
2.361824571
2.725689073
0.132397376
0.855295444
1.08485888
0.052699371
0.197591959
1.340304442
1.305791821
2.681166667
1.138237324
2.380630955
2.293140247
1.24468469
1.099259055
8.429832078
1.723966291
44.96863596
1.42677227
4.46804633
9.24934791
7.512327759
4.049914865
11.98830305
1.509940869
5.789644036
18.3158592
6.342059932
3.483013633
8.174145742
5.021102193
5.121442853
0.010068248
1.978437281
4.291034331
5.348105117
2.652426979
4.447199802
3.221209485
5.578249588
3.217322151
5.573978364
4.497954529
3.403037949
1.198842316
1.394854221
4.242877032
8.111233934
1.371822196
3.823686113
6.011636665
2.091503378
2.421543649
0.10892658
3.840799782
1.619393265
4.934646913
2.730667605
2.434708452
0.08759182
2.718121271
2.887656922
0.028742337
7.85635978
3.096529553
22.65598379
4.79188039
4.435049552
0.127328247
0.522806057
5.12212048
21.15369316
0.286197453
4.390348742
16.8440578
1.407682676
1.8669613
0.210936855
3.101569618
0.738895395
5.582229484
5.12517845
1.598483249
12.43757904
0.200940537
3.211476915
9.063329278
1.61155569
2.809229535
1.43442264
3.96154402
2.312558226
2.71915415

47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93

2.106906602
2.646996595
2.994393613
0.982239983
3.833321475
4.330761237
1.629510278
5.35400684
0.462331046
1.807993323
0.03759112
0.428313409
3.216282427
2.744225116
3.951249373
0.295010394
0.544379372
0.72509744
0.932285703
0.25481909
0.9631624
0.002185565
1.343403404
7.472470203
0.108285926
2.628404396
1.899829683
0.342093216
3.70960246
1.323533373
7.773777774
1.374535987
1.029764916
0.149157293
6.301195157
1.900425826
1.169029486
1.203143283
1.870511136
14.63601902
4.25204014
2.165532669
1.458084278
2.411914795
0.035972604
0.619458545
0.570464997

1.924680082
2.560002104
2.905149073
2.582765603
2.20787673
2.603318357
3.048774231
3.264530997
3.771426118
2.481949388
2.541443736
0.769305163
0.75796595
1.227395652
2.129606984
3.303918972
2.330161628
1.596879713
0.521495736
0.733920838
0.637400744
0.716755731
0.406722352
0.769583789
2.939353057
2.974719844
3.403053509
1.545506669
1.623442432
1.983841786
1.791743016
4.268971202
3.490615711
3.392692892
0.851152732
2.493372455
2.783592759
3.123550156
1.424199531
1.414227968
5.903224481
6.919523433
7.017863944
2.625219029
2.011843914
1.301990559
1.022448648

0.033206505
0.007568042
0.007964588
2.561682261
2.642070617
2.984058904
2.014310169
4.365909301
10.9501102
0.454216778
6.269277926
0.116275376
6.043319898
2.300771623
3.318380993
9.053530828
3.189018264
0.760004331
0.168748397
0.229538485
0.106120656
0.510610522
0.877371394
44.92868628
8.014941099
0.11993439
2.259681869
1.448203937
4.352063661
0.436007201
35.78473984
8.377755217
6.055786635
10.52052318
29.70296243
0.351585706
2.606814562
3.687962559
0.199194049
174.8157587
2.726409728
22.60042819
30.91114994
0.045498696
3.904067432
0.465849951
0.204289221

94
95
96
97
98
99
100

2.631641871
1.145628354
0.28589915
4.798735208
1.9816259
3.890320856
5.806012079

0.408632049
1.273855138
1.449245074
1.354389792
2.076754237
2.355420086
3.556893988
3.892652945

4.941772669
0.016442108
1.353373739
11.86351535
0.0090494
2.355920374
5.058532184

E.C.M
9.907808332

N=3

Pronstico

20
15
10
5
0
1
5
9
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
53
57
61
65
69
73
77
81
85
89
93
97

Real

Valor

Media mvil

Punto de datos

Real
Pronstico

PERIODO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

PRODUCCION
10.87252264
13.61016368
12.00067315
6.168083578
8.410497317
12.8075618
11.51584301
12.60582273
11.27803524
13.86569237
14.61767946
12.58727551
13.00398285
8.956511595
13.58390334
6.699110469
14.62604126
11.94693035
9.168260962
9.810603507
11.71822102
14.11846369
7.570754687
6.488047147
10.23946552
6.461629101
11.87203803
8.989033446
6.861190176
7.305280455
10.68721261
10.75196684
5.089422626
13.49349377
14.2988568
7.66612012
5.302272033
7.226352568
5.874141646
14.71046544
10.62197143
10.78790038
11.5178543
11.17870194
10.27589199
10.09644538

PRONOSTICO
ERROR PRONOSTICO
#N/A
#N/A
#N/A
#N/A
10.21238807
3.246810296
10.5993959
4.875996604
10.18053177
1.783056116
10.30156169
5.30961897
11.32355202
0.002071777
12.41459103
2.105695108
12.77661456
3.389519962
12.99090106
0.162913586
13.07053309
0.004428934
12.60622836
13.32043246
12.54987055
1.069223811
10.96615675
18.207684
11.3739099
10.57635834
11.1624994
0.615331912
11.20484928
4.147691962
10.45018931
0.409069998
11.45401142
0.069806713
11.35249591
7.650577802
10.47726077
8.447777636
9.941218011
11.92438902
10.02699041
0.045145672
8.975672031
6.320411852
8.526386897
11.19338148
8.810042649
0.032037705
8.884671255
4.094475675
8.297834241
0.985163018
9.142950943
2.3847441
8.918936706
3.359999472
8.139014542
9.300010851
9.465475261
16.22493312
10.86419053
11.79693239
10.25997203
6.728067738
9.17003307
14.95957544
9.597419058
5.621956303
8.073548633
4.837391096
8.155870362
42.96271667
8.747040624
3.515365534
9.844166294
0.890634025
10.70246664
0.664857042
11.7633787
0.341846918
10.87646401
0.360686746
10.7713588
0.455508119

PERIODO1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93

11.34472301
10.06364018
5.157252439
12.81472259
12.31392247
9.197882563
5.134855119
6.786262351
12.25446034
13.40516261
7.651661025
7.23614885
13.11845377
11.0052634
14.55153559
10.99042062
10.2546053
13.64895337
11.78526067
5.073726857
9.530148654
7.448161219
13.82928179
7.422017843
7.819617017
14.38777718
10.63576377
6.774133986
13.21361524
11.44359022
13.00147339
14.59411941
5.329143603
12.93515365
9.310493734
12.38785279
10.38611533
6.652114852
8.870780355
11.96019016
12.2283464
6.557069574
5.02944407
9.167587951
13.1199826
9.116914351
9.181745426

10.88272332
10.5918805
9.387590601
9.89535672
10.33885214
9.909484049
8.923727036
9.249529018
9.137476567
9.355724596
9.046480289
9.466739035
10.73317732
10.48333793
10.71261253
11.38036445
11.98405574
12.09015566
12.24615511
10.35059336
10.05853897
9.497250155
9.533315839
8.660667273
9.209845305
10.18137101
10.81889152
9.407861958
10.56618144
11.29097608
11.01371532
11.80538645
11.51638837
11.46069605
11.03407676
10.91135264
10.06975182
10.33434607
9.521471413
10.0514107
10.01950942
9.253700267
8.929166111
8.98852763
9.220486119
8.59819971
9.12313488

0.213443705
0.279037833
17.89576096
8.522697086
3.900902809
0.506376674
14.35555041
6.067682675
9.715587821
16.39794824
1.945520779
4.975532574
5.68954374
0.272406195
14.73733029
0.152056186
2.990998804
2.429850315
0.212423684
27.84532014
0.279196327
4.198765465
18.45532348
1.53425241
1.932734694
17.69385285
0.033535774
6.936523031
7.008905724
0.023291077
3.95118214
7.777031516
38.28199781
2.174025193
2.970738432
2.180052715
0.100085871
13.55882675
0.423398854
3.643439026
4.87896079
7.271817092
15.20783199
0.032062599
15.20607283
0.269064879
0.003435196

47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93

94
95
96
97
98
99
100

6.672614156
9.594062819
10.55798731
5.069471257
14.85219599
6.764931337
5.729454876

9.451768897
9.537063871
9.024664812
8.215176193
9.349266305
9.367729742
8.594808153
8.104013364

N=5

7.723701076
0.00324888
2.351077875
9.895459542
30.28223508
6.774559534
8.210249402

94
95
96
97
98
99
100

E.C.M
6.507991696

20
15
10
5
0

Real
Pronstico

1
5
9
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
53
57
61
65
69
73
77
81
85
89
93
97

Valor

Media mvil

Punto de datos

PRODUCCION1
9.6509299
10.93847262
7.007130867
13.62736571
11.16281356
8.551636475
7.640692317
12.68607279
6.512955457
13.11786458
13.03233423
14.70228491
9.941579872
14.9216264
6.572633265
9.071053783
13.1751435
9.893464888
7.21130891
14.16839612
11.21392012
7.074681508
7.296272452
14.80356343
8.799783008
10.99359531
13.1938589
5.521925028
10.78168992
7.515454179
13.81433164
13.78746882
9.028330303
7.598609275
6.72673552
11.8536136
13.68242131
14.08702797
14.07798086
12.57925873
13.20813186
8.528044976
5.073913951
7.1592144
14.02146906
9.972914976

PRONOSTICO1
ERROR DE PRONOSTICO1
#N/A
#N/A
9.198844463
4.803608484
10.52432307
9.628873669
10.59910338
0.317769169
11.11393858
6.565392102
9.118380785
2.183563208
9.626133859
9.363226232
8.94657352
5.922496874
10.77229761
5.501684414
10.88771809
4.599378407
13.61749457
1.176770078
12.55873301
6.849490528
13.18849706
3.003737293
10.47861318
15.25667908
10.18843781
1.248547073
9.606276849
12.73680917
10.71322072
0.67199963
10.09330577
8.305905876
10.42438997
14.01758201
10.86454171
0.122065268
10.81899925
14.01991532
8.528291359
1.517870587
9.724839131
25.79344054
10.29987296
2.250269878
11.53231392
0.290217741
10.99574574
4.831701468
9.903126411
19.19492556
9.832491281
0.900978052
7.939689708
0.179975784
10.70382525
9.675250043
11.70575155
4.333546797
12.21004359
10.12329943
10.13813613
6.449196659
7.784558366
1.118989173
8.726319465
9.779968612
10.75425681
8.574147349
13.20768763
0.773239433
13.94914338
0.016599096
13.58142252
1.004332254
13.28845715
0.006452153
11.43847852
8.470623426
8.936696928
14.92109232
6.920391109
0.057036564
8.75153247
27.77223165
10.38453281
0.169429243

6.533296769
7.398717237
11.16127416
14.20029863
11.12832842
5.726361558
5.196415549
13.6064314
7.456281404
7.869067295
11.72762978
12.57165167
6.131963566
7.105439882
5.433175038
8.995758716
9.656786806
12.11973471
6.817584018
6.740102462
11.12604844
6.406210901
13.22675856
10.70017592
8.289397505
7.594165507
13.29193137
7.563802187
8.92344288
10.59755002
12.81161172
6.137496578
9.568691503
14.12233761
5.034138434
12.16375706
8.773638705
8.435676998
14.07428847
8.897924638
9.863146754
10.75104481
13.63692383
13.18181445
6.58887347
10.01877085
12.44425254

10.1758936
7.968309661
8.364429388
10.92009667
12.1633004
10.35166287
7.350368509
8.176402835
8.753042784
9.643926699
9.017659493
10.72278292
10.14374834
8.603018374
6.223526162
7.178124546
8.02857352
10.25742674
9.531368511
8.559140396
8.227911639
8.090787266
10.25300597
10.11104846
10.73877733
8.861246311
9.725164793
9.483299687
9.926392145
9.028265027
10.77753487
9.848886105
9.505933268
9.942841896
9.575055847
10.4400777
8.657178067
9.791024255
10.42786806
10.4692967
10.94511996
9.837372068
11.41703847
12.52326103
11.13587058
9.929819591
9.683965618

13.26851168
0.324435529
7.822340664
10.75972485
1.071167
21.39341221
4.639513356
29.4852102
1.681590076
3.150125905
7.343938956
3.418315683
16.09441707
2.24274134
0.624654899
3.303793979
2.651078504
3.468190955
7.364626273
3.308899006
8.399196895
2.837797531
8.843204507
0.347071163
5.999461524
1.605493764
12.72182379
3.684470654
1.005907227
2.462655373
4.137468629
13.77441222
0.003938596
17.46818439
20.61993096
2.97107054
0.01356308
1.836966186
13.29638184
2.469210168
1.170666008
0.834797883
4.927891029
0.433692611
20.67518276
0.007912326
7.619183869

9.40078969
5.824531657
7.897957689
14.91340008
14.27158146
14.92901612
14.19575813

10.62127102
9.223191294
7.707759679
9.545296474
12.36097974
14.70466589
14.4654519
14.56238713

1.489574688
11.55088733
0.036175283
28.81653629
3.650398915
0.050333029
0.07273473
E.C.M

N=3

6.46684869

20
15
10
5
0

Real
1
5
9
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
53
57
61
65
69
73
77
81
85
89
93
97
101

Valor

Media mvil

Punto de datos

Pronstico

Real
Pronstico