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Índice General: I Estadística 3
Índice General: I Estadística 3
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= {(1, 1, 1), (1, 1, 2), . . . , (3, 2, 6), (4, 1, 1), . . . , (6, 6, 6)}
@ @A
(a, b, c)
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A @A > = ?
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63 = 216
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A J= =JA
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= HAIFKAIJ= ?
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A1 = {(2, 5, 1), (2, 5, 2), (2, 5, 3), (2, 5, 4), (2, 5, 5), (2, 5, 6)} ; A2 = {(1, 2, 1), (1, 2, 2), (1, 2, 3), (1, 2, 4), (1, 2, 5), (1, 2, 6), (2, 1, 1), (2, 1, 2), (2, 1, 3), (2, 1, 4), (2, 1, 5), (2, 1, 6)} ; A3 = {(1, 3, 1), . . . , (1, 3, 6), (2, 4, 1), . . . , (2, 4, 6), (3, 5, 1), . . . , (3, 5, 6), (3, 1, 1), . . . , (3, 1, 6), (4, 6, 1), . . . , (4, 6, 6), (4, 2, 1), . . . , (4, 2, 6), (5, 3, 1), . . . , (5, 3, 6), (6, 4, 1), . . . , (6, 4, 6)} ; A4 = O A5 = ; A6 = {(1, 1, 2), (1, 2, 3), (2, 1, 3), (1, 3, 4), (2, 2, 4), (3, 1, 4), (1, 4, 5), . . . , (4, 1, 5), (1, 5, 6), . . . , (5, 1, 6)} .
-I @EHA?J ? FH >=H =@A I GKA I ?=H@E = AI @A I IK?AI I I
,A
GKA GKA 5E
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A
O =
B
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Ac
= IK?AI
?KHHA
A
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@ I IK?AI I @A K ?KHHA = CK @A
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A B
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F=JE> AI O GKA ?K= GKEAH IK?AI AI E ? F=JE> A
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+= ?K =H O
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JH=HE I @A H= @
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= JAHE H ,AI?HE>EH
I IK?AI I
A3 A6
IA=
I IK?AI I IACKH
F IE> A
B1 = {(a, b, c) : a = 2}
A J ?AI
B2 = {(a, b, c) : b = 5} ,
A1 = B1 B2 = {(a, b, c) : a = 2
b = 5} ,
,-.1
1+1
; 24
21-,),-5
'
O =I
c c c Ac 1 = (B1 B2 ) = B1 B2 = {(a, b, c) : a = 2
>EA
b = 5} .
A2 = {(a, b, c) : a + b = 3} A3 = {(a, b, c) : |a b| = 2}
-I ALE@A JA GKA .E = 4AIFA?J A JA = =I
O =I O =I
Ac 2 = {(a, b, c) : a + b = 3} . Ac 3 = {(a, b, c) : |a b| = 2} .
O @A
Ac 4 =
@A @
Ac 5 = . Ac 6 = {(a, b, c) : a + b c = 0} .
A6 = {(a, b, c) : c = a + b}
JH=I FAH=?E AI JA A I
A1 A2 = {(2, 5, 1), (2, 5, 2), (2, 5, 3), (2, 5, 4), (2, 5, 5), (2, 5, 6), (1, 2, 1), (1, 2, 2), (1, 2, 3), (1, 2, 4), (1, 2, 5), (1, 2, 6), (2, 1, 1), (2, 1, 2), (2, 1, 3), (2, 1, 4), (2, 1, 5), (2, 1, 6)} ; A2 A6 = {(1, 2, 3), (2, 1, 3)} ; A3 A6 = {(1, 3, 4), (2, 4, 6), (3, 1, 4), (4, 2, 6)} .
= HAIFKAIJ= = = JE = FHACK J= AI = H =JEL= ABA?J
A1 A2 =
A = JH=I F= =>H=I I JEH=H E ? H F=JE> AI FAH D= IE@ A J K = @A
Ac 1 = A2 2
O A = K I @=@ I H -
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I = AI
JH=HE I -I ? =H O F H J= J J=H I A A
GKA IE ?KHHA A
IK IK AI AI
IK?AI K
A2
A JA IE = IK
O = K D= IE@ ?=IE
AI E
A1
I B ?E ?
A J I @A
= J J= A @A IK ?
|A B | = |A| + |B | |A B | .
)I F H A A F
|A1 A2 | = |A1 | + |A2 | |A1 A2 | = 6 + 12 0 = 18 , |A2 A6 | = |A2 | + |A6 | |A2 A6 | = 12 + 15 2 = 25 , |A3 A6 | = |A3 | + |A6 | |A3 A6 | = 48 + 15 4 = 59 ,
GKA I FAH EJEH ?= ?K =H ?=H@E = AI @A IK?AI I ? JE = E@A= E JH @K?E I K = JE ?EA @ = @A E?E JH I I IA ?E I
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J @ I I F IE> AI
= A1 A2 Ak . . . .
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? A
I K = B=
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E E= ?
F AJ= @A IK?AI I
-A F
&
5ECKEA @
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A J
= A=J HE
Ck1 = {(a, b, c) : a + b = k }
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= C1 C2 C11
F AJ= @A IK?AI I I @A ? IK?AI A E@
IEA @
=@A
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11
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IK
= @A
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aj = |A Cj |,
AI ? =H GKA
j = 1, . . . , 11
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11 j =1
aj
I IA ?E @A JH= = AH= JH=JA AI I @A ?= ?K =H F H AIJA J @ A ?=H@E = =I E JAHIA??E = E A=
A = {(a, b, c) : a b = 1} { ab = 1 a+b = k
K?E AI
A Ck1 {
=F=HA?AH
I HAIK J=@ I
(a, b, c)
2a = k + 1 2b = k 1
IE
-IJA IEIJA E
= JEA A I
F=H O AIJHE?J=
A JA
=O H
O b = a = k+1 2 GKA 1 F H GK
AI
|A C2 | |A C4 | |A C6 | |A C8 | |A C10 |
O
= = = = =
@A
|{(2, 1, c)}| = 6 |{(3, 2, c)}| = 6 |{(4, 3, c)}| = 6 |{(5, 4, c)}| = 6 |{(6, 5, c)}| = 6
EJEL=
|A Cj | = 0
?K= GKEAH
JH
?=I =
?=H@E = @A IK?AI
B = {(a, b, c) : 3 a 2 b = 1}
LAH A IEIJA
|A| = 30 {
EI
= E@A= @AJAH
AIA A
5A JH=J= =D H= @A HAI
3a 2b = 1 a+b = k
IK AGKEL= A JA
5 a = 2k + 1 5 b = 3k 1
,-.1
1+1
; 24
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!
O A
KAIJH
JANJ
k
= 2, . . . , 12
=I
E?=I I
K?E
AI I
(1, 1, c)
(3, 4, c)
F=H=
k =2
HAIFA?JEL=
A JA F H
J= J
|B | = |{(a, b, c) : 3 a 2 b = 1}| = 6 + 6 = 12 .
,A DA?D ? ?A I
B = {(1, 1, 1), (1, 1, 2), (1, 1, 3), (1, 1, 4), (1, 1, 5), (1, 1, 6), (3, 4, 1), (3, 4, 2), (3, 4, 3), (3, 4, 4), (3, 4, 5), (3, 4, 6)} .
2=IA KAIJH=
.K ?E
I = @A
@A FH >=>E E@=@
= AH=I @A A@EH A J= = HA =JEL @A ?=@= IK?AI @A JH @A AIF=?E
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A
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I IK?AI I @A
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F=HJE?K =H O
AB
AB
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A A
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A, B A
AI K =
I
A AI K
KAIJH= O GKA I=JEIB=?A
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BK ?E
E?E
P : A [0, 1]
#
BK ?E
@A FH >=>E E@=@ A
K AH
AA
A =I ?E= K
=I FH FEA@=@AI
P () = 1
IE
A1 , A2 , . . . , Ak
IK?AI I E ?
F=JE> AI A J
?AI
k i=1
( k
i=1
) Ak =
P (Ak ) .
5A JEA A
A A P (Ac ) = 1 P (A)
P () = 0
A, B A P (A B ) = P (A) + P (B ) P (A B ) P (A B ) P (A) + P (B ) A, B A
A??E IE
BA
A J
?AI
P (B ) P (A)
EJ=
A 1 , A 2 , . . . , An A P (Ai )
i<j n+1
( n
i=1
) Ai =
n i=1
P (Ai Aj ) + ( n
i=1
i<j<k
P (Ai Aj Ak )
) Ai .
+ (1)
+)2 67
24
*)*1 1,),-5
-A F
,A?E 5E I A
'
5EC=
I ? GKA I
ANFAHE
A J
= A=J HE A A +K A J
HAI EI
@A
@A
FH >=>E E@=@
=JKH= AI A GKA = ?=@= IK?AI AIJA ?=I -I B ?E LAH GKA J @ >=> AI O F H IKFKAIJ > EC= = GKA I IK?AI E ?
A J=
{(a, b, c)}
AI K ?
A =IEC = = EJ
AGKEFH >=> AI
AI = BK ?E GKA J @ I
@A AIJA ANFAHE
A = {v 1 , . . . , v k }
AI @A?EH
|A| = k
FKAIJ
F=JE> AI
= FH FEA@=@
@A FH >=>E E@=@
k i=1
P ({vi }) = k p
= EI = F=H= J @ I I @= = I K?E +K AI AIJ=
AI
A A
A J=
GKA AI
FH >=>E E@=@
= J @ I
I IK?AI I A A
A J= AI F H
P () = 1 = 216 p
KAC
p = 1/216
JH=I F= =>H=I
P (A) =
GKA ?K= @ = ? I @= K = B H IKF A ?E@= HAC = @A K = CA AH= @A K I IK?AI I A A =F =?A @A
|A| , ||
K AIF=?E KAIJH= K =
@A FH >=>E E@=@ A
AI
@EI?HAJ I GKA
I GKA J @ I
A J= AI I
P (A) =
2AH 5KF @A HAIK J=@ ?KE@=@ C= = F @A I ? IJHKEH > = ? JH I AIJ I
. P () = 1
I = ?=@=
I @A FH >=>E E@=@ @EIJE J I *=IJ= =IEC =H AI @EI ?E @ I = = FH FEA@=@ >JA AH O = FH >=>E E@=@ @A FAHBA?J I F H
I GKA A @=@
AI A @ > A GKA =
{ P ({(a, b, c)}) =
2=H= @AJAH E =H A L= H @A
, 2 ,
IE IE
c = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 c = 6.
?KHHA A
36
A A
A J I @A
)I
= 1/252
@A - A F $ KJE E = @ = > I
I =I FH >=>E E@=@AI @A
I IK?AI I
A1 A2 A3
A6
I @A FH >=>E E@=@
1 216 {
1 , 252 1 , 126
IE IE
c = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 c = 6.
24
*)*1 1,), +
,1+1
),)
!!
A1 = {(2, 5, 1), (2, 5, 2), (2, 5, 3), (2, 5, 4), (2, 5, 5), (2, 5, 6)} 6 1 P1 (A1 ) = = 216 36 1 1 7 1 P2 (A1 ) = 5 + = = ; 252 126 252 36 A2 = {(1, 2, 1), (1, 2, 2), (1, 2, 3), (1, 2, 4), (1, 2, 5), (1, 2, 6), (2, 1, 1), (2, 1, 2), (2, 1, 3), (2, 1, 4), (2, 1, 5), (2, 1, 6)} 12 1 P1 (A2 ) = = 216 18 1 1 14 1 P2 (A2 ) = 10 +2 = = ; 252 126 252 18 A3 = {(1, 3, 1), . . . , (1, 3, 6), (2, 4, 1), . . . , (2, 4, 6), (3, 5, 1), . . . , (3, 5, 6), (3, 1, 1), . . . , (3, 1, 6), (4, 6, 1), . . . , (4, 6, 6), (4, 2, 1), . . . , (4, 2, 6), (5, 3, 1), . . . , (5, 3, 6), (6, 4, 1), . . . , (6, 4, 6)} 48 2 P1 (A3 ) = = 216 9 1 1 56 2 P2 (A3 ) = 40 +8 = = ; 252 126 252 9 A6 = {(1, 1, 2), (1, 2, 3), (2, 1, 3), (1, 3, 4), (2, 2, 4), (3, 1, 4), (1, 4, 5), . . . , (4, 1, 5), (1, 5, 6), . . . , (5, 1, 6)} 15 5 P1 (A6 ) = = 216 72 1 1 20 5 P2 (A6 ) = (1 + 2 + 3 + 4) +5 = = . 252 126 252 63
5=>H =I ANF E?=H =I ? E ?E@A ?E=I O @EBAHA ?E=I GKA DA I >JA E@
=F HJ= = CK = E B H
I >HA =
?KHHA ?E= @A
B
@A
-IJ= ?KAIJE
IA HA? CA A
?AFJ
@A FH >=>E E@=@ ?
,A
?
E?E
@E?E
,=@ O K
AIF=?E J=HA
KAIJH= ? I
CA>H= @A IK?AI I
IK?AI O = @A
A A
=@= F H
E@
IK
I FH >=>E E@=@ @A
B A
P (B |A) =
5EA FHA GKA D=> A I @A FH >=>E E@=@AI ? @E?E
P (A B ) . P (A)
=@=I F H K IK?AI
A IA
A JA @AH
GKA
P (A) > 0
,A
E?E
,EHA
I GKA @ I IK?AI I
P (A B ) = P (A) P (B ) .
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+)2 67
24
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- AH?E?E -A F
I I
,A
IJH=H GKA
A O
P (B |A) = P (B )
@AJAH E =H = E @AFA @A ?E= @A I IK?A
5ECKEA @
KAIJH
ANFAHE
A J
= A=J HE
A = {(a, b, c) : a + b = 5} B = {(a, b, c) : c = 6} ;
? IE@AH= @ =I @ I BK ?E AI @A FH >=>E E@=@ @A - A F '
1 216 {
1 , 252 1 , 126
I
IE IE
c = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 c = 6.
@A FH >=>E E@=@ JA A
2=H= = IACK @= BK ?E
I
5AH
@AFA @A @A = BK ?E
{ P3 ({(a, b, c)}) =
) E O
IE IE
c=a+b c = a + b. =a+b
1 FKAIJ GKA D=O 15 IK?AI I A A A J= AI A GKA c 231 AIJA @A @A FH >=>E E@=@ LEA A @AJAH E =@ F H
{ P3 ({(a, b, c)}) =
1 231 2 231
IE IE
c=a+b c = a + b.
+7
,- 24
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!#
- J
?AI
2 1 28 + 20 = 231 231 231 2 1 41 + 31 = P3 (B ) = 5 231 231 231 1 4 41 28 41 7 4 P3 (A B ) = 4 = = P3 (A) P3 (B ) = = ; 231 231 231 231 231 231 P3 (A) = 4
F H GKA F=H= AIJ= BK ?E I = A JA ? @E?E @A FH >=>E E@=@ ABA?J
2 @A
@A FH >=>E E@=@ ?
=@= -
P1 (B |A) = P3 (B |A) =
36 1 = = = P1 (B ) ; 216 9 = 1 41 = = P3 (B ) . 7 231
P2 (B |A) =
4 216 1 9
36 1 = = P2 (B ) ; 216 9
! + ?K @A FH >=>E E@=@AI
8= I = @=H F H JE JHAI HAC =I JE AI F=H= A ? ?K @A FH >=>E E@=@AI
4AC = @A
K JEF E?=?E
P
2 H IKFKAIJ = ? IA ?
( n
i=1
) Ai
n 1 i=1
) Ai .
I GKA ? >H @E?E O = I ?
IE@AH=
FH >=?E
O LAH GKA IA L=
IK?AI I
A 1 , A2 , A3
A4
P (A2 |A1 ) = = P (A1 )P (A2 |A1 ) = P (A3 |A1 A2 ) = = P (A1 )P (A2 |A1 )P (A3 |A1 A2 ) = P (A4 |A1 A2 A3 ) = = P (A1 )P (A2 |A1 )P (A3 |A1 A2 )P (A4 |A1 A2 A3 ) =
7I=HA I AIJ= HAC = ?K= @ GKAH= I ?= ?K =H = FH >=>E E@=@ @A E =H =I FH >=>E E@=@AI ? IK?AI I O IA= I IA ?E =I @A @AJAH
@E?E
4AC = @A
5A=
= FH >=>E E@=@ J J=
K = B= E E= ? F AJ= @A IK?AI I AI @A?EH J= AI GKA
A1 , . . . , An Ai =
n i=1
!$
+)2 67
24
*)*1 1,),-5
Ai Aj =
?
IEA
FHA GKA
i=j
- J ?AI
P (Ai ) > 0
F=H=
i = 1, . . . , n
P (B ) =
n i=1
P (Ai )P (B |Ai ) .
- AH?E?E
5A=
4AC = @A *=OAI
A1 , . . . , An
K = B=
E E= ?
F AJ= @A IK?AI I ?
P (Ai ) > 0
F=H=
i = 1, . . . , n
- J
?AI
I IK?AI I
Aj |B
O LAH IE
E EJK@AI =
=I @A ?EA @
B |Ai
Aj
= HAC = @A E EJK@AI
EJA FKAI ?= ?K =H ?K= GKEAH FH >=>E E@=@ = F IJAHE HE ? >E GKA A @A - KI @A = E =@ H GKA =F=HA?A A >=I HAC =I IAH
=I LAH IE
O FH >=>E E@=@AI = FHE HE FAHJE A JAI >I HLAIA J= ?EH?K IJ= ?E=I = - ANFAHE > -I IA ?E @A = FHE ? 5 B ?E A J = A=J HE IA FKA@A IAF=H=H A E E= ? F AJ= @ I AJ=F=I = 4AC = @A *=OAI AI A JA JE ?K= @
P (B )
@A = 2H >=>E E@=@ J J=
AIFA?E=
IA @A
EJ= @A IK?AI I
A1 , . . . , An
? HHAIF
P (A1 ), . . . , P (An )
F=H= K IK?AI
P (B |A1 ), . . . , P (B |An )
? HHAIF
@EA JA
8=HE=?E
AI
>E =?E
Cm,n
m! (m n)!
2AH
KJ=?E
AI
Pm = m!
HAFAJE?E
8=HE=?E
AI ?
>E =?E
AI ?
HAFAJE?E
) m+n1 n1
2AH
KJ=?E
AI ?
HAFAJE?E
m! h1 !h2 ! hk !
O GKA
n! = n(n 1)(n 2) 3 2 1
0! = 1
+7
,- 24
*)*1 1,),-5
!%
2H > A =I
,A IJH=H GKA IE
B
O
?AI
JH=HE I I
Ac
Bc
Bc n
5A JEH= K ! -
p AI= FH
?K
p = 1/2
=I +=@=
A =I?A I H @A K = IA >= = ?
A@E ?E
O @EA
E @AFA @A ?E= @A
=I @A
ECK=
FH >=>E E@=@ A
?=@= F = J=
IA >= A >= A A
7 = KH = ?
AH= AI H
AI = FH >=>E E@=@ @A GKA = IACK @= IA= H AI = FH >=>E E@=@ @A GKA = FHE FH >=>E E@=@ KAL
5=>EA @
= D= IE@
?JHE?
B= = = A ?DKB=H ?=IE
5E B= = K = LA A GKA
B= = A @A B H F H $
K = IACK @= IE = LA
IA IKIJEJKOA F H K
5E IA IKF
I IA FH @K?A
= E @AFA @EA JA ?= ?
IA= IKIJEJKE@
n
A O A A
AH
@A FAHI
=I GKA F=@A?A
= A BAH A
A@=@
E AI @A 1 %
=I
5A D= E LAIJEC=@
K = FHKA>= @E=C
F IEJEL= A A@=@ =
97 %
@A =I FAHI
2%
@A =I FAHI
=I I= =I += ?
A JA = A BAH
5KF
C=
I GKA IA ? =IE ?= =
JHAI CHKF I J =@
A B
E @ELE@K
= = =H O
A B A B
C AI C ?
1/2 1/3
A@=@
1/6
AI HAIFA?JEL=
1/10 1/15
1/12
+= ?
A BAH I=
A
= FH >=>E E@=@ @A A JA JAH?AH= LA J= E = AI HAIFA?JEL= A LE= AH ACKA = LE= AH ?
K = AIJ=?E LE= AH
@A =KJ >KIAI D=O JHAI LA J= E =I F=H= LA J= @A >E AJAI IA @EHE = = = FHE A JA += ? AH= IACK @= GKA@A >E AJAI ?K= @
GKA K
p q
P Q
?
HAIFA?JEL= A = FHE
FH=@
AH= LA J= E =
!&
+)2 67
24
*)*1 1,),-5
+=F JK
E?E
ANFAHE I >=IJ=H 5E GKAHA I I
JEF I
A J ? ? = A=J HE I I E JAHAI=H ? ?AH ?EAHJ=I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I @A EI ?AH = @EIJHE>K?E @A @A FH >=>E E@=@ @A ?=@= ?=H=?JAH IJE?= =@ I K @A JH=I JH @A I
AI @A K
-A F
(a, b)
@A
I AIJK@E=H
= IK
= @A @ I @=@ I =
36 HAIK J=@
KAIJH
AIJK@E=HA
11
a+b
1 36 2 36
5E
E CK
I @=@ I AIJ
JHK?=@
P(
5K
= IA=
) =
1 36
IE
5E GKEIE H=
I AIJK@E=H J=
>E
?K
@EIJ= AI @A?EH
6 HAIK J=@
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
@EIJHE>K?E
P(
,EIJ= ?E= IA=
) =
6 36 10 36
IE IE
|a b| = 0 |a b| = 1 |a b| = 5
@A FH >=>E E@=@ I >HA A AIF=?E ; AIJA @A JH= =I ?E=@= = ANFAHE KAI A J @A FH >=>E E@=@
EI
2 36
IE @A
I KJE E = @ F=H= =
36
IK?AI I A A
A J= AI @A
EJA ?= ?K =H A
?K= GKEAH
,A
AIF=?E
E?E
!
KAIJH=
AI K =
BK ?E AH HA=
X : R
GKA = ?=@= A A
A J
@A
A D=?A ? HHAIF
AIJ= @A
A A
A J=
L=
X ( )
!'
"
+)2 67
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41)5
-A F
ANFAHE
A J
@A
EA J
IK?AIEL
@A @ I @=@ I
AIJ=
I ?
IE@AH= @
=I
X = Y =
) F=HJEH @A A =I F @A
IK
= @A
@EBAHA ?E= A I @A
A1 = { : X ( ) = 5} ; A3 = { : Y ( ) 4} ;
; I E JAHAI=H ? ?AH = FH >=>E E@=@ @A BK ?E = A=J HE= AI @A?EH IK @A
A2 = { : X ( ) > 7} ; A4 = { : (X Y )( ) = 6} .
I @EBAHA JAI IK?AI I ? HHAIF @EA JAI = K = L=HE=> A
@A FH >=>E E@=@
,A
E?E
!
5A=
X : R
AI K
IK>?
K J
@A
@A
P (A) = P (X A) := P ({ : X ( ) A}) .
-A F
P (A1 ) =
GKA DA
,A
AH I IK?AI I @A A A
= JAHE H ?
IE@AH= @
GKA
I @=@ I
AIJ
JHK?=@ I JA A
I ?= ?K =@
) P (A2 ) = P (X > 7)) = P (X = 8) + P (X = 9) + P (X = 10) + P (X = 11) + P (X = 12) P (A3 ) = P ((Y 4)) = 1 P ((Y = 5)) .
>I HLAIA A =>KI F=H= IE F E ?=H IEA IA LAHE ?= @A J=?E I
P (X > x)
? =H
KC=H @A
P (X ( ) > x)
F H A A
GKA GKAHA
(X Y )( ) = 6
= (a, b) A GKA (3, 3), (3, 4), (4, 3), (3, 5), (5, 3), (3, 6) O (6, 3)
I @A?EH 2 H JE I ?=I I
!
,A
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= BK ?E
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A ?
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x R.
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AI @A @EIJHE>K?E
x x
l m F (x) = 0
l m F (x) = 1 x1 < x 2
A J ?AI
IE
F (x1 ) F (x2 )
.7
+1
,-
)5)
,- ,-
51,), .7
+1
,- ,15641*7+1
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"
AI ?
JE K= F H = @AHA?D= AI @A?EH
h0+
-I B ?E L= @=@= K = BK ?E *=IJ= J @A @EIJHE>K?E @A @EIJHE>K?E =H = @A ,A E?E J=HA
l m F (x + h) = F (x) .
?= ?K =H = FH >=>E E@=@ @A @EBAHA JAI JEF I @A E JAH
I @A = HA?J= HA=
O =I FH FEA@=@AI CA AH= AI @A
?K= GKEAH BK ?E
= = = =
P ((, b]) P ((, a]) = F (b) F (a) P ((, b)) P ((, a]) = F (b ) F (a) P ((, b]) P ((, a)) = F (b) F (a ) ((, b]) P ((, b)) = F (b) F (b ) =
I= J
I @E?A GKA IE AI F IEJEL= I E JAHAI=H = BK ?E @A @EIJHE>K?E
@A
A FK J A K
b.
FK J =
= @A A =I I @E?D = BK ?E
JEA A K ?
I= J
GKA = AIJK@E=H K = L=HE=> A = A=J HE= @A @EIJHE>K?E F=H= ? ?=H=?JAHE = ? ?AH A HAF=HJ F AJ=
?AH IK BK ?E EA J=I
I IA ?E =I GKA
@A FH >=>E E@=@
,A
EJ
E?E
K = BK ?E
AH=> A @A L=
X x1 , . . . , x n , . . .
FKA@A J
=H K
AH
GKA@= J J=
F H IK BK ?E
@A
=I= GKA
@A AI I F IE> AI L=
5A
HE=
@EI?HAJ= JEA A B H
F ( x) x1
>I HLAIA GKA = BK ?E
x2
x3 F (x)
AI
x
@A?HA?EA JA F H GK
@A @EIJHE>K?E
"
+)2 67
8)41)* -5 ) -)6
41)5
-A F
X =
IK
5 K?E
"
= @A
+= ?K =H I @=@ I
= BK ?E A
@A
=I= O A J
= BK ?E
@A @EIJHE>K?E
@A
A ANFAHE
@A JEH=H IK?AIEL= A J I
A JA @ I @=@ I
- AIF=?E
KAIJH= JEA A
36
A A
AI K = BK ?E GKA I @=@ I
@A AIF=?E AIJ
KAIJH=
GKA I
11
L=
HAI A
2, 3, . . . , 12
2KAIJ
JHK?=@ I
I IK?AI I A A
A J= AI I
AGKEFH >=> AI
P ({(a, b)}) =
2KAIJ ? F AJ= GKA F @A ? ?A I? J=H ?K @A
1 , 36
(a, b) .
?=@= K @A I IK?AI I
J IA A @A
A J I @A
. . . X = 12
I = BK ?E
=I= @A
D=O A = L=HE=> A X
X=2 X=3
HAI @AJAH E =
= IECKEA JA J=> = @A L=
A JA = BK ?E
=I= @A !
X
" # $ % & '
xi P (X = xi )
>I LAIA GKA
1 36
2 36
3 36
4 36
5 36
6 36
5 36
4 36
3 36
2 36
1 36
2 H IK F=HJA = BK ?E
x < 2,
=
F (x) = 1
A JA ?HA= @
IE
x 12
?= ? AI?= AI D HE = BK ?E J= AI @A @AJAH E =@ I F H
O F=H=
2 x < 12
L= IK>EA @ ?=
@A
0 = 1 F=K =JE
?
K = CH
IA?KJEL I
I I= J I A
?=@= A JAH
JE K=I
X
IA @E?A ?
,A
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JE K= ?K= @
FKA@A J
HAI @A K
?=H=?JAHE =@= F H IK BK ?E
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f : R R
LAHE ?= @
f (x) 0 F=H= f ( x) d x = 1
R
J @
xR
IK?AI
HA =JEL K =
JE K=
BK ?E
@A
IA ?= ?K =
A@E= JA = B H
P (A) =
A
f (x) dx
.7
+1
,-
)5)
,- ,-
51,), .7
+1
,- ,15641*7+1
"!
JE K=
I IK?AI I K EJ=HE I
A = {t}
JEA A
FH >=>E E@=@
FKAI
P ({t}) = f (x) dx = 0 .
{t}
? ? JE K= = FH >=>E E@=@ @A GKA = BK ?E
-IJA DA?D K L=
H F=HJE?K =H AI
IA?KA ?E=
@A @EIJHE>K?E
>JEA A = F=HJEH @A = BK ?E
@A @A IE@=@
f (t) dt .
F (x)
AI @AHEL=> A
f (x) = F (x) .
-A F
IEJK=@ = @EIJ= ?E=
#
-
5A= K
IAC
A J
OA
@A K AI
CEJK@ IAC
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AI @A
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= = =H A
OA
K J
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A J K
CD
OA
@A @A IE@=@ @A
OB
?
K?E
AH=> A
IA= K A
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I >HA = @
A J
CD IA @A OA I >HA
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[0, 5]
@A = HA?J= HA=
B O=0
2 @A @A I @A EH = BK ?E
D A
A=5
JE K=
@A @EIJHE>K?E ?K= @
X =
@EIJ=
?E=
OB
AIJ
0
2KAIJ @A?EH GKA A FK J = BK ?E
f (x) dx = 1 . B { f (x) =
IA IEJ = = = =H A A E JAHL=
OA
0
= @EIJHE>K?E
AI K EB H
A I >HA
OA
AI
@A @A IE@=@ AI ?
IJ= JA O =I
0 1 5
IE IE
x / [0, 5] x [0, 5]
= F (x) =
0 x 1 dt = 5 5 1
IE IE IE
x<0 x [0, 5] x 5.
f (x) 1 5
F (x)
""
+)2 67
8)41)* -5 ) -)6
41)5
! ! -IFAH= =
+ BHA?KA ?E= @A FHALE I ANFAHE 2=H= A
A@E= O L=HE= =
A J I = A=J HE I GKA AIJK@EA IA J A J = ?EAHJ= KAIJH= EI I F @HA JE I HA= E =H K
AIJK@E
A J
AI
O IA
J=@ IJE?
HA? CA I FAH J
L=HE=I LA?AI A @A
ANFAHE
@=J I I >HA @EIJE J=I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I @A ANFAHE EJ= FHA@A?EH A ? > AJ F HJ= EA J
?EAHJ=I @A AIJK@E =
A@E@=I GKA
I A JHA AIJ=I
A@E=
-
= L=HE= ?AFJ I =
= O
= @AILE=?E A@E@=I
J FE?=
A@E@=I @A @EIFAHIE
AIJ= IA??E
I ?
C I = AIJ=I
@A = -IJ=@ IJE?=
,A
IA @A
E?E
A IK
!!
A@E=
BK ?E
@A
=I=
P ( x i ) i = 1, 2 , . . .
AIFAH=
= ?
= E [X ] =
xi P ( xi ) .
JE K= ? BK ?E @A @A IE@=@
,A @A A IK
= AH= =
C=
IE
f (x)
IA
A@E=
AIFAH=
= ?
= E [X ] =
R
2=IA A@E@=I I = =I A@E@=I @A @EIFAHIE A A ?=F JK @A -IJ=@ IJE?= LE I = KJE E@=@ @A AIJ=I
xf (x) dx .
,A
O
E?E
A@E=
!!
IA @A
= L=HE= A ?
BK ?E
@A
=I=
P (xi )
2 = V [X ] = E [(X )2 ] =
(xi )2 P (xi ) .
i
) A@E=
C=
A JA A ?
= L=HE=
JE K=
BK ?E
@A @A IE@=@
f ( x)
IA @A
= V [X ] = E [(X ) ] =
2 2 R
(x )2 f (x) dx .
A ? = H= ?K=@H=@= F IEJEL= @A
= @AILE=?E IK L=HE= = ,A
J FE?=
- AH?E?E
IJH=H A
I ?=I I @EI?HAJ
O ?
JE K
= @A
2 = E [X 2 ] 2
! !
-52-4)
-,1) ; 8)41)
"#
K?E
5E O IE
BK ?E
@A
=I=
P ( xi )
@AI=HH
= @
?K=@H=@
F E ?= @
2 = = =
i i i
(xi )2 P (xi )
2 (x2 i 2xi + )P (xi )
x2 i P (xi ) 2
2 2 2
(
i
) ( ) xi P (xi ) + 2 P (xi )
i 2 2
= E [X ] 2 + = E [X ] .
A ?=I ? JE K @AI=HH = @ A ?K=@H=@ O IE F E ?= @ IA >JEA A
= E [X ] 2 + = E [X ] .
2 2 2 2 2
-A
-A F
5E ?
7 = FAHI
= F=HJE?EF= A
?KHI
@A JA ALEIE ?E ?
JAIJ= ? HHA?J=
A JA = K = FHACK J= ?
HAIFKAIJ=I F IE> AI I
10 000e
?=I ? JH=HE IA A FH F A K = IACK @= FHACK J= ? JHAI HAIFKAIJ=I F IE> AI I K = ? HHA?J= 5E =?EAHJ= C= = 5E J= I F ?
1 000e
A K = JAH?AH= ? @ I HAIFKAIJ=I F IE> AI C= = =@= FAH IE B= = @A>A F=C=H
500e
? ?KHI= JA ? JAIJ=
KAC
= =?EAHJ=
= = =H ?= ?
E [X ]
V [X ]
IEA @
AH
?KHI= JA
K?E
I IK?AI I =
5A=
Ai A IK?AI A1 A2 O A3 I
A ?
?KHI= JA HAIF
A JA = ?KAIJE
IE
i = 1, 2, 3
11 1 1 4 1 4 2 + + = . 5 3 5 2 5 3 15
"$
+)2 67
8)41)* -5 ) -)6
41)5
> 5A=
-I ? =H
I L=
HAI
? ? ? ?
1 3 2 3 2 3
4 ; 15
1 4 = ; 2 15 1 4 = . 2 15
E [Y ] = 10 000
? = L=HE=> A = A=J HE=
FKA@A J
x1 = 1 x2 = 2 x3 = 3
)I
P (X = 1) = P (A1 ) =
1 , 5 4 4 = , 5 15 4 8 = . 5 15
= E [X ] =
3 i=1
xi P (xi ) = 1
4 8 35 1 +2 +3 = = 2.33 ; 5 15 15 15
2 x2 i P (xi )
V [X ] = E [X ] =
2 2
3 i=1
-A F
@=@
CEJK@ @A ?EAHJ I J H E
I A
?A J
= BK ?E
@A @A IE
{ 3 (x 1)(3 x) f (x) = 4 0
AIA
IE IE
x [1, 3] x / [1, 3] .
E += ? EE 5E
E [X ]
I I
[X ]
L E@ I I E@ IE IK CEJK@ AIJ A JHA
I J H E
1.7
2.4
?= ?
@A GKA K
J H E
IA= L
! "
8)41)5 8)41)* -5
"%
K?E
I @EHA?J=
A JA =I B H
JE K=
X=
CEJK@ @A
J H E
@A @A IE@=@
f (x)
E [X ] = = = E [X 2 ] = = 2 [X ] = [X ] =
3 3 3 x(x 1)(3 x) dx = (3x + 4x2 x3 ) dx 4 1 1 4 ) 3( 3 4 1 (9 1) + (27 1) (81 1) 4 2 3 4 ) 3 8 3( 104 12 + 20 = = 2 ; 4 3 4 3 3 ) 3( 1 3 (3x2 + 4x3 x4 ) dx = (27 1) + (81 1) (243 1) 4 1 4 5 3( 242 ) 3 28 21 26 + 80 = = 4 5 4 5 5 21 1 E [X 2 ] 2 = 4= 5 5 1 5 = = 0.447 . 5 5
3
EE
I FE@A
?= ?K =H
2.4
GKA F H @A
E?E
AI
= = =
) 3 ( 1 3(2.4 1.7) + 2(2.42 1.72 ) (2.43 1.73 ) 4 3 ) 1 ( ) 3 ( 1 2.1 + 5.74 8.911 = 10.92 8.911 4 3 4 2.009 = 0.50225 . 4
3 f (x) dx = 4
2.4
(3 + 4x x2 ) dx
1.7
X1 , X2 , . . .
?KO
A ? =H =@A?K=@= =?E
A JA = E B H
I ?=I I = E B H
GKA AIJ=
IA= =I
JA @HA
I K = HA =?E
A JHA
,A
E?E
LA?J H = A=J HE
A IE
n
AI K =
BK ?E
(X1 , . . . , Xn ) : Rn .
GKA = ?=@= A A A J
@A
AIF=?E
KAIJH=
A D=?A ? HHAIF
@AH
AH I HA= AI
X1 ( ), . . . , Xn ( )
"&
+)2 67
8)41)* -5 ) -)6
41)5
-A F
= A=J HE
&
ANFAHE
A J
A JA
IA ?
IE@AH= A
LA?J H
(X, Y ) : R2
GKA @=@ K A A A J
= (a, b)
I @ALKA LA
(X, Y )( ) = (a + b, |a b|) .
A ? ?KHI JA ALEIEL @A - A F $ IA ? IE@AH= A LA?J H = A=J HE
(X, Y ) : R2
GKA = ?=@= A A A J @A AIF=?E KAIJH=
(X, Y )( ) = (
= FH @K??E
C= = ?E= @A ?
?KHI= JA
).
@A J H E
I A LA?J H = A=J HE
(X, Y, Z ) : R3
GKA = J =H ?=@= J H E
IK I -
I @E?A CEJK@ I ?
(X, Y, Z )( ) = (
)@A GKA IECKA @A A IE I = ? EHA = A=J HE I @A @E
@E
AJH
@A = ?=>A = C I = ?=I
CEJK@ @A = H I?=
).
A IE
?AFJ I =
?=I
n@E
A IE
AI =
= CA AH= E =?E
(X, Y ) : R2
F @HA ?AFJ I I D=?AH HAFHAIA J=?E AI I >HA A F = C= = @ A ? =HE@=@ = = D H= @A =IE E =H I ?
,A
E?E
= A=J HE
A AI K IK>? (X, Y ) : R2 @A E
5E
!"
K J I
@A
R2
@AI?HEJ
K J
@A F IE> AI L=
HAI @A LA?J H
,A
E?E
!"!
= BK ?E
@A @EIJHE>K?E
@A K
LA?J H = A=J HE
(X, Y )
IA @A
A ?
F (x, y ) = P ({(s, t) R2 : s x, t y }) = P ({ : X ( ) x, Y ( ) y })
=I FH FEA@=@AI @A F=HA?E@=I = ?=I =I BK ?E AI @A =I= ? =I BK ?E K J= AI @A @EIJHE>K?E A >=HC I @A @A IE@=@ ? @A @EIJHE>K?E @A K A I @A K = L=HE=> A 5E
F=H= J @
(x, y ) R2 .
I A ?EAHJ @ I = AH= GKA KJE E =HA
@A FH >=>E E@=@AI
- AH?E?E
+= ?K =H = BK ?E
(X, Y ) : R2
? HHAIF @EA JA = ? ?KHI JA ALEIEL @A - A F &
! "
8)41)5 8)41)* -5
"'
!"
,A IE@=@ ?
K J=
(X, Y )
@A
AI @EI?HAJ ?K= @ I FKA@A J =H K AH HAI -
,A
EJ
E?E
K
!""
LA?J H = A=J HE
AH=> A @A L=
K J= @A K K J=
LA?J H = A=J HE
(X, Y )
@EI?HAJ
GKA@= ?=H=?JAHE =@
F H = BK ?E
P (X = xi , Y = yj ) = P ({ : X ( ) = xi , Y ( ) = yj })
+K= @ = BK ?E AIJ @A ? =H =I= ? F H A ? JANJ KJE E =HA I = IECKEA JA K J= IKA A FHAIA J=HIA ?
i = 1, . . . , m ; j = 1, . . . , n .
J=?E
pi,j = P (X = xi , Y = yj )
Y X x1 xi xm pi,j y1 yj yn
-A F
5 K?E
'
2=H= A ? @AJAH
?KHI E =@
JA ALEIEL
@AI?HEJ
A - A ?KHI= JA
$ ?= ?K =H = BK ?E C= = ?E= @A ? HAI J = @
@A
=I= @A
LA?J H = A=J HE
F H
(X, Y )( ) = ( 3
F IE> AI L= HAI O
?KHI= JA = FHE @A
)
F A JA K J=
3 4 = 12
L=
AH= ? =I= ?
= IACK @=
= IECKEA JA J=> =
I HAFHAIA J= = BK ?E
Y X 1 2 3
J= >E A ?=I @A LA?J HAI = A=J HE I
500 0 0 4 15
=F=HJA @A AI
0 0 0 4 15
1 000 0 4 15 0
10 000 1 5 0 0
? @E?E K J= D=O JH=I @EIJHE>K?E AI
= @EIJHE>K?E
KO E JAHAI= JAI
=I @EIJHE>K?E
=HCE = AI O =I ?
=@=I
,A
E?E
!"#
= ?
=I @EIJHE>K?E
AI
=HCE = AI @A K
LA?J H = A=J HE I
(X, Y )
=I=
=I GKA IA
>JEA A
)I JA A
,EIJHE>K?E
@=@= F H
=HCE =
@A
AI @A JEF
n j =1
@EI?HAJ
O IK BK ?E
@A
=HCE =
LEA A
P ( X = xi ) =
,EIJHE>K?E
@=@= F H
P (X = xi , Y = yj ) ,
@EI?HAJ
i = 1, . . . , m .
@A =I= =HCE =
LEA A
=HCE =
@A
AI @A JEF
m i=1
O IK BK ?E
P (Y = yj ) =
P ( X = xi , Y = y j ) ,
j = 1, . . . , n .
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AI B ?E
@A
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= JAHE H IA
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= F=HJEH @A = J=> = ?
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+ L=HE=
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= ? L=HE=
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Cov(X, Y ) . [X ] [Y ]
@EC=
1 r 1 O IEHLA F=H= AIJK@E=H = ANEIJA ?E= @A K = F IE> A HA =?E Y = aX + b F=H= ?EAHJ I ? A ?EA JAI a, b R 5E r = 1 r = 1 ANEIJA
I ? =H= A I ?=F JK I I >HA -IJ=@ IJE?=
E A=
- AH?E?E !
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IJH=H = IECKEA JA B H
K =
Cov(X, Y ) = E [XY ] E [X ] E [Y ] .
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?
K?E
K J= O
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= @
IK I
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xi yj P (X = xi , Y = yj ) E [Y ] yj
m ( i=1 m i=1
xi
) P (X = xi , Y = yj )
E [X ]
m n ) P (X = xi , Y = yj ) + E [X ]E [Y ] P (X = xi , Y = yj ) i=1 j =1 n j =1
= E [XY ] E [Y ]
xi P (X = xi ) E [X ]
yj P (Y = yj ) + E [X ]E [Y ]
= E [XY ] E [Y ]E [X ] E [X ]E [Y ] + E [X ]E [Y ] = E [XY ] E [X ]E [Y ] .
!"!
,A @A E E?E
1 @AFA @A ?E=
I = ? JE K=?E = E @AFA @A ?E= @A L=HE=> AI = A=J HE=I @EI?HAJ=I @A = AH= = C= = = @A E @AFA @A ?E= @A IK?AI I
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F=H=
i = 1, . . . , m ; j = 1, . . . , n .
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E [XY ] = E [X ] E [Y ] .
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Cov(X, Y ) = 0
- AH?E?E "
5 K?E
,A
5KF
P (X = xi , Y = yj ) = P (X = xi ) P (Y = yj ) ,
F=H=
i = 1, . . . , m ; j = 1, . . . , n
+= ?K A
I = AIFAH=
= @A = L=HE=> A FH @K?J
X Y
E [XY ] = = =
xi yj P (X = xi , Y = yj ) xi yj P (X = xi ) P (Y = yj )
n ( ) xi P (X = xi ) yj P (Y = yj ) j =1
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+= ?K =H = ? L=HE=
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Y =
C= = ?E= @A K
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(X, Y )
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I GKA
P (X = 3, Y = 0) =
+
4 15
I
P (X = 3) P (Y = 0) =
8 4 4 = . 15 15 15
I @=J I @A = J=> = ?= ?K =
@A @
@A
1 4 8 35 7 +2 +3 = = 5 15 15 15 3 1 4 4 4 32 000 6 400 E [Y ] = 10 000 + 1 000 +0 500 = = 5 15 15 15 15 3 1 4 4 4 32 000 6 400 E [XY ] = 1 10 000 + 2 1 000 +30 + 3 (500) = = 5 15 15 15 15 3 ( ) 6 400 7 6 400 7 6 400 25 600 Cov(X, Y ) = E [XY ] E [X ]E [Y ] = = 1 = 3 3 3 3 3 9 E [X ] = 1
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-I B ?E ? ? FH >=H GKA IE AI
P (X = xi , Y = yj ) , P (Y = yj )
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i = 1, . . . , m .
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P (X = xi , Y = yj ) P (Y = y j ) P (X = xi ) P (Y = yj ) = = P (X = xi ) , P (Y = yj )
i = 1, . . . , m .
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A JA F=H=
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x R.
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x R, y R .
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E [XY ] = E [X ] E [Y ] .
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? @E?E @E?E =@= F H K =@= L= H
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x R.
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x R;
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y R.
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{ f (x, y ) =
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+= ?K =H = @A IE@=@ !
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2KAIJ
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f (x, y ) dx dy = k
R2
(x + xy ) dx dy 1 ( 1 1 ( ) ) 1 = k x (1 + y ) dy dx = k x (1 0) + ( 0) dx 2 0 0 1 0 ) 3k 3k ( 1 4 3k x dx = 0 = = k = . = 2 0 2 2 4 3
=I @A IE@=@AI
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f (x) =
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f (x, y ) dy R1
@A @
@A
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=I @A IE@=@AI
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X = E [X ] = E [X 2 ] =
2 X = E [X 2 ] 2 X
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2 Y = E [Y 2 ] 2 Y
x 2x dx = 2
(1
5 9 7 18
!
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Cov(X, Y ) = 0
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(X1 , X2 , . . . , XN )
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= L=HE=> A A HAGKEIEJ
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V (T ) = a2 V (X ) + b2 V (Y ) .
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@A GKA IE = KAC= K
K = @A = L=HE=
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X1 , . . . , Xn
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? BK ?E AI @A @A IE@=@
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= LE@=
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E J FHA JA JH= LA ! ? FHA @A # AKH I # ?
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