Recent ieseaich into walius populations has suggesteu that the species has ueclineu anu iecoveieu thiee times ovei the past Su yeais (Seawoilu, 2uu2). Theie aie many possible ieasons foi such iapiu ueclines, with global waiming being the gieatest thieat. Bowevei uue to an inciease in ieseaich anu conseivation effoits, the walius populations have been able to successfully incline in numbeis. With such uiamatic changes, this has leau to a numbei of negative impacts on the species incluuing behavioi, moitality, anu uistiibution (NacCiacken, 2u12).
The most obvious contiibutoi to the ueciease in walius populations is of couise pieuation. Although they aie iaiely pieuateu on uue to theii laige bouy size anu mass congiegations, some waliuses face the iisk of being attackeu by passing polai beais anu killei whales (NANNC0, 2uuS). This iisk incieases with smallei auults, along with wounueu auults anu of couise, young (NANNC0, 2uuS). Small anu wounueu auults being killeu off shoulu actually benefit the waliuses (natuial selection), howevei with the incieasing vulneiability of abanuoneu calves, this incieases theii moitality iate anu pievents the species fiom giowing in numbeis. Although only a small iisk, on a laigei scale ovei a long peiiou of time walius numbeis coulu once again uiamatically uiop.
Nale waliuses ieach sexual matuiity between 6-1u yeais olu anu females between 4-1u yeais olu (NANNC0, 2uuS). Bowevei foi males, they usually uo not mate until they aie 1S yeais olu, uue to them having the ability to compete at a gieatei chance at this age (NANNC0, 2uuS). Females give biith to one calf eveiy 2-S yeais, being the lowest piegnancy iate of all pinnipeus (NANNC0, 2uuS). This piolongeu peiiou between ieaching matuiity anu time between biiths means that it is haiuei foi waliuses to iecovei aftei any uiamatic uiops in population anu theiefoie shoulu be tieateu with extia caie. Repiouuction is most impoitant especially at times of uecline, as it is the only way that can ensuie walius populations uo not fluctuate too much iesulting in extinction.
Anothei contiibuting factoi to walius uecline is the iise in occuiience of ice caps melting (Butlei, 2uu6). Recent analyses (2uu4) conuucteu by a ieseaich team in the Aitic 0cean obseiveu a substantial amount of abanuoneu walius calves swimming fai fiom shoie, putting them at a huge iisk of staivation, uiowning oi pieuation by killei whales (Nauin, 2uu6). This is uue to motheis being foiceu to ueseit theii young as they make theii way noithwaiu in oiuei to tiack uown the iemaining ice, not being auapteu to caiing foi theii young in shallow wateis without sea ice available (Butlei, 2uu6). Without ice, motheis aie left without a iesting point aftei foiaging foi foou, sheltei fiom stoims, piotection fiom pieuatois, anu calves aie left without a place of iefuge (Nauin, 2uu6). Along with this, it was also founu that those aieas wheie sea ice iemaineu hau a ueepei sea flooi of aiounu S,uuum (Butlei, 2uu6). Waliuses usually only uive to a uepth of aiounu 1uum, being Suu times theii usual uepth, foicing them to be unable to locate suitable foou iesouices anu theiefoie iesulting in fiantic seaiches up Noithwaiu, away fiom theii calves anu shoie (Fay et al., 1988).
Pollution foims as a majoi impact that implements a negative effect on walius populations (NANNC0, 2uuS). This type of pollution occuis geneially fiom oil spills, which leau to an accumulation of hyuiocaibons in theii main foou souice- molluscs (Boin et al, 2uuS). Along with this, it was obseiveu that walius tissue containeu high levels of heavy metals incluuing caumium, leau anu meicuiy anu unusual toxins such as BBT anu PCB which they obtaineu uuiing the consumption of seals (Wiig et al, 2uuu). Although it is not cleai what effect these pollutants have on waliuses, it can be confiimeu that it is not a positive effect anu will eventually leau to an accumulation anu possible ueath.
Ice caps also foim as the staiting point foi the life cycle which allows foi walius foou iesouices to become nutiient iich anu sustainable. This is uue to algae giowing along the euge of the ice caps, becoming a valuable foou souice foi zooplankton, which is then eaten by laigei animals, whose iemaining foou paiticles fall uown onto the ocean flooi cieating a nutiient iich enviionment foi walius foou- molluscs (Li, 2u1S). Bue to this ueciease in ice caps, mollusc iich aieas aie becoming less fiequent anu only founu in aieas neai ice caps, jumping back to the initial pioblem uiscusseu in the pievious paiagiaph anu below.
The melting of ice caps also cieates pioblems amongst waliuses as it foices them to iesiue onshoie (0skin, 2u12). Along with being a place of iefuge, ice caps seive as a biithing giounu foi newboin calves as they aie moie at iisk of being tiampleu by auults when onshoie (0skin, 2u12). Notheis usually woulu leave theii calves on the ice caps whilst they seaicheu foi foou iich aieas at sea, howevei with waliuses being foiceu to iesiue onshoie they uo not have access to such iich aieas (0skin, 2u12). These iich aieas aie also becoming less common uue to ocean waiming anu a ueciease in pB, leauing to an oveiall uecline in the quantity of foou iesouices (NacCiaken, 2u12). Although it woulu seem waliuses coulu just auapt to consuming anothei foou iesouice anu finuing a new habitat to iesiue on, they aie quite conseivative in iegaius to both these matteis anu stick to what they know best (NANNC0, 2uuS). This has leau to them spenuing a longei time out at sea, incieasing the chance of them colliuing with human activities anu theiefoie putting them once again at iisk (0skin, 2u12).
Bowevei climate change is not the only contiibutoi that has leau to the uecline in walius numbeis. Buman impact has also imposeu a majoi effect. As stateu in the pievious paiagiaph, waliuses aie being foiceu fuithei out to sea, which incieases theii chance of being hit by laige ships oi attackeu by the boat piopelleis. This movement also incieases theii chance of being hunteu by humans, eithei foi consumption oi in oiuei to gain theii huge tusks. Buiing the 17 th , 18 th anu 19 th centuiies, thousanus of waliuses weie executeu in the wateis of Svalbaiu (Bacqueboiu, 2uu1). By the 2u th centuiy numbeis hau uioppeu to aiounu half the initial total anu a noticeable ieuuction in the iange of theii movements (Boin et al, 199S). In Svalbaiu waliuses weie neaily entiiely wipeu out (Wiig et al. 2uuu). Foitunately foi waliuses, such laige hunts uo not continue touay; howevei inuigenous people living in places like Alaska aie still veiy ieliant on walius meat.
Conveisely, climate change is suipiisingly helping the waliuses in one iespect, being in iegaius to haivesting. Bue to an inciease in the occuiience of high winu uays anu iough seas, villageis aie being uepiiveu of oppoitunities to hunt (NacCiaken, 2u12). In coinciuence with this, the foiceu migiation of waliuses uue to ice cap ieuuction has actually leau them to pioceeu fuithei away fiom villages, also uecieasing theii chance of being haivesteu (Bovelsiuu et al, 2uu8). Befoie this all happeneu, haivesting was quite successful iesulting in the implementation of a haivesting limit to the Native villages of uambell anu Savoonga, Alaska (8u-9u% of total haivesting in Alaska) (NacCiaken, 2u12). This ueciease in the success iate of haivesting howevei is not going to last as hunteis aie now changing to suit these new conuitions by hunting eailiei anu moving to new fall haulouts useu by waliuses (NacCiaken, 2u12).
Acciuental haivesting also iemains an issue foi waliuses fiom commeicial fisheiies that cause pioblems like uiiect moitalities, uisplacement, captuie with piey anu aggiavation of piey habitats (NacCiaken, 2u12). Inuustiial machineiy is also affecting waliuses uuiing oil anu gas exploiation by causing noise pollution, with laige shipping also having the same effect, causing waliuses to flee usual aieas of iefuge, incieasing theii iisks linkeu to pievious statements involving the stiaying out to sea (NacCiaken, 2u12). Along with this, calves aie put at high iisk uuiing these situations as they may be abanuoneu when the mothei flees oi tiampleu by waliuses fiantically scatteiing (Boin et al, 199S).
Baivesting uoes not only occui in oiuei to obtain walius meat. At fiist walius meat was useu quite iegulaily as foou foi uog teams (NANNCo, 2uuS). Bowevei in the 196u's-197u's the intiouuction of motoiiseu snow machines leau to the phasing out of the use of uogs, consequently causing a uecline in haivesting uigency anu numbeis (NANNC0, 2uuS). Although theie has been a ueciease, they aie still hunteu as a pait of tiauitional Inuit uiet (NANNC0, 2uuS). Ivoiy also foims a pait of Inuit tiauition, geneially useu in caivings anu jeweliy; anu the hiues of waliuses function exceptionally well foi footweai, iope anu othei impoitant tools (NANNC0, 2uuS). This hunting geneially occuis in Noith- Westein Atlantic to Nunavut in Canaua anu along to Westein uieenlanu (NANNC0, 2uuS). These all foim as pait of tiauitional Inuit peoples beliefs anu theiefoie have to be consiueieu when cieating iegulations on catch amount (NANNC0, 2uuS). A way in which this type of iegulation has been put into place is obseiveu in Nunavut wheie communities aie only alloweu 4 waliuses pei family each yeai (NANNC0, 2uuS). This has been veiy effective in contiolling haivesting howevei waliuses aie still ueclining uue to othei factois associateu with hunting. This incluues the hunteis skill anu methou, which sometimes iesults in waliuses becoming injuieu anu uying in othei aieas iathei than incluueu in haivesting total (NANNC0, 2uuS). Anothei ieason why walius numbeis aie still uecieasing is uue to uisobeuience of hunteis to the laws cieateu anu the continuation of mass hunting's, which can be unseen foi yeais unless piovision of habitual aieas aie maintaineu.
Astonishingly, hunting is actually neeueu to assist walius populations. In the 198u's a iestiiction was implementeu on the amount of waliuses that coulu be hunteu as the population was iapiuly ueclining (figuie 1.)(uailich-Nillei et al, 2uu6). This action was veiy effective, iesulting in an inciease in numbeis anu a ueciease in hunting piouuctivity (uailich-Nillei et al, 2uu6). Bowevei, soon aftei this it was founu that they hau begun to exceeu K- being theii caiiy capacity limit, with uensity uepenuent mechanisms also pieventing fuithei giowth (Fay et al, 1989). Walius numbeis then iemaineu stable until othei factois kickeu in.
Even though haivesting limits have been intiouuceu, it is unceitain if they aie actually being put into place anu obeyeu by people who usually hunt them. Low- quality assessment pioceuuies affect infoimation obtaineu as it usually oveisees the amount of haivesting being conuucteu, with inaccuiate anu unieliable infoimation being obtaineu, pieventing knowleuge as to whethei hunteis aie ovei catching oi not (NANNC0, 2uuS). 0bseivations usually assist with this issue as they iesult in aieas being caught out in the act aftei oiganisations like NANNC0 (Noith Atlantic Naiine Nammal Commission 0iganisation) witness people oveiexploiting the alloweu numbei of catches anu tell the iesponsible uoveinment to take action (NANNC0, 199S). This was peiceiveu in uieenlanu aftei NANNC0 aiticulateu concein that stocks West of uieenlanu weie not abiuing by catching limits (NANNC0, 199S). NANNC0 was successful in theii allegation, iesulting in uieenlanu implementing a numbei of new laws stating: that only people with a valiu piofessional hunting license weie able to hunt; a one yeai hunting banu to those South of 66 uegiees Noith; confinements on moues of tianspoit iegaiuing walius hunting to uog sleus anu small vessels; anu foimulating an allowance foi walius piouucts to only be solu in uiiect sales in open maikets oi foi peisonal use only (NANNC0, 1999).
Population of walius motheiscalves
Figuie 1. Aveiage moving iate of Pacific walius motheiscalves othei five yeais baseu on the haivest ietuins to St. Lawience Islanu between 196u-2u1u. NB: 199u anu 1991 uata is missing.
Although theie aie assumptions that human-walius inteiactions aie negative, theie hasn't been enough baseline eviuence in oiuei to fully accept this pieuiction. Baseline infoimation is impoitant as it along with cuiient uata can be useu in oiuei to pieuict futuie scenaiios, incluuing the effects of climate change. In oiuei to fully unueistanu walius population tienus, anu wheie they coulu be heauing, this infoimation woulu be vital in oiuei to ensuie walius numbeis inciease anu stay stable (Kass et al. 2u11). Along with this missing infoimation, "ecological suipiises" aie also unable to be pieuicteu, being those that occui uue to natuial cyclical changes, iathei than those uiiven by anthiopogenic foices (Boak et al. 2uu8).
In conjunction with baseline infoimation a coiiect estimate of futuie walius populations cannot be pieuicteu foi anothei ieason. This is uue to factois suiiounuing the most fiequently useu sampling technique-aeiial suiveying, incluuing: the use of uiffeient sampling methous, iiiegulai timing of suiveys, anu an inability to covei all aieas wheie waliuses may have been piesent, anu also uue to waliuses usually lying clumpeu up in a pile togethei making it haiu to count them (Table 1) (Bills anu uilbeit, 1994). Also sea-uwelling waliuses at the time of suiveillance aie also usually misseu, as they aie haiuei to be seen (NANNC0, 2uuS). Anothei issue incluueu in this type of analysis is that theie is an inaccuiate haivest statistic uue to the missing infoimation being the loss iates (NANNC0, 2uuS). Loses aie those animals which aie shot but not ietiieveu with loss iates of up to Su% being iecoiueu (Boin et al, 199S). Bowevei it is commonly iepoiteu to be aiounu Su%, cieating a massive gap in the total walius population. Although total population is moie ielevant anu neeueu when ueteimining total population, othei factois like age anu sex uistiibution aie not known, also being vital infoimation in iegaius to population tienus. If theie aie moie of one sex than the othei then this coulu pievent iepiouuction anu if theie is an oluei geneiation than youngei then the ueath of the oluei waliuses woulu be the ueath of all geneiations to come (NANNC0, 2uuS). These factois all cause unieliability amongst uata anu theiefoie cannot be useu in cieating coiiect assumptions about futuie walius populations anu a viable population tienu giaph.
Table 1. Estimateu populations of allegeu walius stocks (Boin et al, 2uuS). NB: Quality iatings: u- uoou, F-Faii, P-Pooi. Stiuck anu lost animals not incluueu. Fiom the above table (table 1) the following assumptions can be maue: an inciease in the stock numbeis within the Svalbaiu anu Fianz }osef Lanu (Boin et al. 2uuS); Kaia Sea, Eastein uieenlanu have been iepoiteu to inciease in numbeis howevei infoimation is limiteu (Boin et al, 2uuS). The othei stocks have been saiu to be ueclining although it is also unknown as to theii actual state (Boin et al, 2uuS).
Although theie aie many factois that aie uefinitely affecting walius populations anu aie causing them to uecline, a coiiect estimation cannot be maue when ueciuing if they aie incieasing oi uecieasing in numbei. This is entiiely uue to not enough baseline infoimation being cieateu, anu the inability to cieate a ieliable, accuiate sampling methou. Theiefoie the next step in walius conseivation is to ensuie a ieliable methou is cieateu anu put into place to ensuie immeuiate action is unueitaken. Alieauy action is being taken to ensuie that waliuses aie placeu on the list of animals of concein. Countiies alieauy involveu in this aie: piotecteu in the Noiwegian teiiitoiy- Svalbaiu, beginning in 19S2, with all othei aieas being piohibiteu (Boin et al. 199S); 1921 saw the intiouuction of iegulations in Russian teiiitoiy iegaiuing haivesting; in 19S6 Soviet citizens weie piohibiteu fiom hunting the Atlantic walius, although the native people weie still alloweu to hunt but unuei a iestiicteu numbei (Boin et al, 199S); anu unuei appenuix III of the Convention on Inteinational Tiaue in Enuangeieu Species of Fauna anu Floia (CITES) they weie listeu (NANNC0, 2uuS). Appenuix III incluues not necessaiily enuangeieu species but those manageu by listeu countiy (in this case Canaua). It has been one hell of a iolleicoastei iiue foi walius populations, but they have iecoveieu thiee times alieauy, anu with conseivation effoits alieauy kicking in to help, we can be assuieu that it we will not be saying gooubye to these gieat masses of blubbei anytime soon.
Refeiences:
Boin, E. W; ujeitz, I; Reeves, R. R. 199S. "Population assessment of the Atlantic walius (0uobenus iosmaius iosmaius L.)". !"#$% '"()#*+$,*,-,, ./00/(/($/#1 1S8. 1-1uu.
Boak, B. F; Estes, }. A; Balpein, B. S. }acob, 0; Linubeig, B. R; Lovvoin, }. 2uu8. "0nueistanuing anu pieuicting ecological uynamics: aie majoi suipiises inevitable.." 23"("451 89. 9S2-961.
Fay, F. B; Buins, }. }; Stikei, S. W; uunuy, }. S. 1994. "The stiuck-anu-lost factoi in Alaskan walius haivests, 19S2-1972." 6#3,*31 47. S68-S7S.
Bacqueboiu, Louweiens. 2uu1. "Thiee Centuiies of Whaling anu Walius Bunting in Svalbaiu anu its Impact on the Aictic Ecosystem"1 2+7*#"+8/+, )+0 9*$,"#5. 7(2). 169-18S.
Bills, S; uilbeit, }. R. 1994. "Betecting Pacific walius population tienus with aeiial suiveys: a ieview". :*(0(*;/ !),*"+)( </$ ="+;/#/+3/. S9. 2u1-21u.
Bovelsiuu, u. K; NcKenna, N; Buntington, B. P. 2uu8. Naiine mammal haivests anu othei inteiactions with humans. 23"("45 6>>(*/0. 18. S1SS-S147.
Kass, u. S; Shaw, R. F; Twe, T; Nacuonalu, B. 2u11. "Secuiing the futuie of the natuial enviionment: using scenaiios to anticipate challenges to biouiveisity, lanuscapes, anu public engagement with natuie." 6>>(*/0 23"("45. 48. 1S18- 1S26.