0.

018

RUNS PER GAME

Markov

mean
0.809
7.20819
6.91

event fraction
0.3
0.5
0.2
0.8
0.2
out fraction
0.538
0.153
0.309

0.5
0.5
0.2
0.5
0.3

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

Outcome
Number Probability
Plate Appearances
762
At Bats+Sacrifice Hits + Sacrifice Bunts709
Errors
13 0.01706
Outs (in play)
371 0.486877
Strikeouts
63 0.082677
Walks
49 0.064304
HBP
4 0.005249
Singles
225 0.295276
Doubles
24 0.031496
Triples
5 0.006562
Home Runs
8 0.010499
Event
Probability
000
Strikeout
0.08268
Walk
0.0643
HBP
0.00525
Error
0.01706
Long Single (advance 2 bases)
0.08858
Medium Single (score from 2nd) 0.14764
Short single (advance one base)
0.05906
Short double
0.0252
Long double
0.0063
Triple
0.00656
Home run
0.0105
Ground into Double Play
0.13097
Normal Ground ball
0.13097
Line drive or Infield fly
0.07449
Long Fly
0.03009
Medium Fly
0.07522
Short Fly
0.04513
total probability
1

Runs
Event codeEvent
1 Strikeout
2 Walk
3 HBP
4 Error
5 Long Single
6 Medium Single
7 Short single
8 Short double
9 Long double
10 Triple
11 Home run
12 GIDP
13 Normal GO
14 Line drive or Infield fly
15 Long Fly
16 Medium Fly
17 Short Fly

1
2006 simulation

1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
6
6
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

0 outs
000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0

.777 per inning

6.9205
2
100
2
3
3
3
4
3
3
5
6
7
1
1
2
2
2
2
2

0 outs
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
end
runs

Batter
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Entering
state
Outcome
000
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State #
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

1
#######
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#######
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Outcome
#
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

Runs
#######
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Outs
Made
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######

2006 simulation

.777 per inning

Ichiro runs per game
3
4
5
6
7
110
101
011 010 001 111
3
4
5
6
7
8
8
8
3
4
8
8
8
3
4
8
3
4
4
2
4
4
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
8
3
4
4
2
5
5
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
7
7
1
1
1
1
1
7
1
5
6
7
4
2
5
7
1
3
4
5
6
7
4
2
7
7
1
3
2
6
6
1
3
4
5
6
7

0 outs
110
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
#N/A
######

0 outs 0 outs0 outs0 outs0 outs

101
011 010 001 111
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
3
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0

8
8
8
8
8
4
3
8
5
6
7
1
5
4
8
4
3
8

1 out
000
0
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
3
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
0

1 out
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0

1 out
110
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0

1 out
101
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0

1 out
011
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
0

1 out
010
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
0

0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0

Outs
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######

Done?
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######
######

1 out
001

1 out
111
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0

2 outs
000
0
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
3
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
0

2 outs
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0

2 outs
110
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0

2 outs
101
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0

2 outs
011
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0

2 outs
010
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0

2 outs
001
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0

2 outs
111
0
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
3
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

2
Outs
000
Strikeout
Walk
HBP
Error
Long Single
Medium Single
Short single
Short double
Long double
Triple
Home run
GIDP
Normal GO
Line drive or Infield fly
Long Fly
Medium Fly
Short Fly

3
0

4
0
100

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

5
0
110

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1

6
0
101

7
0
011

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1

8
0
010

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

9
0
001

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

10
0
111

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

11
1
000

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1

12
1
100

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

13
1
110

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1

14
1
101

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1

15
1
011

16
1
010

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

17
1
001

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

18
1
111

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

19
2
000

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1

20
2
100

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

21
2
110

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

22
2
101

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

23
2
011

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

24
2
010

25
2
001

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

26
2
111

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1