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Probability Random Variables Stochastic Process
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Hints 9/5/02
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t t 0 1RZZHOHW t 0 7KLVDSSURDFKDFFRPSOLVKHVDOOWKHREMHFWLYHVSURYLGHG
WKDWWKHGLIIHUHQWLDOHTXDWLRQKDVDXQLTXHVROXWLRQXQGHUVXFKDVVXPSWLRQVDQG
WKHHIIHFWRIWKHLQLWLDOFRQGLWLRQVDW t 0 RQWKHVROXWLRQDWVRPHIL[HG t GHFOLQHVWR]HUR
DV t 0
7KLVLVWUXHIRUVWDEOHGLIIHUHQWLDOHTXDWLRQV7KHGLIIHUHQWLDOHTXDWLRQ
an y
(n)
( t ) + an 1 y
( n 1)
( t ) + + a 1 y( t ) + a 0 y ( t ) = x ( t )
LVVWDEOHLIDQGRQO\LIWKHDVVRFLDWHGSRO\QRPLDOHTXDWLRQLQ s
n
an s + an 1 s
n1
+ + a 1 s + a0 = 0
H-22
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
1
jt
h ( t ) H ( ) h ( t ) = ------ H ( )e d
2
$OVRLQWKLVSUREOHPDVVXPH E { v ( t ) } = 0 7RPDNHWKLQJVPRUHPDQDJHDEOHGHILQH
WKH]HURPHDQSURFHVV z ( t ) = y ( t ) 2 DQGEHJLQZRUNZLWKLW
-XVWQRWHWKDW f ( t 1 )g ( t 2 ) ( t 1 t 2 ) = f ( t 1 )g ( t 1 ) ( t 1 t 2 ) = f ( t 2 )g ( t 2 ) ( t 1 t 2 )
0,I ( ) LVWKHSKDVHDQJOHRI R xy ( ) FRQVLGHU E { x ( t + ) e
j ( )
y( t) }
6KRZWKDW x ( t ) = y ( t ) LQWKHPHDQVTXDUHVHQVH7KHQXVHWKH6FKZDU]LQHTXDOLW\
(TWZLFHWRVKRZ R xx ( ) = Rxy ( ) DQG R yy ( ) = Rxy ( )
1RKLQW
3UHVXPH WREHUHDO8VH ( 1 ) = 0 WRHVWDEOLVK E { cos } = E { sin } = 0 DQG
XVH ( 2 ) = 0 WRHVWDEOLVK E { cos 2 } = E { sin 2 } = 0 7KHQVKRZ ( t ) = 0 DQG
1
R ( t 1, t 2 ) = --- cos [ ( t 1 t 2 ) ]
2
D%7KHUHLVDPLVVLQJGHILQLWLRQKHUH7KHVWRFKDVWLFSURFHVV x ( t ) KDVRUWKRJR
QDOLQFUHPHQWVLIIRU t a t b t c t d E { [ x ( t d ) x ( t c ) ] [ x ( t b ) x ( t a ) ] } = 0 8VLQJWKLV
GHILQLWLRQVXEVWLWXWH t d = t 2 t c = t b = t 1 DQG t a = 0 E)<RXQHHGWRVKRZWKDW
y ( t ) LVFRQVWDQWDQG\RXFDQQRWGRWKLVXQOHVV\RXDVVXPHWKDW x ( t ) LVFRQVWDQW
8VHSDUWDWRILQG Ryy ( t 1, t 2 ) DVDIXQFWLRQRI t 1 t 2
1RKLQW
6HH3UREOHP
,1RWHWKDW f y ( y 1, , y n ; t 1, , t n ) =
f y ( y 1, , y n ; t 1, , t n ) = f x ( y 1, , y n ; t 1 , , t n )
8VH(TVDQG
E1RWHWKDW f x ( x, t ) = f x ( x ) 1RWHWKDW z DQG w DUHMRLQWO\QRUPDO8VH(TWR
ILQGWKHLUFRUUHODWLRQFRHIILFLHQW
)<RXPXVWDVVXPHKHUHWKDW x ( t ) LV:66RUHTXLYDOHQWO\WKDW x ( t ) KDVDFRQ
H-23
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
ZLOOKHOSWRILQG x
06HHWKHKLQWLQWKHSUREOHPZKLFKLV8VH(TDQGHVWDEOLVKWKH)RXULHU
VHULHV sin
z =
--n- [ J0 ( n ) ( 1 )
]sin nz
n=1
3UHVXPHDVLVLPSOLHGE\WKHSUREOHPWKDW x ( t ) LV:667KHUHDUHWZRZD\VWR
SURFHHG2QHZD\LVGLUHFWEXWDOJHEUDLFDOO\GHPDQGLQJ7KHRWKHUZD\LVOHVVGLUHFW
EXWHDVLHU7KHGLUHFWPHWKRGVLPSO\UHOLHVRQWKHUHODWLRQVKLSV
E{ g( x( t ) ) } =
E { g ( x ( t 1 ), x ( t 2 ) ) } =
g ( x )f ( x, t ) dx
ZKLFKDUHREYLRXVH[WHQVLRQVRI(TVDQG7KHILUVWDQGVHFRQGRUGHUGHQ
VLW\IXQFWLRQDUHREWDLQHGIURPWKHIDFWWKDW x ( t ) LVQRUPDO7KHLQWHJUDWLRQLVGLIIL
FXOWEXWGRDEOH7KHOHVVGLUHFWPHWKRGUHOLHVRQWKHFORVHFRQQHFWLRQEHWZHHQWKH
GHVLUHGH[SHFWHGYDOXHVDQGWKHILUVWDQGVHFRQGRUGHUFKDUDFWHULVWLFIXQFWLRQVRI
x ( t ) ZKLFKDUHIXOO\GHYHORSHGIRUDQRUPDOSURFHVVLQ(TVDQG,Q
2
HLWKHUFDVHRQHPXVWQRWHWKDW ( t ) = R x ( 0 ) DQG r ( t + , t ) = r ( ) = R x ( ) R x ( 0 )
E)$VVXPH R x ( ) 0 DV 0 QRWMXVW R x ( ) 0 DVLQWKHSUREOHPVWDWH
PHQW
:ULWH y ( t 1 )y ( t 2 ) DVDGRXEOHLQWHJUDODQGWDNHH[SHFWHGYDOXHV
2
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
WLRQ8VH(TVDQGE8VH([DPSOH
D06HH([DPSOH
E8VH cos 0 cos = [ cos ( 0 ) + cos ( 0 + ) ] 2 ZLWKSDUWD
$VVXPH x ( t ) LVUHDO
8VHWKHLGHQWLWLHV e
j2a
+e
j 2a
1RKLQW
06KRZ y = I 8VH(TIURP([DPSOHWRILQG R y WKHQXVH7DEOHWR
ILQG Sy
j 2
1
6LQFH S ( ) 0 FOHDUO\ A = ------ S ( ) i a i e i d 0
2
h* ( t )e
st
dt : ( z ) = + * ( 1 z * ) = n h * [ n ]z
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DUHWZRYHUVLRQVDQGERWKDVVXPHWKUHHSDLUVRI)RXULHUWUDQVIRUPV f ( ) F ( )
g ( ) G ( ) DQG h ( ) H ( )
,,I H ( ) = F ( )G ( ) WKHQ h ( ) = f ( ) * g ( )
1
,,,I h ( ) = f ( )g ( ) WKHQ H ( ) = ------ F ( ) * G ( )
2
1RWLFHWKHIDFWRURIWZRSLLQWKHVHFRQGYHUVLRQRIWKHWKHRUHP$SSDUHQWO\WKLVIDF
H-25
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
WRUZDVQHJOHFWHGLQWKHVHWWLQJRIWKHSUREOHPOHDGLQJWRWKHW\SR7KHFRUUHFWUHVXOW
1
2
LV S y ( ) = 2R x ( 0 ) ( ) + --- Sx ( ) * S x ( )
Sx ( )
1
/RZ3DVV
%DQG3DVV
R ( 1 ) = R ( 0 )e IRUVRPHSKDVHDQJOH 'HILQH = 1
D07KHSUHVXPSWLRQLVWKDW x ( t ) LVUHDO([SUHVV E { x ( t )x ( t ) } LQWHUPVRI
S xx ( ) XVLQI(T$WWHPSWLQJWRXVH R xx ( ) ZLOOIDLO
E'([SUHVV x ( t ) P\V\PEROIRUGRXEOHXSVLGHGRZQKDWVZKLFK,ODFNLQWHUPV
2
H-26
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
S xy ( ) = 2B ( 0 )
D8VHFRQYROXWLRQLQWHJUDOVGLUHFWO\1RWH R yx LQVWHDGRI R xy
3UHVXPHWKDWRYHUVXIILFLHQWO\VPDOOLQWHUYDOVRIWKHIUHTXHQF\D[LVWKDWWKHIXQF
WLRQV S xy ( ) S xx ( ) DQG S yy ( ) DUHHVVHQWLDOO\FRQVWDQW8VH(T
3UHVXPHWKDW x ( t ) LVUHDO8VHWKHFRVLQHLQHTXDOLW\(T
3URFHHGDVLQ3UREOHP1RWHWKHW\SRWKHJUHDWHUWKDQVLJQVKRXOGEHD
JUHDWHUWKDQRUHTXDOVLJQ
([SUHVV R [ m ] LQWHUPVRI f ( ) &RPSDUHZLWK(T
D,0)LQGWKHVROXWLRQVWRWKHKRPRJHQHRXVGLIIHUHQWLDOHTXDWLRQ8VHWKH
YDULDWLRQRISDUDPHWHUVPHWKRGWRILQGWKHVROXWLRQWRWKHQRQKRPRJHQHRXVGLIIHU
2
HQWLDOHTXDWLRQ:ULWH y ( t ) DVDGRXEOHLQWHJUDODQGWDNHH[SHFWHGYDOXHV
E,'8VHWKHVDPHDSSURDFKDVDERYHIRUWKHGLIIHUHQFHHTXDWLRQ
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D8VH(TE8VH(TDQG([DPSOH
8VH(TIRU f x ( x, t ) DQG f y ( y, t ) 7KHQXVH(TIRU f z ( z, t )
,)LQGWKHGLIIHUHQWLDOHTXDWLRQUHODWLQJ v ( t ) DQG n e ( t ) 8VH/DSODFHWUDQVIRUPVWR
2
2t
1
U ( t ) ------------------------ DQGLI h ( t ) H ( ) WKHQ h( t ) jH ( )
( j + 2 )
8VH([DPSOHDQG(T
3UHVXPHWKDWWKH:LHQHUSURFHVV w ( t ) LVDQRUPDOVWRFKDVWLFSURFHVVZLWK]HUR
PHDQ8VH(TWRILQG R y DQG3UREOHPWRILQG R z
8VH&DPSEHOOVWKHRUHP(T1RWHWKDW s ( 7 ) FDQEH]HURRQO\LIQR3RLVVRQ
H-27
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
0 f ( t )e
2
jt
dt
m =
2m
-----------
T
yN ( t ) = x ( t + )
n = N
sin ( nT )
x ( t + nT ) -------------------------------- T =
( nT )
1RWHWKDW N ( t ) = y N ( 0 )
$VVXPH x ( t ) LVUHDODQGXVHWKHSURRIDWWKHERWWRPRISDJH
8VH(T(TZLWK = 0 DQG7DEOH
6HHKLQWDERYH
H-28
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
j
0 j
j
1 0
j
1 j
p 1 ( ) = --- 1 ---- ( e 1 ) e d p 2 ( ) = -------2- ( e 1 ) e d 8VH(T
ZLWK t 0 = 0 QRWLQJWKDW y 1 ( nT ) = y 1 ( n ) = x ( n ) y 2 ( nT ) = y 2 ( n ) = x( n )
8VHWKHPHWKRGRI(TZLWK f ( t ) = cos 0 t cos t DQGZLWKWKHLQWHJUDO
OLPLWVIURP a WR a *HWHTXLYDOHQWIRUPXODVWRWKRVHIROORZLQJ(T
1
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x ( t i )e
jt i
1H[W\RX
i
ti < a
PXVWDVVXPHWKDW x ( t ) LVLQGHSHQGHQWRIWKHSURFHVV z ( t ) =
( t ti ) 7KHLQWHJUDO
i
WUDQVIRUPRI(TYDOLGIRUDQ\IXQFWLRQ C ( ) LVDOVRXVHIXO
1RKLQW
n
&RQVLGHU I =
a i b *j a j b *i 0
i=1 j=1
D'7KHWUHDWPHQWRIGLVFUHWHSURFHVVHVLQWKH7H[WLVWRREULHIWRHYHQJLYHD
XVHIXOKLQWKHUHH[FHSWWRPLPLFWKHPDWFKHGILOWHUGLVFXVVLRQIRUDFRQWLQXRXVSUR
FHVV$VVXPHUHDOSURFHVVHV
2
yf [ 0 ]
E'1RWHWKDW v [ n ] LVQRWSUHVXPHGWREHZKLWHKHUH7RPD[LPL]H r = ----------------------
2
E { yv [ n ] }
\RXVKRXOGPLQLPL]HWKHGHQRPLQDWRUZKLOHKROGLQJWKHQXPHUDWRUFRQVWDQW8VH
WKHPHWKRGRI/DJUDQJHPXOWLSOLHUV
0)LQGWKHLPSXOVHUHVSRQVHIXQFWLRQ h ( t ) VHH([DPSOH)URPWKHGHWHU
PLQLVWLFLQSXW f ( t ) = A cos 0 t ILQGWKHGHWHUPLQLVWLFRXWSXWLQWKHIRUP
y f ( t ) = B cos ( 0 t + ) WRUHODWH B WR A DQG 0 )LQGWKHVSHFWUXPRIWKHQRLVH
H-29
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
RXWSXWDQGIURPWKDWILQGWKHDXWRFRUUHODWLRQRIWKHQRLVHRXWSXWXVLQJ7DEOH
8VH(TWRILQGWKHDYHUDJHSRZHURIWKHQRLVHRXWSXW
T
0D,WKHOSVWRGHILQHWKHYHFWRUVDQGPDWULFHV a = ( a 0, a 1, , a m )
R 00 R 01 R 0m
R 10 R 11 R 1m
f = ( f 0, f 1, , f m ) = ( f ( t 0 ), f ( t 0 T ), , f ( t 0 mT ) ) DQG R =
R m0 R m1 R mm
ZKHUH R ij = R v ( iT jT ) = E { v ( t 0 iT )v ( t 0 jT ) } 7KHQVKRZ
m
yf = yf ( t0 ) =
aifi
i=0
E7KHPD[LPXPYDOXHRI r LV f R f =
yf k
d = 2 ( )
YDULDEOHVRQSDJHRIWKH7H[WLWIROORZVWKDW E { x ( t 1 ) } = t 1 )LQDOO\LJQRUHWKH
KLQWLQWKHSUREOHPDQGXVHLQVWHDGWKHWKUHHLGHQWLWLHV
min ( t a, t b )
min ( t 1, t 2, t 3 ) = min ( t 1, min ( t 2, t 3 ) ) ----------------------------- = U ( t b t a )
t a
U ( min ( t 2, t 3 ) t 1 ) = U ( t 2 t 1 )U ( t 3 t 1 )
)ROORZWKHRXWOLQHLQWKHSUREOHP
&KDSWHU
')LQGLQJWKHZKLWHQLQJILOWHULVHDV\HVSHFLDOO\LI\RXQRWHWKDW
H-30
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
8VHWKHFRQYROXWLRQVXP s [ n ] =
ls [ k ]i [ n k ]
k=0
1
'HILQH s ( t ) = --n
x ( t + kT ) DQGUHJDUG s ( t ) DVWKHRXWSXWRIDOLQHDUV\VWHPZLWK
k=1
LQSXW x ( t ) )LQGWKHLPSXOVHUHVSRQVHIXQFWLRQWKHV\VWHPIXQFWLRQDQGXVH(T
')3UHVXPH x ( t ) LV:66VRWKHRULJLQRIWKHWLPHVFDOHPD\EHVKLIWHGVRWKDWWKH
LQWHUYDO ( 0, T ) LQWKHROGWLPHVFDOHFRUUHVSRQGVWRWKHLQWHUYDO ( a, a ) LQWKHQHZ
WLPHVFDOH3DUWLFXODUL]HWKHLQWHJUDOHTXDWLRQ'LIIHUHQWLDWHWKHLQWHJUDOHTXD
WLRQWZLFHWRREWDLQDGLIIHUHQWLDOHTXDWLRQ)LQGWKHJHQHUDOVROXWLRQVWRWKHGLIIHUHQ
WLDOHTXDWLRQDQGSXWWKHPEDFNLQWRWKHLQWHJUDOHTXDWLRQWROHDUQPRUHDERXWWKHP
8VHWKHQRUPDOL]DWLRQHTXDWLRQ(TWRVFDOHWKH ( t ) IXQFWLRQV1RWHWKDWWKH
n 1 2
n 1 2
---UHVXOWVVKRXOGUHDG n = a +
DQG n = a + ------
QRWWKHUHVXOWVJLYHQ
2
2
LQWKH7H[W
2
:ULWH E { X ( ) } DVDGRXEOHLQWHJUDO7UDQVIRUPWRDVLQJOHLQWHJUDODVLQ(T
'LIIHUHQWLDWHZLWKUHVSHFWWR T
H-31
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
1RKLQW
1RKLQW
08VH(TD6KRZ
E { x ( t )x* ( t ) } = E { x ( t )x * ( t ) } = E { x ( t )x * ( t ) } = E { x ( t )x * ( t ) } = R ( 0 )
,QRUGHUWRGRSDUWDLWLVXVHIXOWRGRSDUWEF6XEVWLWXWH s = t LQWKH n ( )
H[SUHVVLRQ
$VLVXVXDOLQWKHVHFDVHVVKRZWKDW E { x ( t ) } = 0 DQGWKDW E { x ( t )x* ( s ) } LVDIXQF
WLRQRI t s
'HGXFHWKDWLI A DQG B VDWLVI\(TVWKHQLWPXVWEHWKDW
E { A ( u )A ( v ) } = E { B ( u )B ( v ) } = Q ( u ) ( u v ) DQG E { A ( u )B ( v ) } = 0
T
01RWHWKDW f ( t )e
jt
dt =
f ( t )pT ( t )e
jt
dt ZKHUH
T < t < T
1
pT ( t ) = U ( t T ) U ( T t ) =
0
8VHWKHIUHTXHQF\FRQYROXWLRQWKHRUHPLI F1 ( ) =
F2 ( ) =
f2 ( t )e
jt
otherwise
f1 ( t )e
jt
dt DQG
dt WKHQ
F 12 ( ) =
f 1 ( t )f 2 ( t )e
jt
1
dt = ------ F 1 ( y )F 2 ( y ) dy
2
sin 2 T
- d = T
------
8VH(T1RWHWKDW ---------------2
2
0
&KDSWHU
1RKLQW
2
H-32
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
r ( ) 0 8VH(T
8VH(T
6KRZWKDW C zz ( ) GRHVQRWGHSHQGRQ VRWKDW(TFDQQRWEHVDWLVILHG
2
)',7KHFRQGLWLRQLQWKLVSUREOHPVKRXOGUHDG R ( t + , t ) ( t + ) ( t ) DV
2
H-33
Gary Matchett
Hints 9/5/02
H-34