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Analysis For Financial Management
Analysis For Financial Management
Higgins)
Summaryoftheusedchaptersinthelecture(WM0609LR)
Writtenby:JorisVanGestel
Chapter1Interpretingfinancialstatements
Accounting
Information provided by 3 annual reports:
Balance Sheet
Cash-Flow statement
Income statement
Figure1Cashflowproductioncycle
(Operating)workingcapital:movementofcashintoinventory
Investment:flowfromcashintonewfixedassets
Depreciation:thelossinvalueoffixedassetsincreaseinvalueofmerchandisemade+neededfor
growth
Solvency:abilitytohavecashtobuyfixedassetsandinventory(outflowcash)
Thebalancesheet
Equity= assets - liabilities
current assets
current liabilities
cash
inventories
acc receivable
equipment
plant
accounts payable !
fixed assets
long-term liabilities
long-term debt
retained earnings !
total assets
Figure2exampleofabalancesheet
Financialsnapshot:1momentintime
Assetsagainsttheclaims
Liability:obligationtodeliversomethingofvalueinthefuture
Equity:differencebetweenassetsandliabilities
Liquidity:speedatwhichanitemcanbeturnedintocash
Accounting: income statement
Assetsandliabilitiesarelistedinorderofdecreasingliquidity
Current:liquidity<1year
Net sales
of Longterm:liquidity>1year
-Costs
sales
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization (EBITDA)
-Depreciation, Amortization
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)
-Interest
Earnings before taxes (EBT)
-Taxes
Net income
-Dividends
Addition to retained earnings
Incomestatement
Differencebetween2importantbalancesheets
Change in owners equity in terms of revenues (sales) and expenses (costs) net income
(earnings,profits)
Commonlydividedinoperatingandnonoperatingsegment
Somedifferentaspectsofearnings
Accrual accounting: revenue is recognised as soon as the effort required to generate the
saleiscomplete+certainofsalelagbetweengenerationofrevenueandreceiptofcash
Depreciation:costsfor(exbuildings)arespreadovertheyearsperioddefinedbyuseful
life,salvagevalue,methodofallocationtobeemployed
o
Straightline
lifetime
o Acceleratedmoredepreciationintheearlyyearsanlesslateron
Taxes: sometimes firms use different income statements for the tax and for the public
shareholders
o Taxesdifferfromtheprovisioned(higher/lower)
o Can be used to shift tax payments to later years to use the finances in the
business
Researchanddevelopment(R&D)difficulttoestimatethepayoff
o Thecosthavetobelistedasanoperatingcost(unitedstates)
SourcesandUsesstatements
Isnotthesameasincomestatementbecauseaccruals,listsonlycashflowassociatedwithsaleof
goodswithintheaccountingperiod
2balancesheetsofadifferentdateandnoteallthechangesinaccount
Segregatethechangesintogeneratedandconsumedcash
o Generate:reducingassets,increasingliabilities
o Consume:increaseassets,reduceliabilities
Cashcanalsocomefromloans(longtermdebt)ortheretentionofprofitsearnedthroughtheyear
Cashflowstatement
Differencebetween2importantbalancesheets
Providesadetailedlookatchangesinthecashbalance
Cashprovidedorconsumedby:rearrangessourcesandusesintothesethreecategories
Operating:
o Noncashcharges:amortisation,depreciation
o Changesincurrentassets,liabilities
Investing
Financing
Cashflow
Net:netincome+Noncashitems
Fromoperatingactivities:netcashflow+/changesinasstsandliabilities
Free: total cash available for distribution to owners and creditors after funding investing
activities
Discounted:sumofmoneyhavingthesamevaluereceiptanddisbursements
Allthisinfocanbefoundintheincomestatementandthebalancesheetbut
Betterunderstandingforthenonexperiencedandtheonesagainstaccrualaccounting
Moreaccurateinfoabouttaxesandsecurizations
Lightonthefirmssolvency(generating/consuming)
3
Financialstatementandthevalueproblem
MarketvalueVsbookvalue
Acompanyisneverworthitsbookvalue
An asset purchased in 1950 can be worth less or more on this moment (land (more),
technology(less))
o Problem:valuesofthingsinthepresentaresubjective
Accountantsprefertobepreciselywrongratherthanvaguelyright
Regulators:fairvalueaccounting:someassetsandliabilitiesmustappear
attheirmarketpriceinsteadofthehistorical
Equityinvestorsbuysharesforthefutureincometheyhopetoreceiveandnotforthevalue
oftheassets
o Problem:accountantmeasureofshareholdersequityh as little relation with
futureincome
Accountantsnumberslookbackandarecostbased
Companies often have assets/liabilities that do not occur on the balance
sheet but affect the future income nonetheless (patents, trademarks, loyal
customers, lawsuits, bad/good management, technology) book value
inaccurate
Moreaccurate value =# shares value
Goodwill: buy a company for more as the book value book value in
assets,therestintheassetgoodwill
EconomicincomeVsaccountingincome
Theproblemhereliesinthedistinctionbetweenrealisedandunrealizedincome
Theaccountantonlyrecognisesrealizedgains/lossesassetsthatincreasearegainsonpaper(itcan
fluctuate)
Imputedcosts
Equity capital also has cost (investors expect a return) but these do not appear on the income
statementbecausethereisnopaperthatsayshowmuchthecompanyhastopaythiscostmustbe
estimated(imputed)
The economist would subtract these cost but an accountant does not, the difference is important
becausemanydecisionsarebasedonthenumbersintheincomestatement:wages,bonuses,etc
Chapter2.Evaluatingfinancialperformance
Returnonequity
earnings
investedDOLLAR
NETincome
Isthebasicformulabutcanberedefinedas
shareholdersEQUITY
ROE =
NETincome Sales
Assets
Sales
Assets shareholdersEquity
ROE =
Profitmargin:earningsoutofeverydollarofsale
NETincome
Returnonassets ROA =
Assets
GROSSprofits
Grossmargin:
usedtofindoutthefixedandthevariablecosts
Sales
Assetturnover:salesgeneratedforeverydollarofassetsemployed
Low:assetsintensiveindustry
cos tgoodssold
Inventory ending
Inventoryturnover:
Collection period: shows the companys management of accounts receivable average time lag
betweensaleandcash
Dayssalesincash:
account recievable
creditsale day
cash + sec urities
sales day
Theoptimalratioisdifferentforeverycompanyanddependsonthenecessaryliquidity
PayablesPeriod:
accountspayable
purchasescredit day
Controlratioforliabilityperiodtoaccountspayable
FixedAssetturnover:
Sales
withnetproperty=plant,equipment
netproperty
Especiallyimportantforcompanieswithcapitalintensive(=operatingleverage)businesses(cars,etc)
Sensitivetothestateoftheeconomy
Financialleverage:amountofequityusedtofinancetheassets
Notnecessarymax:findabalancebetweenthebenefitsandcostsofdebtfinancing
Idealleveragedependsonthenatureofcompanysbusinessandtheassets
Stable/predictablecashflowhighfinancialleverage
Inversely related with ROA safe, stable, liquid investment=low returns +big borrowing
capacity
Measuresoffinancialleverage:
Debttoequityratio:
liabilitiestotal
percentage of the assets book value that comes from
assetstotal
liabilitiestotal
percentagebythecreditorsforeverydollarofequity
equity shareholders
Coverageratios:usedtocalculatetheburdenofthedebtonthecashflow
(EBIT=earningsbeforeinterestandtaxes)
Timeinterest:
o
EBIT
expenseint erest
Tooliberal:assumesthecompanywillrolloverallitsobligationastheymature
Timeburdencovered:
o
o
EBIT
Tooconservative:assumesthecompanytopaytheloansdowntozero
Besthighforcompanieswithhighfinancialrisksandlowwhenreadyaccesstocash
Market value leverage ratios: market value ratio are superior to book value ratio because book
valuesareoftenirrelevantandmarketvalues are based oninvestorsexpectationsaboutfuture cash
flows.
Helpful when assessing financial leverage of rapidly growing startup businesses, because lenders
willcreditcompanieswhentheybelievethattheywillbeabletoservicethedebtsbutdonthaveabad
coverageratio.
debt marketvalue
debt marketvalue
and
equity marketvalue
assetsmarketvalue
Risks:ignorerolloverrisks(paythedebtsnotbypromisingfuturecash)
Liquidity ratios: determinant of companys debt capacity is liquidity of its assets (maturing
mismatching=liabilitiescomeduebeforetheygenerateenoughcash),measuresofliquidityare
assetscurrent
liabilitiescurrent
assetscurrent inventory
Acidtest:
liabilitiescurrent
Currentratio:
Rathercrudemeasuresbecause:
Rollingoverobligationinvolvesnoinsolvencyrisk
Cash generated cant be used to reduce liabilities because it must be used to support
continuedoperations
ProblemsoftheROE
Timingproblem:ROElooksatthepastandoneperiodicwhenforgoodbusinessitisneededtolook
forward
ExhighstartupcostforaverygoodproductwilllettheROEfall
Risk problem: the ROE doesnt say anything about how much risk the company needed to take to
generatetheROE
Returnoninvestedcapital(ROIC):
UsedtoavoidthedistortionofleverageonROEanROA
ROIC =
EBIT (1 taxrate)
Istherateofreturnearnedonthetotalcapitalinvested
Valueproblem
The ROE is calculated on the book value of shareholders equity market value of the
equityismuchhigherneeded:highROE+unknowntootherinvestors
earning
incomenet
share
=
Earningsyield:
shareholdersequity marketvalue earning
share
o
price
P/Eratio:
o
o
o
share
earnings
share
Price of one dollar of earningsused to normalise stock prices for different earnings
levels
Riseswithimprovedearningsandlowerswithincreasingrisks
Givesagoodimageofwhatinvestorsbelieveforthefuture
Marketpriceproblems:stockpriceasaperformancemeasure
Difficultyofspecifyinghowoperatingdecisionaffectstockprice
Managers now more about the company then external investorswhy should managers
considertheassessmentsoflessinformedinvestors
Stockpriceisalsodependentonfactorsoutofthecontrolofthecompany(ex.improving
economy)
Ratioanalysis
Strategies
Ifusedproperlycanrevealalotaboutthecompany
Noautomaticallyinsightincomplexcompaniestheyaremoreaclue
Thereisnosinglecorrectvalueforaratiodependsontheperspectiveoftheanalyst
Comparetorulesofthumb
Comparetoindustryaverages(sometimestherearegoodreasonstodiffer)
Lookatchangesintime(mostuseful)
Chapter4managinggrowth
Sustainablegrowth
Growthisnotalwaysagoodthingbecausegrowthneedsresources(financial)
Sustainable growth rate: the max rate of which a company can increase sales without depleting the
financialresources
Typicallifecycleofasuccessfulcompany
Losses:research,developing,footholdonthemarket
Rapidgrowth:growthissofastexternalinvestmentsareneeded
Maturity: decline in growth, no outside investmentgenerating more cash then can be
invested
Decline:decliningsales,marginallyprofitable
Growthphase
Thegrowthrateislimitedbythegrowthofownersequity(sustainable)
g* =
g* =
equity change
equity bop
R " earnings
[R = retention ! rate]
equity bop
Ifacompanyincreasessalesataotherratetheng*someoftheratiosmustchange
Balancedgrowth
g* = R (assets to equity ratio ) ROA Growthdependsonreturnonassets
Whattodowhenactualgrowthexceedssustainablegrowth
Checkhowlongthiswillcontinue
Short:additionalloaningforthetransitiontomature(absorbinggeneratingfinancing)
Longterm:
o Sellnewequity:solveseverythingbutequitiesdontselleasily(illiquid,minorowner)
o Increasefinancialleverage:
o Reducedividend:
o Profitablepruning:nospreadingofresourcesovermoremarkets
o Outsource:releasesassets,increasesassetturnover
o Increaseprices:reducesgrowth
o Merge:
Productdiversification:
Lessrisksbutnotgoodfortheshareholderswhocandiversificatebybuyingdifferentstock
Spreadingofresources:followersinmanymarketslessasleadinginonemarket
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Tolittlegrowth
Havetheproblemnotknowingwhattodowiththemoneyinefficient
Checkhowlongthiswillcontinue
Shortterm:accumulatecashforfuturegrowth
Longterm
o Ignoretheproblem:thisattractsraiders(hostilebuyers)willredeploytheresources
o Returnmoneytotheshareholders:repurchasingsharesorraisingthedividend
o Buygrowth
Growthcomesfromincreasingvolumeandrisingprices
Theinflationriseinassetsandaccountsreceivableworsensthegrowthproblems
Increasesamountofexternalfinancing
Increasedebttoequityratio
Newequityfinancing
Corporationsdontuseequityasasourcebutjustcash
WhydontUScorporationsissuemoreequity?
Noneedborrowingandretainedprofitswereenough
Expensivetoissue(510%oftheraisedamount2timesthecostfordebt)
Managersarefixatedonearningspershare(EPS)newequitylowersEPS
Companiesalmostalwaysthinkthereundervalued
Stockmarketisaunreliablefundingsource
Chapter5financialInstrumentsandmarkets
Financialsecurity:
Apieceofpaperofpaperthatinvestorsgetfromthecompanieswiththenatureoftheirclaim
onfuturecashflow
Thispapercanbetradedonfinancialmarkets.
Mustbedesignedtobeattractivetoinvestors+meetsthedemandsofthecompany
Financialinstruments
Companiesarerelativelyfreetodesigntheirownsecuritiesliketheywantonlyrealregulationis
thattheconsumerneedstogetalltheinforelevanttovaluethesecurity.
Bonds
Isafixedincomesecurityholderreceivesaspecifiedinterestandmaturity
Usuallyinsmallamounts($1000)
Largestsourceofexternalfinancing(34%)
Variables
o Parvalue:amountofmoneytheholderwillreceiveonthebondsmaturitydate
o Couponrate:%oftheparvaluetheissuerpromisestopayasannualinterestincome
o Maturitydate:companywillpaytheparvalueandstoppayinginterest
Companiestrytomaketheinitialmarketpriceofthebondsequaltoitsparvalue
Afterissuethebondsmarketpricecandiffer(differentinterestandcreditrisk)
o Interestrisesbondpricesfall
Sinkinfund:repaymentstocreditorstoreduceprincipal
o Retirebondsorrepurchasemarketsecurities
Floatingrate:interestistiedtoashortterminterestrate
Callprovisions
o Companyhastheoptiontoretirethebondearlier(mostlywithapremium)
o Delayedcall:issuercantcallbeforeaspecifiedperiod(510years)
o Ifinterestratefallsretireandresellalowerinterestrate
o Changingmarketconditionsrearrangethecapitalstructure
Covenants:specifiedintheindentureagreementtypicallysetslowerlimitforcurrentratio
and upper limit for debttoequity ratio (sometimes forbids to sell/buy major assets without
approval)company fails (default): bankruptcy or liquidation: sale of assets to meet the
claims
Rights of liquidation: distribution of the money (rights of absolute priority) government
(duetaxes),seniorcreditors,generalcreditors,subordinatedcreditors,stockandshareholders
Secured creditor (mortage, hypotheek in Dutch): loan collateralized with a specific asset
onliquidationmoneyofsaleofthisassetsgotothiscreditor
Bondsarevulnerabletoinflationinterestisthesamebutvaluedecreases
Bond rating: bonds are rated by companies with a letter grade, these grades are important
because with good grades the companies need to offer a smaller interest rate.Bad ratings
haveahighinterestbutalsohigherrisk
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Commonstock
Residualincomesecurity:
Stockholderhasaclaimonanyincomeremainingafterpaymentofaltheobligations(incl.debt
interest)
Highestbenefitswhenthecompanyprospersbutalsohighestlosswhenthingsgobad
Amountofmoneytheyreceivedependsonthedividends(choiceofthecompany)
Shareholderscontrol:theshareholdersownthecompany(intheory)whenthereisno
dominantshareholder,managementcontrolstheboard(particularlyinUSandUK)
o Managementcantignoretheshareholdersbecausethiswouldbebadperformance
lowstockpricemaybehostiletakeovers
o Securitymarketsneedstobeattractivetoraisedebtorequitycapital
anualincome = d1 + p1 p0 Withd1=dividend,p0,p1arebeginning/endofyearvalueofthe
stock
d1 d1 d0
+
p0
p0
annualreturn =
Thedifferencebetweenbondsisanadditionalpercentage(premium)fortheriskbared
Preferredstock
Isahybridsecurity:debt/equity
o Debt:fixedincome:annualdividendcouponrate
o Equity:maychoosenottopaythesedividend,notadeductableexpense,nomaturity
Havepriorityovercommonstockfordividends
o Commondontgetdividendsbeforethepreferredarefullypaid
o Cumulative:ifthedividendispassednodividenduntilfullypaidthepreferredstock
Sometimesmorecontrolinbigdecisions
Canbeseenascheapequityordebtwithataxdisadvantage
Financialmarkets
Financialmarkets:arethechannelsthroughwhichinvestorsprovidemoneytocompanies
Privateequityfinancing
Strategicinvestors:makesignificantequityinvestmentsinstartups
Gainaccesstopromisingnewproductsandtechnology
Outsourcingresearchanddevelopment
Venturecapitalists:wealthyindividualsorprofessionalventurecapitalcompanies(privateequity
firms)
Buyasignificantfractionofacompanyandtakeanactiveroleinthemanagement
Liquidatetheinvestmentin56years
Veryhighrisksbutalsoveryhighprofits
Unusualorganisation:privateequitypartnership
o Generalpartnerraisesapoolofmoneyfrominvestors,pensionfunds,insurance,etc
o Investandmanagesliquidatesandreturnstotheinvestors
o Firmchargespercentageoftheoriginalcapitalandaround20%oftheearnings
Addressesseveralproblemofconventionalinvestment
o Minimisedifferencesbetweenmanagementandownerscreatevaluefortheowners
o Aggressivebuyfixsellattitudemanagementhastotakedecisiveaction
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Initialpublicofferings
Initialpublicoffering(IPO):creatingapublicmarketforcommonstock
Createsliquidityforgrowthandforexistingowners
Investmentbanking:
o Proposalsofinvestmentbanks(howtosell)winner=managingunderwriter
o Roadshow:topexecutivesgoandmarkettheissueinfinancialcentres
o Sellingsyndicateandunderwritingsyndicate:shortjoiningofinvestmentbanks
Selling:eachmembersellspredefinedamountofsecurities
Underwriting:buyallthesecuritiesatafixedpriceandtrytosellthemata
higherprice
Seasonedissues
Shelfregistration:allowfrequentsecurityissuerstoavoidcumbersometraditionalregistrationby
filingageneralpurposeregistration
Readyforusewhenneeded(notimelagbetweendecisionandissue)
Highlikelihoodofbiddingbetweeninvestmentbanksissuecost1050%loweras
traditional
Internationalmarkets:wheneverthecurrencyemployedisoutsideofthecontroloftheissuing
monetaryauthorityex.DollarloantoanAmericancompanyinLondon
Minimalreportingandregulatoryrequirements,verycompetitiveprices
o Absenceofreserverequirementsoninternationalbankdeposits
o Possibilitytoissuebondsinbearerform=unregisteredowners,lowercouponratebut
sameaftertaxreturn(illegalinUStaxavoidance)
Issuecosts:coststheissueranditsshareholderincuroninitialsale
Privatelynegotiatedtransactionfeechargedbytheinvestmentbanker
Public:legal,accounting,printingfees,managingunderwriter
o Underwriter:spreadfeepersharehesoldsplitbetweensyndicateandunderwriter
Offerunderthemarketpriceeasiertoselltolessinformedoutsiders
Equityismorecostlythendebt
o 11%forIPO,7.1%forpublicsold,3.8%bonds
o Costrisewhenissuesizedecreases
Efficientmarkets
Importantinraisingnewcapitalistimingsellwhenpricesarehighpredictionsfuturepricetrends
infinancialmarkets
Market efficiency is controversial because many companies overstate the evidence supporting
efficiencyandmisrepresentitsimplications.Notblackandwhitebutshadesofgrey
Efficientmarket:isamarketinwhichthepricesadjustrapidlytonewinfoandpricesreflectfullythe
availableinfoabouttheassetstraded
Weakform:currentpricesreflectalltheinfoaboutpastprices
Semistrongform:currentpricefullyreflectallthepubliclyavailableinfo
Strongform:currentpricereflectallinfo(publicandprivate)
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Implicationsofefficiency
Publiclyavailableinfoisnothelpful
Absenceofprivatebestforecastisthecurrentprice(trend)
Withoutprivateinfoacompanycannotimprovetermstosellbytiming
Withoutprivateinfo/accepthighrisksnoearningabovemarketaveragereturn
Solutionismakinganinformationgatheringsystemorgetinsideinfo(illegal?),buyaforecastofafirm
Forwardcontracts,optionsandthemanagementofcorporaterisks
Forwardsandoptionsareaclassofsecurities:derivatives:valuedependsonunderlyingassets
Usedtocontrolrisksofvolatileexchangerates,interestsratesandcommodityprices
Mustbeverycarefulcanloosealotofmoneyto
Forwardmarkets
Forwardmarket:thepriceissettodaybutexchangehappensonafuturedate(exreservingaroom)
Speculating:ex.Sellingeuroswhentheeurohasahighvaluethenwaitawhileandbuythemagain
whenpriceislower
ThiscanresultsontransactionswitheurostoaUScompanysotheycansellthesameamountin
eurosfordollarssotheeffectofafallishedgedforafuturedropoftheeuro(forwardmarkethedge)
isconvenienttoputintherightnumberinaccountsreceivable
Options:asecurityentitlingtheholdertoeitherbuyorselltheassetatapredefinedprice/time
Putoption:righttosellatapredefinedprice
Calloption:righttobuyatapredefinedprice
Premium:amountyoupayfortheoption
Maturitydate:dateoptionexpires
Canbeusedtohedgetheeffectsoftheexchangeratebybuyingputoptions
Limitationsofhedging
Assetcreatingtheriskmusttradeinfinancialmarkets
Amountandtimingoftheforeigncashneedstobeknownwithreasonablecertainty
o Thisisaproblemwhenitisanoperatingcashflow
Hedgeanunknownamount
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Chapter6thefinancingdecision
Financingdecision
Decidehowmuchcapitalisrequired:estimatesalesgrowth,assetsneeded,availablemoney
Instrumenttobesoldrisk,inabilitytosell,excessivecostsifwrongchoicewasmade
Focusshouldbeonsupportingthebusinessstrategy(acquiring/deployingassets)
Takeintoaccounttheeffectonthefutureabilitytoraisemoney
Financialleverage
Financialleverage:deviceincreasesownersexpectedreturnatthecostofgreaterrisk
Increasethedebtfinancinginterestexpenses
Waytovarythewaytheyfinancedebtequityratio
Debtreducesvariablecosts+increasesfixedcostsafterbreakevenincomewillrisemore
o ROICisthereturnacompanyearnsbeforethefinancialleverage
o Improvesfinancialperformancewhenbusinessisgoingwellandviceversa
Examplep203210
Bondfinancing:lowertaxbillinteresttaxshield
Commonstock:higherearningsaftertax
Tomakeadecisionarangeofearningsneedtobemade(plotEBITEPS)
Howmuchtoborrow
Purposeshouldbetoincreasetheshareholdersvalue
Increasevaluetheshareholdersattachtotheoperatingcashflow(absolutebyM&M)
Increasethelevelofcashflow
IrrelevancebyFrancoModiglianiandMertonMiller(M&M)
Whencashflowisconstanttheamountofdebthasnoeffectonthevaluenoconcernin
valuemaximizing
Increasedriskpreciselyoffsetstheincreasedreturn
Physicalassetsproducevaluenoincreaseincashflowproducednoincreasedvalue
Concl:financialchoiceshouldbetheonethatmaximizesthecashflow
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5factormodeltochangethecashflow
Taxbenefits:debtfinancingincreasesthetaxbenefitincreasescashflow
Distresscosts:variouscostsacompanyincurswhenithastomuchdebtcapital
o Bankruptcy: P (banktruptcy ) cos ts ,bankruptcydoesntnecessarilymeanliquidation
buttheriskisveryhighanddependsontheresalevalueofsomeassets
o Indirectcosts:increaseasthechanceofbankruptcyrisesandcanreinforcethechance
ofbankruptcy
Internal:conservecashbycuttingR&D,marketing(lostprofitopportunities)
External:costumersareconcerned+higherfinancingcostbyworriedinvestors
+concurrentwouldtrytokillyoubymakingapricewar
o Conflictsofinterest:variouspartiesinthecompanyworryaboutthemselvesowners
havenothingtoloosebutcreditorsdo
Flexibility:ifthedebtcapacityisreachedfurtherfinancingneedstobedonebyequitywhichis
notalwaysreliableorevenpossibleremainingunderthedebtcapacityisbettertobeableto
handlefutureextracosts
Marketsignalling:studieshaveshownthattotalstockpricesdeclinewith30%ofthenew
issuedequityandviceversa(permanent)marketsignalling:sailofextraequitysignals
investorsthatmanagementisconcernedforthefuturefirmstryfirsttointernallyfinanceto
avoidunnecessarysignalling
Managementincentives:(aansporing):debtcanbeaverystrongincentive,management
doesntdoesitsbesttheycouldlosetherebusiness(jobs)
Thefinancingdecisionandgrowth
Rapidgrowth
Maintainconservativeleverageratiowithunusedborrowingcapacity
Modestdividendpayoutsinternalfinancingofgrowth
Cash,marketablesecurityasbufferliquidityinvestmentexceedsinternalsources
Externalfinancingdebtonlyuntilleverageratiothreatensflexibility
Sellequityratherthenrestrictaccesstofinancialmarketsreducegrowthonlywhenno
alternative
Lowgrowth
Easyfinancialdecisionsbecauseonlyproblemishowtogetridoftheexcesscashcreatevaluefor
theownersbyaggressivedebtfinancinguseproceedstorepurchaseshares
Increasedtaxshield(reducetaxes)
Positivemarketsignal(
Highfinancialleverageincreasesthemanagementincentive
Selectingamaturitystructure
Minimumriskmaturitystructureoccurswhenthematurityofliabilitiesequalsthatofthe
assetscashgeneratedbyoperationsovertheyearsshouldbesufficienttorepayexistingliability
Maturityislessthentheassetsriskofrefinancing:maturingliabilitieshavetobepaidwith
newlyraisedcapital.
Maturitylongerthentheassets:extramarginofsafety+excesscash
Cantalwaysusetheperfectmaturity
Unacceptableterms
Reduceborrowingcosts
Debthasanadvantagewithinflationonlywheninflationisunexpectedelseitiscompensatedforin
theinterest
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Chapter7discountedcashflowtechniques
Companyfuturedependsontheinvestmentsoftoday
Keyaspectiscapitalbudgeting:processoffinancialevaluationofinvestmentproposals
Discountedcashflowtechniques:relevantwheneveracompanycontemplatesanactionentailingcosts
orbenefitsthatextendbeyondthecurrentyear
Valuingstocksandbonds,divisions,companies
Choosingcompetingproducttechnologies
Etc
Figuresofmerit
Financialevaluation
Estimateofrelevantcashflows
Figureofmeritoftheinvestment:numbersummarizinganinvestmenteconomicworth
Comparefigureofmerittoanacceptancecriterion:standardofcomparison
Figuresofmerit
Paybackperiod:timetorecouptheinitialinvestment
o Problem:insensitivetotheperiodafterthat
Accountingrateofreturn
o
cashoutflow total
o Problem:insensitivetotimingofcashflow
Timevalueofmoney
Adollartodayisworthmorethenadollarinayear
Inflation:reducesthepurchasepowerofonedollarinthefuture
Uncertaintyofreceiptriseswhenreceiptdateisfurtherinthefuture
Opportunitycost:returnonecouldearnonthenextbestalternativecashreceivedinthe
futurecouldalreadybeusedininvestmentsifreceivedtoday
Becauseofthisnocashflowsoccurringatdifferentdatescanbejustaddedupbeforeadjustedby
Compounding:processofdeterminingthefuturevalueofapresentsum
Discounting:processoffindingthepresentvalueofafuturesum
Presentcashisequivalenttofuturecash
Netpresentvalue(NPV)
1$
Importanttocalculateifaninvestmentwilladdvaluetoyourcompanyinthefuture
Benefitcostratio(BCR):profitabilityindex
BCR =
Internalrateofreturn(IRR)
MostpopularformofmeritandcloselyrelatedtoNPVisthediscountrateatwhichheNPVis0
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Determiningtherelevantcashflows
Relevantcashflow
Cashflowprinciple:recordinvestmentcashflowswhenthemoneyactuallymovesnotwhen
theaccountantsaytheyoccur
Withwithoutprinciple:image2worlds,theonewiththeinvestmentmadeandonewithoutall
cashflowsthataredifferentintheseworldsarerelevant
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