WILDROSE, NDP TIED FOR FIRST

April 15th, 2015. A new Mainstreet Technologies poll of 3,121 Albertans finds the Wildrose Party stalled and
maintaining support at 24% with the NDP close behind with 23%. With a margin of error of +/- 1.76%, 19/20,
the NDP and Wildrose are in a statistical tie. The Progressive Conservatives have dropped another three
points to 18%.
One thing is becoming clear at this stage of the campaign, the effect of the budget and residual anger to
the governing PCs will have a lasting impact on the outcome of this election. Although the Wildrose
continue to lead, their support is flat and may have no room to grow. The NDP are definitely contenders
and have the momentum, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Technologies. "Calgary is now the
battleground where 3 and 4 way races are likely."
"Among those certain and likely to vote, these numbers continue to show strong Wildrose and NDP
support. As we enter the real body of the campaign where more and more people will be paying attention
there may be an opportunity for the governing PCs to turn the tide. The window of opportunity for that
correction is closing quickly."
"This may very well turn in to a two way race again in the coming weeks, but among the unlikeliest two
parties we could have predicted just weeks ago. If the NDP begin to challenge Wildrose for the lead, as it
appears already, will PCs move to a stagnant Wildrose party? Or will Wildrose voters move back to PC
Alberta to stop the NDP momentum?
Highlights:
- Wildrose and NDP are statistically tied (numbers are within the margin of error)
- NDP has increased support; +4% in Calgary, +5% in the Rest of Alberta
- Alberta Party support support is up 1%, Undecided has fallen 1%
- Its a three-way race in Calgary with all three parties within the margin of error.
-30For more information or further comment:
David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreettechnologies.ca
Available for interview from Montreal:
Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreettechnologies.ca
Methodology
The poll surveyed a random sample of Alberta residents by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on April 13th,
2015. All Mainstreet polls include cell phone samples unless otherwise stated. Regional Margins of Error:
Edmonton +/- 2.99; Calgary +/- 3.11; Rest of Alberta +/- 3.02.
About Mainstreet Technologies
Mainstreet Technologies is an emerging national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience
at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion,
having predicted a majority PC government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia,
and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of
Novembers Toronto mayoral election and Februarys by-election in Sudbury.

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE
ALBERTA LIBERAL
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED
BREAKDOWNS

18%
24%
8%
23%
3%
23%

-3%
-1%
+3%
+1%
-1%

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE
ALBERTA LIBERAL
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+

21%
13%
17% 24%
11%
31%
26% 34%
8%
8%
8%
6%
21%
26% 25% 20%
4%
5%
2%
1%
34%
16%
23% 15%
311
482 1052 1276

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE

EDMONTON
16%
7%
10%
39%
3%
24%
1076

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE
ALBERTA LIBERAL
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED

CERTAIN
19%
28%
6%
23%
3%
20%

CALGARY
23%
24%
11%
20%
5%
17%
990

LIKELY
17%
10%
12%
25%
6%
29%

MIGHT
23%
16%
3%
16%
1%
40%

Male
20%
24%
8%
22%
5%
22%
1364

Female
17%
24%
7%
25%
2%
25%
1757

REST OF AB
17%
29%
5%
20%
3%
26%
1055
UNLIKELY
8%
5%
17%
25%
1%
44%

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE
ALBERTA LIBERAL
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE
ALBERTA LIBERAL
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE
ALBERTA LIBERAL
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY

EDMONTON
21%
10%
13%
51%
5%

CERTAIN
24%
35%
8%
29%
4%

24%
31%
10%
30%
5%

-3%
-2%
+4%
+2%

CALGARY
27%
29%
13%
25%
6%

LIKELY
24%
15%
18%
35%
9%

CERTAIN/LIKELY
24%
33%
9%
30%
5%

MIGHT
38%
27%
6%
27%
2%

REST OF AB
23%
39%
7%
26%
4%

UNLIKELY
14%
10%
30%
45%
1%

MIGHT/UNLIKELY
22%
15%
22%
39%
1%

TAXES
EDUCATION
CREATING JOBS
THE ENVIRONMENT
HEALTHCARE

PC WR LIB NDP
21% 32% 6% 19%
19% 24% 13% 25%
24% 25% 10% 23%
17% 21% 12% 25%
19% 26% 16% 20%

TAXES
EDUCATION
CREATING JOBS
THE ENVIRONMENT
HEALTHCARE

PC WR LIB
26% 41% 8%
23% 29% 15%
29% 30% 12%
22% 28% 15%
23% 32% 20%

AB
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%

UD
20%
17%
18%
22%
17%

NDP
24%
30%
28%
32%
24%

AB
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%