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Financial inclusion
Several measures like no-frills accounts, PSL GCCs for small
deposits and credits introduced by the RBI further add to the cost
base and operational burden of the banks. The branch requirement
specified by the RBI in rural areas also cuts into the profit margins
of banks.
Manpower requirement
As per a recent McKinsey report, the banking sector will face
shortage of skilled manpower in the next five years. With increase in
competition, there is poaching of skilled employees by
competition,which makes the current employees pay higher
salaries. This is another drag on the profitability of the bank.
Overseas Expansion:
Indias share in global trade was 0.8% which grew to 15% with the
growth in IT. Banks have very keenly tapped up this growth from
international expansion by taking some of these initiatives:
SBI acquired a 51% stake in Mauritius-based Indian Ocean
International Bank Ltd. It is also looking for acquisitions in African
and Asian markets
PNB has acquired stakes in banks in Bangaladesh, Nepal and Kabul
Bank of Baroda derives 25% of its profits from operations in UK<
Singapore, Emirates, Thailand and Singapore
ICICI acquired Investitsionno-Kreditny Bank to gain entry into Russia
Encryption technologies
IT personnel training
Due diligence in evaluating service providers
Independent audit, Penetration tests and vulnerability tests
Future Outlook:
The Indian Banking Association(IBA) had projected that the total assets
size of the Indian banking to more than double from 2003 to 2010 and the
projections did not disappoint.
Ten Major Trends that will Shape the Indian Banking Industry
1. Mortgages to cross Rs 40 trillion by 2020:
The total mortgages in the books of the banks have grown from 1.5
percent to 10 percent of the total bank advances, in a period of ten years.
If by 2020, this ratio were to reach 20 percent, a number similar to that of
China, we could expect the mortgage industry growing at an average rate
of over 20 percent during the next decade. The outstanding mortgages are
expected to cross Rs 40 trillion which is higher than the entire loan book of
the banking industry pegged at Rs 30 trillion.
2. Wealth management will be big business with 10X growth:
Going forward, wealth is expected to get further concentrated in the hands
of a few. As illustrated in Exhibit 1d, the top band of income distribution is
expected to grow most rapidly over the next decade.
3. The Next Billion will be the largest segment:
The fact that the income group right below the middle class in the
house hold income range of Rs 90,000 to Rs 200,000 per annum
the largest group of customers. These customers will be profitably
only with low cost business models having low break even ticket
business.
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