Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Tata Steel
Prepared By: Gourav Agarwal, Classroom Student
http://proschoolonline.com
Email ID :mumbai@proschoolonline.com
Mumbai
IMS Proschool Pvt Ltd,
Maharashtra High School Complex,
Principal N.M Kale Marg, Off Gokhale Rd,
Dadar (W), Mumbai 400028
Tel. No. :022-65285393/94
+91 9372895050
Directions
Tata Steel is among the top ten global steel companies. A financial model of such a company is in great demand in the investm
guide our student to come out with a financial model on the company. These exercises help the student at IMS Proschool to ho
This model is being developed by a financial modeling student at IMS Proschool. This is provided as reference model and is fo
the objective of the reference model, the formulas and linkages of the model are kept intact.
IMS Proschool provides certificate programs in Financial Modeling. The program grooms the candidates for entry level jobs in t
analysis and modeling skills. The program aims to impart the necessary skills required to perform the role of a Financial Resea
with the practical skill sets required to perform financial analysis, modeling and valuation through Excel.
please contact the address furnished below. You can also email us at the below mentioned email-id.
any is in great demand in the investment market. This gave us the opportunity to
elp the student at IMS Proschool to hone their financial modeling skills.
provided as reference model and is for information purpose only. Keeping in view
act.
the candidates for entry level jobs in the finance sector which require financial
perform the role of a Financial Research Analyst. The program equips students
through Excel.
For more details,
ed email-id.
Email ID : mumbai@proschoolonline.com
Company Description
Industry
Cournty
Crrent Market Price
Ticker
Market Capitalization
Relative Indiex
Year end
Reporting currency
Metals-Steel
India
652
TATASTEEL
53978
S&P-Nifty
31-Mar
Rs
(25)
49%
9%
5%
-2%
-9%
0.98
10.9
-26
0.41
1.44
Geographic Revenue
India
Outside India
Total
FY11 E
38
49%
11%
7%
3%
12%
0.97
8.5
17.05
0.37
2.04
26849
75544
102393
FY12 E
36
49%
11%
7%
3%
10%
0.97
8.5
18.31
0.53
2.36
FY13 E
34
49%
11%
7%
3%
9%
0.96
8.4
18.98
0.52
2.08
74%
India
26%
Revenue Forecast
FY08 A
131534
Net Sales
YoY Growth %
160000
140000
120000
100000
FY09 A
147329
12.01%
FY10 A
102393
-30.50%
FY11 E
102954
0.55%
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
FY08 A
Net Sales
FY09
A
FY10 A
31/03/2010 %
Promoters
277930680
31%
FII/NRI
149019739
17%
Institutions
223918106
25%
Public
236345671
27%
Total
887214196
100%
27%
25%
31%
17%
Promoter
s
FII/NRI
Institution
s
YoY Growth
%
FY11
E
FY12
E
FY13 E
ed is a diversified steel producer. It has a global presence in 50 markets and manufacturing operations in 26 countries. The
des steel for different industries, which include construction, automotive, aerospace, consumer goods, materials handling,
er, rail, engineering, shipbuilding, packaging, and security & defense. Tata Steel manufactures and processes steel, which
ed coil through to high-gloss, pre-painted perforated blanks, wire rod and wire, sections, plate, bearings and tubes. Tata
range of products and infrastructure services to the international railway industry, which include rail section sizes, steel
s and other specialized track components. The Company's operations relate to manufacture of Steel. Its other business
sts of tubes, bearings, refractories, pigments, port operations, town services and investment activities.
ents
8%
Steel
92%
26%
FY13 E
104061
0.54%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
-5.00%
Enterprise Valueadded
Explicit Forecast
Terminal Value
Total Enterprise Value
Axis Title
FY12 E
103502
0.53%
140000
120000
100000
12255
115777
128032
Others
Unallocable
hFY12
%
E
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
-5.00%
-10.00%
140000
120000
100000
80000
-15.00%
60000
-20.00%
40000
-25.00%
20000
-30.00%
-35.00%
FY13 E
Axis Title
15.00%
Explicit Forecast
Terminal Value
Total E
Value
ns in 26 countries. The
s, materials handling,
processes steel, which
ings and tubes. Tata
il section sizes, steel
. Its other business
es.
Others
8%
0%
Unallocable
Colu
mn K
Terminal Value
Total Enterprise
Value
FY08 A
FY09 A
FY10 A
FY11 E
Geographic Revenue
India
Outside India
Total
20171
26300
26849
27409
111363
121030
75544
75544
131534
147329
102393
102954
117733
133482
93706
94219
13386
13176
8297
8343
Business Segments
Steel
Others
Unallocable
414
672
390
392
131534
147329
102393
102954
131534
147329
102393
102954
Gross Profit
64542
62895
49878
50151
Operating Profit
17783
18127
8042
11782
EBITDA
18259
18393
9228
11782
EBIT
14122
14128
4737
7242
PAT
12322
4849
(2121)
3164
Net Profit-Group
12350
4823
(2063)
3164
EPS-Basic
177
66
(25)
38
EPS-Diluted
163
56
(25)
38
Total
Profit & Loss A/c
Net Sales
4232
6148
6788
5767
Capex
(8420)
(8434)
(7150)
(7189)
Total Debt
53625
59901
53100
53100
34174
27714
22814
25978
52
32
41
41
97
140
140
144
100
163
163
452
319
276
314
13394
15696
10471
6168
(46198)
(10822)
(4696)
(7189)
20543
(2755)
(5135)
(12262)
2119
640
16494
4029
6148
6788
4232
6148
6788
5767
0
(1021)
Valuation Metrics
Gross Profit Margin (%)
49%
43%
49%
49%
14%
12%
9%
11%
11%
10%
5%
7%
9%
3%
-2%
3%
ROE
36%
17%
-9%
12%
EV/Sales
0.76
0.68
0.98
0.97
EV/EBITDA
5.49
5.45
10.86
8.51
P/E
3.99
11.72
-26.15
17.05
FY12 E
FY13 E
27957
28517
75544
75544
103502
104061
94721
95233
8387
8432
394
396
103502
104061
103502
104061
50418
50690
11840
11900
11840
11900
7038
6857
2947
2842
2947
2842
36
34
36
34
6245
6819
(7227)
(7266)
53100
53100
28925
31767
41
41
140
140
163
163
349
384
7705
7839
(7227)
(7266)
478
573
5767
6245
6245
6819
49%
49%
11%
11%
7%
7%
3%
3%
10%
9%
0.97
0.96
8.47
8.43
18.31
18.98
FY08 A
FY09 A
FY10 A
FY11 E
Net Sales
131534
147329
102393
102954
12.01%
-30.50%
0.55%
COGS
66992
84434
52515
52803
Gross Profit
64542
62895
49878
50151
46759
44768
41835
38369
Margin %
Operating Profit
Other Income
EBITDA
Margin %
36%
30%
41%
37%
17783
18127
8042
11782
476
266
1186
18259
18393
9228
11782
14%
12%
9%
11%
1%
-50%
28%
4137
4265
4492
4540
EBIT
14122
14128
4737
7242
Interest,net
4085
3290
3022
2942
10036
10837
1715
4300
(6335)
4095
1684
16371
6743
31
4300
4049
1894
2152
1136
25%
28%
6991%
26%
12322
4849
(2121)
3164
9%
3%
-2%
3%
Minority Interest
(140)
41
(15)
168
61
127
12350
4951
(2009)
3164
128
54
12350
4823
(2063)
3164
Eps-Basic
177
66
(25)
38
Eps-Diluted
163
56
(25)
38
70
73
83
83
76
87
83
83
COGS
51%
57%
51%
51%
Gross Profit
49%
43%
49%
49%
36%
30%
41%
37%
14%
12%
8%
11%
Other Income
0%
0%
1%
0%
Interest ,net
3%
2%
3%
3%
Tax
Effective Tax Rate
EAT/PAT
Margin %
As a % of Revenue
Operating Profit
BLUE = Historical
RED = Assumptions
BLACK = Formulas
FY12 E
FY13 E
103502
104061
0.53%
0.54%
53084
53371
50418
50690
38577
38790
37%
37%
11840
11900
11840
11900
11%
11%
0%
1%
4803
5043
7038
6857
3033
2995
4005
3862
4005
3862
1058
1020
26%
26%
2947
2842
3%
3%
2947
2842
2947
2842
36
34
36
34
83
83
83
83
51%
51%
49%
49%
37%
37%
11%
11%
0%
0%
3%
3%
FY08 A
FY09 A
FY10 A
FY11 E
Current Assets
Stock-in-trade,stores & spare parts
23064
21668
18687
20288
Sundry debtors
18698
13032
11624
11688
4232
6148
6788
5767
46003
40855
37107
37751
15460
12999
6761
6761
41966
45306
45796
48444
3367
6411
5418
5418
472
18050
15365
14542
14542
10
76
115
115
156
105
125012
121589
109738
113031
26361
23093
23389
23517
6458
7141
6594
6594
32819
30234
29983
30111
Secured
35415
34244
28059
28059
Unsecured
18210
25657
25041
25041
53625
59901
53100
53100
6203
6203
887
887
27971
21512
21927
25092
34174
27714
22814
25978
17
17
17
17
Total
Loans
833
895
884
884
2465
1786
1769
1769
207
207
1080
1042
964
964
Total Liabilities
Check sum
125012
121589
109738
113031
Ratio Analysis
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio
1.40
1.35
1.24
1.25
Quick Ratio
0.70
0.63
0.61
0.58
51.89
32.29
41.44
41
96.69
140.24
140
Activity Ratios
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
Inventory Days
Payable Days
144
100
163
163
Total Debt
53625
59901
53100
53100
Net Debt
49393
53752
46313
47333
452
319
276
314
Book Value
BLUE = Historical
RED = Assumptions
BLACK = Formulas
FY12 E
FY13 E
20396
20506
11750
11813
6245
6819
38399
39146
6761
6761
50868
53091
5418
5418
14542
14542
115
115
116103
119073
23642
23770
6594
6594
30236
30364
28059
28059
25041
25041
53100
53100
887
887
28039
30881
28925
31767
17
17
884
884
1769
1769
207
207
964
964
116103
119073
1.27
1.29
0.60
0.61
41
41
140
140
163
163
53100
53100
46855
46282
349
384
FY08 A
FY09 A
16371
6743
4137
(77)
(18)
(254)
0
(454)
4539
(124)
227
150
(741)
(286)
3
(5907)
2
735
1931
18302
4265
(80)
(114)
(45)
4095
(501)
3791
(27)
224
0
160
(101)
0
0
2
380
12049
18792
3859
(2701)
(3380)
16080
2686
13394
3003
1012
(3731)
19077
3381
15696
(8420)
423
0
(33390)
(40740)
35353
465
110
(46198)
(8434)
73
(0)
(60757)
(183)
58068
(65)
367
108
(10822)
4881
4
5473
52465
(35458)
0
14
0
10509
(8457)
134
(1737)
(4272)
(948)
20543
(12262)
16494
4232
(10)
(37)
(3547)
(1227)
(2755)
2119
4029
6148
13394
(8420)
4974
15696
(8434)
7262
4137
41966
4265
45306
10%
(8420)
6%
(8434)
6%
Depreciation Schedule
Depreciation
Net,PPE Value
Implied Depreciation Rate
Capex Estimation
Acquistition of Proper & Equipment
Capex as % of Revenue
BLUE = Historical
RED = Assumptions
BLACK = Formulas
FY10 A
FY11 E
FY12 E
FY13 E
31
4300
4005
3862
4492
(70)
(1036)
(109)
1684
(472)
3494
29
220
0
(94)
(259)
3
0
2
369
8252
8283
4540
4803
5043
4540
8840
4803
8808
5043
8905
2088
1884
675
12930
2459
10471
(64)
(1601)
128
7304
1136
6168
(62)
(108)
125
8762
1058
7705
(63)
(110)
128
8859
1020
7839
(7150)
202
(3)
(191578)
(354)
193685
195
216
89
(4696)
(7189)
2422
25
0
10038
(12725)
(7227)
-
(7189)
(7266)
-
(7227)
-
(7266)
(29)
(279)
(3266)
(1321)
(5135)
640
6148
6788
0
(1021)
6788
5767
0
478
5767
6245
0
573
6245
6819
10471
(7150)
3321
6168
(7189)
(1021)
7705
(7227)
478
7839
(7266)
573
4492
45796
10%
4540
48444
10%
4803
50868
10%
5043
53091
10%
(7150)
7%
(7189)
7%
(7227)
7%
(7266)
7%
FY08 A
FY09 A
FY10 A
FY11 E
20171
26300
26849
27409
Ousside India
111363
121030
75544
75544
Net Sales
131534
147329
102393
102954
30%
2%
2%
9%
-38%
0%
India
15%
18%
26%
27%
Ousside India
85%
82%
74%
73%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Net Sales
BLUE = Historical
RED = Assumptions
BLACK = Formulas
FY12 E
FY13 E
27957
28517
75544
75544
103502
104061
2%
2%
0%
0%
27%
27%
73%
73%
100%
100%
FY08 A
FY09 A
FY10 A
117733
133482
93706
13386
13176
8297
414
672
390
131534
147329
102393
Steel
90%
91%
92%
Others
10%
9%
8%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
Others
Unallocable
Total
Segment revenue as % of total revenue
Unallocable
Total
BLUE = Historical
RED = Assumptions
BLACK = Formulas
FY11 E
FY12 E
FY13 E
94219
94721
95233
8343
8387
8432
392
394
396
102954
103502
104061
92%
92%
92%
8%
8%
8%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
FY08 A
FY09 A
FY10 A
FY11 E
114299
548
113751
129985
783
129202
95178
827
94351
91999
827
91172
Less COGS
66992
84434
52515
52803
46759
44768
41835
38369
87%
88%
93%
89%
COGS as % of revenue
51%
57%
51%
51%
BLUE = Historical
RED = Assumptions
BLACK = Formulas
FY12 E
FY13 E
92488
827
91661
92988
827
92161
53084
53371
38577
38790
89%
89%
51%
51%
FY08 A
FY09 A
FY10 A
FY10 E
Secured Loans
35415
34244
28059
28059
Unsecured Loans
18210
25657
25041
25041
53625
59901
53100
53100
Unsecured Loans
454
501
472
553
(4539)
(3791)
(3494)
(3494)
(4085)
(3290)
(3022)
(2942)
8%
6%
7%
7%
4232
6148
6788
5767
11%
8%
8%
BLUE = Historical
RED
= Assumptions
BLACK = Formulas
FY12 E
FY13 E
28059
28059
25041
25041
53100
53100
461
500
(3494)
(3494)
(3033)
(2995)
7%
7%
6245
6819
8%
8%
8%
CAPM Assumptions
83
Market Capitalisation
53949
53100
Ke
17.1%
7.84%
Beta Value
1.496
Net Debt
14%
2010A
2011E
2012E
2013E
102393
102954
103502
104061
EBITDA
9228
11782
11840
11900
EBIT
4737
7242
7038
6857
Tax Expense
2152
1136
1058
1020
2585
6106
5980
5837
4492
4540
4803
5043
4647
(1537)
(45)
(46)
2430
12183
10828
10926
(7150)
(7189)
(7227)
(7266)
(4720)
4994
3601
3660
83
83
83
83
Projection Year
discount Factor
0.90
0.81
0.72
4483
2901
2646
Capex
FCF
Diluted Shares
6788
46313
652
100261
Terminal Value
Sum of Pv of FCF
WACC
Long term growth in EBIT
Terminal Value
PV of terminal value
Terminal Value as % of Total Value
Enterprise Value
125807
11%
Less: Debt
(53100)
8%
Add: Cash
6788
3953
Net Debt
115777
(46313)
Equity Value
79494
92%
115777
7%
7%
8%
9%
10,439
9%
155911
195803
262291
10%
10,266
10%
111365
130536
157375
11%
10,030
Err:522
Err:522
Err:522
Err:522
12%
9,935
12%
70869
78321
87430
13%
9,776
13%
59966
65268
71534
47.24%
54%
E/(D+E)
46%
7%
26%
WACC Calculation
WACC
11%
Intrinsic Value
Equity Value
79494
Diluted Shares
83
Intrinsic Value
960
Intrinsic Value
7%
8%
8%
1450
1932
2735
910
1141
1466
Err:522
Err:522
Err:522
417
507
617
283
347
423
Tatasteel vs Nifty
Date
Tata Steel
11/3/2009
441.05
11/4/2009
471.4
11/5/2009
485
11/6/2009
500.5
11/9/2009
508.05
11/10/2009
504
11/11/2009
527.9
11/12/2009
512.45
11/13/2009
521
11/16/2009
535.9
11/17/2009
538.5
11/18/2009
546
11/19/2009
537.55
11/20/2009
554.2
11/23/2009
575.95
11/24/2009
557
11/25/2009
562.1
11/26/2009
542.2
11/27/2009
543.4
11/30/2009
578
12/1/2009
582
12/2/2009
574.2
12/3/2009
582.35
12/4/2009
575.05
12/7/2009
555.6
12/8/2009
567.5
12/9/2009
546
12/10/2009
548.05
12/11/2009
546.35
12/14/2009
543.65
12/15/2009
544.5
12/16/2009
560
12/17/2009
563.3
12/18/2009
562.4
12/21/2009
556.05
12/22/2009
579.5
12/23/2009
604.7
12/24/2009
615.5
12/29/2009
621.3
12/30/2009
615.05
12/31/2009
617
1/4/2010
636.25
3Digits
Nifty
456.39
471.08
476.555
479.615
489.84
488.17
500.395
495.265
499.895
505.805
506.225
505.47
498.9
505.245
510.355
509.055
510.815
500.555
494.175
503.27
512.2
512.325
513.17
510.89
506.67
514.795
511.2
513.465
511.73
510.57
503.305
504.205
504.175
498.77
495.26
498.585
514.46
517.84
518.795
516.945
520.105
523.22
1/5/2010
1/6/2010
1/7/2010
1/8/2010
1/11/2010
1/12/2010
1/13/2010
1/14/2010
1/15/2010
1/18/2010
1/19/2010
2/11/2010
2/15/2010
2/16/2010
2/17/2010
2/18/2010
2/19/2010
2/22/2010
2/23/2010
2/24/2010
2/25/2010
2/26/2010
3/2/2010
3/3/2010
3/4/2010
3/5/2010
3/8/2010
3/9/2010
3/10/2010
3/11/2010
3/12/2010
3/15/2010
3/16/2010
3/17/2010
3/18/2010
3/19/2010
3/22/2010
3/23/2010
3/25/2010
3/26/2010
3/29/2010
3/30/2010
3/31/2010
4/1/2010
4/5/2010
647.6
643.2
647.2
648.6
647.9
625
641.4
647
644.95
639.05
636.25
534.1
539
550
583.6
578.55
560.05
573
576.95
567.15
571
574.6
610
607.7
617
617
620.65
615.15
612
611.5
606.4
610.5
629.95
631.1
640.5
642.65
627.8
637
638.8
642.55
645.7
633.25
632.25
652.6
674.1
527.79
528.18
526.31
524.475
524.94
521.04
523.395
525.99
525.22
527.485
522.565
482.685
480.195
485.575
491.4
488.775
484.49
485.64
487.005
485.86
485.975
492.23
501.7
508.81
508.025
508.87
512.4
510.15
511.625
513.34
513.7
512.89
519.81
523.19
524.59
526.28
520.52
522.53
526.04
528.2
530.285
526.245
524.91
529.05
536.84
4/6/2010
4/7/2010
4/8/2010
4/9/2010
4/12/2010
4/13/2010
4/15/2010
4/16/2010
4/19/2010
4/20/2010
4/21/2010
4/22/2010
4/23/2010
4/26/2010
4/27/2010
4/28/2010
4/29/2010
4/30/2010
5/3/2010
5/4/2010
5/5/2010
5/6/2010
5/7/2010
5/10/2010
5/11/2010
5/12/2010
5/13/2010
5/14/2010
5/17/2010
5/18/2010
5/19/2010
5/20/2010
5/21/2010
5/24/2010
5/25/2010
5/26/2010
5/27/2010
5/28/2010
5/31/2010
6/1/2010
6/2/2010
6/3/2010
6/4/2010
6/7/2010
6/8/2010
689.1
687
669.5
676.2
684.25
691
684
695.05
669.35
670.95
667.5
652
648.05
656
646.95
624.7
634.55
619
608
572.9
577
576.4
558.7
605.65
579.5
583.7
576.4
547
535.8
529.65
513
509.1
510.15
495.8
477.3
483.9
496.5
491.95
499.75
478
483.5
485.4
483.6
464.25
451.25
536.6
537.465
530.445
536.175
533.97
532.295
527.36
526.26
520.365
523.01
524.49
526.935
530.41
532.245
530.835
521.545
525.415
527.8
522.275
514.85
512.49
509.085
501.805
519.36
513.615
515.665
517.89
509.35
505.99
506.62
491.965
494.76
493.115
494.395
480.675
491.74
500.31
506.655
508.63
497.02
501.985
511.05
513.55
503.4
498.71
6/9/2010
6/10/2010
6/11/2010
6/14/2010
6/15/2010
6/16/2010
6/17/2010
6/18/2010
6/21/2010
6/22/2010
6/23/2010
6/24/2010
6/25/2010
6/28/2010
6/29/2010
6/30/2010
7/1/2010
7/2/2010
7/5/2010
7/6/2010
7/7/2010
7/8/2010
7/9/2010
7/12/2010
7/13/2010
7/14/2010
7/15/2010
7/16/2010
7/19/2010
7/20/2010
7/21/2010
7/22/2010
7/23/2010
7/26/2010
7/27/2010
7/28/2010
7/29/2010
7/30/2010
8/2/2010
8/3/2010
8/4/2010
8/5/2010
8/6/2010
8/9/2010
8/10/2010
463.5
472.95
473.9
484.4
491.5
484
480.9
474
503.65
493.9
498.3
498.25
490.45
499.65
481.25
486.45
475
473.75
471.8
479.2
474
484.25
495.5
497
511.3
504.7
513.95
507.5
511.8
505.95
531.55
539
534.25
531.05
529.3
532.8
535.35
535.5
546.95
546.6
541
539.5
532
539.3
536
500.03
507.86
511.935
519.77
522.235
523.335
527.485
526.26
535.33
531.655
532.315
532.06
526.905
533.35
525.615
531.25
525.14
523.71
523.59
528.905
524.11
529.685
535.245
538.3
540.065
538.615
537.875
539.39
538.645
536.8
539.935
544.195
544.91
541.86
543.06
539.755
540.89
536.76
543.165
543.955
546.785
544.71
543.925
548.615
546.07
8/11/2010
8/12/2010
8/13/2010
8/16/2010
8/17/2010
8/18/2010
8/19/2010
8/20/2010
8/23/2010
8/24/2010
8/25/2010
8/26/2010
8/27/2010
8/30/2010
8/31/2010
9/1/2010
9/2/2010
9/3/2010
9/6/2010
9/7/2010
9/8/2010
9/9/2010
9/13/2010
9/14/2010
9/15/2010
9/16/2010
9/17/2010
9/20/2010
9/21/2010
9/22/2010
9/23/2010
9/24/2010
9/27/2010
9/28/2010
9/29/2010
9/30/2010
519
520
527.55
520
514.5
521.85
522
518
520.55
514.05
496
500.75
509
527.3
522.4
538.9
543.45
541.05
576
573.15
582.5
593.3
601.4
597
604.45
595.4
607.8
618
614.8
617.65
624
629.95
646.2
655.5
651.95
652
542.06
541.645
545.21
541.83
541.415
547.915
554.02
553.065
554.35
550.51
546.235
547.79
540.87
541.545
540.24
547.185
548.615
547.94
557.695
560.4
560.785
564.005
576
579.555
586.095
582.87
588.495
598.045
600.905
599.1
595.955
601.83
603.565
602.95
599.13
602.995
800
600
400
200
0
Tata Steel
Nifty
40000
Cash Flows
20000
0
(20000)
FY08 A
FY09 A
FY10 A
FY11 E
FY12 E
FY13 E
(40000)
(60000)
Steel
93706
Others
8297
Unallocable
390
8%0%
Steel
Others
92%