Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Commodity Market
Commodity Market
A PROJECT REPORT
ON
COMMODITY MARKET
Submitted by:
PANKAJ KUMAR
Roll No. 528
Batch 2007-2009
S.No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
INDEX
Introduction
Commodity
Commodity Market
Structure of Commodity Market
Different Types of Commodity Traded
Turnover of Indian Commodity Exchange
Market Share of Commodity Exchanges in India
Different Segments in Commodities Market
Leading Commodity Markets of World
Regulators
Leading Commodity Markets of India
Volumes in commodity Derivatives Worldwide
Commodity Futures Trading in India
Introduction
Benefits to Industry From Futures Trading
Benefits to Exchange Member
Why Commodity Futures?
What makes commodity trading attractive?
NCDEXs Trading System
Gold
Introduction
What makes Gold special
Market characteristics
Demand & Supply
Indian Gold Jewellery Market
MCX contract specifications of gold
FAQ on Gold
Gold Terminology
Conclusion
Bibliography
Page
No.
4
6
7
8
9
10
10
11
12
13
14
14
15
15
16
16
17
18
20
22
22
22
22
23
24
25
32
35
36
37
Wholesale Market
Retail Market
The traditional wholesale market in India dealt with whole sellers who bought
goods from the farmers and manufacturers and then sold them to the retailers
after making a profit in the process. It was the retailers who finally sold the
goods to the consumers. With the passage of time the importance of whole
sellers began to fade out for the following reasons:
The whole sellers in most situations, acted as mere parasites who did
not add any value to the product but raised its price which was
eventually faced by the consumers.
In recent years, the extent of the retail market (both organized and
unorganized) has evolved in leaps and bounds. In fact, the success stories of
the commodity market of India in recent years has mainly centered on the
growth generated by the Retail Sector. Almost every commodity under the
sun both agricultural and industrial is now being provided at well distributed
retail outlets throughout the country.
Moreover, the retail outlets belong to both the organized as well as the
unorganized sector. The unorganized retail outlets of the yesteryears consist
of small shop owners who are price takers where consumers face a highly
competitive price structure. The organized sector on the other hand are owned
by various business houses like Pantaloons, Reliance, Tata and others. Such
markets are usually selling a wide range of articles both agricultural and
manufactured, edible and inedible, perishable and durable. Modern marketing
strategies and other techniques of sales promotion enable such markets to
5
draw customers from every section of the society. However the growth of such
markets has still centered on the urban areas primarily due to infrastructural
limitations.
Considering the present growth rate, the total valuation of the Indian Retail
Market is estimated to cross Rs. 10,000 billion by the year 2010. Demand for
commodities is likely to become four times by 2010 than what it presently is.
COMMODITY
A commodity may be defined as an article, a product or material that is
bought and sold. It can be classified as every kind of movable property,
except Actionable Claims, Money & Securities. Commodities actually offer
immense potential to become a separate asset class for market-savvy
investors, arbitrageurs and speculators. Retail investors, who claim to
understand the equity markets, may find commodities an unfathomable
market. But commodities are easy to understand as far as fundamentals of
demand and supply are concerned. Retail investors should understand the
risks and advantages of trading in commodities futures before taking a
leap. Historically, pricing in commodities futures has been less volatile
compared with equity and bonds, thus providing an efficient portfolio
diversification option.
In fact, the size of the commodities markets in India is also quite
significant. Of the country's GDP of Rs 13, 20,730 crore (Rs 13,207.3
billion), commodities related (and dependent) industries constitute about
58 per cent.
Market segments
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05 (E)
Forex Market
Total Stock Market Turnover (I+ II) 1,374,405 (56) 3,745,507 (136)
4,160,702 (133.8)
3,641,672 (117.1)
(84)
1,099,534
1,147,027
b)Derivatives
439,865
2,130,468
2,494,645
a)Cash
b)Derivatives
Commodities Market
(18.7)
519,030
314,073
503,053
499,503
2,478
12,452
19,527
NA
130,215
(4.7)
(91)
3,867,936 (124.4)
a)Cash
II Bombay Stock Exchange (a+b)
500,000
(16.7)
(16.1)
FMC (Forwards
Market Commission)
Commodity
Exchange
National Exchange
NCDEX
MCX
Warehouses
Clearing Bank
Regional Exchange
NMCE
Quality
Certification
Agencies
Commodities
Ecosystem
MCX
Transporters/
support agencies
Consumers
(Retail/Institutio
-nal)
NBOT
20 other regional
exchanges
Hedger
(Exporters /
Millers Industry)
Producers
(Farmers/Cooperatives/Ins
titutional)
Traders
(speculators)arbi
-trageurs/client)
METAL
BULLION
FIBER
ENERGY
SPICES
PLANTATIONS
PULSES
CEREALS
Maize
OTHERS
2004
2005
2006
2007
165147
961,633
1,621,803
2,505,206
NCDEX
266,338
1,066,686
944,066
733,479
NMCE(Ahmadabad)
13,988
18,385
101,731
24,072
NBOT(Indore)
58,463
53,683
57,149
74,582
Others
67,823
54,735
14,591
37,997
All Exchanges
571,759 2,155,122
2,739,340
3,375,336
2003-04
1490
54011
53014
51038
2456
30695
23842
7943
129364
170720
10
11
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
12
Regulators
Each exchange is normally regulated by a national governmental (or semigovernmental) regulatory agency:
Country
Regulatory agency
Australia
Chinese mainland
Hong Kong
India
Pakistan
Singapore
UK
USA
Malaysia
Securities Commission
13
The
Forward
Markets
Commission
(FMC)
will
regulate
these
exchanges.
Consequently four commodity exchanges have been approved to commence
business in this regard. They are:
S.NO.
14
Source: FMC
Commodity Futures Trading in India
INTRODUCTION
Derivatives as a tool for managing risk first originated in the Commodities
markets. They were then found useful as a hedging tool in financial markets
as well. The basic concept of a derivative contract remains the same whether
the underlying happens to be a commodity or a financial asset. However there
are some features, which are very peculiar to commodity derivative markets.
In the case of financial derivatives, most of these contracts are cash settled.
Even in the case of physical settlement, financial assets are not bulky and do
not need special facility for storage. Due to the bulky nature of the underlying
assets, physical settlement in commodity derivatives creates the need for
warehousing. Similarly, the concept of varying quality of asset does not really
15
Hedging
the
price
risk
associated
with
futures
contractual
commitments.
Spaced out purchases possible rather than large cash purchases and its
storage.
Commodity Exchanges to act as distribution network to retail agrifinance from Banks to rural households.
Access to a huge potential market much greater than the securities and
cash market in commodities.
16
market. I can sell my wheat at a price, which is fixed today, which eliminates
my risk from price fluctuations. These days, agriculture requires investments - farmers spend money on fertilizers, high yielding varieties, etc. They are
worried when making these investments that by the time the crop comes out
prices might have dropped, resulting in losses. Thus a farmer would like to
lock in his future price and not be exposed to fluctuations in prices.
The third is the role about storage. Today we have the Food Corporation of
India, which is doing a huge job of storage, and it is a system, which -- in my
opinion -- does not work. Futures market will produce their own kind of
smoothing between the present and the future. If the future price is high and
the present price is low, an arbitrager will buy today and sell in the future. The
converse is also true, thus if the future price is low the arbitrageur will buy in
the futures market. These activities produce their own "optimal" buffer stocks,
smooth prices. They also work very effectively when there is trade in
agricultural commodities; arbitrageurs on the futures market will use imports
and exports to smooth Indian prices using foreign spot markets.
In totality, commodity futures markets are a part and parcel of a program for
agricultural liberalization. Many agriculture economists understand the need of
liberalization in the sector. Futures markets are an instrument for achieving
that liberalization.
WHAT MAKES COMMODITY TRADING ATTRACTIVE?
19
20
day. New contracts will be introduced on the trading day following the expiry
of the near month contract.
CLEARING
National Securities Clearing Corporation Limited (NSCCL) undertakes clearing
of trades executed on the NCDEX. The settlement guarantee fund is
maintained and managed by NCDEX. Only clearing members including
professional clearing members (PCMs) only are entitled to clear and settle
contracts through the clearing house. At NCDEX, after the trading hours on
the expiry date, based on the available information, the matching for
deliveries takes place firstly, on the basis of locations and then randomly,
keeping in view the factors such as available capacity of the vault/warehouse,
commodities already deposited and dematerialized and offered for delivery
etc. Matching done by this process is binding on the clearing members. After
completion of the matching process, clearing members are informed of the
deliverable/ receivable positions and the unmatched positions. Unmatched
positions have to be settled in cash. The cash settlement is only for the
incremental gain/loss as determined on the basis of final settlement price.
SETTLEMENT
Futures contracts have two types of settlements, the MTM settlement which
happens on a continuous basis at the end of each day, and the final
settlement which happens on the last trading day of the futures contract. On
the NCDEX, daily MTM settlement and the final MTM settlement in respect of
admitted deals in futures contracts are cash settled by debiting/crediting the
clearing accounts of CMs with the respective clearing bank.
21
All positions of a CM, brought forward, created during the day or closed out
during the day, are market to market at the daily settlement price or the final
settlement price at the close of trading hours on a day. On the date of expiry,
the final settlement price is the spot price on the expiry day. The responsibility
of settlement is on a trading cum clearing member for all trades done on his
own account and his clients trades. A professional clearing member is
responsible for settling all the participants trades, which he has confirmed to
the exchange. On the expiry date of a futures contract, members submit
delivery
information
through
delivery
request
window
on
the
trader
workstations provided by NCDEX for all open positions for a commodity for all
constituents individually. NCDEX on receipt of such information matches the
information and arrives at delivery position for a member for a commodity.
The seller intending to make delivery takes the commodities to the designated
warehouse. These commodities have to be assayed by the exchange specified
assayer. The commodities have to meet the contract specifications with
allowed variances. If the commodities meet the specifications, the warehouse
accepts them. Warehouse then ensures that the receipts get updated in the
depository system giving a credit in the depositors electronic account. The
seller the gives the invoice to his clearing member, who would courier the
same to the buyers clearing member. On an appointed date, the buyer goes
to the warehouse and takes physical possession of the commodities.
22
Gold
Introduction
Gold is a unique asset based on few basic characteristics. First, it is primarily a
monetary asset, and partly a commodity. As much as two thirds of golds total
accumulated holdings relate to store of value considerations. Holdings in this
category include the central bank reserves, private investments, and highcaratage jewellery bought primarily in developing countries as a vehicle for
savings. Thus, gold is primarily a monetary asset. Less than one third of golds
total accumulated holdings can be considered a commodity, the jewellery
bought in Western markets for adornment, and gold used in industry.
The distinction between gold and commodities is important. Gold has
maintained its value in after-inflation terms over the long run, while
commodities have declined.
Some analysts like to think of gold as a currency without a country. It is an
internationally recognized asset that is not dependent upon any governments
promise to pay. This is an important feature when comparing gold to
conventional diversifiers like T-bills or bonds, which unlike gold, do have
counter-party risk.
What makes gold special?
Market Characteristics
The gold market is highly liquid. Gold held by central banks, other
major institutions, and retail jewellery is reinvested in market.
Due to large stock of gold, against its demand, it is argued that the core
driver of the real price of gold is stock equilibrium rather than flow
equilibrium.
China produced 276 metric tons of gold last year, equal to about 9.7
million ounces, said London precious metals consultancy GFMS Ltd.
That's up 12% from the year-ago and represented just over one-tenth
of the world's supply.
The ranking pushes South Africa into second place, the first time the
gold giant has lost its top ranking since 1905. South Africa, whose late
24
19th century gold rush led to the founding of mining heavyweight Anglo
American Plc and is home to global producers Gold Fields Ltd and
AngloGold Ashanti Ltd, saw its production decline 8% to 272 metric
tons.
Supply
Mine Production
Net Producer Hedging
Total mine supply
Official sector sales
Old gold Scrap
Total Supply
Demand
Fabrication
Jewellery
Industrial & Dental
Subtotal of above fabrication
Bar & coin retail investment
Other retail investment
ETFs and similar
Total Demand
Inferred Investment
2006
2007
% change
573
-140
430
93
303
826
580
-129
451
95
262
808
1
5
2
-13
2
519
111
630
89
-3
113
829
-3
568
112
680
116
-5
36
827
-19
9
1
8
31
-68
0
-
25
Medallions, charms and small gift items account for up to half of what is
loosely called jewellery. These items are popular as gifts at weddings
and other family events.
Gold thread, known as Jari used in high quality saris worn at weddings
and special occasions requires somewhere in the region of 20 tonnes
(0.6 m oz) annually.
Hallmarking
does
not
exist
in
India
and
under-caratage
is
The number of retail jewellery outlets has increased greatly since the
abolition of gold control, as has the number of Indians possessing gold
jewellery.
26
Maximum Allowable
DELIVERY
Delivery unit
Delivery period margin
Delivery center(s)
Delivery Logic
SETTLEMENT PERIOD
Tender Period
Delivery Period
Pay-in of commodities
(delivery by seller
member)
Pay-in of funds
Pay-out of funds and
commodities (delivery to
Gold
GLDPURMUMK
MCX Trading System
Monday to Saturday
Monday to Friday: 10:00a.m. to 11:30 p.m.
Saturday: 10:00a.m. to 2:00 p.m.
1 kg
Rs. Per 10 g, ex-Ahmedabad (inclusive of all
taxes and levies relating to import and custom
duty, but excluding sales tax/VAT, any other
additional tax or surcharge on sales tax, local
taxes and octroi)
10 kg
Re. 1 per 10 g (minimum price movement)
3%
4%
In case of initial volatility, a special margin at
such percentage (as deemed fit), will be imposed
immediately on both buy and sell side in respect
of all outstanding positions, which will remain in
force for next 2 days, after which the special
margin will be relaxed.
For individual client: 2 MT
For members collectively for all clients: 6 MT or
15%of the market position, whichever is high
1 kg
25% of the value of the open position during the
delivery period
At designated clearing house facilities of Group 4
Securitas at these centers and at additional
delivery centers at Chennai, New Delhi and
Hyderabad.
Compulsory
1st to 6th day of the contract expiry month.
1st to 6th day of the contract expiry month.
On any tender days by 6.00 p.m. except
Saturdays, Sundays and Trading Holidays.
Marking of delivery will be done on the tender
days based on the intentions received from the
sellers after the trading hours. On expiry all the
open positions shall be marked for delivery.
Delivery pay-in will be on E + 1 basis.
By 11.00 a.m. on Tender day +1 basis
By 05.00 p.m. on Tender day +1 basis.
27
buyer member)
INFORMATION RELATED TO DELIVERY
Delivery Logic
Compulsory Delivery. Any seller having open
position on the expiry date fails to deliver then
the penalty as per the penal provision will be
imposed to the defaulting seller.
Mode of Communication
Fax or Courier
Tender Period Margin
5% incremental margin for last 5 days on all
outstanding positions. Such margin will be
addition to initial, additional and special margin
as applicable.
Margin during delivery
25% on the marked quantity.
period
Exemption from margin
Margin is exempted on receipt of documentary
during tender and delivery evidence (viz., Warehouse Receipt and Quality
period
Certificate) of tendering delivery with the
Exchange during tender days.
Delivery order rate (DOR)
Settlement/closing price on the respective tender
days except on expiry date. On expiry date the
delivery order rate shall be the Due Date Rate
(DDR) and not the closing price.
Penal Provision
A penalty of 2.5% of DOR will be imposed on
defaulting buyer / seller out of which 2% will be
credited to IPF and 0.5% will be credited to the
counter party.
Additionally, 4% of DOR as a replacement cost
will be charged from defaulting buyer / seller out
of which 90% will be given to the counter party
and 10% will be retained by the Exchange as
administrative expenses.
Delivery Centers
Ahmedabad and Mumbai at designated Clearing
House facilities of Group 4 Securitas at these
centers and at additional delivery centers at
Chennai, New Delhi and Hyderabad
Deliverable grade of
The selling members tendering delivery will have
underlying commodity
the option of delivering such grades as per the
contract specifications. The buyer has no option
to select a particular grade and the delivery
offered by the seller and allocation by the
Exchange shall be binding on him.
Verification by the Buyer
At the time of taking delivery, the buyer can
at the time of release of
check his delivery in front of Group 4 personnel.
delivery
If he is satisfied with the quantity, weight and
quality of material, then he will issue receipt of
the metals instantly. If he is not satisfied with the
metal, he can insist for assaying by any of the
approved assayers available at that center. If the
buyer chooses for assaying, Group 4 person will
carry the goods to the assayers facilities, get it
assayed and bring it back to Group 4 facilities
along with assayers certificate. If the assayers
28
Validation Process
Delivery Process
Quality Adjustment
Procedure of taking
delivery from the Vault
Endorsement of delivery
order
31
32
is defined as 24 carats. How and when this change occurred is not clear. It
does involve the Romans who also used the name Siliqua Graeca (Keration in
Greek, Qirat in Arabic, now Carat in modern times) for the bean of the Carob
tree. The Romans also used the name Siliqua for a small silver coin, which
was one-twentyfourth of the golden solidus of Constantine. This latter had a
mass of about 4.54 grammes, so the Siliqua was approximately equivalent in
value to the mass of 1 Keration or Siliqua Graeca of gold, i.e the value of
1/24th of a Solidus is about 1 Keration of gold, i.e 1 carat.
Q6. Who owns most gold?
If we take national gold reserves, then most gold is owned by the USA
followed by Germany and the IMF. If we include jewellery ownership, then
India is the largest repository of gold in terms of total gold within the national
boundaries. In terms of personal ownership, it is not known who owns the
most, but is possibly a member of a ruling royal family in the East.
Q7. If all the gold was laid around the world, how far would it stretch?
If we make all the gold ever produced into a thin wire of 5 microns (millionths
of a metre) diameter the finest one can draw a gold wire, then all the gold
would stretch around the circumference of the world an astounding 72 million
times approximately!
Q8. How much new gold is produced per year?
In 2001, mine production amounted to 2,604 tonnes or 67% of total gold
demand in that year. Gold production has been growing for years, but the real
acceleration took place after the late 1970s, when output was in the region of
1,500tpa. This year output will fall short of production levels in 2001. This is
partly for specific operational reasons at some of the larger mines (Grasberg
and Porgera), along with lower grades at some of the operations in Nevada.
The reduction in exploration and development expenditure over the past five
years is leading a number of analysts to suggest that, with other operations
nearing the end of their lives, global production is likely to drop slightly over
the next two to three years subject always of course to price.
34
35
Gold Terminology
For the purpose of this standard, the following definitions shall apply:
Fineness: The ratio between the mass of gold content and the total
Find Gold: It is gold having fineness 999 parts per thousand (5) and
above without any negative tolerance.
Gold: The metallic element gold, free from any other element.
Standard Gold: Gold having fineness 995 parts per thousand (%) and
above without any negative tolerance.
Grain: One of the earliest weight units used for measuring gold. One
grain is equivalent to 0.0648 grams.
Karat: Unit of fineness, scaled from one to 24. 24 karat gold (or pure
gold) has at least 999 parts pure gold per thousand; 18-karat has 750,
parts pure gold and 250 parts alloy, etc.
36
CONCLUSION
After almost two years that commodity trading is finding favour with Indian
investors and is been seen as a separate asset class with good growth
opportunities.
and mutual funds, commodity trading offers a good option for long-term
investors and arbitrageurs and speculators.
Their entry
As a matter of
fact, derivative instruments, such as futures, can help India become a global
trading hub for select commodities.
Commodity trading in India is poised for a big take-off in India on the back of
factors like global economic recovery and increasing demand from China for
commodities. Considering the huge volatility witnessed in the equity markets
recently with the Sensex touching 21000 level commodities could add the
required zing to investors' portfolio.
37
Bibliography
www.mcxindia.com
www.indiamba.com
www.commodityindia.com
www.business.mapsofindia.com
www.bseindia.com
www.ncdex.com
www.sebi.gov.in, SEBI Bulletin
www.indiaexpress.com
www.nmce.com
www.nbotind.org
www.gold.org
38