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World total primary energy consumption by region, Reference case

(Quadrillion Btu)
Region/Country
OECD
OECDAmericas
UnitedStates
Canada
Mexico/Chile
OECDEurope
OECDAsia
Japan
SouthKorea
Australia/NewZealand
TotalOECD

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

122.8 122.3 124.3 122.9 117.3 120.6 121.3


100.5
99.8 101.7 100.1
94.8
97.8
98.3
14.4
14
14.3
14.3
14.1
14.3
14.3
8
8.5
8.3
8.5
8.4
8.5
8.7
82.2 82.8 82.3 82.2 79.6 79.6 80.8
38.8 39.2 39.4 39.2 37.4 37.9 38.7
23
23.3
23
22.4
20.7
20.8
21.2
9.3
9.4
9.8
10
9.9
10.2
10.4
6.5
6.5
6.6
6.8
6.8
6.9
7.1
243.9 244.3 246.1 244.3 234.2
238 240.7

Non-OECD
Non-OECDEuropeandEurasia
Russia
Other
Non-OECDAsia
China
India
Other
MiddleEast
Africa
CentralandSouthAmerica
Brazil
Other
TotalNon-OECD

49.5
29.6
19.8
113.3
68.3
17.5
27.5
22.9
17
24.5
11
13.5
227.2

TotalWorld

471.1 481.3 492.6 504.7 503.8

48.9 49.6 50.5 48.7 49.3 49.7


29.1
29.7
30.6
29.5
29.9
30.2
19.8
19.9
19.9
19.2
19.4
19.5
121 128.6 137.9 149.3 159.7 163.6
73.4
78.9
86.2
96.9 104.6
107
18.8
20
21.1
22.5
23.8
24.4
28.8
29.7
30.7
29.9
31.3
32.2
24
24 25.6 25.9 27.6 28.4
17.2 17.8 18.8 18.4 19.5
20
25.9 26.5 27.7 27.1 28.1 28.7
11.5
12.1
12.7
12.6
13.3
13.8
14.4
14.5
15
14.6
14.8
14.9
237 246.5 260.5 269.5 284.1 290.4
522 531.2

a/Includesthe50StatesandtheDistrictofColumbia.
Notes:EnergytotalsincludenetimportsofcoalcokeandelectricitygeneratedfrombiomassintheU
maynotequalsumofcomponentsduetoindependentrounding.Theelectricityportionofthenation
valuesconsistsofgenerationfordomesticuseplusanadjustmentforelectricitytradebasedonafue
generationintheexportingcountry.
Sources:History:U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration(EIA),InternationalEnergyStatisticsdatabas
2011),websitewww.eia.gov/ies;andInternationalEnergyAgency,BalancesofOECDandNon-OECD
websitewww.iea.org(subscriptionsite).Projections:EIA,AnnualEnergyOutlook2011,DOE/EIA-0383
May2011);AEO2011NationalEnergyModelingSystem,runREF2011.D020911A,websitewww.eia.go

ProjectionSystemPlus(2011).

rence case

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

122.9 124.4
125 126.1 127.4 128.2
129 129.9
131 131.8 132.6 133.7
99.5 100.8 101.1
102 102.6 103.1 103.6 104.2 104.9 105.5
106 106.6
14.4
14.4
14.5
14.6
15.1
15.2
15.4
15.5
15.7
15.8
15.9
16.1
9.1
9.2
9.4
9.5
9.7
9.9
10
10.2
10.4
10.6
10.8
11
82 82.5 83.3 83.6 84.7 85.3 85.9 86.3 86.9 87.7 88.2 88.8
39 39.7 40.4 40.7 40.9 41.3 41.7 42.2 42.7 43.2 43.6 43.8
21.1
21.6
22
22.2
22.2
22.4
22.6
22.9
23.2
23.5
23.7
23.7
10.7
10.8
10.9
11.1
11
11.2
11.3
11.5
11.6
11.8
11.9
12.1
7.2
7.3
7.4
7.4
7.6
7.7
7.7
7.8
7.8
7.9
7.9
8
243.9 246.6 248.6 250.4
253 254.7 256.6 258.4 260.6 262.8 264.4 266.2

50.3 50.6
51 51.4 51.2 51.4 51.9 52.1 52.3 52.6 52.9 53.3
30.5
30.7
30.8
31.1
30.7
30.7
31.1
31.2
31.3
31.4
31.6
31.9
19.8
19.9
20.1
20.4
20.5
20.6
20.8
20.9
21
21.2
21.3
21.4
168.8 174.7 181.5 188.1 191.9
198
204 209.7
215 220.5 226.5 232.8
110.7 114.7 119.3 124.2 125.6 129.8 133.6 137.3 140.6 143.9 147.8 151.9
25.1
26
27
27.8
28.9
29.9
31
32.1
33.1
34.2
35.3
36.4
33
34
35.2
36.2
37.5
38.4
39.4
40.4
41.3
42.3
43.4
44.5
29.4 29.9 30.5
31 31.9 32.2 32.8 33.2 33.9 34.3
35 35.7
20.5 20.8 21.1 21.5
22 22.3 22.7 23.1 23.6
24 24.5 24.9
29.3 29.7 30.4
31 31.7 32.4 33.1 33.7 34.2 34.7 35.5 36.3
14.2
14.7
15.2
15.5
15.8
16.2
16.6
17
17.3
17.7
18.2
18.8
15
15
15.2
15.6
15.9
16.2
16.5
16.8
16.9
17
17.2
17.5
298.4 305.8 314.5 323.1 328.7 336.4 344.4 351.9 358.9 366.1 374.2
383
542.3 552.4 563.1 573.5 581.7 591.1 601.1 610.4 619.5 628.9 638.7 649.2

frombiomassintheUnitedStates.Totals
yportionofthenationalfuelconsumption
ytradebasedonafuelsshareoftotal

ergyStatisticsdatabase(asofMarch
fOECDandNon-OECDStatistics(2010),
k2011,DOE/EIA-0383(2011)(Washington,DC:
1A,websitewww.eia.gov/aeo,andWorldEnergy

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

134.9 135.9
137
138 139.2 140.3 141.6 142.9 144.2 145.3 146.5 147.7
107.4
108 108.5 109.1 109.7 110.3
111 111.8 112.4
113 113.6 114.2
16.3
16.4
16.7
16.9
17.1
17.4
17.6
17.8
18.1
18.3
18.6
18.8
11.2
11.5
11.8
12.1
12.4
12.7
13
13.3
13.6
14
14.4
14.7
89.2 89.7 90.1 90.5
91 91.3 91.8 92.3 92.8 93.2 93.6 93.8
44 44.2 44.4 44.6 44.9 45.1 45.4 45.7
46 46.2 46.4 46.7
23.7
23.7
23.6
23.6
23.7
23.7
23.7
23.7
23.8
23.8
23.8
23.8
12.2
12.4
12.5
12.7
12.8
13
13.1
13.3
13.5
13.6
13.8
13.9
8.1
8.1
8.2
8.3
8.4
8.5
8.5
8.6
8.7
8.8
8.9
8.9
268.1 269.8 271.5 273.2
275 276.8 278.7 280.9 282.9 284.7 286.5 288.2

53.6
54 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.7
56 56.5
57 57.5 57.9 58.4
32
32.3
32.6
32.8
33.1
33.4
33.7
34.1
34.4
34.8
35.1
35.5
21.6
21.7
21.8
21.9
22.1
22.2
22.3
22.4
22.6
22.7
22.8
22.9
239.6 246.4 253.1 259.1 264.7 269.7 274.3
279 283.8 288.6 293.6 298.8
156.3 160.9 165.1
169 172.4 175.4 177.9 180.4
183 185.6 188.5 191.4
37.6
38.9
40.1
41.2
42.3
43.4
44.3
45.3
46.3
47.3
48.3
49.2
45.6
46.7
47.9
48.9
49.9
51
52.1
53.3
54.5
55.7
56.9
58.2
36.5 37.3 38.3 39.2 39.8 40.5 41.3 42.1
43 43.8 44.6 45.3
25.5 25.9 26.5 26.9 27.4
28 28.5
29 29.6 30.2 30.8 31.4
37.2
38 38.9 39.8 40.8 41.7 42.6 43.6 44.6 45.7 46.8 47.8
19.3
19.9
20.5
21.1
21.8
22.5
23.2
23.9
24.6
25.4
26.2
26.9
17.8
18.1
18.4
18.7
19
19.2
19.5
19.7
20
20.3
20.6
20.8
392.4 401.7 411.2 419.8 427.9 435.6 442.8 450.1 458.1 465.8 473.7 481.6
660.4 671.5 682.7

693 702.9 712.4 721.5 731.1

741 750.5 760.2 769.8

Growth Rate (2008-2035)


0.70%
0.50%
1.00%
2.10%
0.50%
0.70%
0.20%
1.20%
1.00%
0.60%

0.50%
0.60%
0.50%
2.90%
3.00%
3.20%
2.40%
2.10%
1.90%
2.00%
2.80%
1.20%
2.30%
1.60%

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