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Westmead International School

School of Economics Business and Accountancy

CHAPTER 1
LINEAR PROGRAMMING
Linear programming is a powerful quantitative technique (or operational
research technique) designs to solve allocation problem. The term linear
programming consists of the two words Linear and Programming.
The word 'Linear' is used to describe the relationship between decision
variables which are directly proportional. For example, if doubling (or tripling) the
production of a product will exactly double (or triple) the profit and required
resources, then it is linear relationship.
The word 'programming' means planning of activities in a manner that
achieves some 'optimal' result with available resources. A program is 'optimal' if it
maximizes or minimizes some measure or criterion of effectiveness such as
profit, contribution (i.e. sales-variable cost), sales, and cost.
Thus, 'Linear Programming' indicates the planning of decision variables
which are directly proportional, to achieve the 'optimal' result considering the
limitations within which the problem is to be solved.
The minimization model starts with an objective function with the purpose
of minimizing a goal while maximization model starts with an objective function
with the purpose of maximizing a goal.

MAXIMIZATION
You make three kinds of computers: Sony, Dell, and Apple. These sell for
$1500, $2000, and $2400. The Sony model requires 3 hours for circuit board
installation and 1 hour to fit the peripheral equipment. The Dell model requires 1
1 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


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hour for circuit boards and 5 hours for peripherals. The Apple model requires 3
hours for circuit boards and 2 hours for peripherals. You have 120 hours
available for circuit board work and 60 hours for fitting peripherals. MAXIMIZE
PROFIT.
GRAPHICAL METHOD
TABLE 1.1
DATA TABLE

Kinds of Computers
Constraints
Maximize
Sony
Dell
Apple

x
120
3
1
3

2 Qualitative Technique

Y
60
1
5
2

RHS
<=
<=
<=

1500
2000
2400

Equation form
Max 120x + 60y
3x + y <= 1500
x + 5y <= 2000
3x + 2y <= 2400

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TABLE 1.2
GRAPHING RESULT

X
0
500
0
392.8571

Corner Points
Y
0
0
400
321.4286

Z
0.
60,000.
24,000.
66,428.57

INTERPRETATION: The Company should use 393 circuit boards, 321


peripherals to meet the minimum cost of Php66, 429. See graph result above.
SIMPLEX METHOD
TABLE 1.3
ITERATIONS

Kinds of Computer Solution


Cj
BasicVariables 120x 60 y 0slack1 0slack2 0slac3 Quantity
Iteration
cj-zj
120
60
0
0
0
1
0
slack 1
3
1
1
0
0
1,500
0
slack 2
1
5
0
1
0
2,000
0
slack 3
3
2
0
0
1
2,400
Iteration
cj-zj
0
20.0
-40
0
0
2
120
X
1
0.3333 0.3333
0
0
500
0
slack 2
0
4.6667
1
0
1,500
0.3333
0
slack 3
0
1
-1
0
1
900
Iteration
cj-zj
0
0
-38.57 -4.285
0
3
120
X
1
0
0.3571 -0.071
0
392.8571
60
Y
0
1
0.2143
0
321.4286
0.0714
3 Qualitative Technique

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slack 3

0.9286

-0.2143

578.5714

TABLE 1.4
DUALING

Kinds of Computer Solution


Maximize

Original Problem
x
y

Sony

<=

1500

Dell

<=

2000

Apple

<=

2400

Dual Problem
Sony

Dell

Apple

Minimize

1500

2000

2400

>=

120

>=

60

TABLE 1.5
RANGING

Variable
X
Y
Constraint
Sony
Dell
Apple

Kinds of Computer Solution


Value
Reduced
Original
Cost
Val
392.8571
0
120
321.4286
0
60
Dual
Slack/Surplus Original
Value
Val
38.5714
4.2857
0

4 Qualitative Technique

0
0
578.5714

1500
2000
2400

Lower
Bound
12
40
Lower
Bound

Upper
Bound
180
600
Upper
Bound

400
500.0001
1821.429

2123.077
4700
Infinity

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TABLE 1.6
SOLUTION LIST

Kinds of Computer Solution


Variable

Status

Value

X
Y
slack 1
slack 2
slack 3
Optimal Value (Z)

Basic
Basic
NONBasic
NONBasic
Basic

392.8571
321.4286
0
0
578.5714
66428.57

TABLE 1.7
OVERALL LINEAR PROGRAMMING RESULTS

Maximize
Sony
Dell
Apple
Solution->

Kinds of Computer Solution


X
Y
120
60
3
1
<=
1
5
<=
3
2
<=
392.8571 321.4286

RHS

Dual

1500
2000
2400
66428.57

38.5714
4.2857
0

INTERPRETATION: The Company should use 393 circuit boards, 321


peripherals to meet the maximum profit of Php66, 429. See graph result above.

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MINIMIZATION
You make three kinds of computers: Sony, Dell, and Apple. The total
manufacturing cost for each computer is $1500, $2000, and $2400. The Cheap
model requires 3 hours for circuit board installation and 1 hour to fit the
peripheral equipment. The Good model requires 1 hour for circuit boards and 5
hours for peripherals. The deluxe model requires 3 hours for circuit boards and 2
hours for peripherals. You have 120 hours available for circuit board work and 60
hours for fitting peripherals Determine the best mix that will MINIMIZE your
COST.
TABLE 1.1
DATA TABLE

Kinds of Computer
x
Minimize
Sony
Dell
Apple

20
3
1
3

GRAPHICALMETHOD

6 Qualitative Technique

Y
60
1
5
2

RHS
>=
>=
>=

1500
2000
2400

Equation form
Min 20x + 60y
3x + y >= 1500
x + 5y >= 2000
3x + 2y >= 2400

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TABLE 1.2
GRAPHING RESULT

Corner Points
Y
1500
0
900
276.9231

X
0
2000
200
615.3846

Z
90,000.
40,000.
58,000.
28,923.08

INTERPRETATION: The Company should use 615 of circuit boards 277 of


peripherals to meet the minimum cost of Php29.
SIMPLEX METHOD
TABLE 1.3
ITERATIONS
Cj

Kinds of Computer Solution


0 artfcl
0
0 artfcl
0
1
surplus
2
surplus
1
2

Basic
Variables

20
x

60
y

cj-zj
artfcl 1
artfcl 2
artfcl 3

7
3
1
3

8
1
5
2

0
1
0
0

-1
-1
0
0

0
0
1
0

cj-zj
artfcl 1
Y
artfcl 3

5.4
2.8
0.2
2.6

0
0
1
0

0
1
0
0

-1
-1
0
0

-1.6
-0.2
0.2
-0.4

0 artfcl
3

0
surplus
3

Quantity

-1
0
-1
0

0
0
0
1

-1
0
0
-1

1,500
2,000
2,400

0.6
0.2
-0.2
0.4

0
0
0
1

-1
0
0
-1

1,100
400
1,600

Iteration
1
0
0
0
Iteration
2
0
60
0
Iteration

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3
cj-zj

20
60

X
Y

1
0

0
1

artfcl 3

20
60

cj-zj
X
Y

0
1
0

0
0
1

surplus 1

cj-zj
20
60
0

1.9286
0.3571
0.0714
0.9286

0.9286

-1.2143

0.2143

-1

-0.3571
0.0714

-0.0714
0.2143

0.0714
-0.2143

0
0

0
0

392.8571
321.4286

0.9286

-0.2143

0.2143

-1

578.5715

-1
0
0

0
0
0

-1.0
-0.1538
0.2308

0
0.1538
-0.2308

0
-0.3846
0.0769

615.3846
276.9231

-1

-0.2308

0.2308

-1.0
0.3846
0.0769
1.0769

-1.0769

623.077

10.7692

3.0769

-3.0769

X
Y

1
0

0
1

0
0

0
0

-0.1538
0.2308

10.7692
0.1538
-0.2308

-0.3846
0.0769

615.3846
276.9231

surplus 1

-1

-0.2308

0.2308

0.3846
0.0769
1.0769

-1.0769

623.077

Iteration
4

Iteration
5

TABLE 1.4
DUALING

Minimize
Sony
Dell
Apple

Maximize
X
Y

Kinds of Computer Solution


Original Problem
X
Y
3
1
>=
1
5
>=
3
2
>=
Dual Problem
Cheap
Good
Deluxe
1500
2000
2400
3
1
3
1
5
2

1500
2000
2400

<=
<=

20
60

TABLE 1.5
RANGING

Variable

Value

615.3846

Kinds of Computer Solution


Reduced
Original
Lower
Cost
Val
Bound
0
20
12

8 Qualitative Technique

Upper
Bound
90

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Y
Constrain
t
Sony
Dell
Apple

276.9231
Dual
Value
0
-10.7692
-3.0769

0
Slack/Surplus
623.0769
0
0

60
Original
Val
1500
2000
2400

13.3333
Lower
Bound
-Infinity
800
1821.429

100
Upper
Bound
2123.077
4700
6000

TABLE 1.6
SOLUTION SET

Kinds of Computer Solution


Variable
Status
X
Basic
Y
Basic
surplus 1
Basic
surplus 2
NONBasic
surplus 3
NONBasic
Optimal Value (Z)

Value
615.3846
276.9231
623.077
0
0
28923.08

TABLE 1.7
OVERALL LINEAR PROGRAMMING RESULT

Minimize
Sony
Dell
Apple
Solution->

Kinds of Computer Solution


X
Y
RHS
20
60
3
1
>=
1500
1
5
>=
2000
3
2
>=
2400
615.3846
276.9231
28923.08

Dual
0
-10.7692
-3.0769

INTERPRETATION: The Company should use 615 of circuit boards 277 of


peripherals to meet the minimum cost of Php29.

9 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


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CHAPTER 2
PROJECT EVALUATION REVIEW TECHNIQUE
CRITICAL PATH METHOD
PROJECT CRASHING
PERT and CPM techniques both involve dividing a large project into a
series of smaller tasks and activities. Although the two techniques differ in their
original forms, Render and Stair cite six steps common to both methods. These
steps are defining the project and its significant activities; developing a sequence
of these activities; drawing a network diagram that connects the activities;
assigning time or cost estimates; computing the longest time path through the
network, known as the critical path; and using the network to monitor and
manage the project. If project managers want to reduce total project time, they
must reduce the length of some activity on the critical path identified through
PERT or CPM, according to Render and Stair. Meanwhile, any delay of an
activity on that path will delay project completion. PERT is an excellent technique
for monitoring project completion time but does not consider costs. A modification
of this technique, PERT/Cost, allows project managers to control costs and
project time, according to Render and Stair. CPM approaches project costs
through two estimates: normal and crash. Normal time and cost are estimates of
project time and cost under normal conditions. Project crashing is the time and
cost required to complete a project on a deadline, sometimes through additional
expenditures to reduce completion time.

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CRITICAL PATH METHOD (CPM)


Sam is the Event Manager of MTV Music Summit and she is tasked to
organize the event and finish the preparation at the earliest possible time. She
was able to determine the sequence of activities and the time in days needed to
finish each activity. The figures are summarized in Table1.1.
TABLE 1.1
DATA TABLE

CRITICAL PATH METHOD


Activity time
Prec 1
Prec 2
2
2
A
1
B
1
A
4
B
D
2
C
E
5
F
2
G
12
G
2
G
1
H
I
1
K
2
L
N
6
K
1
M
3
N
2
P
4
Q

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
Q
R

Prec 3

TABLE 1.2
CPM RESULT

Project
A
B
C

CRITICAL PATH METHOD SOLUTION


Activity
Early
Early
Late
time
Start
Finish
Start
43
2
0
2
0
2
2
4
2
1
4
5
7

11 Qualitative Technique

Late
Finish

Slack

2
4
8

0
0
3

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D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
Q
R

1
4
2
5
2
12
2
1
1
2
6
1
3
2
4

2
4
8
10
15
15
15
27
28
34
28
36
34
37
39

3
8
10
15
17
27
17
28
29
36
34
37
37
39
43

3
4
8
10
25
15
25
27
39
40
28
42
34
37
39

TABLE 1.3
CHARTS OF CRITICAL PATH METHOD

GANTT CHART-EARLY TIMES

GANTT CHART-LATE TIMES

12 Qualitative Technique

4
8
10
15
27
27
27
28
40
42
34
43
37
39
43

1
0
0
0
10
0
10
0
11
6
0
6
0
0
0

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GANTT CHART-EARLY AND LATE TIMES

PRECEDENCE GRAPH

INTERPRETATION: From above computations, the critical method is from


A-B-E-F-G-I-K-O-P-Q-R. See critical path method result and graphs above.
PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIEW TECHNIQUE (PERT)
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Manny is the Project Manager of Barber Shop and he is tasked to open a


new branch in Batangas as part of the companys expansion program at the
earliest possible time. He was able to determine the sequence of activities and
the estimates (optimistic, probable, and pessimistic) in days needed to finish
each activity. The figures are summarized in Table2.1.
When he is going to finish the project? What is the critical path?
TABLE 2.1
DATA TABLE

PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIEW TECHNIQUE


Optimistic time

Most Likely time

Pessimistic time

Prec 1

34

35

42

23

30

31

19

20

27

37

40

43

47

55

57

43

50

51

38

45

46

22

25

48

12

15

18

Prec 2

TABLE 2.2
PERT RESULT

Project
A
B
C
D
E
F

Activity
time
248
36
29
21
40
54
49

Early
Start
0
36
65
36
86
140

14 Qualitative Technique

PERT SOLUTION
Early
Late
Late
Finish
Start
Finish
36
65
86
76
140
189

0
36
65
149
86
140

36
65
86
189
140
189

Slack

0
0
0
113
0
0

Standard
Deviation
3.56
1.33
1.33
1.33
1
1.67
1.33

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G
H
I

44
28.33
15

189
140
233

233
168.33
248

189
204.67
233

233
233
248

0
64.67
0

1.33
4.33
1

TABLE 2.3
TASK TIME COMPUTATION

Optimistic
time
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I

34
23
19
37
47
43
38
22
12

PERT SOLUTION
Most
Pessimistic Activity
Likely
time
time
time
35
42
36
30
31
29
20
27
21
40
43
40
55
57
54
50
51
49
45
46
44
25
48
28.33
15
18
15

Project
Results
Total of
critical
Activities
Square
root of
total

Standard
Deviation

Variance

1.33
1.33
1.33
1
1.67
1.33
1.33
4.33
1

1.78
1.78
1.78
1
2.78
1.78
1.78
18.78
1

12.67
3.56

TABLE 2.4
CHARTS OF PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIEW TCHNIQUE

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GANTT CHART-LATE TIMES

GANNT CHART-EARLY AND LATE TIMES

PRECEDENCE GRAPH

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INTERPRETATION: Using Project evaluation and review technique critical path


method is A-B-C-E-F-G-I. See PERT result, task time computation and its graph
above.
PROJECT CRASHING
Vj, the Event Manager of MTV Music Summit was informed that the
project must be finished in 86 days. He was able to determine the normal and
minimum crashed time possible with their corresponding costs. The figures are
summarized in Table3.1.
What activities should be crashed while minimizing additional cost?
TABLE 3.1
DATA TABLE

CRASHING METHOD

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

Normal
time
5
4
10
5
7
5
4
6
17 Qualitative Technique

Crash time
2
2
6
3
6
3
2
3

Normal
Cost
25000
30000
45000
30000
30000
20000
35000
35000

Crash Cost

Prec 1

34000
40000
81000
38000
37000
26000
44000
65000

A
B
C
D
E
F
G

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TABLE 3.2
CRASHING RESULT

Project
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
TOTALS

Normal
time
46
5
4
10
5
7
5
4
6

CRASHING SOLUTION
Crash
Normal
Crash
Crash
time
Cost
Cost
cost/pd
27
2
25000
34000
3000
2
30000
40000
5000
6
45000
81000
9000
3
30000
38000
4000
6
30000
37000
7000
3
20000
26000
3000
2
35000
44000
4500
3
35000
65000
10000
250000

Crash
by

Crashing
cost

3
2
4
2
1
2
2
3

9000
10000
36000
8000
7000
6000
9000
30000
115000

TABLE 3.3
CRASH SCHEDULE
CRASHING SOLUTION
Project time

Period
cost

Cumulative cost

46
45
44
43
42
41
40
39
38
37
36
35
34
33
32
31
30
29
28
27

0
3000
3000
3000
3000
3000
4000
4000
4500
4500
5000
5000
7000
9000
9000
9000
9000
10000
10000
10000

0
3000
6000
9000
12000
15000
19000
23000
27500
32000
37000
42000
49000
58000
67000
76000
85000
95000
105000
115000

1
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3

18 Qualitative Technique

1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

1
2
3
4
4
4
4

1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

1
2
3

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INTERPRETATION: From above computations the crash time would be 27 days.


See crashing result and crash schedule above.

CHAPTER 3
DECISION THEORY

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Framework of logical and


helping managers in

mathematical concepts,

formulating rules that

may lead to

aimed
a

at
most

advantageous course of action under the given circumstances. Decision theory


divides decisions into three classes (1) Decisions under certainty: where a
manager has far too much information to choose the best alternative. (2)
Decisions under conflict: where a manager has to anticipate moves and countermoves of one or more competitors. (3) Decisions under uncertainty: where a
manager has to dig-up a lot of data to make sense of what is going on and what
it is leading to.

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Five criteria that may be used:


Maximax
Maximin
Hurwicz Criterion of Realism
La Place (Equally Likely)
Minimax Regret

Bors, the Market Analyst was able to determine further the probability of
occurrence of each type of market. The probability of occurrence is 40% that the
market is favourable, 50% that the market is average, and 10% that the market is
unfavourable. The figures are summarized in Table 1.1. (Figures below are in
thousands)
What will be Boots decision?
TABLE 1.1
DATA TABLE

PAYOFF SUMMARY
Expansion for plan payoff
Favorable
20 Qualitative Technique

Average

Unfavorable

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Probabilities
Construct a plant
Open Distribution Center
Do Nothing
Alpha = .25

.4
61
42
54

.5
54
65
43

.1
67
45
55

TABLE 1.2
DECISION TABLE RESUTS

Decision Theory Solution


Favorable Average Unfavorable EMV
Probabilities
Option 1
Option 2
Option 3

.4
61
42
54

.5
54
65
43

.1
67
45
55
Maximum

58.1
53.8
48.6
58.1
Best
EV

Row
Min

Row
Max

54
67
42
65
43
55
54
67
maximin Maximax

TABLE 1.3
EXPECTED VALUE MULTIPLICATIONS

Probabilities
Option 1
Option 2
Option 3

Decision Theory Solution


Favorable
Average
Unfavorable
.4
.5
.1
24.4
27
6.7
16.8
32.5
4.5
21.6
21.5
5.5

Row sum (Exp Val)


58.1
53.8
48.6

TABLE 1.4
PERFECT INFORMATION

Probabilities

Decision Theory Solution


Favorable Average Unfavorable
.4
.5
.1

21 Qualitative Technique

Maximum

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Option 1
Option 2
Option 3
Perfect Information
Perfect*probability
Best Expected Value
Exp Value of Perfect Info

61
42
54
61
24.4

54
65
43
65
32.5

67
45
55
67
6.7

63.6
58.1
5.5

TABLE 1.5
REGRET OR OPPORTUNITY LOSS

Decision Theory Solution


Average
Unfavorable

Favorable
Probabilities
Option 1
Option 2
Option 3

.4
0
19
7

.5
11
0
22

.1
0
22
12

Minimaxregret

Maximum
Regret

Expected
Regret

11
22
22
11

5.5
9.8
15

TABLE 1.6
HURWICS TABLE

Hurwicz Value
.00
.01
.02
.03
.04
.05
.06
.07
.08
.09
.10
.11
.12
.13
.14
.15
.16
.17

Decision Theory Solution


Option 1
Option 2
54
42
54.13
42.23
54.26
42.46
54.39
42.69
54.52
42.92
54.65
43.15
54.78
43.38
54.91
43.61
55.04
43.84
55.17
44.07
55.3
44.3
55.43
44.53
55.56
44.76
55.69
45
55.82
45.22
55.95
45.45
56.08
45.68
56.21
45.91

22 Qualitative Technique

Option 3
43
43.12
43.24
43.36
43.48
43.6
43.72
43.84
43.96
44.08
44.2
44.32
44.44
44.56
44.68
44.8
44.92
45.04

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

.18
.19
.20
.21
.22
.23
.24
.25
.26
.27
.28
.29
.30
.31
.32
.33
.34
.35
.36
.37
.38
.39
.40
.41
.42
.43
.44
.45
.46
.47
.48
.49
.50
.51
.52
.53
.54
.55
.56
23 Qualitative Technique

56.34
56.47
56.6
56.73
56.86
56.99
57.12
57.25
57.38
57.51
57.64
57.77
57.9
58.03
58.16
58.29
58.42
58.55
58.68
58.81
58.94
59.07
59.2
59.33
59.46
59.59
59.72
59.85
59.98
60.11
60.24
60.37
60.5
60.63
60.76
60.89
61.02
61.15
61.28

46.14
46.37
46.6
46.83
47.06
47.29
47.52
47.75
47.98
48.21
48.44
48.67
48.9
49.13
49.36
49.59
49.82
50.05
50.28
50.51
50.74
50.97
51.2
51.43
51.66
51.89
52.12
52.35
52.58
52.81
53.04
53.27
53.5
53.73
53.96
54.19
54.42
54.65
54.88

45.16
45.28
45.4
45.52
45.64
45.76
45.88
46
46.12
46.24
46.36
46.48
46.6
46.72
46.84
46.96
47.08
47.2
47.32
47.44
47.56
47.68
47.8
47.92
48.04
48.16
48.28
48.4
48.52
48.64
48.76
48.88
49
49.12
49.24
49.36
49.48
49.6
49.72

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

.57
.58
.59
.60
.61
.62
.63
.64
.65
.66
.67
.68
.69
.70
.71
.72
.73
.74
.75
.76
.77
.78
.79
.80
.81
.82
.83
.84
.85
.86
.87
.88
.89
.90
.91
.92
.93
.94
.95
24 Qualitative Technique

61.41
61.54
61.67
61.8
61.93
62.06
62.19
62.32
62.45
62.58
62.71
62.84
62.97
63.1
63.23
63.36
63.49
63.62
63.75
63.88
64.01
64.14
64.27
64.4
64.53
64.66
64.79
64.92
65.05
65.18
65.31
65.44
65.57
65.7
65.83
65.96
66.09
66.22
66.35

55.11
55.34
55.57
55.8
56.03
56.26
56.49
56.72
56.95
57.18
57.41
57.64
57.87
58.1
58.33
58.56
58.79
59.02
59.25
59.48
59.71
59.94
60.17
60.4
60.63
60.86
61.09
61.32
61.55
61.78
62
62.24
62.47
62.7
62.93
63.16
63.39
63.62
63.85

49.84
49.96
50.08
50.2
50.32
50.44
50.56
50.68
50.8
50.92
51.04
51.16
51.28
51.4
51.52
51.64
51.76
51.88
52
52.12
52.24
52.36
52.48
52.6
52.72
52.84
52.96
53.08
53.2
53.32
53.44
53.56
53.68
53.8
53.92
54.04
54.16
54.28
54.4

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

.96
.97
.98
.99
1.00

66.48
66.61
66.74
66.87
67

64.08
64.31
64.54
64.77
65

54.52
54.64
54.76
54.88
55

INTERPRETATION: Base on the result, Boots best decision is to construct a


plant.

CHAPTER 4
INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
The word inventory in business means a detailed list of things in stock
for a period of time. A necessary function of all business operations. Skilful
inventory management could mean great savings for the company, and would
maximize the companys profit.
Proper inventory management should be maintained in order to bring
down the total annual cost of inventory. There are two costs involved in annul
inventory: the ordering cost and the carrying cost. Annual cost of inventory is
the sum of the annual ordering cost and the annual cost.
25 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

Carrying cost
Carrying cost or holding cost increases as the size of the inventory
increases. If the firm borrows money to finance inventory, the interest on the
money invested in the inventory is a major distribution to the carrying cost.
Storage cost is another source of carrying cost which includes rent of space,
heat, lights, refrigerator and wages of personnel needed to protect and keep
records of the inventory. Other sources include taxes and deterioration of goods.
Carrying cost is usually expressed on an annual basis as percentage of the
average annual inventory.
Ordering Cost
Ordering costs include costs associated with getting an item into the firms
inventory. Total ordering cost is composed of purchase order, shipping costs,
receiving and setting up of equipment. Ordering cost increase as the number of
order increases.
Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)
To minimize the um of ordering cost and carrying cost, we must determine the
proper quantity to order. The order size that minimizes the sum of ordering cost
and carrying cost is known as Economic Order Quantity (EOQ).
Two ways of finding EOQ:
a.
By the use of tables showing various lot sizes of quantity orders
b.
By the use of the formula : EOQ =

An auto parts supplier sells Hardy-brand batteries to car dealers and auto
mechanics. The annual demand is approximately 1,200 batteries. The supplier
pays $28 for each battery and estimates that the annual holding cost is 30
26 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

percent of the battery's value. It costs approximately $20 to place an order


(managerial and clerical costs). The supplier currently orders 100 batteries per
month.
TABLE 1.1
DATA TABLE

Hardy-Brand Batteries
Parameter
Demand rate(D)
Setup/Ordering cost(S)
Holding cost(H)
Unit cost

Value
1200
20
30%
28
TABLE 1.2
INVENTORY RESULTS

Parameter
Demand rate(D)
Setup/Ordering
cost(S)
Holding
cost(H)@30%
Unit cost

Hardy-Brand Batteries Solution


Value
Parameter
1200
Optimal order quantity (Q*)
20
Maximum Inventory Level (Imax)
8.4
28

Average inventory

37.8

Orders per period(year)


15.87
Annual Setup cost
317.49
Annual Holding cost
317.49
Unit costs (PD)
33600
Total Cost 34234.98

TABLE 1.3
COST CURVE

27 Qualitative Technique

Value
75.59
75.59

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

IINTERPRETATION: Inventory results and cost curve answers are given


above.

CHAPTER 5
FORECASTING
A planning tool that helps management in its attempts to cope with
the uncertainty of the future, relying mainly on data from the past and present
and analysis of trends.
Forecasting starts with certain assumptions based on the managements
experience

and judgment.

These estimates are

projected

into

the

coming months or years using one or more techniques such as Box-Jenkins


models, Delphi method, exponential smoothing, moving averages, regression
analysis, and trend projection. Since any error in the assumptions will result in a
28 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

similar or magnified error in forecasting, the technique of sensitivity analysis is


used

which assigns a range of values to

the

uncertain factors (variables).

A forecast should not be confused with a budget.

NAIVE APPROACH
Given the following data below, prepare the forecast for the period 6 using
naive approach.
NAVE FORECASTING APPROACH

1
2
3
4
5

Demand(y)
80
85
75
78
84

TABLE 1.1
NAIVE FORECASTING RESULT

NAVE FORECASTING APPROACH


Measure
Error Measures
Bias (Mean Error)
MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation)
29 Qualitative Technique

Value
1
6

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

MSE (Mean Squared Error)


Standard Error (denom=n-2=2)
MAPE (Mean Absolute Percent Error)
Forecast
next period

42.5
9.22
.08
84

TABLE 1.2
NAIVE DETAILS AND ERROR ANALYSIS

NAVE FORECASTING APPROACH


Forecast

Error

Demand(y
)
80

85

80

25

.06

75

85

-10

10

100

.13

78

75

.04

84

78

36

.07

TOTALS

402

24

170

.3

AVERAGE

80.4

42.5

.08

(MSE)

(MAPE)

Next period
forecast

84

|Error| Error^2

(Bias) (MAD)
Std
err

|Pct
Error|

9.22

TABLE 1.3
NAIVE CONTROL (TRACKING SIGNAL)

NAVE FORECASTING APPROACH

Demand(y Forecast Error RSFE |RSFE|


)
80

Cum
Abs

Cum
MAD

Track
Signal

85

80

75

85

-10

-5

10

15

7.5

-.67

78

75

-2

18

-.33

84

78

24

.67

30 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

TABLE 1.4
NAIVE GRAPH

INTERPRETATION: Using naive approach the interpretation for period six would
be 84. See naive details, error analysis, naive control (tracking signal) and naive
graph above.
MOVING AVERAGE APPROACH
Given the following data below, Prepare the forecast for the period 6 using
three period moving average approach.
MOVING AVERAGE APPROACH

1
2
3
4
5

TABLE 2.1
MOVING AVERAGE FORECASTING RESULT

31 Qualitative Technique

Demand(y)
80
85
75
78
84

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

MOVING AVERAGE APPROACH


Measure
Error Measures
Bias (Mean Error)
MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation)
MSE (Mean Squared Error)
Standard Error (denom=n-2=0)
MAPE (Mean Absolute Percent Error)
Forecast
next period

Value
1.33
3.33
12.89
NA
.04
79

TABLE 2.2
DETAILS AND ERROR ANALYSIS

MOVING AVERAGE APPROACH

Demand(y
)
80

Forecast

Error

|Error|

Error^2

|Pct
Error|

85

3
4

75
78

80

-2

.03

84

79.33

4.67

4.67

21.78

.06

TOTALS

402

2.67

6.67

25.78

.08

AVERAGE
Next period
forecast

80.4

1.33
(Bias)

3.33
(MAD)

12.89
(MSE)

.04
(MAPE)

Std err

NA

79

TABLE 2.3
ERRORS AS FUNCTION OF N

MOVING AVERAGE APPROACH


N

Bias

MAD

MSE

Standard
error

MAPE

42.5

9.22

.08

32 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

-.67

5.67

38.83

10.79

.07

1.33

3.33

12.89

.04

4.5

4.5

20.25

.05

TABLE 2.4
CONTROL (TRACKING SIGNAL)

1
2
3
4
5

Moving Average approach Solution


Demand(y Forecast Error RSFE |RSFE| Cum
)
Abs
80
85
75
78
80
-2
-2
2
2
84
79.33
4.67 2.67
4.67
6.67

Cum
MAD

Track
Signal

2
3.33

-1
.8

TABLE 2.5
MOVING AVERAGE GRAPH

INTERPRETATION: Using moving average approach, the forecast for period six
would be 79. See moving average forecasting results, details and error analysis,
errors as function of n, control tracking signal and moving average graph above.
EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
Given the following data below, prepare the forecast for the period 6 using
exponential smoothing approach.
33 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING APPRACH


Demand(y)
213
312
258
152
239

1
2
3
4
5

Forecast
189
0
0
0
0

TABLE 3.1
FORECASTING RESULT

EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING APPROACH


Measure
Error Measures
Bias (Mean Error)
MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation)
MSE (Mean Squared Error)
Standard Error (denom=n-2=3)
MAPE (Mean Absolute Percent Error)
Forecast
next period

Value
24.11
56.38
4523.19
86.83
.25
219.14

TABLE 3.2
DETAILS AND ERROR ANALYSIS

1
2
3
4
5
TOTALS
AVERAGE
Next period
forecast

EXPONENTIAL SOOTHING APPROACH


Demand(y Forecast Error |Error|
Error^2
)
213
189
24
24
576
312
195
117
117
13689
258
224.25
33.75 33.75
1139.06
152
232.69 -80.69 80.69 6510.47
239
212.52
26.48 26.48
701.42
1174
120.55 281.92 22615.96
234.8
24.11 56.38 4523.19
219.14
(Bias) (MAD)
(MSE)
Std err

34 Qualitative Technique

86.83

|Pct
Error|
.11
.38
.13
.53
.11
1.26
.25
(MAPE)

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

TABLE 3.3
ERRORS AS FUNCTION OF ALPHA

Alpha
.00
.01
.02
.03
.04
.05
.06
.07
.08
.09
.10
.11
.12
.13
.14
.15
.16
.17
.18
.19
.20
.21
.22
.23
.24
.25
.26
.27
.28
.29
.30
.31

EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING PPROACH


Bias
MAD
MSE
Standard
error
45.8
60.6
4867
90.06
44.68
60.34
4813.35
89.57
43.58
60.08
4764.62
89.11
42.51
59.84
4720.57
88.7
41.46
59.6
4680.92
88.33
40.43
59.38
4645.45
88
39.42
59.16
4613.91
87.69
38.43
58.95
4586.08
87.43
37.47
58.75
4561.76
87.19
36.52
58.55
4540.75
87
35.6
58.37
4522.84
86.82
34.7
58.19
4507.86
86.68
33.82
58.02
4495.64
86.56
32.96
57.85
4486.02
86.47
32.12
57.7
4478.82
86.4
31.29
57.55
4473.92
86.35
30.49
57.4
4471.16
86.32
29.71
57.27
4470.41
86.32
28.94
57.14
4471.55
86.33
28.2
57.01
4474.46
86.36
27.47
56.89
4479.03
86.4
26.76
56.78
4485.15
86.46
26.07
56.67
4492.71
86.53
25.4
56.57
4501.63
86.62
24.75
56.48
4511.82
86.72
24.11
56.38
4523.19
86.83
23.49
56.3
4535.67
86.95
22.88
56.22
4549.17
87.07
22.3
56.14
4563.64
87.21
21.73
56.06
4579
87.36
21.17
56
4595.21
87.51
20.63
55.93
4612.2
87.68

35 Qualitative Technique

MAPE
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25
.25

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

.32
.33
.34
.35
.36
.37
.38
.39
.40
.41
.42
.43
.44
.45
.46
.47
.48
.49
.50
.51
.52
.53
.54
.55
.56
.57
.58
.59
.60
.61
.62
.63
.64
.65
.66
.67
.68
.69
.70

20.11
19.6
19.11
18.63
18.17
17.72
17.29
16.87
16.46
16.07
15.69
15.33
14.98
14.64
14.31
14
13.69
13.4
13.13
12.86
12.6
12.36
12.13
11.9
11.69
11.49
11.3
11.12
10.95
10.78
10.63
10.49
10.35
10.23
10.11
10
9.9
9.81
9.73

36 Qualitative Technique

55.87
55.81
55.76
55.71
55.66
55.61
55.57
55.53
55.49
55.46
55.43
55.4
55.37
55.34
55.31
55.29
55.27
55.25
55.23
55.2
55.57
56.03
56.5
56.97
57.43
57.89
58.35
58.8
59.26
59.71
60.16
60.61
61.05
61.49
61.93
62.36
62.79
63.22
63.64

4629.92
4648.31
4667.34
4686.96
4707.14
4727.83
4749
4770.63
4792.68
4815.13
4837.96
4861.13
4884.64
4908.46
4932.57
4956.96
4981.63
5006.54
5031.69
5057.07
5082.68
5108.49
5134.5
5160.71
5187.11
5213.68
5240.43
5267.35
5294.42
5321.65
5349.03
5376.56
5404.22
5432.02
5459.94
5487.98
5516.14
5544.41
5572.77

87.84
88.02
88.2
88.38
88.57
88.77
88.97
89.17
89.37
89.58
89.8
90.01
90.23
90.45
90.67
90.89
91.12
91.35
91.58
91.81
92.04
92.27
92.51
92.74
92.98
93.22
93.46
93.7
93.94
94.18
94.42
94.66
94.91
95.15
95.39
95.64
95.88
96.13
96.37

.25
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.26
.27
.27
.27
.27
.28
.28
.28
.28
.28
.29
.29
.29
.29
.29
.3
.3
.3
.3

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

.71
.72
.73
.74
.75
.76
.77
.78
.79
.80
.81
.82
.83
.84
.85
.86
.87
.88
.89
.90
.91
.92
.93
.94
.95
.96
.97
.98
.99
1.00

9.65
9.58
9.52
9.46
9.42
9.37
9.34
9.31
9.29
9.28
9.27
9.26
9.27
9.27
9.29
9.3
9.33
9.35
9.39
9.42
9.46
9.51
9.56
9.61
9.67
9.73
9.79
9.86
9.93
10

64.06
64.47
64.88
65.29
65.69
66.09
66.48
66.87
67.25
67.63
68
68.37
68.74
69.09
69.45
69.79
70.13
70.47
70.8
71.12
71.44
71.75
72.05
72.35
72.64
72.93
73.21
73.48
73.74
74

5601.23
5629.78
5658.41
5687.11
5715.87
5744.68
5773.54
5802.43
5831.34
5860.27
5889.19
5918.11
5947
5975.85
6004.65
6033.39
6062.04
6090.6
6119.05
6147.37
6175.55
6203.56
6231.39
6259.03
6286.45
6313.63
6340.56
6367.21
6393.56
6419.6

96.62
96.87
97.11
97.36
97.6
97.85
98.09
98.34
98.58
98.83
99.07
99.32
99.56
99.8
100.04
100.28
100.52
100.75
100.99
101.22
101.45
101.68
101.91
102.14
102.36
102.58
102.8
103.01
103.23
103.44

.3
.3
.31
.31
.31
.31
.31
.31
.32
.32
.32
.32
.32
.32
.32
.33
.33
.33
.33
.33
.33
.33
.33
.33
.34
.34
.34
.34
.34
.34

TABLE 3.4
CONTROL (TRACKING SIGNAL)

1
2

Demand(y
)
213
312

Exponential Smoothing Solution


Forecast Error RSFE |RSFE| Cum
Abs
189
24
24
24
24
195
117
141
117
141

37 Qualitative Technique

Cum
MAD
24
70.5

Track
Signal
1
2

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

3
4

258
152

224.25
232.69

239

212.52

33.75 174.75
94.06
80.69
26.48 120.55

33.75
80.69

174.75
255.44

58.25
63.86

3
1.47

26.48

281.92

56.38

2.14

TABLE 3.5
EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING GRAPH

CHAPTER 6
QUEING / WAITING LINES
Queuing theory is the mathematical study of waiting lines. There are
several related processes, arriving at the back of the queue, waiting in the queue
(essentially a storage process), and being served by the server at the front of the
queue. It is applicable in transport and telecommunication and is occasionally
linked to ride theory. Incoming traffic to queuing theory systems is modelled via
Poisson distribution, with the assumptions of pure chance traffic. Call arrivals and
departures are random and independent events. Statistical equilibrium
probabilities within the system do not change. All incoming traffic can be routed
to any other customer within the network and congestion is cleared as soon as
servers are free.

38 Qualitative Technique

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Queuing theory is finding the best level of service by trade-off between the
cost of providing good service and the cost of customer waiting line. We will also
assume a first in first out (FIFO) disciple where customers are serviced according
to order of their arrival.
Four Models presented using Kendall notation:
1. M/M/1
2. M/M/m
3. M/D/1
4. M/M/1 with finite source

M/M/1
Bryan is the branch manager of East-West Bank and he wants to improve
the service of the bank by reducing the average waiting time of the banks client.
He was able to determine the average arrival and the average number of clients
serviced per hour. Bryan knows that there is also an opportunity cost for clients
who are idle while waiting in line. He was able to determine the tellers labour
cost as well as the average opportunity cost of clients who are waiting. The
figures are summarized in Table1.1.
How many clients are in the bank at any given time? How much time does
a client spent in the bank? How many clients are waiting to be served? How
much a time does a client spent in waiting? What is the probability that the teller
is busy? What is the probability that there are no clients? How much is the total
cost per shift?
TABLE 1.1
DATA TABLE

EAST-WEST BANK
Parameter
M/M/1 (exponential service times)
Arrival rate(lambda)
Service rate(mu)
Number of servers
Server cost $/time
Waiting cost $/time

39 Qualitative Technique

Value
3
15
1
8
11

Westmead International School


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TABLE 1.2
WAITING LINES RESULTS

Parameter
M/M/1
(exponential
service times)
Arrival
rate(lambda)
Service rate(mu)

EAST-WEST BANK Solution


Value
Parameter
Value Minutes Seconds
Average server
.2
utilization
3

Average number in
the queue(Lq)
Average number in
the system(Ls)
Average time in the
queue(Wq)
Average time in the
system(Ws)
Cost (Labor + #
waiting*wait cost)
Cost (Labor + # in
system*wait cost)

15

Number of servers

Server cost $/time

Waiting cost
$/time

11

.05
.25
.02

60

.08

300

8.55
10.75

TABLE 1.3
TABLE OF PROBABILITIES

EAST-WEST BANK Solution


k
0

Prob (num in sys =


k)
.8

Prob (num in sys <=


k)
.8

Prob (num in sys


>k)
.2

.16

.96

.04

.03

3
4
5
6

0
0
0
0

1
1
1
1

0
0
0
0

TABLE 1.4
GRAPHS OF PROBABILITIES

40 Qualitative Technique

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41 Qualitative Technique

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INTERPRETATION: Waiting lines and table of probabilities results using MM1


method are above.
M/M/s; M/M/m
Clair, the Bank Manager of EAST-WEST Bank wants to improve the
service of the bank by hiring an additional teller. She observed that the average
arrival and the average number of clients serviced per teller per hour remains the
same. Clair knows that with the additional teller, the number of clients waiting in
line will decrease. She observed that the tellers labour costs as well as the
average opportunity cost of clients who are waiting remain the same. The figures
are summarized in Table2.1.

TABLE 2.1
DATA TABLE

EAST-WEST BANK
Parameter
42 Qualitative Technique

Value

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M/M/s
Arrival rate(lambda)
Service rate(mu)
Number of servers
Server cost $/time
Waiting cost $/time

3
15
2
8
11

TABLE 2.2
WAITING LINES RESULT

Parameter
M/M/s
Arrival
rate(lambda)
Service
rate(mu)
Number of
servers
Server cost
$/time
Waiting cost
$/time

EAST-WEST BANK Solution


Value
Parameter
Value Minutes Seconds
Average server
.1
utilization
3
Average number in the
0
queue(Lq)
15
Average number in the
.2
system(Ls)
2
Average time in the
0
.04
2.42
queue(Wq)
8
Average time in the
.07
4.04
242.42
system(Ws)
11
Cost (Labor + #
16.02
waiting*wait cost)
Cost (Labor + # in
18.22
system*wait cost)
TABLE 2.3
TABLE OF PROBABILITIES

k
0
1
2
3
4
5

EAST-WEST BANK Solution


Prob (num in sys = Prob (num in sys <=
k)
k)
.82
.82
.16
.98
.02
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

43 Qualitative Technique

Prob (num in sys


>k)
.18
.02
0
0
0
0

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TABLE 2.4
COST VS. SERVERS

EAST-WEST BANK Solution


Number of servers
1

Total cost based on waiting


8.55

Total cost based on system


10.75

2
3

16.02
24

18.22
26.2

32

34.2

40

42.2

TABLE 2.5
GRAPHS OF PROBABILITIES

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INTERPRETATION: Waiting lines, table of probabilities and cost vs.


server results using MMm/MMs method are above.

M/D/1
Grace, the Branch Manager of EAST-WEST Bank wants to improve the
service of the bank by replacing the teller with an ATM. She observed that the
average arrival and the average number of clients serviced per hour remain the
same. Because an ATM processes according to a fixed cycle, she presumed that
the service rate distribution is now constant. Lea knows that with the ATM as the
teller, the number of clients waiting in line will decrease. She observed that the
ATMs service cost is equal to the labour cost of a teller and the average
opportunity cost of clients who are waiting remain the same. The figures are
summarized in Table3.1.
How many clients are waiting to be served? How much time does a client
spend waiting? How many clients are at the ATM at any given time? How much
time does a client spend at the ATM? What is the probability that the ATM is
occupied? What is the probability that there are no clients? How much is the total
cost per shift?
TABLE 3.1
DATA TABLE

EAST WEST BANK


Parameter
M/D/1 (constant service times)

Value

Arrival rate(lambda)

Service rate(mu)
Number of servers
Server cost $/time

15
1
8

Waiting cost $/time

11

45 Qualitative Technique

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TABLE 3.2
WAITING LINES RESULTS

Parameter
M/D/1 (constant
service times)
Arrival
rate(lambda)
Service rate(mu)
Number of
servers
Server cost
$/time
Waiting cost
$/time

EAST WEST BANK Solution


Value
Parameter
Value Minutes Seconds
Average server
.2
utilization
3
Average number in
.03
the queue(Lq)
15
Average number in
.23
the system(Ls)
1
Average time in the
0
.5
30
queue(Wq)
8
Average time in the
.08
4.5
270
system(Ws)
11
Cost (Labor + #
8.28
waiting*wait cost)
Cost (Labor + # in
10.48
system*wait cost)

INTERPRETATION: Waiting lines result using MM1 method is above.

CHAPTER 7
46 Qualitative Technique

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NETWORK
The term network flow program describes a type of model that is a special
case of the more general linear program. The class of network flow programs
includes such problems as the shortest path problem, the maximum flow
problem, the pure minimum cost flow problem, and the generalized minimum
cost flow problem. It is an important class because many aspects of actual
situations are readily recognized as networks and the representation of model is
much more compact than the general linear program. When the situation can be
entirely modelled as network, very efficient algorithm exists for the solution of the
optimization problem, many times more efficient than linear programming in the
utilization of computer time and space resources.
Network models use nodes and arcs to make decision.
Three techniques:
1. Minimal-Spanning Three Technique
2. Maximal-Flow Technique
3. Shortest-Route Technique
Minimal-Spanning Tree Technique
The objective of Minimal-Spanning Tree Technique is to connect each node to
at least one node while minimizing the total distance.
Maximal-Flow Technique
Maximal Flow Technique seeks to determine the maximum
quantity that can go from one node to another in a network at any given time.
Shortest-Route Technique
The shortest-route technique determines the minimum distance
from one point of the network to another.
MINIMAL SPANNING TREE
Blair is the Head Engineer of MY-DSL and he is tasked t provide a
telephone lines to 15 towns in the province of Nasugbu. Each town must be
connected from another town starting with Town A, using possible distance. He
47 Qualitative Technique

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was able to determine the distance in kilometres from one town to another. The
distance figures are summarized in Table 1.1.
How should the towns be cnnected?

MY-DSL
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O

TABLE 1.1
DATA
TABLE
MINIMAL SPANNING TREE
Start node
End node
1
2
1
3
1
4
2
3
2
5
3
4
3
5
3
6
3
7
3
8
4
7
5
8
6
7
7
9
8
9

Cost
15
10
18
17
12
13
8
21
19
22
16
14
9
20
11

TABLE 1.2
NETWORK RESULT
MY-DSL
A

Start End node


node
1
2

Cost

Cost

10

15

10

18

17

48 Qualitative Technique

Include

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12

12

13

13

H
I

3
3

6
7

21
19

22

16

16

14

14

20

11

11

Total

93

TABLE 1.3
SOLUTION STEP
MINIMAL SPANNING TREE SOLUTION
MY-DSL

Ending
node
3

Cost

Starting
node
1

10

Cumulative
cost
10

18

12

30

13

43

14

57

11

68

16

84

49 Qualitative Technique

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93

INTERPRETATION: Using minimal spanning tree method 15 towns in Nasugbu


should be connected from B(1-3), G(3-5), E(2-5), F(3-4), L(5-8), O(8-9), K(4-7),
M(6-7) for a total of 93 kilometres. See minimal spanning tree network result and
solution step above.
MAXIMAL FLOW TECHNIQUE
Bagito is the Industrial Engineer of Sabang Water District and she is
tasked to ensure that maximum amount of water flows from Water Pump J. She
was able to determine the capacity of the outflow and inflow of water from one
pump to another in litres per second. The capacity figures are summarized in
Table 2.1.
What is the total capacity of the water flow?

TABLE 2.1
DATA TABLE

MAXIMAL FLOW TECHNIQUE


SABANG WATER
DISTRICT
A

Start
node
1

End node

Capacity

15

Reverse
capacity
9

11

13

10

16

12

16

14

12

14

11

15

13

10

50 Qualitative Technique

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TABLE 2.2
NETWORK RESULT

SABANG WATER
DISTRICT
Maximal Network
Flow
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J

MAXIMAL FLOW TECHNIQUE


Start
End
Capacity
node
node
22
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
5
5
6

2
4
3
5
4
6
6
6
7
7

15
11
10
8
16
14
12
7
9
13

Reverse
capacity

Flow

9
13
16
12
7
8
14
11
15
10

11
11
9
2
0
9
11
-9
9
13

TABLE 2.3
ITERATIONS

Iteration
1
2
3

BATANGAS WATER DISTRICT Solution


Path
Flow
Cumulative Flow
1-> 4-> 6-> 7
11
11
1-> 2-> 3-> 6-> 5-> 7
9
20
1-> 2-> 5-> 6-> 7
2
22

INTERPRETATION: Using Maximal flow technique, the total capacity of the


water flow would be 22 liters per second. See maximal flow technique network
result and iterations above.
SHORTEST ROUTE TECHNIQUE
Boy is the Electrical Engineer of Batelect and he is tasked to provide
electricity to a new Electric post I from the generator located at Electric Post A at
51 Qualitative Technique

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the minimum possible distance. He was to determine the distance in kilometres


from on electric post to another. The distance figures are summarized in Table
1.1.
What is the shortest route from Post A to Post I?
TABLE 3.1
DATA TABLE

BATELECT
Start node

End node

Distance

12

13

13

14

16

15

TABLE 3.2
NETWORK RESULT

Total distance = 36
B
E
H

BATELECT Solution
Start node End node Distance
1
3
7
3
5
13
5
7
16

Cumulative Distance
7
20
36

TABLE 3.3
MINIMUM DISTANCE MATRIX

1
2

1
0
12

2
12
0

52 Qualitative Technique

BATELECT Solution
3
4
7
13
19
8

5
20
17

6
21
33

7
36
33

Westmead International School


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3
4
5
6
7

7
13
20
21
36

19
8
17
33
33

0
20
13
14
29

20
0
9
34
25

13
9
0
27
16

14
34
27
0
15

29
25
16
15
0

INTERPRETATION: Using shortest route technique, the shortest route


from post A to Post I would be 36 kilometres. See shortest route network result
and minimum distance matrix above.

CHAPTER 8
TRANSPORTATION MODEL
The transportation model uses the principle of 'transplanting' something,
like taking a hole from one place and inserting it in another without change. First
it assumes that to disturb or change the idea being transported in any way will
damage and reduce it somehow. It also assumes that it is possible to take an
idea from one person's mind into another person's so that the two people will
then

understand

in

exactly

the

same

way.

The transportation model is a valuable tool in analyzing and modifying existing


transportation systems or the implementation of new ones. In addition, the model
is effective in determining resource allocation in existing business structures.
53 Qualitative Technique

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The model requires a few keys pieces of information, which include the following:

Origin of the supply

Destination of the supply

Unit cost to ship

The transportation model can also be used as a comparative tool providing


business decision makers with the information they need to properly balance cost
and supply. The use of this model for capacity planning is similar to the models
used

by

engineers

in

the

planning

of

waterways

and

highways.

This model will help decide what the optimal shipping plan is by determining a
minimum cost for shipping from numerous sources to numerous destinations.
This will help for comparison when identifying alternatives in terms of their impact
on the final cost for a system. The main applications of the transportation model
mention in the chapter are location decisions, production planning, capacity
planning and transhipment. Nonetheless, the major assumptions of the
transportation model are the following:
1.

Items

are

homogeneous.

2. Shipping cost per unit is the same no matter how many units are shipped.
3. Only one route is used from place of shipment to the destination.
The transportation problem involves determining a minimum-cost plan for
shipping from multiple sources to multiple destinations. A transportation model is
used to determine how to distribute supplies to various destinations while
minimizing total shipping cost. In this case, a shipping plan is produced and is not
changed unless factors such as supply, demand, or unit shipping costs change.
54 Qualitative Technique

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The variables in this model have a linear relationship and therefore, can be put
into a transportation table. The table will have a list of origins and each one's
capacity or supply quantity period. It will also show a list of destinations and their
respective demands per period. Also, it will show the unit cost of shipping goods
from each origin to each destination. Transportation costs play an important role
in location decision. The transportation problem involves finding the lowest-cost
plan for distributing stocks of goods or supplies from multiple origins to multiple
destinations that demand the goods. The transportation model can be used to
compare location alternatives in terms of their impact on the total distribution
costs for a system. It is subject to demand satisfaction at markets supply
constraints. It also determines how to allocate the supplies available from the
various factories to the warehouses that stock or demand those goods, in such a
way that total shipping cost is minimized.

Wheat is harvested in the Midwest and stored in grain elevators in three


different cities Kansas City, Omaha, and Des Moines. These grain elevators
supply three flour mills, located in Chicago, St. Louis, and Cincinnati. Grain is
shipped to the mills in railroad cars, each car capable of holding one ton of
wheat. Each grain elevator is able to supply the following number of tons of
wheat to the mills on a monthly basis.
Grain Elevator
Kansas
Omaha
Des Moines
Demand

Chicago
6
7
4
200

St. Louis
8
11
5
100

Cincinna
ti
10
11
12
300

Supply
150
175
275

MAXIMIZATION
NORTHWEST CORNER METHOD
Transportation Shipments
Optimal Profit A
B
55 Qualitative Technique

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

5925
1
2
3

150
50

100

25
275

B
-2

C
0

-4

-7

Marginal Profit
1
2
3

Final Solution Table


A
B
150
(-2)
50
100
(-4)
(-7)

1
2
3

C
(0)
75
275

Iterations
A
150
50
(-4)

1
2
3

B
(-2)
100
(-7)

C
(0)
75
275

Shipment with Profit


A
B
150/900
50/350
100/1100

1
2
3

From

To

Shipping List
Shipment

1
2
2
2
3

A
A
B
B
C

150
50
100
25
275

56 Qualitative Technique

C
25/275
275/3300

Profit per Unit


6
7
11
11
12

Shipment
Profit
900
350
1100
275
3300

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

MINIMUM COST METHOD


Transportation Shipments
Optimal Profit A
B
5925
1
150
2
50
100
3

25
275

Marginal Profit
1
2
3

B
-2

-4

-7

C
0

Final Solution Table


A
B
150
(-2)
50
100
(-4)
(-7)

1
2
3

C
(0)
75
275

Iterations
A
150
50
(-4)

1
2
3

B
(-2)
100
(-7)

C
(0)
75
275

Shipment with Profit


A
B
150/900
50/350
100/1100

1
2
3

From

To

Shipping List
Shipment

1
2
2

A
A
B

150
50
100

57 Qualitative Technique

C
25/275
275/3300

Profit per Unit


6
7
11

Shipment
Profit
900
350
1100

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

2
3

B
C

25
275

11
12

VOGELS APPROXIMATION METHOD


Transportation Shipments
Optimal Profit A
B
5925
1
125
2
75
100
3

275
3300

C
25
275

Marginal Profit
A
1
2
3

B
-2

C
0

-4

-7

Final Solution Table


A
B
125
(-2)
75
100
(-4)
(-7)

1
2
3

C
25
(0)
275

Iterations
A
125
75
(-4)

1
2
3

Shipment with Profit


A
B
125/750
75/525
100/1100

1
2
3

From

B
(-2)
100
(-7)

C
25
(0)
275

C
25/250
275/3300

To

58 Qualitative Technique

Shipping List
Shipment

Profit per Unit

Shipment
Profit

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

1
1
2
2
3

A
C
A
B
C

125
25
75
100
275

6
10
7
11
12

750
250
525
1100
3300

MINIMIZATION
NORTHWEST CORNER METHOD
Transportation Shipments
Optimal Cost A
B
4525
1
25
2
3
175
100

C
125
175

Marginal Cost
A
1
2
3

1
2
3

B
1
3

4
Final Solution Table
A
B
25
(1)
(0)
(3)
175
100

C
125
175
(4)

Iterations
Iteration 1
1
2
3
Iteration 2
1
2
3
Iteration 3
1

A
150
50
(-4)
A
150
50
(-4)
A
150

59 Qualitative Technique

B
(-2)
100
(-7)
B
(5)
(7)
100
B
(1)

C
(0)
25
275
C
(0)
125
175
C
(-4)

Westmead International School


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2
3
Iteration 4
1
2
3

(4)
50
A
25
(0)
175

(7)
100
B
(1)
(3)
100

175
125
C
125
175
(4)

Shipment with Cost


A
B
25/150

1
2
3

175/700

From

To

1
1
2
3
3

A
C
C
A
C

100/500
Shipping List
Shipment
Cost per Unit
25
125
175
175
100

MINIMUM COST METHOD


Transportation Shipments
Optimal Cost A
B
4525
1
25
2
3
175
100

60 Qualitative Technique

C
125/1250
175/1925

6
10
11
4
5

Shipment
Cost
150
1250
1925
700
500

C
125
175

Westmead International School


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Marginal Cost
A
1
2
3

1
2
3

B
1
3

4
Final Solution Table
A
B
25
(1)
(0)
(3)
175
100

C
125
175
(4)

Iterations
Iteration 1
1
2
3
Iteration 2
1
2
3

1
2
3

A
(-1)
(-1)
200
A
25
(0)
175

B
25
(2)
75
B
(1)
(3)
100

Shipment with Cost


A
B
25/150
175/700

100/500

Shipping List
61 Qualitative Technique

C
125
175
(5)
C
125
175
(4)

C
125/1250
175/1925

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

From

To

Shipment

Cost per Unit

1
1
2
3
3

A
C
C
A
B

25
125
175
175
100

6
10
11
4
5

Shipment
Cost
150
1250
1925
700
500

VOGELS APPROXIMATION METHOD

Optimal Cost4525
1
2
3

Transportation Shipments
A
B

25
175

62 Qualitative Technique

C
150
150

100

Westmead International School


School of Economics Business and Accountancy

Marginal Cost
A
0

1
2
3

B
1
3

4
Final Solution Table
A
B
(0)
(1)
25
(3)
175
100

1
2
3

C
150
150
(4)

Iterations
Iteration 1
1
2
3
Iteration 2
1
2
3

A
(4)
175
25
A
(0)
25
175

B
(5)
(3)
100
B
(1)
(3)
100

C
150
(-4)
150
C
150
150
(4)

Shipment with Cost


A
B
1
2
3

25/175
175/700

100/500

From

To

Shipping List
Shipment

1
2
2
3
3

C
A
C
A
B

150
25
150
175
100

63 Qualitative Technique

C
150/1500
150/1650

Cost per Unit


10
7
11
4
5

Shipment
Cost
1500
175
1650
700
500

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