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Chapter 6 Sections 4 To 6
Chapter 6 Sections 4 To 6
a) For each activity, complete the chart for Expected Duration using the three point
estimation formula (pg 150, 6.4.2.4).
For extra credit, for each activity,
b) calculate the standard deviation = (P-O)/6,
c) the variance = ((P-O)/6))**2 (deviation squared)
d) and the estimate range (Expected plus or minus the standard deviation)
e) Do (b), (c) and (d) for the Project (the sum of all activities)
RULE: You can never add standard deviations to get the standard deviation of the series. You
must first add the variances, and then take the square root of that value.
Activity
A
B
C
D
All
(A+B+C+D)
14
41
39
29
--
27
60
44
37
--
47
89
48
42
--
Expected
Duration
Activity
Standard
Deviation
Activity
Variance
Estimate
Range
EXERCISE 2
Draw a PDM diagram for this list of nodes:
NODE NAME
START
A
B
C
D
E
PREDECESSOR
-START
A
B
START
D
NODE NAME
F
G
H
I
END
PREDECESSOR
B
C,F
D
H
G,I
Page 2 of 10
EXERCISE 3
For this PDM,
a) Find the critical path
b) Find the duration of the critical path
c) Find the total number of paths
d) Find the duration of all non-critical paths
e) Find the float for each activity
(The activity duration is the number and the activity is the letter in each box.)
4
A
Start
5
D
1
C
3
B
2
G
End
6
F
4
E
4
H
2
I
EXERCISE 4
Draw an ADM diagram for this list of nodes:
NODE
START-1
1-2
1-4
2-3
START-5
DUMMY?
no
no
YES
YES
no
NODE
5-4
4-3
3-END
5-6
6-END
DUMMY?
no
no
no
no
no
Page 3 of 10
EXERCISE 5
For this ADM,
a) Find the critical path,
b) Find the duration of the critical path
c) Find the total number of paths
d) Find the duration of all non-critical paths
A
2 wks
B
3 wks
2
3
C
5 wks
F
1 wk
Start
E
4 wks
D
1 wk
5
End
4
G
5 wks
F
1 wk
6
EXERCISE 6
Draw an ADM diagram for this list of nodes:
ACTIVITY
START-A
START-B
A-C
B-C
B-E
ESTIMATE
3
9
3
DUMMY
2
ACTIVITY
C-D
C-E
E-END
D-END
ESTIMATE
2
1
4
2
Page 4 of 10
EXERCISE 7
For this ADM,
a) Find the critical path
b) Find the duration of the critical path
c) How many non-critical paths are there?
d) Find the duration of all non-critical paths
e) If the duration of Activity C-E changes to 2, what is the effect on the project?
f) What activity / activities must be completed before Activity C-D begins?
g) If management tells you to complete the project two weeks early, what is the project
float? Does the critical path change?
3 wks
2 wks
D
3 wks
2 wks
1 wk
End
Start
4 wks
9 wks
2 wks
EXERCISE 8
For this PDM,
a) Find all early start and early finish
b) Find all latest start and latest finish
(The activity duration is the number and the activity is the letter in each box.)
8
D
3
B
Start
3
A
4
E
End
6
C
Page 5 of 10
ANSWER QUESTION 1
D, figure out the dependencies between activities and create a network diagram because
analyzed the work means youve used decomposition and created an activity list. These are
both part of the Activity Definition process. And milestones that you need means its an input
youve seen before. So answer D describes Activity Sequencing, which happens after Activity
Definition and takes the Activity List and Milestone List as inputs.
Its not A, create the project schedule, because the Schedule Development process needs more
than an activity list and resource availability.
And not B, perform the activity definition process, since youve already done the Activity
Definition process as given in the question.
And not C, consult your project management plan to figure out how to handle any schedule
changes because you only do this during Schedule Control, but since theres no schedule yet,
theres nothing to control.
ANSWER QUESTION 2
B. Fast-tracking the project. She is starting a dependent activity before the predecessor has
finished. Fast tracking does not add cost. It adds risk.
ANSWER QUESTION 3
C. Crashing the schedule. She is bringing in more resources. Crashing always adds cost. It can
reduce but not eliminate risk.
ANSWER QUESTION 4
C. Crashing the schedule. She is bringing in more resources. Crashing always adds cost. It can
reduce risk but does not eliminate risk.
Page 6 of 10
ANSWER EXERCISE 1
Activity
14
27
47
41
60
39
29
All
e)
a) Expected
Duration
(P+4M+O)/6
28.167
b) Activity
Standard
Deviation
(P-O)/6
5.500
c) Activity
Variance
((P-O)/6))**2
30.250
89
61.667
8.000
64.000
44
48
43.833
1.500
2.250
37
42
36.500
2.167
4.694
170.167
10.060
101.194
d) Estimate
Range
22.667 to
33.667
53.667 to
69.667
42.333 to
45.333
34.333 to
38.667
160.107 to
180.226
ANSWER EXERCISE 2
See the diagram for Exercise 3. You could not know the durations from the table, but the
diagram shows the correct dependencies.
ANSWER EXERCISE 3
a) Critical Path = START D E F G END
b) Duration of Critical Path = 5 + 4 + 6 + 2 = 17
c) Total Number of Paths = 3
d) Non-critical paths and durations:
1. START A B C G END, Duration: 4 + 3 + 1 + 2 = 10
2. START D H I END, Duration: 5 + 4 + 2 = 11
e) Float:
1. D, E, F, G = float 0
2. H, I = float 6
3. A,B,C = float 7
Calculating Float:
Critical Path (longest): Duration = 17, Float is always 0 for critical path
Page 7 of 10
#2 is second longest with duration = 11. D was already counted in critical path. Float for
remaining activities = critical path duration (17) minus this path duration (11) which is 6. So
Float for H and I is 6.
#1 is third longest with duration = 10. G was already counted in critical path. Float for
remaining activities = critical path duration (17) minus this path duration (10) which is 7. So
Float for A, B and C is 7.
0
0
0
0
ANSWER EXERCISE 4
See the diagram for Exercise 5. You could not know the durations from the table, but the
diagram shows the correct dependencies.
ANSWER EXERCISE 5
a) Critical Path = START-5, 5- 4, 4-3, 3-END
b) Duration of Critical Path = 1 + 4 + 1 + 5 = 11
c) Total Number of Paths = 4
f) Non-critical paths and durations:
1. START-1, 1-2, 2-3, 3-END
Duration: 2 + 3 + (dummy) + 5 = 10
2. START-1, 1-4, 4-3, 3-END
Duration: 2 + (dummy) + 1 + 5 = 8
3. START-5, 5-6, 6-END
Duration: 1 + 5 + 1 = 7
ANSWER EXERCISE 6
See the diagram for Exercise 7. This time you should be able to put in the durations.
Page 8 of 10
ANSWER EXERCISE 7
a) The critical path is START-B, B-E, E-END
b) Duration of critical path = 9 + 2 + 4 = 15
c) Total Number of Paths = 5 (Did you find all 5?)
d) Non-critical paths and durations
a. START-A, A-C, C-D, D-END, Duration: 3 + 3 + 2 + 2 = 10
b. START-A, A-C, C-E, E-END, Duration: 3 + 3 + 1 + 4 = 11
c. START-B, B-C, C-E, E-END, Duration: 9 + (dummy) + 1 + 4 = 14
d. START-B, B-C, C-D, D-END, Duration: 9 + (dummy) + 2 + 2 = 13
e) If C-E changes from 1 to 2, the critical path(s) and durations would be:
a. START-B, B-E, E-END, Duration: 15
b. START-B, B-C, C-E, E-END, Duration: 15
Yes, you can have more than one critical path. What is the effect on the project? The
project is riskier. Always check for a second or more critical path whenever you answer a
question that changes the critical path.
f) START-A, A-C, and START-B. Remember, B-C is a dummy, not an activity.
g) The project float is -2 and the critical path would not change. The question is about
PROJECT float. Project float compares the project length to an external due date.
There is an assumption on the exam that the project was on time before any situation
described in the exam question. At that time, there was a zero project float. Asking for a
due date 2 weeks sooner makes the project two weeks late, so you now have a -2 weeks
float. Yes, you can have a negative float if the project is behind an imposed external date,
or when an activity is late, etc.
ANWER EXERCISE 8
(The activity duration is the number and the activity is the letter in each box)
-
ES |
| EF
Duration
Activity
Float
I start with 0 as the initial value from start so that
I end with the critical path value. Or you can
LS|
| LF
start with 1. Just be consistent.
3|
|6
3
B
0
3|
|6
6|
|14
8
D
0
6|
Page 9 of 10
|14
0|
|3
3
A
0
Start
0|
|3
3|
|9
14 | |18
4
E
0
14 | |18
End
6
C
5
8|
|14
Float
0
0
0
0
5
ES
Start = 0
EF(a) + F(a) = 3+0 = 3
EF(b) + F(b) = 6+0 = 6
EF(d) + F(d) = 14+0 = 14
EF(a) + F(a) = 3+0 = 3
EF
ES(a) + D(a) = 0+3 = 3
ES(b) + D(b) = 3+3 = 6
ES(d) + D(d) = 6+8 = 14
ES(e) + D(e) = 14+4 = 18
ES(c) + D(c) = 3+6 = 9
Float
0
0
0
0
5
LF
End = 18
LS(e) F(e) = 14-0 = 14
LS(d) F(d) = 6-0 = 6
LS(b) F(b) = 3-0 = 3
LS(e) F(e) = 14-0 = 14
LS
LF(e) D(e) = 18-4 = 14
LF(d) D(d) = 14-8 = 6
LF(b) D(b) = 6-3 = 3
LF(a) D(a) = 3-3 = 0
LF(c) D(c) = 14-6 = 8
Page 10 of 10