TAYLOR'S COLLEGE VT Wisdom Integrity Excellent CAMBRIDGE A LEVEL PROGRAMME, A2 TRIAL EXAMINATION MARCH/APRIL 2011 (January/March 2010 Intakes) Wednesday 30 March 2011 8.30 am - 9.45 am MATHEMATICS 9709/73 PAPER 7 Probability & Statistics 2 (S2) 1 hour 15 minutes Additional materials: Answer Booklet/Paper List of formulae (MF9) READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST Ifyou have been given an Answer Booklet, follow the instructions on the front cover of the Booklet Write your name and class on all the work you hand in. Write in dark blue or black pen on both sides of the paper. You may use a soft pencil for any diagrams or graphs. Do not use staples, paper clips, highlighters, glue or correction fluid, ‘Answer all the questions, Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place in the case of angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question. ‘At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together. The number of marks is given in brackets [J at the end of each question or part question, ‘The total marks for this paper is 50 Questions carrying smaller numbers of marks are printed earlier in the paper, and questions carrying larger numbers of marks later in the paper. ‘The use of an electronic calculator is expected, where appropriate. You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers. This document consists of 3 printed pages. © Taylor's College Subang Jaya 2011 [Turn over J1 The times taken by employees in a factory to complete a certain task have a normal distribution with mean p seconds and standard deviation seconds, both of which are unknown. Based on a random sample of 20 employees, the symmetric 95% confidence interval for pis (481, 509). Calculate a symmetric 90% confidence interval for y. The diameters, x, of 110 steel rods were measured in centimetres and the results were summarized as follows: Ex=36.5 9 Ex =12.49 (i) Find an unbiased estimator of the population mean and variance of these measurements, Gi) _ Find the probability that the mean diameter of a sample size 110 is greater than 0.345 cm. (a) Onaverage I receive 20 e-mails per (8-hour) working day. Assuming that a Poisson distribution is a valid model, find the probability that in one randomly chosen hour I receive either 4 or 5 e-mails. (>) (i) State the conditions needed to use a Poisson distribution as an approximation to a binomial distribution. (ii) 108 people each throw a pair of fair six-sided dice. Use a Poisson approximation to find the probability that at least 3 people obtain a double six, The continuous random variable X has the following probability density function: atby Osxs2 fe- { 0 Otherwise where a and b are constants. () Show that2a+2b (i) Itis given that E(X’) = —. Use this information to find a second equation 9 connecting a andb, andhence find the values of a and b, (ii) Determine whether the median of X is greater than, less than, or equal to E(X), [6] 0) GB)5 SK sugar is sold in small bags of weight S grams, where S ~ (501.8, 0.29). Itis also sold in large bags of weight L grams, where L ~ N(1005.2, 0.48 (i) Find the probability that a randomly chosen large bag weigh at least 2 gram more than two randomly chosen small bags. [5] (ii) Find the probability that a randomly chosen large bag weigh less than twice the weight of a randomly chosen small bag. (4) 6 Dinner plates of a certain design were tested for their ability to withstand being dropped from a fixed height on to a hard surface. It was found that a proportion 0.15 of the plates tested broke under this treatment, and in order to reduce this figure the manufacturing process is altered. ‘The proportion of plates that would now break under the treatment is denoted by p. It is desired to test the null hypothesis p = 0.15 against the alternative hypothesis p< 0.15, at the 5% significance level, using a random sample of size n. (Inthe case where n = 40 and one plate breaks under the treatment, carry out the test using a binomial distribution, (5) (ii) State what type of error that could oceur in part (i) and explain the meaning in this context. 2] For the case n = 80, use a normal approximation to estimate the largest number of plates which can break if the null hypothesis is rejected, (5] (iv) Justify the use of the normal approximation. i}