Cronicle Nambahin

6403
MCS3

MC 308

Semester 2, 2015 Lab Application 7

Submit on Moodle no later than 5:00pm on Friday, 11 of September 2015 . Do your work
using one or more of the following formats: (a) Excel, (b) Word, (c) Paper (d) R and pencil
with work scanned into a file.
1. Let z be a standard normal random variable. This is a tail probability question. Find
values z1 and z2 so that:
a. P(z z1) = 0.03
Negative Z-Value Table
z
.00
.01
.02
-1.8
.0359 .0351 .0344

.03
.0336

.04
.0329

.05
.0322

.06
.0314

.07
.0307

.08
.
0301

.09
.
0294

.03
.9901

.04
.9904

.05
.9906

.06
.9909

.07
.9911

.08
.
9913

.09
.
9916

z 1=1.88 0.08=1.88

b. P(z z2) = 0.01

1P=10.01=0.99
Positive Z-Value Table
z
.00
.01
.02
2.3
.9893 .9896 .9898

z 2=2.3+0.3=2.33

c. P(z z1) = P(z z2) and P(z z1) + P(z z2) = 0.04
Let P ( z z1 ) =xP ( z z 2) =x
x+ x =0.04
2 x =0.04
x=0.02
P ( z z1 ) =0.02
Negative Z-Value Table
z
.00
.01
.02
-2.0
.0228 .0222 .0217

.03
.0212

.04
.0207

.05
.0202

.06
.0197

.07
.0192

.08
.
0188

.09
.
0183

P ( z z2 ) =1P=10.02=0.98
Positive ZValueTable
z
.00
.01
.02
.03
2.0
.9772 .9778 .9783 .9788

.04
.9793

.05
.9798

.06
.9803

.07
.9808

.08
.
9812

.09
.
9817

z 1=2.0+0.05=2.05

z 2=2.0+0.06=2.06

2. Let x be a normal random variable from a normal distribution with mean = 40 and
standard deviation = 8. This is a tail probability question. Find values x1 and x2 so that:
a. P(x x1) = 0.03
z 1=1.88 Q 1(a)
x
z= 1

x 40
1.88= 1
8
15.04=x 140
15.04 +40=x 1
x 1=24.96

b. P(x x2) = 0.01

z 2=2.33 Q 1(b)
x
z 2= 2

x 240
2.33=
8
18.64=x2 40
18.64+ 40=x 2
x 2=58.6 4
c. P(x x1) = P(x x2) and P(x x1) + P(x x2) = 0.04
z 1=2.05 Q 1(c )
x
z= 1

x 40
2.05= 1
8
16.4=x 140
16.4 +40=x 1
x 1=23.6
z 2=2.06 Q1( c)
x
z 2= 2

x 40
2.06= 2
8
16.48=x 240
16.48+40=x 2
x 2=56. 48
3. Suppose that patients arrive at a medical facility in a Poisson distribution with a mean of
= 8 per hour. Find the following:
a. The mean time between successive arrivals.
The mean is 8 patients per hour.
b. The probability that exactly 4 patients arrive in the next hour.
e . x e8 8 4
(
)
P x=
=
=0.0573
x!
4!
c. The probability that the time between two successive arrivals exceeds 0.1 hour (i.e. 6
minutes).

ex dx= 8 e8 x dx
0.1

0.1

8 e8 x dx
0.1

[8 e8 x dx ] 0.1

[8 e8 x dx ] 0.1
Let u=8 x
du
=8
dx
du=8 dx
1
dx=
du
8

( )

( )

1
Now= 8 e
du
8
u

1
(
[ 8 ) e du]
8
( ) e du
[8 ]

0.1

0.1

0.1

[ e u ] 0.1

[ e8 x ] 0.1
e0.8
0.4493

d. The probability that the patient will arrive sometime between 0.1 hours and 0.2 hours
from now.
0.2

ex dx= 8 e8 x dx
0.1

0.1

0.2

8 e8 x dx
0.1

0.2

[8 e8 x dx ] 0.1
0.2

[8 e8 x dx ] 0.1
Let u=8 x
du
=8
dx
du=8 dx

dx=

(18 ) du

( )

1
Now= 8 e
du
8
u

0.2

1
(
[ 8 )e du]
8
( ) e du
[8
]
u

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.2

[ eu ] 0.1
0.2

[ e8 x ]0.1
1.6

0.8

0.2019+0.4493
0.2474

0.2
0.1