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Tabel 1.

Classification of years when El Nio or La Nia


and/or positive or negative IOD events occurred

Research Scheme

Positive

El

Variability and Impact of ENSO and


IOD on the Interannual Variations of
Precipitation in the Southern
Sumatera Region

Nio

IOD
1977,
1986,
2002,
2004

Negative
IOD

2006

NonEN/L
N

Literature Review

IOD
1976,198
2,
1987,
1991
1994,199
7

NonPos./Neg.

Data

This study will utilize


monthly precipitation
observed in six rain
gauges that manage by
the
Agency
for
Meteorology,
Climatology,
and
Geophysics (BMKG)
during January 1973December 2007.

1978,
1979,
1980,
1981
1989,
1990
1993,
2001

1992,199
6
2005

Method

2003
1973,1975
1983,
1985
1988,

1974,

Tabel 2. List of precipitation observation stations


WMO
No.
96221
96237

96249

96195
96253

96295

Station Name
SMB II
PALEMBANG
PANGKAL
PINANG
BULUH
TUMBANG
TANJUNG
PANDAN
SULTAN
THAHA
FATMAWATI
BENGKULU
RADIN INTEN ll
/BRANTI
TELUK
BETUNG

Lat

Lon

-2,9000

104,7000

-2,1667

106,133

-2,7500

107,7500

Data
Period
Jan 1973 Dec 2007
Jan 1973 Dec 2007
Jan 1983 Dec 2007

-1,6333

103,6500

-3,8833

102,333

-5,2667

105,183

Jan 1973 Dec 2007


Jan 1973Dec 2007
Jan 1976Dec 2007

Monthly Precipitation
data at

The standard normal


Homogeneity

The Buishand range

The Pettit

The testing parameters consist of


The amount of annual rainfall
The wet day counting with treshold of 1.0 mm/day

The following criterias:


1. The number of missing data is
equal or less than 5 days in a year
2. The number of available years is
equal or more than 20 years
3. The three of four homogeneity test
satisfy the data homogeneity

The Von Neumann


test

Number of the stations


that is following
criterias
Changes the following
criterias

Number of the stations


that is following criterias

Indicative to
changes in
the entire
rainfall
distributions

Related
to
extreme
rainfall

To Investigate the
extreme rainfall indices

To Investigate the trend


of amount rainfall
indices

ENSO affects on these


indices

The
significance of

The slope

Composite
analysis with t-test
statistical method

The linear

The Mann-Kendall

Results and
Analysis

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