Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • Table 1: Population of Carbon County, Utah, U.S. Census

    Uploaded by

    Syamim Sarifuddin
    21 views5 pages
    This document describes using a least squares method to fit a linear model to population data from Carbon County, Utah. It provides population data from 1900 to 2010 in a table, along with the year and calculated values for the linear model. The summary is: 1) A least squares linear model is fitted to the population data, resulting in the equation y = 12.41667 + 9.82036x. 2) The growth rate of this model is 9.82036. 3) The sum of squared errors for this model is 364268131.3. 4) The 1900 data point is identified as being most erroneous and is removed. 5) Excluding 1900, a new least squares

    Original Description:

    final year project

    Original Title

    Modeling

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Report this Document
    This document describes using a least squares method to fit a linear model to population data from Carbon County, Utah. It provides population data from 1900 to 2010 in a table, along with the year and calculated values for the linear model. The summary is: 1) A least squares linear model is fitted to the population data, resulting in the equation y = 12.41667 + 9.82036x. 2) The growth rate of this model is 9.82036. 3) The sum of squared errors for this model is 364268131.3. 4) The 1900 data point is identified as being most erroneous and is removed. 5) Excluding 1900, a new least squares

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    21 views5 pages

    Table 1: Population of Carbon County, Utah, U.S. Census

    Uploaded by

    Syamim Sarifuddin
    This document describes using a least squares method to fit a linear model to population data from Carbon County, Utah. It provides population data from 1900 to 2010 in a table, along with the year and calculated values for the linear model. The summary is: 1) A least squares linear model is fitted to the population data, resulting in the equation y = 12.41667 + 9.82036x. 2) The growth rate of this model is 9.82036. 3) The sum of squared errors for this model is 364268131.3. 4) The 1900 data point is identified as being most erroneous and is removed. 5) Excluding 1900, a new least squares

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 5

    Table 1: Population of Carbon County, Utah, U.S.

    Census

    Y = a + bx
    n = 12

    x=23460
    y =211289
    x 2=45878600

    (i)

    Find the best fit LS model?


    x

    b=

    x
    yn y

    b = 9.82036

    a=

    yb x
    n

    a = 12.41667

    y = 12.41667 + 9.82036x
    (ii)

    What is the growth rate of this model?


    =9.82036

    (iii)

    Find the sum of square error?

    Year
    (x)

    New Population
    (y)

    1900
    1910
    1920
    1930
    1940
    1950
    1960
    1970
    1980
    1990
    2000
    2010

    18671.101
    18769.304
    18867.507
    18965.711
    19063.915
    19162.119
    19260.322
    19358.526
    19456.729
    19554.933
    19653.137
    19751.340

    e =((12.41667+9.82036x)y)
    13667.101
    10145.304
    3378.507
    1167.711
    604.915
    -5738.881
    -1874.678
    3711.526
    -2722.271
    -673.067
    -768.863
    -1651.66

    e2
    186789649.7
    102927193.3
    11414309.55
    1363548.98
    365922.16
    32934755.13
    3514417.60
    13775425.25
    7410759.40
    453019.19
    591150.31
    2727980.76

    e 2=364268131. 3

    (iv)

    Which point is most likely erroneous? Remove this point and find the new least
    square best fit model and its sum of square error?
    -Year 1900 is the most erroneous, 13667.101

    Year
    (x)
    1910
    1920
    1930
    1940
    1950
    1960
    1970
    1980
    1990
    2000
    2010

    Population

    New Population

    e^2

    8624
    15489
    17798
    18459
    24901
    21135
    15647
    22179
    20228
    20422
    21403

    18227.206
    18332.402
    18437.598
    18542.794
    18647.99
    18753.186
    18858.382
    18963.578
    19068.774
    19173.97
    19279.166

    9603.206
    2843.402
    639.598
    83.794
    -6253.01
    -2381.814
    3211.382
    -3215.422
    -1159.226
    -1248.03
    -2123.834

    92221565.48
    8084934.934
    409085.6016
    7021.4344
    39100134.06
    5673037.931
    10312974.35
    10338938.64
    1343804.919
    1557578.881
    4510670.86

    Y = a + bx
    n = 11
    x

    x=2156 0 y =20628 5 x 2=4226860 0

    b=

    x
    yn y

    b = 10.5196

    a=

    yb x
    n

    a = -1865.23x

    y = 10.5196x-1865.23

    e 2=173559747. 1

    GROUP ASSIGNMENT

    MAT 530
    (INTRODUCTION TO MATHEMATICAL MODELLING)
    MADAM SYAZNI BT

    MUHAMMAD SYAMIM BIN MOHD SARIFUDDIN (2013212534)


    MUHAMMAD IZZULAZIM BIN JAMIL (2013883708)

    You might also like