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Presentation From April 10, 2007 Dinner Meeting
Presentation From April 10, 2007 Dinner Meeting
INCOSE Washington DC
Meeting Presentation
“Standard Approach to
Trade Studies”
Art Felix
Lean Six Sigma Black Belt
April 10, 2007
1 ©2006 Strategic e-Business Solutions, Inc.
Standard Approach to Trade Studies
Scott Adams
• Summary Matrix
Criteria Sub- Weighting Raw Weighted Raw Weighted Raw Weighted Raw Weighted
Criteria Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Score
Performance --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
speed 3.0
acceleration 3.0
payload 2.0
• Sensitivity Study
fuel consumption 1.0
ceiling 1.0
Reliability --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
MTBF 1.0
Safety --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Safety 1.0
Logistics --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Supply Lines 1.0
Spare Parts 1.0
Sample Summary Matrix - Used to tabulate the weighted criteria scoring for each
Viable Alternative
4
Uncertainty / Lack
of Confidence
Alternatives Alternatives 6
5 Cost Risk
Criteria Cost 2 Criteria 2 Risk –
Baseline – Benefit Baseline / Benefit
Summary Matrix chart Summary Matrix 3 chart
Optimum
Pros / Cons Pros / Cons Solution
Trade Study Subsets Trade Study Subsets
Program Development:
Requirements Design and Validation & Deployment
Definition Development Verification
wo e-p ive
eff an
s
mm lop trix
re- or r nat
ort
ns
gs
l
Re d de ary e
co ve Ma
nt eds
an mm te th
jor on lter
tio
tin
s,
da
Cr iteria tive
ma lecti te A
rk
me /Ne
igh
Su alua
en
trix ary
)
we
Cr erna
(es
ate e
se ecu
ria ,
St rpos
Ma m m
Ev
Ex
Alt
Su
ite
Pu
Alternatives a
Trade Study Team Recommendation
Alternative f Costs
grading Criteria-Baseline/Opt b
Baseline/ d
Optimum solution Risk
Trade Study
c
Assessment Priorities/Weighting
a
Team
Alternative g
Alternatives Alternative Grading d
3 scoring
Risk
Criteria Apply Mitigation e
Uncertainty
b weighting
2
f
Cost
Priorities/Weighting Uncertainty
g
c e 4 Issues / Risk Assessment
Concerns
Major
Item(s)
Action
Decision Making
Close
Authority
Item(s)
Action
Minor
Study
efforts
Gate 2(n) - Review Gate 3(n) Review
Release
Trade Study Report
- Purpose/Need (Statement) -Alternatives grades and scores - Cost-Benefit chart - Major /Minor action items
- Program Plan (Schedule, Resources) (Back-up information justifying) - Risk-Benefit chart - Updates (as required, spiral
- Trade Study Team - Uncertainty (for each criteria) - Risk Assessment development)
Products
- Alternatives (Complete =>Viable) - Apply weighting - Risk Mitigation - Trade Study Report
- Criteria (Definitions, Utility Curves)) - Costs - Issues / Concerns - add Lessons Learned
- Baseline/Optimum Solution(Definition) - Recommendation - add Action Item resolution
- Priorities/Weighting (methodology) - Summary Matrixes (Lower, Nominal
and Upper uncertainty values) - Gate 3(n) Minutes
- Gate 1 Minutes
- Gate 2(n) Minutes Trade Study process
tradable criteria 6
5
Baseline Solution
4
3
2
1
9
Criteria Scoring
8 Maximum
7 Nominal
6
5
4
Minimum
3
2
1
• Example:
(Least Desirable Quadrant)
(Acceptable Solution)
(Ideal Solution)
Alternative B
Cost
(Baseline Score)
Alternative A
Alternative D
Alternative C
Low
Benefit High
• Example:
(Least Desirable Quadrant)
Alternative B
Cost
on
Ea
sy cisi
De e
cis r dD
ion Ha
(Baseline Score)
Low
Benefit High
(Ideal Solution)
Risk Assessment 9
High
Risk 8
9
Probability
7
6
6 Alternative D
Risk
(Acceptable Solution)
3
Alternative A
2
Alternative B
1
Low
Risk 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
1
Phase I Phase II Phase III Phase IV
Initiate Trade Study Develop Summary Matrix Evaluate Results Course of Action
Cost-Benefit
Trade Study
Alternatives a
Trade Study Team Recommendation
Alternative f Costs
grading
Baseline/
3 Optimum Risk
Trade Study
solution Assessment
a
Team
Alternatives g
Risk
Apply Mitigation
b weighting
2 2
f
Cost
Uncertainty
Uncertainty g
c e 4 Issues / Risk Assessment
4
Concerns
Major
Item(s)
Action
Decision Making
Close
Authority
Item(s)
Action
Minor
Study
efforts
Gate 2(n) - Review Gate 3(n) Review
Release
Trade Study Report
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