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INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE
14.6. Taking account of developments in oil pipelines were earlier not included. This is
the first two years, the earlier projections for expected to contribute an additional
the entire Eleventh Plan period have been investment of Rs. 1,08,190 crore during the
revised and it is now estimated that the total Eleventh Plan.
investment in infrastructure in the Eleventh
Plan would be Rs. 20,54,205 crore, which is 14.8. Table 14.2 shows that starting from a
comparable to the earlier estimates. The higher base of 5.71 per cent of GDP in the
details are shown in Table 14.1. The terminal year of the Tenth Plan (2006-07), the
assumptions underlying the projections are investment in infrastructure during the
given in Annexure 1 of this Chapter. Eleventh Plan has reached 7.18 per cent of
GDP in 2008-09. This is expected to increase
14.7. The increase in investment in the first to 8.37 per cent of GDP in the terminal year of
two years of the Eleventh Plan, above the the Eleventh Plan period, which would yield
Table 14.1
Sector-wise Investments: Tenth Plan and Eleventh Plan
(Rs. crore at 2006-07 prices)
Sector Tenth Plan Eleventh Plan
Original Actual Original Revised
Projections Investments Projections Projections
Electricity (incl. NCE) 2,91,850 3,40,237 6,66,525 6,58,630
(33.49) (37.55) (30.42) (32.06)
Roads & Bridges 1,44,892 1,27,107 3,14,152 2,78,658
(16.63) (14.03) (15.28) (13.57)
levels projected earlier is due to higher levels an average of 7.55 per cent of GDP for the
of investment in oil & gas pipelines, airports Eleventh Plan as a whole. The Eleventh Plan,
and telecom. In the case of oil and gas is therefore, likely to see an increase of about
pipelines, there is a change in definition since 2.47 percentage points of GDP in the total
300 Mid-Term Appraisal of the Eleventh Five Year Plan
Table 14.2
Revised projected Investment as percentage of GDP
(Rs. crore at 2006-07 prices)
Years Tenth Plan Base year 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Total
(Actual) of XI Plan (Actual) (Actual/ (RE/BE/ (BE/ (Projected) Eleventh
(2006-07) Est.) Proj.) Projected) Plan
(Actual)
GDP at
1,78,40,877 42,83,979 47,17,187 50,03,545 53,63,800 57,92,904 63,14,265 2,71,91,700
market prices
Public
6,80,855 1,73,676 1,99,539 2,38,054 2,62,963 2,90,832 3,19,904 13,11,293
Investment
Private
2,25,220 70,819 1,04,268 1,21,138 1,39,866 1,69,227 2,08,413 7,42,912
Investment
Total
9,06,074 2,44,495 3,03,807 3,59,192 4,02,829 4,60,059 5,28,316 20,54,205
Investment
Table 14.3
Revised Projections of Investment in Infrastructure during Eleventh Plan
(Rs. crore at 2006-07 prices)
Sector X Plan XI Plan 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 XI Plan
(Actual) (Original (Actual) (Actual/ (RE/BE/ (BE/ (Proj.) (Revised
Projections) Est.) Proj.) Proj.) Projected)
Electricity 3,40,237 6,66,525 1,11,134 1,17,093 1,25,958 1,44,974 1,59,471 6,58,630
(incl. NCE)
Centre 1,02,665 2,55,316 29,386 36,769 39,528 49,900 54,890 2,10,474
(30.17) (38.31) (31.96)
States 1,00,738 2,25,697 27,252 30,109 31,193 34,313 37,744 1,60,611
(29.61) (33.86) (24.39)
Private 1,36,834 1,85,512 54,497 50,215 55,237 60,760 66,836 2,87,546
(40.22) (27.83) (43.66)
Roads & 1,27,107 3,14,152 42,741 48,108 54,638 63,183 69,988 2,78,658
Bridges
Centre 50,468 1,07,359 12,963 14,876 17,370 21,765 23,942 90,916
(39.71) (34.17) (32.63)
States 67,416 1,00,000 22,769 25,660 28,225 31,048 34,153 1,41,855
(53.04) (31.83) (50.91)
Private 9,223 1,06,792 7,009 7,572 9,043 10,370 11,893 45,887
(7.26) (33.99) (16.47)
Telecom 1,01,889 2,58,439 31,900 52,295 64,206 84,339 1,12,394 3,45,134
Centre 48,213 80,753 7,894 11,048 13,186 13,988 15,387 61,503
(47.32) (31.25) (17.82)
Private 53,676 1,77,686 24,007 41,248 51,019 70,351 97,007 2,83,631
(52.68) (68.75) (82.18)
Railways 1,02,091 2,61,808 31,182 39,095 42,830 40,875 46,820 2,00,802
(incl. MRTS)
Centre 98,914 2,01,453 29,594 35,863 39,548 36,675 40,343 1,82,024
(96.89) (76.95) (90.65)
States 2,508 10,000 1,128 2,554 2,048 2,253 2,479 10,462
(2.46) (3.82) (5.21)
Private 669 50,354 460 677 1,233 1,947 3,999 8,316
(0.66) (19.23) (4.14)
Irrigation 1,06,743 2,53,301 38,789 44,858 49,093 54,045 59,449 2,46,234
(incl. WS)
Centre 9,215 24,759 1,831 2,133 2,095 2,348 2,583 10,990
(8.63) (9.77) (4.46)
States 97,527 2,28,543 36,958 42,725 46,997 51,697 56,867 2,35,244
(91.37) (90.23) (95.54)
Water Supply 60,108 1,43,730 19,110 19,939 21,941 24,141 26,559 1,11,689
& Sanitation
Centre 20,261 42,003 7,201 7,764 8,541 9,395 10,334 43,235
(33.71) (29.22) (38.71)
States 38,830 96,306 11,845 12,094 13,303 14,633 16,096 67,971
(64.60) (67.00) (60.86)
Private 1,018 5,421 65 81 97 113 128 484
(1.69) (3.77) (0.43)
Ports 22,997 87,995 4,942 7,148 8,323 9,454 10,779 40,647
Centre 4,051 29,889 831 1,040 1,076 1,152 1,268 5,366
(17.62) (33.97) (13.20)
States 619 3,627 223 375 654 719 791 2,763
(2.69) (4.12) (6.80)
Private 18,327 54,479 3,888 5,733 6,593 7,582 8,720 32,517
(79.69) (61.91) (80.00)
Airports 6,893 30,968 6,912 7,522 7,092 7,178 7,434 36,138
Centre 3,811 9,288 1,888 2,287 2,386 2,463 2,709 11,732
(55.29) (29.99) (32.46)
States 712 50 424 525 91 100 110 1,251
(10.33) (0.16) (3.46)
Private 2,370 21,630 4,600 4,711 4,615 4,615 4,615 23,155
(34.38) (69.85) (64.07)
Storage 5,643 22,378 906 1,281 1,669 2,199 2,911 8,966
Centre 1,416 4,476 0 0 47 47 47 141
(25.09) (20.00) (1.57)
302 Mid-Term Appraisal of the Eleventh Five Year Plan
Table 14.4
Projected Investment in Infrastructure during the Twelfth Five Year Plan
(Rs. crore at 2006-07 prices)
Base Year Total
Year 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17
(2011-12) 12th Plan
GDP at market
prices (Rs. 63,14,265 68,82,549 75,01,978 81,77,156 89,13,100 97,15,280 4,11,90,064
crore)
towards improvement of the rural cent of GDP in the terminal year of the
infrastructure. Twelfth Plan, as indicated in Table 14.4.
These projections imply that investment in the
Projected Investment in the Twelfth Plan
infrastructure sector during the Twelfth Plan
would be of the order of Rs. 40,99,240 crore
14.25. The projections presented in Table or US $ 1,025 billion. At least 50 per cent of
14.4 suggest that the economy will enter the this investment would have to come from the
Twelfth Plan in a more robust condition as far private sector while public sector investment
as infrastructure is concerned. Investment in would have to increase from Rs. 13,11,293
infrastructure will be around 8.37 per cent of crore in the Eleventh Plan to about Rs.
GDP in the base year of the Twelfth Plan. 20,49,620 crore in the Twelfth Plan, at 2006-
However, the infrastructure requirements for a 07 prices. This would imply an annual
9 per cent growth in GDP will require a further increase of about 9.34 per cent in real terms.
step up in the pace of infrastructure
development during the Twelfth Plan. If GDP POLICY INITIATIVES TO PROMOTE
in the Twelfth Plan period grows at an PRIVATE PARTICIPATION
average rate of 9 per cent per annum, it
14.26. A number of initiatives were taken in
should be possible to increase the share of the course of the Eleventh Plan to accelerate
investment in infrastructure to about 10.70 per
Box 14.1
Structuring PPP Projects
PPP projects are based on long-term contracts and may involve delegation of governmental
authority such as for toll collection, besides enabling private control over monopolistic
services. The structuring of PPP contracts requires due diligence of a high order because of
the complex nature of the partnerships and the need to protect the interests of the users as
well as the exchequer. Inadequacies in the contracts/concessions can severely compromise
the public exchequer and user interests besides leading to rent seeking and exposing PPP
projects to public criticism. Badly structured contracts and inadequate regulation can often
lead to windfall gains and rent seeking by the private investors. It is, therefore, important to
ensure that PPPs are carefully structured for safeguarding user and government interests with
a view to ensuring efficient services at competitive costs.
Investment In Infrastructure 305
Box 14.2
Model Concession Agreements for PPP Projects
National Highways
State Highways
Operation & Maintenance of Highways
National Highways (Six Laning)
Urban Rail Transit Systems
Non-Metro Airports
Greenfield Airports
Port Terminals
Operation of Container Trains
Re-development of Railway Stations
Procurement-cum-Maintenance Agreement for Locomotives
Transmission of Electricity
Model Bidding Documents for PPP Projects
Model Request for Qualification (RFQ) for PPP Projects
Model Request for Proposal (RFP) for PPP Projects
Model Request for Proposal (RFP) for Selection of Technical Consultants
Model Request for Proposal (RFP) for Selection of Legal Advisers
Model Request for Proposal (RFP) for Selection of Financial Consultants & Transaction Advisers
Model Request for Proposal (RFP) for Selection of Transmission Consultants
Model Request for Proposal (RFP) for Selection of Financial Consultants and Transaction Advisers
Guidelines and Manuals
Guidelines for Financial Support to PPPs in Infrastructure (VGF Scheme)
Guidelines on Formulation, Appraisal and Approval of PPP Projects (PPPAC)
Guidelines for Establishing Joint Ventures in Infrastructure Sectors
Guidelines for Monitoring of PPP Projects
Scheme for Financing Infrastructure Projects through the India Infrastructure Finance Company Ltd.
Manual of Specifications & Standards for Two-laning of Highways
Manual of Specifications & Standards for Four-laning of Highways
Box 14.3
Reports
(A) PPP Projects in the Central Sector of Rs. 41,911 crore are currently under
implementation in the roads sector while in
14.40. In the Central sector, 65 PPP projects the ports sector, 13 projects involving an
involving an investment of Rs. 25,343 crore investment of Rs. 10,509 crore are currently
have been completed up to December 2009. under implementation. The airports at Delhi
As many as 83 PPP projects with an and Mumbai are being upgraded with an
investment of Rs. 75,914 crore are currently investment of Rs. 18,777 crore. In railways,
under implementation and another 160 PPP private entities are investing Rs. 2,387 crore
projects with an estimated investment of Rs. in rolling stock for container trains and two
1,84,807 crore are in the pipeline. loco factories are also being set up with an
investment of Rs. 1,500 crore. Port
Table 14.5
Status of PPP Projects
S. Sector Completed Projects under Projects in Pipeline Total
No. Projects Implementation
No. of Project No. of Project No. of Project No. of Project
Projects Cost Projects Cost Projects Cost Projects Cost
(Rs. (Rs. crore) (Rs. (Rs.
crore) crore) crore)
(A) Central Sector
1 National 39 13,698 64 41,911 81 76,341 184 1,31,950
Highways
2 Major Ports 23 5,762 13 10,509 29 18,466 65 34,737
3 Airports 3 5,883 2 18,777 5 24,660
4 Railways 4 4,717 50 90,000 54 94,291
Total (A) 65 25,343 83 75,914 160 1,84,807 308 286,064
PPP mode at an estimated cost of Rs. 90,000 crisis, the performance of the infrastructure
crore. sector has shown the resilience of the
economy and its capacity to shield itself from
such external influences. Although the
(B) Status of PPP Projects in the State
projections for the Eleventh Plan have been
Sector
downsized for some sectors keeping in mind
14.44. The State Governments are the targets achieved in the first two years of
implementing several infrastructure projects the Plan, however, it is expected that with the
through the PPP mode in different sectors. revival of the economy and the upbeat
Information received from States and Union investment sentiment prevailing, the actual
Territories includes 176 completed PPP performance may turn out to be better than
projects in different sectors with a total the revised projections of the Eleventh Plan
investment of Rs. 41,169 crore while 209 PPP contained in this Chapter.
projects are currently under implementation
with an estimated investment of Rs. 1,64,126 Box 14.4
Some Illustrative PPP Projects
crore. In addition, 244 PPP projects are in the
pipeline involving an estimated investment of 1. Bangalore International Airport, Karnataka
Rs. 1,91,622 crore.
2. Rajiv Gandhi International Airport, Hyderabad
Completed Projects
3. Indira Gandhi International Airport, New Delhi
14.45. Ninety Six road projects with an 4.
investment of Rs. 6,382 crore and 20 non- Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport, Mumbai
major ports with an investment of Rs. 19,704 5. 6 Laning of Jaipur – Kishangarh National
Highway
crore have been completed through PPP in
the state sector. 51 urban infrastructure 6. 8/6 Laning of Delhi – Gurgaon Expressway
projects have been executed through the PPP
7. Hyderabad - Vijaywada National Highway
mode involving an investment of Rs. 5,992
crore. The largest number of projects has 8. Offshore Container Berths, Mumbai Harbour
been completed in the roads sector followed Deep Draft Iron Ore Berth, Paradip Port
9.
by urban infrastructure projects.
10. Mega Container Terminal, Chennai
Projects under implementation
11. Multi-purpose Cargo Berths, Kandla
14.46. In the roads sector, 69 projects with 12. Hyderabad Metro Rail Project, Hyderabad
an investment of Rs. 60,864 crore and in non-
major ports, 37 projects with an investment of 13. Colaba Bandra Metro Corridor Line-III, Mumbai
Rs. 51,549 crore are under implementation.
14. Jhajjar Power Transmission Project, Haryana
Sixty nine urban infrastructure projects with
an investment of Rs. 18,690 crore are also 15. Mundra Port, Gujarat
currently under implementation.
16. Pipavav Port, Gujarat
Projects in pipeline 17. Gangavaram Port, Andhra Pradesh
14.47. Eigthy Six PPP projects in the road 18. Krishnapuram Port, Andhra Pradesh
sector envisaging an investment of Rs.
39,481 crore are in the pipeline. Another 18 19. Vadodara-Bharuch State Highway, Gujarat
PPP projects with an estimated investment of 20. Indore-Edelabad State Highway, Madhya
Rs. 17,436 crore in non-major ports and 65 Pradesh
PPP projects in urban infrastructure sector 21. Yedshi – Latur –Nanded State Highway,
envisaging an investment of Rs. 45,708 crore Maharashtra
are also in the pipeline. 22. Jaipur-Bhilwara State Highway, Rajasthan
14.48. An illustrative list of some of the PPP
23. Delhi Western Peripheral Expressway (KMP
projects in the Central and State sector is Expressway), Haryana
given in Box 14.4.
24. Bridge across River Godavari between Yanam -
Edurulanka, Andhra Pradesh
Way Forward
14.49 Against the backdrop of the financial
310 Mid-Term Appraisal of the Eleventh Five Year Plan
Annexure -1
1. In making the projections for the been assumed over the 2009-10 data as
Central sector, RE figures for the year 2009- some of the PPP projects have been
10 and BE figures for 2010-11 have been completed and no new projects have been
adopted and thereafter, a growth rate of 10 awarded.
per cent has been assumed for the terminal
4. In the case of oil & gas pipelines, the
year of the Plan. For the State sector, the
data relating to private investment has been
actual expenditure for 2008-09 has been
provided by the Ministry of Petroleum and
taken into account and an annual growth
Natural Gas for 2008-09 and 2009-10 only.
rate of 10 per cent over the 2009-10 BE data
Investment in the year 2009-10 is higher by
has been assumed for making projections
about 15 per cent as compared to the
for the subsequent years of the Eleventh
investment in 2008-09. Estimated
Plan.
investment in the remaining two years of the
2. For making projections for the private Plan has been assumed by projecting an
sector, actual GCF data has been taken annual increase of 15 per cent. Similarly, the
from CSO with regard to electricity, telecom investment in 2007-08 has been estimated
and storage sectors for the period from by reducing the investment by a
2002-03 to 2008-09. While projections with corresponding rate. Private sector
regard to the telecom and storage sectors projections for water supply and sanitation
for the years 2009-10 onwards are based on during the Eleventh Plan are based on the
log linear method using the time series data total estimated investment indicated by the
of past five years, projections in electricity Ministry of Urban Development, which has
sector are based on an anticipated growth been suitably phased out over the Plan
rate of 10 per cent per annum over the 2008- period.
09 data to reflect the current pace of
5. In case of storage, due to negative
accelerated capacity addition.
gross capital formation of public sector in the
3. For making projections of private years 2007-08 and 2008-09, the data has
investment in roads, railways, ports and been taken as zero and projections for the
airports, the time series data from 2002-03 remaining three years have been retained at
to 2008-09 has been provided by the the level of 2006-07. Public sector GCF for
respective ministries. Projections in roads Centre and States has been assumed in the
and ports for the years 2009-10 onwards are ratio of 40:60.
based on a growth rate of 15 per cent per
6. The investment data for various
annum over 2008-09 in view of the
infrastructure sectors will be updated on a
accelerated programmes in these sectors.
regular basis in consultation with the CSO
Projections in railways from 2009-10
and the respective infrastructure Ministries.
onwards are based on the log linear method
using a time series of the past five years. In
airports, no growth in private investment has
.