A Pew poll shows income, age and experience alter chances of wedded bliss. Prince William's engagement to Catherine Middleton reflects changes in marriage. College graduates are far more likely to marry (64%) than those with no higher education.
A Pew poll shows income, age and experience alter chances of wedded bliss. Prince William's engagement to Catherine Middleton reflects changes in marriage. College graduates are far more likely to marry (64%) than those with no higher education.
A Pew poll shows income, age and experience alter chances of wedded bliss. Prince William's engagement to Catherine Middleton reflects changes in marriage. College graduates are far more likely to marry (64%) than those with no higher education.
Marriage:
What’s it
The state of our
unions is shifting in
unexpected ways.
A Time/Pew special
report shows how
income, age and
experience alter our
chances of wedded bliss
BY BELINDA LUSCOMBE
tury, in 198t, celebrated amar
riage that turned out to be a
hhuge bust. It ended as badly
asa relationship can: scandal,
divorce and, ultimately, death and world:
wide weeping.
So when the firstborn son of that
union, Britain’s Prince William, set in
motion the wedding of this century by
getting engaged to Catherine Middleton,
hedid thingsallittledifferently. He picked
someone older than he i (by sixmonths),
who went to the same university he did
and whom hed dated for a long time. Al-
though sheisnot ofroyal blood, shestands
‘to become the first English Queen with a
university degree, so in one fundamental
‘way, theirsisa union ofequals.In thatre-
gard, the new couple reflect the changes
in the shape and nature of marriage that
have been rippling throughout the West
em world for the past few decades
In fact, statistically speaking, a young
‘man of William’s age—-if not his royal
English heritage—might be just as likely
not to get married, yet. In 1960, the year
before Princess Diana, Williams mother,
‘was bor, nearly 70% of American adults
‘were married; now only about half are.
Bight times as many children are born
out of wedlock. Back then, two-thirds ofGood For?
20-somethings were married: in 2008 just
ao were, And college graduates are now
farmore likely so mary (6) than those
‘with no higher education (48%)
‘When an institution so central tou
rman experience suddenly changes shape
in the space of a generation or two, i's
‘worth trying to figure out why. This fall
‘the Pew Research Center, in association
‘with Tiss, conducted a nationwide poll
exploring the contours of madera mar
riage and the new American family, pos
ing questions about what people want
and expect out of marriage and family
life, why they enter into committed rela
‘ionshipsand what they gain from them,
‘WhatWeroundis that marriage, whatever
its social, spiritual or symbolic appeal, is
in purely practical terms just not as nec
essary a5 It used to be. Neither men nor
women need to be married to have sex or
companionship or professional success oF
respect or even children—yet marriage
remains revered and desired
‘Andfall the transformations ourfam-
ily structures have undergone in the past
50 years, perhaps the mest profound is
‘the marrage differential that has opened
between the rich and the poot. In x96
the median household income of married
adults was 22% higher than that of single
adults, after adjusting for household size,
By 2ooBthisgaphadgrownto 41%. Inotber
‘words, the richer and more educated you
are, the morelikely you are to marry, or 10
be married—or, conversely, if you're mar.
ted, you're more likely tobe well off
The question of why the wealth dispar
fay berweon the married and the wnmar
‘ied has grown so much istelated to other,
broader issues about marriage: whom ft
best serves, how it relates to parenting and
family life and how its voluntary nature
changes soialstructures,
The Marrying Kind
1N 1978, WHEN Ta DIVORCE RATE WAS
much higher than itis today, a Time poll
asked Americansifthey thoughtmarriage
Photograph by Horacio Salas for TIMEwas becoming obsolete. Twenty-eight
percent did.
Since then, we'vewatched that famous
royal marriage and the arrival of Divorce
‘Court. We'vetuned into Family Ties (aucle
arfamily with threekids) and Modern Bamn-
ily (ouclear family with three kids, plus
gay uncles with an adopted Vietnamese
baby and a grandfather witha Colombian
second wile and dorky stepchild) We've
spent time with Willand Grace,who ick
credlikespousesbutweren’, andwith the
starsof Newlyweds NGk6 festea who were
spouses, bickered and then weren't any-
‘more. We'veseen some politcal marriages
survive unexpectedly (Bill and Hillary
(Clinton) and others unpredictably falter
(Aland Tipper Gore),
Weve sen these ofa sso billion-pius
‘wedding industry, flames fanned by dating
sites, and reality shows playing the soul-
‘mate game—alongside the rise of the pre-
‘up the postaupand,mostrecently, divorce
insurance. Wecareaboutmarziagesomuch
that one ofthe fiercest political and legal
fights in years is being waged over whom,
‘thestate permitstogetmarred: We'veseen.
former head of states child (Chelsea Clin
ton) marry after living with her boyfriend
and potential head of state's child (Bristol
Palin) haveachild before leaving home.
So,as we circle Back around to witness
another royal engagement, where are We
fon the marriage question? Less wedded
to it. The Pew survey reveals that nearly
40% of us think marriage is obsolete, This
doesn’ mean, though, that were pessimis-
ticabout the future ofthe American fam-
ily; we have more faith inthe family than.
‘we do inthe nation’s education system or
itseconomy: Were just moreflexibleabout
‘how family gets defined.
Even more surprising: overwhelm.
ingly, Americans stll venerate marriage
enough to want to tryit- About 70% of us
havebeen marriedat lastonce, according
tothe 2010Census,The Pew pollfaundthat
although 44% of Americans under 30 be
lieve marriage is heading for extinction,
only $3 of those in that age group do not
‘want o get married Sociologists note that
Americans have a rte of marriage—and
of remarriage—among the highest in the
‘Western world. (In between isa divorce
in the European Union) We spill copi-
‘ous amounts of ink and spend copious
amounts of money being anxious about
‘marriage, both collectively and individu.
50
ally. We view the state of ourfamiliesasa
symbol ofthe state of our nation, and we
{eat marriage asa personal project, some
‘hing we work at and try to perfec. "Get
ting married isa way to show family and
iends that youhaveasuccessfal personal
life” says Andrew Cherlin, a sociologist at
Johns Hopkins University and the author
‘of The Marriage Go Round The Stat of Mar
age and the Family in America Tada. “1's
Tike theultimate meritbadge”
‘But marriage is no langer obligatory
‘or even—in certain cases—helpful, then
‘whatisitfor'simpossibletoaddress that
uestion without fistanswering another:
Whois marriage for?
The New Marriage Gap
TO BEGIN TO ANSWER THAT QUESTION, 1r
right be useful to tae look atthe brief
Dut illustrative marriage of golfer Greg
Norman and tennis star Chris Evert,
‘who married in june 2008 and divorced
435 months later. From all reports, their
union had many ofthe classi hallmarks
of modem partnerships, The bride and
‘groom had roughly equal sucess in their
Careers. Being wealthy, sporty and blond,
‘they had similar interests. She was older
than he, and they'd had other relation-
ships before, held had two previous
spouses and he one) Plus, they known,
each other a while since Evert's newly
‘minted exhushand, Andy Mill, was Nor
‘manis bestfriend.
"Apart from the interest the union gen.
crated in the tabloids, this istypical ofthe
‘way many marriages start. Modern brides
and grooms tend to be older and more
similar. In particular, Americans are in
creasingly marrying people who are on
the same Socioeconomic and educational
level. Fifty years ago, doctors commonly
proposed to nurses and businessmen 10
‘Getting married is a
way to show family
and friends that you
have a successful
personal life. It’s
like the ultimate
merit badge.’
their secretaries. Even 25 years ago, a pro-
fessional golfer might matey, say, a fight
atindant Now doctorstendto cleaveunto
‘other doctors, and executives hope 1 be
partofapower couple.
“The change is mostly = numbers game,
Since more Women than men have grad
ated from college for several decades, t's
‘more likely than it used tobe that a male
college graduate will meet, fall in love
with, wedandsharethesalary ofa woman.
with a degeee. Women's advances in ed
cation haveroughy paralleled the growth,
tf the knowledge economy, so the slic of
the family bacon she brings home will be
substantial
‘Women’srisingearningpower doesn't
affect simply who cooks that bacon, al
though the reapportioning of household
Inborssasignificantissueand means mar-
ried people need deft negotiation skill
‘Wellaff women don't need to stay ina
‘marriage that doesnt make them happy:
‘tworthirds of al divorces its estimated,
are initiated by wives. And not just the
Sandra Bullock types who have been
‘reatedshabbilyand havemanyatherfsh
‘on their line but also Tippee Gore types
‘whose kids haveleft home and who don't
necessarily expect to remarry but are
putting on theie walking boots anyway
‘Thechangescan beseen in moresubtle
waystoo, New York Univesitysocologist
Dalton Conley notes that between 1986
and 2003, the most recent year for which
Figures ave availabe, the proportion of
‘marriages in which the woman was tall:
erthan the man increased by more than.
10% “In absolute terms, its tila small
‘minority of marriages” he says, “But 1
think the endsignalsanincredibleshift
in marital and gender norms. There has
also been a sharp uptick in the percent:
‘ageofmartiagesinwhich the wie solder,
‘Signifying, Conley beliovesawholedifer
‘entunderstanding oftherolesofmen and
‘women in the union
‘Despite the complications that have en
sued from this marta restructuring iS
natlikelytobeunone. Inthe 978pallew-
erthanhalfofallzespondentsthought that
thebest kind of mariage wasonein which
both the husbandand the wifeworkedout-
side ive home. Inthe new Pew poll, 63% do.
Pethaps chats not surprising given these
parallel data in 970, 40% of Wives worked
Outside thehome, Now 61% do.
So fundamental isthe shift that it be-
ginning to havean impact on what peopleTIME / Pew Research Center Poll. 4 nation weighs in on
the ideals, expectations and realities of contemporary marriage
Do you think itis easier to... Is marriage
becoming
ror Ear Bees,
engepere area Peps
mosis
AS
eo =
62%
11% EST 35%
5% BEN 20%
Do you want to get married?
Pecos cf armies poole who elses
2Q@es = es
: = >a a
uma aa.
aa ee ey ase
41%
Pas ‘ALL oROOS
a : 39%
i 36% —
2 32%
yeti raed
Eoeectescarcotite 31%
pores ae
43% 20%
‘Mustations by Peter Arle for TREook for in spouses. While two thirds of
all people think a man should be a good
prosider, more men than wemendo, Mean-
While alimosta third people thinkit’sim-
‘portant fora wife tobea good provider oo.
‘Onthefaceof it, thismight explain why
{ewerpeopleare married. They wanttofin
{sh college ist. In 2010 the median age of
‘men getting hitched for the frst time is
282, and for women its 26x. I's gone up
bouta year every decadesincethe'6os
But here's the rub. In the past two
decades, people with only a high schoo!
education started to get married even
Jater than college graduates. In r9g0more
high-school educated couplesthancollege
traduates had made it to the altar by ge
30.By2007 it was the other way around.
‘What has brought about the switch?
les not any disparity in desire. According
tothePewsurvey, «6% of college graduates
‘want to get marsied, and 448% ofthe less
educated do. “Fifty years agp if you were
high schoal dropout (rif you were aco:
lege graduate ora doctor marrage probably
‘meant more or less the same thing,” says
Conley. “Now its very different depending
here you are in society.” Getting marred
isan important part of college graduates
plans for their future. For the less well
educated, he says is often the only plan.
Promising publicly to be someone's
partner for life used vo be something
people did to lay the foundation of their
independent life was the demarcation
‘ofadulthood, Now t'smore of finishing
‘ouch, the ast riekin the edifice, sacolo
aistsbelieve.“Marriageis the capstonefor
both thecollege educated and he less well
educated,” says johns Hopkins’ Cherlin,
“The college educated wait until they're
nished with theireducationand their ea
reersare launched, The ess educated wait
until they feel comfortable financially”
But that comfort keeps getting more
elusive. "The loss of decent paying jobs
‘that ahigh-schoo! educated man or wom.
aan could get makes it difficult for them
‘togetand stay married" says Cherlin. As
the knowledge economy has overtaken
the manufacturing economy, couples in
which both partners ob opportunitiesare
Aisappearingare doubly disadvantaged. So
they wait to get married. But they don't
-waitto set pphouse
‘All this might explain why there was
«213% increase n couples living together
from 2009 to 2010. Census researchers
‘were so surprised at the jump that they
double-checked their data, Eventually
they attributed the sharp increase to the
recession: these newly formed couples
‘were les likely tohavejobs.
So, people are living together because
theydonthave enough money olivealone,
but they arent going to get married until
they have enough money. That's the catch.
Infact, the es education and income peo.
ple have, the Few survey found the more
‘ikely they are to say that to be ready for
‘marriage, aspouse needs to bea provider.
Cohabitation is on the rise not just
‘because ofthe economy. Its so common:
place these days that less than half the
country thinks living together isa bad
‘des. Couples whomoveln together before
‘Amarriage gap
and a socioeconomic
gap have been
growing side by side
for the past half-
century, and each
may be feeding off
the other.’
Srins/rew stumy
‘marrying don’ divorce any less often, say
stacies although that mightchangeasthe
practice becomes morewilesread Inany
{ase,academicanalysisdoesntseemato be
ascompellingtomostpeopleastheexam.
Dlesetby Angelina Joie and Bad Pitt Or
splitting herent.
‘ut colabitation among the econom
cally blesedisa whole ferent tall game
than itis among the strugling for most
college educated couples, tivingogetheris
likea warmuprunbeforethemartal mar
athon. They work out afew ofthe kinks
5nd do abit of house taining and events
allygetmazredand have kids Those with
Out a college degree says Chedi, tend 10
doit the other way around—move in to
{ether have kids and then aim forthe a.
{ar Andhildren,asBestl Palin and Levi
Johoston discovered change everything
The Kids May Not Be All Right
{ween what Americans believe to be the
Dest thing for society and what actually
hhappensthanin hebearing and vaising of
chile. alforenoreoftherspondensin
‘heFexpolsaythatmarialstatsisiee-
vantioaehiering respect happiness career
foals, fancial security or fulilting sex
fe When tcomestorasing is, thogh,
its a landslide, with more than three
quarters saying she done marred.
Yet very few people say children are
themost important reason ge itched.
Inded 1 Svorbabies nerebornoxnmar
ried mms in 008, ghd increase
fromsoyearsogo and35% eis ivedina
single parenthonne almost iplethenar-
berfrom ogo, Contrary tothe stcreotype,
sttaros ot hat most ofthe infants horn
totenmaeried mothers ate notte prauct
of eaveal sexual encounters. One of the
‘mostextesiectabaseson skids the
Fragile Faies nd Child Welling Study
joint project of Princeton ane Columbia
“universities, which has been following
$00 chilien from birth to age, found
thatmore than half mmarreg pr
{ntswerelivingtogetherst etme their
hild as horn and 30% of them were
romantically involved (bat ving apart
‘Most of those umwved mothers sald
{heir chances of mareying the Babys
{her were sot or greater, tater Ave
$year omly 16% ofthem had done so and
nly about 20% ofthe couples were tl
Eohabiting, This did't mean thatthe
childcen did't lve with = man, how
‘ver sinceabouts quarterofthelrimoms
‘rerenow lvingwithormarieétoaney
partner That doesnt alvaysworkoutas
Wella it seems so i Norm Fy oF
hie 6 Fork Ofsprng from eal
Intonshipsput pressureannew ones Por
the east wealthy children, Mom's new
boyfriend olen mesns thei biological
fathers ess ely tvs sr es ke
Jy to support thefr mother Many step
‘tenis are wonderful and commited,
bata series of live sn lovers is nota all
thesame thing “About 5 of American
shilrenwillse atleast twolive in part.
netsoftheirmothersy the time theyre
TP saysCherlin. “And national 6
willsee hee or more
‘Would marrage ely top the convey
ox elt of parent figures? "Marriages stil
the way Americans tend odo longterm,
Stale partnershipa” says Chenin. "We
‘have the shores eobaitng reitionships
of any wealthy country inthe world. a
Some Fropean cures, we see couples
‘who live together for decades” To this dy,
only SsofAmericnchilérenhavepaents
3Fewer U.S. adults are married...
“gy
Moro wives are werking
a ‘Sie of tne average
hovshold fr snaking
hhh 33
oft 2.6
pees ey ala
23%
. ats gp 20a ode
aaa 14% coming
and more kids are born to unmarried women
78 imernenonl
oy comparison sar
om 22%
53%
* 2s ket I
wom A 48% om ee Tey an Sten
By 29%
Petcntags of hdr
% I with mara parents
Sars 87% 64%
who live together without being martied,
Cohabitation seems to have no nega.
tive effect on a marriage’s chances if its
preceded by an engagement, no previous
livein lovers and no children. Who has
the clout to put those conditions into
place? Women with their own means
of support and guys who don't need a
‘woman to look after them: the wealthy
and well educated. The others often are
left in limbo not able to get married
and not able to move on “Ironically, the
‘very people who would benefit from a
committed marriage the most are the
people who have the toughest time lo-
tating reliable long term partners; says
Stephanie Coontz, a marriage historian.
‘who teaches at Evergreen State College
in Olympia, Wash,
‘TheD Word
life isa different experience forthose with
college education and those without one,
Professional occupations are much more
likely tooffer provisions forparentalleave,
‘heabilty to work from home and flexible
‘hours. Wealthy people can outsource the
‘more onerous or dreary or time sucking
tasks that couples fight over. And the
college educated tend to have picked up
‘more conflict zesolution and negotiation
slaills along the way. Their marriage sin
ulated fromsome othe stresses of alan
‘ng work and amily A sickehild throwsa
zmuch bigger weench into the machinery
ofa factory orretal orservice worker’ life.
‘In recent years, the overall rate of di
voree has plateaued somewhat, and lev.
ing a spouse is on the dectine among
college graduates. But that drop is being
offset by ariseinsplitsamong thoseat the
lowerendofthesocioeconomicspectrum,
the people least able to afford to divorce,
so the rate stil high. Says Cheslin:“One
statisicIsaw when writing my book that
‘gored me was that achildliving together
with unmarried parents in Sweden has a
lower chance that his family will disrupt
than docsa child living with martied par_
entsintheUS”
seems thatthe 2sstcentury marriage,
‘with its emphasis on a match of equals,
has brought about a surge in inequality,
WS easier for the colleye-educated, with
‘their dominance ofthe knowledge econ-
‘omy, to get married and stay married,
‘The less well off delay marziage because
their circumstances feel so tenuous,then often have kids, which makes mar
ying even harder. “A marriage gap and
a socioeconomic gap have been growing
side by side forthe past half century," the
Pew study's author’ note, “and each may
be feeding off the other” But because its
uunclear whether the burdens of poverty
are making people’ relationships less
permanent or people’ impermanent re
lationships are worsening their poverty,
‘thesolution isnot obvious,
What to De About! Do
drat: nowhecoming morelike West Poin,
sxmitting only the elite and sending the
‘othersoffto the front line? Depends whom
youask."Thebasisofmarrage changedin
56
thelast century says Seth Eisenberg, pres
‘dent and CEO of the PAIRS Foundation,
‘one of the biggest relationship education
‘operations in the country. “But very
few couples have had a chance to lear
really what ate the new rules of love and
Jntimacy—not because the rules are so
difficult to learn just because no one told
them. Tointerpretthatas meaningthere's
something broken about the institution
of marriage itself wouldbeahorzible, hor
ible mistake
Marriage educators’ solution is to
bolster marriage, to teach people how to
better communicate with their spouses.
While they believe their techniques
could work with any couple, they'e big
advocates of the legal union, Marriage is
like glue, says Bisenberg. You can build
something withit-Livingtogetheris ike
Velcro, “The commitment of marriage
gives people the opportunity to grow and
‘thrivein waysthat otherrelationshipsdo
nol” he says Ei
Sociologists tend obelievetheanswers
lie outside marriage. Coonte thinks that
iff we changed our assumptions about al
‘etnative family arrangements and our
respect for them, people would be more
responsible about them. "We haven't
raised our expectations of how unmar
ed parents will react to each other. We
haven't raised our expectations of divorce
‘orsinglehood," she says. "Ir should not be
that within marziage youoweeverything
and without marriage you don't owe any
thing. When weespectresponsiblebehay
fo outsice as well as inside marriage, we
actually reduce the temptation toevade or
scape marriage”
Asan exampl
Fox reality show 7
which couples who were living together
were invited to a desert island to see if
they could be lured into cheating. “They
found one couple was married, and with
2 great show af indignation, they threw
‘them off the sland.” says Coontz, “In my
point of view,itsjustas immoral to break
lup a committed cohabiting relationship
asitisa marriage”
Could living together become re: |
spected and widespread enough that it
challenged the favored-nation state of
marriage? The American Law Institute
thas recommended extending some ofthe
rights spouses have to cohabiting part
ners. But cohabitation has not yet proved
to bea robust enough substitute for most |=
Americans to believe they can build a
familyonit. Andasa successful marriage
inexeasingly becomes the relationship
equivalent ofaluxury yacht—hardtoget,
laborious to maintain but a better vessel
to be.on when there ae storms at sea—
its status is unlikely to drop. Asitstands,
the way America marries is making the
American Dream unreachable for many
ofits people. Yet marriage is still the best |!
avenue most peoplehaveformakingtheir |i
Atreams come true
Prince William govehisintended bride
Diana’ engagement ring. He wanted his
mother to have apart in the day, he sad, |
And despitehow hisparents’martiagefal- |
tered, notall the ld traditions of marriage
are obsolete .
"rate: Noveniberay, 2010