You are on page 1of 15

Lecture The Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans Model

1. Assumptions
Firms
Households
2. The Behaviour of the Households and Firms
Household’s Budget Constraint
Household’s Maximisation Problem
Household Behaviour
3. The Dynamics of the Economy
The Dynamics of c
The Dynamics of k
Phase Diagram
The Initial Value of c
4. Welfare
5. The Effects of a Fall in the Discount Rate
Qualitative Effects
The Rate of Adjustment and the Slope of the Saddle Path
6. The Effects of Government Purchases
Adding Government to the Model
The Effects of Permanent Government Purchases

1. Assumptions

Firms

• There are a large number of identical firms. Each has access to the production function
Y = F ( K , AL) , which satisfies the same assumptions as the Solow Model.
• The firms hire workers and rent capital in competitive factor markets, and sell their
output in a competitive output market.
• Firms take A as given; as in Solow model. A grows exogenously as rate g.
• The firms maximise profits. They are owned by the households, as any profits they earn
accrue to the households.

Households

• There are also a large number of identical households.


• The size of each household grows at rate n.
• Each member of the household supplies 1 unit of labour at every point in time.
• In addition, the household rents whatever capital it owns to firms. It has initial capital
holdings of K(0)/H, where K(0) is the initial amount of capital in the economy and H is
the number of households.
• We assume that there is no depreciation.
• The household divides its income (from the labour and capital it supplies and, potentially,
from the profits it receives from firms) at each point in time between consumption and
saving so as to maximise its lifetime utility.

1
The household’s utility function takes the form

∞ L(t )
(1.1) U = ∫ e − ρ t u (C (t )) dt
t =0 H

C (t ) is the consumption of each member of the household at time t .


u (•) is the instantaneous utility function, which gives each member’s utility at a given date.
L (t ) is the total population of the economy.
L (t ) /H is therefore the number of members of the household.
Thus u (C (t )) L (t ) /H is the household’s total instantaneous utility at t.
ρ is the discount rate; the greater is ρ , the less the household values future consumption
relative to current consumption.

The instantaneous utility function takes the form

C (t )1−θ
(1.2) u (C (t )) = , θ > 0, ρ − n − (1 − θ ) g > 0
1−θ

This functional form is needed for the economy to converge to a balanced growth path. It is
known as a constant-relative-risk-aversion (or CRRA) utility. The reason for the name is that the
coefficient of relative risk aversion (which is defined as −Cu ′′(C ) / u ′(C ) ) for this utility function
is θ , and thus is independent of C.

Since there is no uncertainty in this model, the household’s attitude toward risk is not
directly relevant. But θ also determines the household’s willingness to shift consumption
between different periods: the smaller is θ , the more slowly marginal utility falls as
consumption rises, and so the more willing the household is to allow its consumption to vary
over time. If θ is close to zero, for example, utility is almost linear in C, and so the household is
willing to accept large swings in its consumption to take advantage of small difference between
its discount rate and the rate of return it gets on its saving. Specifically, one can show that the
elasticity of substitution between consumption at any two points in time is 1/ θ .
Three additional features on the instantaneous utility function are worth mentioning.
First, C 1−θ is increasing in C if θ < 1 but decreasing if θ > 1 ; dividing C 1−θ by 1 − θ thus ensures
that the marginal utility of consumption is positive regardless of the value of θ . Second, in the
special case of θ → 1 , the instantaneous utility function simplifies to ln C ; this is often a useful
case to consider. And third, the assumption that ρ − n − (1 − θ ) g > 0 ensures that lifetime utility
does not diverge: if this condition does not hold, the household can attain lifetime utility, and its
maximisation problem does not have a well-defined solution.

2. The Behaviour of Haouseholds and Firms

Firms

Firms behave relatively simple. At each point in time they employ the stocks of labour and
capital, pay them their marginal products, and sell the resulting output. Because the production
function has constant returns and the economy is competitive, firms earn zero profits.
As described in Solow Model, the marginal product of capital, dF ( K , AL) / dK , is f ′( k ),
where f (•) is the intensive form of the production function. Because markets are competitive,

2
capital earns its marginal product. And because there is no depreciation, the real rate of return on
capital equals its earnings per unit time. Thus the real interest rate at time t is

(1.3) r (t ) = f ′( k (t ))

Labour’s marginal product of labour is dF ( K , AL) / dL , which equals AdF ( K , AL ) / dAL . In


terms of f (•) , this is A [ f (k ) − kf ′(k )] . Thus the real wage at t is

(1.4) W (t ) = A(t ) [ f (k (t )) − k (t ) f ′(k (t ))]

The wage per unit of effective labour is therefore

(1.5) w(t ) = f ( k (t )) − k (t ) f ′( k (t ))

Household’s Budget Constraint

• The representative household takes paths of r and w as given.


• Its budget constraint is that the present value of its lifetime consumption cannot exceed
its initial wealth plus the present value of its lifetime labour income.
• To write the budget constraint formally, we need to account for the fact that r may vary
t
over time. To do this, define R(t) as ∫τ =0
r (τ )dτ . One unit of the output good invested at
time 0 yields e R ( t ) units of the good at t; equivalently, the value of 1 unit of output at time
t in terms of output at time 0 is e − R ( t ) . For example, if r is constant at some level r , R(t)
is simply rt and the present value of 1 unit of output at t is e − rt . More generally, e R (t )
shows the effects of continuously compounding interest over the period [ 0,t ] .

Since the household has L(t)/H members, its labour income at t is W(t)L(t)/H, and its
consumption expenditures are C(t)L(t)/H. Its initial wealth is 1/H of total wealth at time 0, or
K(0)/H. The household’s budget constraint is therefore

∞ L(t ) K (0) ∞ L(t )


(1.6) ∫t =0
e − R (t )C (t )
H
dt ≤
H
+ ∫ e− R (t )W (t )
t =0 H
dt

In many cases, it is difficult to find the integrals of this expression. But we can express the
budget constraint in terms of the limiting behaviour of the household’s capital holdings; even
when it it’s not possible to compute the integrals in (1.6), it is often possible to describe the
limiting behaviour of the economy. To see how the budget constraint can be rewritten in this
way, first bring all the terms of (1.6) over to the same side and combine the two integrals; this
gives us

K (0) ∞ L(t )
(1.7) + ∫ e − R (t ) [W (t ) − C (t ) ] dt ≥ 0
H t = 0 H

We can write the integral from t=0 to t= ∞ as a limit. Thus, (1.7) is equivalent to

3
⎡ K (0) L(t ) ⎤
e − R (t ) [W (t ) − C (t ) ]
s
(1.8) lim ⎢
s →∞ ⎣ H
+ ∫t = 0 H ⎥⎦
dt ≥ 0

Now note that the household’s capital holdings at time s are

K (s) K (0) L(t )


+ ∫ e R ( s ) − R (t ) [W (t ) − C (t ) ]
s
(1.9) = eR(s) dt
H H t = 0 H

K (0)
To understand (1.9), note that e R ( s ) is the contribution of the household’s initial wealth to
H
L(t )
its wealth at s. The household’s saving at t is [W (t ) − C (t )] (which may be negative);
H
e R ( s ) − R ( t ) shows how the value of that saving changes from t to s.

The expression in (1.9) is e R ( s ) times the expression in brackets in (1.8). Thus we can
write the budget constraint simply as

K ( s)
(1.10) lim e − R ( s ) ≥0
s →∞ H

Expressed in this form, the budget constraint states that the present value of the household’s
asset cannot be negative in the limit. Equation (1.10) is known as the no-Ponzi-game condition.

Households’ Maximisation Problem

• The representative household wants to maximise its lifetime utility subject to its budget
constraint.
• As in the Solow model, it is easier to work with variables normalised by the quantity of
the effective labour. To do this, we need to express both the objective function and the
budget constraint in terms of consumption and labour income per unit of effective labour.

We start with the objective function. Define c(t) to be consumption per unit of effective labour.
Thus C(t), consumption per worker, equals A(t)c(t). The household’s instantaneous utility, (1.2),
is therefore

C (t )1−θ [ A(t )c(t ) ]


1−θ

(1.11) =
1−θ 1−θ

1−θ
⎡⎣ A(0)e gt ⎤⎦ c(t )1−θ
=
1−θ

c(t )1−θ
= A(0)1−θ e(1−θ ) gt
1−θ

4
Substituting (1.11) and the fact that L(t ) = L(0)e nt into the household’s objective function, (1.1)-
(1.2), yields

∞ C (t )1−θ L(t )
(1.12) U = ∫ e− ρt dt
t =0 1−θ H

∞ ⎡ c(t )1−θ ⎤ L(0)ent


= U = ∫ e− ρt ⎢ A(0)1−θ e(1−θ ) gt
1 − θ ⎥⎦ H
dt
t =0

L(0) ∞ − ρt (1−θ ) gt nt c(t )1−θ


H ∫t =0
= A(0)1−θ e e e dt
1−θ

∞ c(t )1−θ
= B ∫ e− β t dt
t =0 1−θ

where B ≡ A(0)1−θ L(0) / H and β ≡ ρ − n − (1 − θ ) g . From (1.2), β is assumed to be positive.

Now consider he budget constraint, (1.6). The household’s total consumption at t,


C(t)L(t)/H, equals consumption per unit of effective labour, c(t), times the household’s quantity
of effective labour, A(t)L(t)/H. Similarly, its total labour income at t equals the wage per unit of
effective labour, w(t), times A(t)L(t)/H. And its initial capital holdings are capital per unit of
effective labour at time 0, k(0), times A(0)L(0)/H. Thus we can rewrite (1.6) as

∞ A(t ) L(t ) A(0) L(0) ∞ A(t ) L(t )


(1.13) ∫t =0
e − Rt c(t )
H
dt ≤ k (0)
H
+ ∫ e − R (t ) w(t )
t =0 H
dt

A(t ) L (t ) equals A(0) L(0)e( n + g )t . Substituting this fact into (1.13) and dividing both sides by
A(0) L (0) / H yields

∞ ∞
(1.14) ∫t =0
e − R (t ) c(t )e( n + g )t dt ≤ k (0) + ∫ e− R (t ) w(t )e( n + g )t dt
t =0

Finally, because K(s) is proportional to k ( s )e( n + g ) s , we can rewrite the no-Ponzi-game version of
the budget constraint, (1.10) as

(1.15) lim e − R (t ) e( n + g ) s k ( s ) ≥ 0
s →∞

Household Behaviour

• Household chooses the path to c(t) to maximise lifetime utility (1.12)


∞ c(t )1−θ
B ∫ e− β t dt
t =0 1−θ
• We can therefore use the objective function (1.12) and the budget constraint (1.14)

5
∞ ∞
∫ t =0
e − R ( t ) c(t )e( n + g )t dt ≤ k (0) + ∫ e − R ( t ) w(t )e( n + g ) t dt
t =0

to set up the Lagrangian:


∞ c(t )1−θ
(1.16) L = B∫ e −βt
dt
t =0 1−θ

+ λ ⎡⎢ k (0) + e − R ( t ) e( n + g ) t w(t )dt − ∫ e − R ( t ) e( n + g ) t c(t )dt ⎤


∞ ∞

⎣ ∫t =0 t =0 ⎥⎦

The first-order condition for an individual c(t) is

(1.17) Be− β t c(t )−θ = λe− R (t ) e( n+ g )t


(1.18) ln B − β t − θ ln c(t ) = ln λ − R (t ) + (n + g )t

t
= ln λ − ∫ r (τ )dτ + (n + g )t
τ =0

t
where we use R (t ) = ∫ r (τ )dτ .
τ =0
c&(t )
(1.19) −β − θ = −r (t ) + (n + g )
c(t )

c&(t ) r (t ) − n − g − β
(1.20) =
c(t ) θ
= r (t ) − ρ −θ g
θ
where we use β = ρ − n − (1 − θ ) g .

Euler equation
Since C(t) (consumption per worker)=c(t)A(t). Thus, C ‘s grows rate is: growth rate of c plus the
growth rate of A. Which is [ r (t ) − ρ ] / θ

3. The Dynamics of the Economy

The Dynamics of c

(Since r (t ) = f ′(k (t ))
c&(t ) f ′( k (t )) − ρ − θ g
(1.23) =
c(t ) θ


Thus c& =0 if f ′(k ) = ρ + θ g . Let k be this level of k .

When k > k ∗ → f ′(k ) < p + θ g , and → c& <0; when k < k ∗ , c& >0.

6
c •
c=0

• •
c>0 c<0

k∗ k
FIGURE 1.1 The dynamics of c

The Dynamics of k


(1.24) k (t ) = f ( k (t )) − c(t ) − (n + g )k (t )

As in Solow model:

For a given k, when k = 0 , c = f (k ) − (n + g )k ;
This c ↑ until f ′(k ) = (n + g ) (the golden rule level of k) and c ↓.

When c >c in k = 0 , k ↓; and vice versa.

7

c k <0


k =0


k >0

FIGURE 1.2 The dynamics of k

The Phase Diagram



In Figure 1.3: k (the level of k that implies c = 0 )<the golden-rule level of k (the value of k

associated with the peak of the k =0 locus).
Why?

Since k∗ is defined by f ′(k ∗ ) = ρ + θ g ,


Then k in and that the golden-rule k is defined by f ′( kGR ) = n + g .
Since f ′′( k ) is negative (Inada condition), k ∗ < kGR if p + θ g > n + g ,
Which is ρ − n − (1 − θ ) g > 0 - our assumption earlier.

8

c c=0


k k
FIGURE 1.3 The dynamics of c and k

The Initial Value of c


• • •
If c(0)> k =0 curve (point A), → c >0 and k <0; →the economy moves up and to the left.
• •
If c(0) is in point B, the economy begins moving directly up; thereafter c >0 and k <0, →the
economy moves up to the left.
Etc.

9

c=0
c
A

E
E


k =0
C
F

D k

k∗
FIGURE 1.4 The behaviour of c and k for various initial values of c

These motions satisfy (1.23) and (1.24).

But: there should be budget constraint and requirement that the economy’s capital stock not be
negative.

A) If starting at point above F: c is large and rising. Thus, according to (1.24)



k (t ) = f (k (t )) − c(t ) − (n + g )k (t ) k →0. For (1.23) and (1.24) to continue to hold,
c&(t ) f ′( k (t )) − ρ − θ g
(recall 1.23: = )
c (t ) θ

c ↑ and k<0.

Impossible. When output is zero when k is zero, c must drop to zero. This means that households
are not satisfying their inter-temporal optimisation condition (1.23).

− R (t ) ( n + g ) s
B) If starting below F: recall (1.15): lim e e k (s) ≥ 0 .
s →∞

k exceeds the golden-rule capital stock. Thereafter f ′(k ) < n + g , so e − R (t ) e( n + g ) s ↑.


− R (t ) ( n+ g ) s
Since k ↑ as well, lim
s →∞
e e k (s) → ∞.
Impossible in our model.

10
The Saddle Path


c=0

E

k =0

k∗ k
FIGURE 1.5 The saddle path

4. The Effects of a Fall in the Discount Rate

Qualitative Effects

ρ enters the equation for c& but not the one for k& . Thus, if ρ changes, only c& = 0 shifts.
Recall (1.23): c&(t ) / c(t ) = [ f ′(k (t ) − ρ − θ g ] / θ .

k in c& = 0 is when f ′(k ∗ ) = ρ + θ g . Since f ′′(•) <0, ↓ ρ → ↑ k .


c& = 0 shifts to the right.

11

c c=0

E*
E

k =0

∗ ∗
kOLD k NEW k
FIGURE 1.6 The effects of a fall in the discount rate

The Rate of Adjustment and the Slope of the Saddle Path

First-order Taylor approximations (1.23) and (1.24) around k = k ∗ , c = c∗ . Thus, we write

dc& dc&
(1.25) c& ⎡⎣ k − k ∗ ⎤⎦ + ⎡⎣c − c∗ ⎤⎦
dk dc

dk& dk&
(1.26) k& [ k − k ∗] + ⎡⎣c − c∗ ⎤⎦
dk dc

where dc& / dk , dc& / dc , dk& / dk and dk& / dc are evaluated at k = k ∗ , c = c∗ .

c% = c − c∗ and k% = k − k .

Let

c∗ k∗ &
Since and are const, then c&% = c& and k% = k& .
dc& % dc&
(1.27) c&% = k + c%
dk dc

&% dk& % dk& %


(1.28) k= k+ c
dk dc

12
Since c& = {[ f ′( k ) − ρ − θ g ] / θ } (1.23).

f ′′(k ∗ )c∗ %
c&% k
(1.29)
θ

Since k& = f (k ) − c − (n + g )k .
&
(1.30) k% = ⎡⎣ f ′(k ∗ ) − (n + g )k% ⎤⎦ − c%
= ⎡⎣( ρ + θ g ) − (n + g )k% ⎤⎦ − c%

= β k% − c%

where we use f ′(k ∗ ) = ρ + θ g and β = ρ − n − (1 − θ ) g .


Divide (1.29) by c% and (1.30) by k%

c&% f ′′(k ∗ )c∗ k%


(1.31)
c% θ c%

&
k% c%
(1.32) β− %
k% k
Let µ = c&% / c% . Equation (1.31) implies

c% f ′′(k ∗ )c∗ 1
=
(1.33)
k% θ µ
&
From (1.32), the condition that c&% / c% = k% / k% is thus

f ′′( k ∗ )c∗ 1
(1.34) µ=β−
θ µ

f ′′( k ∗ )c∗
(1.35) µ − βµ +
2
=0
θ
This is a quadratic equation in µ . The solutions are
1/ 2
β + ⎡⎣ β 2 − 4 f ′′(k ∗ )c∗ / θ ⎤⎦
(1.36) µ=
2
13
Let µ1 and µ2 denote these two values of µ .
If µ >0, then c% and k% are growing away from (k ∗ , c∗ ) . Thus when (k, c)
→ (k

, c∗ ) , then µ <0.

It is proved that only {β − ⎡⎣β 2 1/ 2


− 4 f ′′(k ∗ )c∗ / θ ⎤⎦ }/ 2 <0. Let this be µ1 .
AA: The saddle path of the linearised system.
BB: moving directly away from (k ∗ , c∗ )

If c(0) and k (0) c% and k% grow at rate µ 2 .


are on AA, then

Since f ′′(•) <0, then c% and k% are oppositely linked to µ . Thus AA is positively sloped


c c=0
A

B k =0

k∗ k

FIGURE 1.7 The linarized phase diagram

14
7. The Effects of Government Purchases

Adding Government to the Model

(1.39) k&(t ) = f ( k (t )) − c(t ) − G (t ) − ( n + g ) k (t )


∞ ∞
(1.40) ∫ e − R (t ) c(t )e( n + g )t dt ≤ k (0) + ∫ e− R (t ) [ w(t ) − G (t )] e( n + g )t dt
t =0 t =0

The Effects of Permanent and Temporary Changes in Government Purchases

.
c c=0


E* k =0

FIGURE 1.8 The effects of a permanent increase in government purchase

15

You might also like