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300

JA Solar(CH)
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200

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100

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8,000

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4,000
2,000

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1
9
9
0

1
9
9
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1
9
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2

1
9
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1
9
9
4

1
9
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5

1
9
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6

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9
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4

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6

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9
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9
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7,000
6,000
5,000

4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

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(6)

. kW

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41

kWh
kWh

kWh

kWh
RPS

GWh

3-4RPS

250
200

150
100
50
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

3-6

160kwh
(1.63%)

180
160

140
120

122kwh
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4000
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3000
2000
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9
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3-5

42

, http://www.jpea.gr.jp/
, http://www.jpea.gr.jp/

2000

2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0

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9
9
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9
9
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1
9
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2

1
9
9
3

1
9
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4

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9
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6

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1500

3-9 19902008

1000

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3-9

3-1

FIT

,http://www.nef.or.jp/

43

3-1

1990

1995

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

[MW]

10

144

313

464

681

925

1085

1490

1675

1854

[ ]

54

259

434

576

741

920

1059

1317

1415

1517

ii

iv

3-2

3-10

iii

NEDO
3-11

kW

kW

NEDO
20093

280,000

280
2008
2007
2008

260,000
240,000

kw

240

220,000

220

200,000

200

180,000

180

160

140

120

100

160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000

80

60,000

60

40,000

40

20,000

20

3-10 20072008

44

260


500
450
400

MW

350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0

1
9
9
0

NEDO

1
9
9
1

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
3

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
5

1
9
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6

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9
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9
9
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3

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4

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3-11 19902008

45

3-2
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[kW] [kW]

[kW]
[kW]
24kW
650
25. 8
203
41
31
9. 0
27.0

26kW
H17-11
4.0%
6.3%
4.8%
H19-11
http://www.hepco.co.jp/ato env ene/energy/new energy/about wind.html

2008-3
2007

[kW]
[kW]

1,680

46. 7

2011

3588kW

2.8%

17. 3%

88

85

H14- 12
H20- 3

5.2%

5.1%

80

62

H19

6. 8%

5. 3%

15. 2

18
(2006

19
(2007

20
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3kW
2kW

21
22

H20-11
(3kW
()2kW

H18-6:
H19-12:
5kW :7KW
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H21-7:
5KW
H21-7
(
5kW
(
5kW

H19-12
1kW

http://www.tohoku-epco.co.jp/news/normal/1178815_1049.html

42kW

1. 2%

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9kW

1kW
H22-11

H19-12
H19-1
5kW

5kW (
0.5kW
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http://www.energia.co.jp/press/08/p081105-1.html

810

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2011

25%

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25

15

3. 1%

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6. 3

4.5

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10kW

hhttp://www.rikuden.co.jp/konyu/wind_4.html
http://www.rikuden.co.jp/press/attach/081104001.pdf

670

8. 6

201

35%

85%

1. 3%

25

20

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20KW

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http://www.yonden.co.jp/business/dealing/furyoku/page_20/index.html

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H20/3

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130

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17kW

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http://www.kyuden.co.jp/company_liberal_bid_wind_index.html

6,250

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3,250

11. 2

3,440

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190

1. 8

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http://www.okiden.co.jp/shared/pdf/news_release/2006/060217.pdf

20,090

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46

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9
9
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9
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2

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4

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4

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3-123-13

10000kw1000kw
1000kw

3-12

(2)

10000kw
()

1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
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10000kw1000kw
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9
9
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9
9
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9
9
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3

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4

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3-143-15

3-14

kW

FIT

(3)

kW

10000kw
(

kW

10000kw1000kw
1000kw

14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
1

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
3

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
5

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
7

1
9
9
8

1
9
9
9

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
1

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
3

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
5

2
0
0
6

2
0
0
7

2
0
0
8

kW

3-14

10000kw
(kw

kw

40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0

10000kw1000kw
1000kw

RPS
kW

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
1

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
3

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
5

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
7

1
9
9
8

1
9
9
9

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
1

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
3

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
5

3-15

2
0
0
6

2
0
0
7

2
0
0
8

http://www.recordchina.co.jp/group.php?groupid=30664

2009 ( )

47

(4)

3-16

kW

. kW

500

300
250

MW

400

200

300

150

200

100

100

50

1
9
6
6

1
9
6
8

1
9
7
0

1
9
7
2

1
9
7
4

1
9
7
6

1
9
7
8

1
9
8
0

1
9
8
2

1
9
8
4

1
9
8
6

1
9
8
8

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
8

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
6

MW

600
MW

3-16

NEDO

http://www.city.tsuru.yamanashi.jp/forms/top/top.aspx

2007Vol.43No.537-41

Vol.No.

48

RPS

NEDO

3-17

4,000

[GWh]

3,500
3,000

2,500
2,000

1,500

1,000

500
0

1
9
6
6

1
9
6
8

1
9
7
0

1
9
7
2

1
9
7
4

1
9
7
6

1
9
7
8

1
9
8
0

1
9
8
2

1
9
8
4

1
9
8
6

1
9
8
8

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
8

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
6

3-18

. kW

3-17

kWh

kWh

kWh

49


700

M
W

600

3,000

500

2,500

400

2,000

300

1,500

200

1,000

100
0

500
1
9
9
0

1
9
9
1

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
3

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
5

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
7

093

3,500

1
9
9
8

1
9
9
9

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
1

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
3

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
5

2
0
0
6

2
0
0
7

2
0
0
8

M
W

4% 1%

40%
55%

3-18

3-19

( )

3-19

RPS

http://www.rps.go.jp/RPS/new-contents/top/joholink-dl.html
http://www.enecho.meti.go.jp/energy/newenergy/newene_pamph.htm
http://eneken.ieej.or.jp/greenpower/jp/04index.html
http://www2.jarus.or.jp/biomassdb/
http://www.jora.jp/txt/katsudo/k_biomas/facilities/index.html

50

400

2,000

300

200

100

M
W

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
1

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
3

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
5

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
7

1
9
9
8

1
9
9
9

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
1

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
3

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
5

2
0
0
6

2
0
0
7

2
0
0
8

1,500

1,000

500
M
W

RPF

700

600

500

M
W

1,200

400
300
200
100
0

1,400

RPS

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
1

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
3

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
5

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
7

1
9
9
8

1
9
9
9

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
1

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
3

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
5

2
0
0
6

2
0
0
7

2
0
0
8

1,000

800

600

400
M
200
W

CO

40

M
W

140

30
20

120

100

80
60
40

10

20
0

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
1

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
3

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
5

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
7

1
9
9
8

1
9
9
9

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
1

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
3

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
5

2
0
0
6

2
0
0
7

2
0
0
8

M
W

kW
2
kW

50

M
W

50

40

40

30

30

20

20

10

10

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
1

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
3

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
5

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
7

1
9
9
8

1
9
9
9

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
1

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
3

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
5

2
0
0
6

2
0
0
7

2
0
0
8

M
W

51

kWh

km kW

kWh

KWh
FIT

kW

7kW/m

kW/m

6EEZ

31

km k

1kW

kW1kW

52

11

CHP

kWth

.
kWth

. kW

kW

. kW

PR

3.2.

PR


kWth

3/4

kWth

http://navio2053.sakura.ne.jp/niohtml/taiyonomati.html

Global Status Report 2007, REN21


http://www.ren21.net/globalstatusreport/g2007

53

(1)

FIT

. PJ

kl

NEF

3-3 PJ/

2000

2003

2006

4.5

5.1

4.9

0.02

0.05

36.5

(2)

2,000
1,500

1,000
M
W
500
t
h

16,000

1
9
8
0

1
9
8
2

1
9
8
4

1
9
8
6

1
9
8
8

1
9
9
0

1
9
9
2

1
9
9
4

1
9
9
6

1
9
9
8

2
0
0
0

2
0
0
2

2
0
0
4

2
0
0
6

2
0
0
8

12,000

8,000

M
4,000
W
t
h
0

3-

54

NPO

2007

.
.

3-5

3-22

2007

2008

178

391

6246

10434

(2)

3-4

3.3.

(1)

kl

kl

kl

ETBE

ETBE

55

E3

kl

klkl1 kl

1 kl










kl

BTL

CO4 t

1000

423

319

86

100

93
37

17
10
1

3-

Joseph Fargione, Jason Hill, David Tilman, Stephen Polasky, Peter Hawthorne, Land Clearing and the
Biofuel Carbon Debt , Science 29 February 2008: Vol. 319. no. 5867, pp.19 1235 -1238

56

EV

HV

EV

(3)

HV EV

HV

(1)HV

HV

(4)

FCHV

HV

HV

(2)EV

()()

EV

(5)

EV

EV

EV

kW
iMiEV
kW

HV

42

7iMiEV

EV

57

EV
7
EV
1

EV
EV

58

4
2

4.1.

GPI EREC
2007 Energyr
evolution2050

CO2

2030

IEA2008

ETP

2050

CO2

CCS

GPI

20046

4.2.

NGO

421

20087

JREPP

JREPP

2008

2050

20072

2050

2050

2050

CO275% 2000

50%

20502

67%

205070%

50%

IEA

World Energy Outlook

JREPP

WEO2030

FIT

WEO2007

Reference

Alternative
High Growth3
WEO2007
10

422

CO2

2050

59

2050

4-1

50%

CO270% 2000

423
2050

4-1

(JWPA)

(ISEP)

2050

(ISEP)

1
2008 kW779
kWh

1000kW 1 kW

2007

(1)

50%

450 kW 230 kWh

1000kW 280

kW22 kW185

kWh

2760 kW1194 kWh

2050
150 50%

(2)

80%

1223 kW

3
2006

(3)

60

20308280

kW20504200

75%1

57PJ

4267 kW

11PJ

1500 kWh18%

113PJ

2050

8100
kW

10%

20062030

715PJ

710 kW2011

20505000

kW

1088PJ
1779PJ61%

424
1

359

4-12050

kWh

823 kWh1588 kW

67%

4-2

8397 kWh
20001427 kWh4-2
a
b

6
2050

20002050

3
6
2
20504200
76%
205PJ
19PJ
76%

61


kW

5
0

10

18

20

14

67

10

14

20002050

160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

4-2(b)20002050
( )

4-12050

4-22050

kWh

kW

4-32050
30%4-3

300

115

415

5.6

0.0

100%

1,289

353

1,642

34.2

644

644

11.0

12%

87

87

19.8

1,181

13

1,194

27.6

720

137

857

12.2

4-4

359

823

1,182

15.9

150

1,350

1,500

142.7

4-

876

876

50.0

5,605

2,792

8,397

318.9

59

78

67

78

31

20002050

3,500

kWh

3,000
2,500

2,000

17

14

19

1,500
1,000

500

36

4-2(a)20002050

62

4-32050

4-32050 ( PJ)

565

565

70%

789

789

1,484

1,484

1072PJ

13

100

113

380

102

232

715

224

68

292

76

107

183

3,218

414

506

4,140

12

100

100

31

RE

20

40

60

80

100

4-42050

20002050

4500

PJ

4000
3500

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

4-5

4CO2
2050 CO2
75% 2000
60%
50% 4-4

63

4-6
2000
20504-72050

4-420002050

2000

2050

76.1

5.4

59.7

5.4

51.0

CO2

2050
20002050

PJ

10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0

4-62050

2
2

7
7

11

21

4-72050

64


5.1.

NPO

ISEP

30
25
20

15
10
5
0

5-1 ISEP,2009

http://sustainable-zone.org/

65

ii

iii

iv




kW


100
2008

5-2 100
ISEP,2009

6.1 9.6
2008.3

11.7

5.4 10.0
2007.3

48.1

3.3 7.9
13.2

49.4

2.7 8.3

10.8

20

13.3

40 60

.
.
.

80 100

5-3

ISEP,2009

kW

66


.
.
.

.
.

.
.

.
.

.
.

.
.
5-1
2006

TJ

2007
TJ

2008

TJ

12018.7

5.92%

14875.3

6.94%

5.44%

123.77%

17143.6

7.74%

6.11%

115.25%

22011.5

10.84%

29552.6

13.78%

10.80%

134.26%

32777.0

14.80%

11.67%

110.91%

28527.4

14.05%

27449.7

12.80%

10.03%

96.22%

27074.3

12.23%

9.64%

98.63%

135035.3

66.49%

135118.6

63.01%

49.37%

100.06%

135175.8

61.05%

48.14%

100.04%

2.72%

135.19%

9233.2

4.17%

3.29%

123.89%

105.58%

221403.9

100.00%

5512.8

2.71%

7452.7

3.48%

203105.7

100.00%

214449.1

100.00%

103.24%

36382.6

13.29%

37148.8

13.23%

22852.6

8.35%

22252.3

7.92%

59235.2

59401.1

273684.3

100.00%

102.11%
97.37%
100.28%

280804.9

100.00%

102.60%

3.98%

100.42%

1000kw

11032.9

5.43%

11116.2

5.18%

4.06%

100.76%

11163.0

5.04%

2006

5-2 2007100
2006

2007

2008

80.8%

100.0%

115.2%

74.5%

100.0%

110.9%

103.9%

100.0%

98.6%

99.9%

100.0%

100.0%

74.0%

100.0%

123.9%

100.0%

102.1%

100.0%

97.4%

67

35

30

25

20

15

10

5-4

250

200

150


100


50


0.00
5.00
10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

5-5

68

30.00

5.2.

(1)

.
.
.

kW

.

.

.

km m/s

JWPA

m m

WPDA
CFD

kW
kW

NEDO

WG

D D

MW

(2)

CFD

1
1WinPAS
1km2

km2

140

14

120

12

100

10

80

60

40

km2

103km2

20
0

4 W

0
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000
kW

5-6
10D3Dkm2

m 6m/s

. 

69

5-3

WG

20003

200712

20101

5.0m/s (30m )

6.0m/s (60m )

6.0m/s (60m )

50%
0.125km2

(100m )
50% 1km2

(100m )
0.01km2

1988 GIS

1988 GIS

1998 GIS

1,000m

1,000m

10

1km5.5m

( )

1,000kW

2,000kW

(1,000~5,000kW)

10D3D

1km

( 6.8MW/km )

10.4MW/km

10.0MW/km2

939km

6,036km

43,496km2

( )

100%

40%

15%

6,400MW

25,000MW

65,000MW

7.0m/s (60m )

7.0m/s (60m )
:50km

7.0m/s (60m )
:30km

:30m

:30m

:50m

5,333km2

8,749km2

14,746km2

1,650kW

2,000kW

(1,0005,000kW)

10D5D

10D3D

10D3D

( )

100%

20%

20%

40,000MW

10D3D
2

18,000MW

29,000MW

-------

:30m 300m

:50m 200m

-------

183,508km2

77,443km2

-------

2,000kW

(1,0005,000kW)

-------

10D3D

10D3D

( )

-------

2%

5%

------

38,000MW

39,000MW

81,000MW

133,000MW

70

WG:JWPA

46,400MW( )

(3)

. kW

, MW

m/s

JWPA
.

m/s

JWPA
.

5-4

km2

6.0m/s 1,000m
km2
6.07.0

7.08.0

8.0

6m/s

km2

7m/s

km2

79,094

7,830

3,336

1,947

13,113

16.6%

5,283

6.7%

79,895

5,577

2,768

1,917

10,263

12.8%

4,685

5.9%

39,534

1,017

360

138

1,515

3.8%

498

1.3%

12,566

607

213

23

843

6.7%

237

1.9%

38,965

1,393

672

310

2,375

6.1%

982

2.5%

28,760

1,734

1,000

409

3,143

10.9%

1,409

4.9%

31,919

1,835

668

139

2,642

8.3%

807

2.5%

18,790

1,221

638

169

2,028

10.8%

807

4.3%

42,039

3,393

1,982

590

5,965

14.2%

2,573

6.1%

2,233

674

781

155

1,610

72.1%

935

41.9%

373,796

25,280

12,419

5,797

43,496

11.6%

18,216

4.9%

140,000

14,000
13,000

130,000

67m/s

12,000

120,000

78m/s

11,000

110,000

8m/s

10,000

100,000

MW

5,000

90,000

80,000

70,000

60,000 M
W
50,000

4,000

40,000

3,000

30,000

2,000

20,000

1,000

10,000

9,000

8,000

7,000
km2
6,000

5-7

2008

(4)

. kW

,
MW

km

JWPA

km
.

71

5-5 m/s

km2

7.0m/s 30km
km2
020

2050

50100

100200

200m

km2

50m

km2

79,094

3,098

6,207

12,854

10,712

32,871

41.6

9,305

11.8

79,895

185

1,257

4,038

6,617

12,097

15.1

1,442

1.8

39,534

135

916

1,274

2,310

4,635

11.7

1,051

2.7

12,566

22

328

564

914

7.3

22

0.2

38,965

155

630

781

832

2,399

6.2

786

2.0

28,760

192

300

499

1.7

0.0

31,919

584

4,397

4,995

15.6

14

0.0

18,790

280

822

1,110

5.9

0.0

42,039

162

979

9,324

16,990

27,454

65.3

1,140

2.7

2,233

417

552

2,124

2,119

5,213

233.5

970

43.4

373,796

4,166

10,580

31,779

46,525

92,188

24.7

14,746

3.9

250,000

35,000
32,500

325,000

100200m
50100m

30,000

300,000

2050m

27,500

275,000

20m

25,000

250,000

MW

12,500

225,000

200,000

175,000

150,000 M
W
125,000

10,000

100,000

7,500

75,000

5,000

50,000

2,500

25,000

22,500

20,000

17,500
km2
15,000

5-8 7m/s
2008

72

(5)

m
m

5-6

MW

6m/s 7m/s

km2

km2

km2

100

MW

6,505

79,094

13,113

9,306

23,566

45,985

58.1

459,849

16,800

79,895

10,263

1,442

10,655

22,360

28.0

223,595

63,981

39,534

1,515

1,051

3,584

6,150

15.6

61,499

7,962

12,566

843

22

892

1,757

14.0

17,573

32,626

38,965

2,375

785

1,613

4,773

12.2

47,731

33,865

28,760

3,143

492

3,642

12.7

36,418

11,826

31,919

2,642

14

4,981

7,637

23.9

76,367

6,665

18,790

2,028

1,102

3,138

16.7

31,381

20,023

42,039

5,965

1,141

26,314

33,420

79.5

334,203

1,925

2,233

1,610

969

4,243

6,822

305.5

68,215

202,177

373,796

43,496

14,745

77,442

135,683

36.3

1,356,831

500,000

50,000
47,500

475,000

45,000

7m/s

450,000

42,500

7m/s

425,000

40,000

400,000

6m/s

37,500

375,000

MW

35,000

350,000

17,500

325,000

300,000
275,000

250,000

225,000
M
200,000 W

175,000

15,000

150,000

12,500

125,000

10,000

100,000

7,500

75,000

5,000

50,000

2,500

25,000

32,500

km2

30,000
27,500
25,000
22,500
20,000

5-9 2008

(6)

100%

15%20%5%

73

5-7 15205%2008

MW

GWh

km210MW
MW

MW

MW

6,505

31,839

19,669

18,612

11,783

50,064

770

6,505

16,800

81,101

15,394

2,884

5,328

23,605

141

16,800

63,981

288,956

2,272

2,102

1,792

6,166

10

6,166

7,962

28,154

1,265

44

446

1,755

22

1,755

32,626

129,734

3,563

1,570

807

5,939

18

5,939

33,865

145,867

4,714

14

246

4,974

15

4,974

11,826

61,222

3,963

28

2,491

6,481

55

6,481

6,665

28,701

3,042

16

551

3,609

54

3,609

20,023

85,883

8,943

2,282

13,157

24,387

122

20,023

1,925

7,476

2,414

1,938

2,122

6,474

336

1,925

202,177

888,935

65,244

29,490

38,721

133,455

66

74,177

65.000

7m/s5

60,000

7m/s20
55,000

6m/s15

50,000

100MW
50MW

45,000

M
W

25MW

40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0

5-10 15205%
6m/s

7m/s

kW

GIS

kW

kW

. kW

74

kW

PJ


PJ

t/h

.
. kW

1
PV

2
PV

kW

kWh/

TWh

TWh
3

5-8

101,000

106,000

14,000

291,000

55,000

32,000

( )

7,386,000

7,984,000

5-11

(kW)

PV

http://www.nedo.go.jp/informations/other/

_1/_1.html
2

http://www.nedo.go.jp/nedata/17fy/01/b/0001b008.html
3

http://unit.aist.go.jp/rcpv/ci/about_pv/output/JPpotential.html

75


6.1.

(c)

(d)

FIT

CO2

CO2

(1)

(a)

(e)

202020%
205050%

(b)

76

(f)

(2)

(b)

( )

(a)

(c)
RPS
RPS

(i)

(ii) (
)

(d)

( )

(i)

(ii)

(e)

77


RPS
RPS

(3)

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)
CO2
(e)

(f)

(4)

(a)

(b)

78

(c)

6.2.

2050
20086
71
(JREPP:Japan
Renewable Energy Policy Platform)
JREPP

JREPP

JREPP (2010 1 )

( )

2050
(JREPP)

2030
2050

JREPP
2020

79




 

 


















 
















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