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  • AM Tropics Update 9-6-11

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    Michael Allen
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    The satellite image shows two areas of low pressure being monitored for potential tropical cyclone development. The first system west of the Cape Verde Islands has become better organized with showers and could form into a tropical depression later today or tomorrow as it moves west-northwest at 15 mph (70% chance). The second system in the southern Gulf of Mexico has increased cloudiness and showers around nearly stationary low pressure with a low (20%) chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours.

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    The satellite image shows two areas of low pressure being monitored for potential tropical cyclone development. The first system west of the Cape Verde Islands has become better organized with showers and could form into a tropical depression later today or tomorrow as it moves west-northwest at 15 mph (70% chance). The second system in the southern Gulf of Mexico has increased cloudiness and showers around nearly stationary low pressure with a low (20%) chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours.

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    4 views22 pages

    AM Tropics Update 9-6-11

    Uploaded by

    Michael Allen
    The satellite image shows two areas of low pressure being monitored for potential tropical cyclone development. The first system west of the Cape Verde Islands has become better organized with showers and could form into a tropical depression later today or tomorrow as it moves west-northwest at 15 mph (70% chance). The second system in the southern Gulf of Mexico has increased cloudiness and showers around nearly stationary low pressure with a low (20%) chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours.

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    of 22

    North Atlantic Basin Satellite Image

    2. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAVE INCREASED IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    1. EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 680 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    Steering Currents

    Current Wind Shear

    Forecast Wind Shear

    5 Day Forecast Total Rainfall (through Saturday)

    95L (70%)

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