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Financial Bailout - Examples ..............................................................2
JPMorgan Chase, another huge financial services firms specializing in banking, investments and insurance, among other areas, bought Bear Stearns at about $10 per share. The 52week high of Bear Stearns stock was a lofty $133.20, and so the rock-bottom sale price represented a huge loss for shareholders.
Nevertheless, both Treasury Secretary and Fed Chairman defended the sale, predicting devastating damage to the U.S. economy if the firm - one of the world's largest securities companies - were allowed to go bankrupt.
Understanding of Bailout
Financials of Bank A : Liabilities Loan A 10B Loan B 10B Loan C 3B Equity 3B (Assets Loans) 26B Assets US Govt. Bonds 1B Corp. Bonds(AAA) 10B Commercial Motrg. 10B Residential CDOs 4B Cash in Hand 1B 26B
Bank A had 500M shares. Book value per share is 3B/500M = $6 per share Currently the Financials of Bank A looks very healthy. Loan A matures : Bank A will sell off the Corp Bank AAA mortgage for $9B (loss of $1B to be bear by Equity shareholders) and also sell the US Govt. Bond for $1B to repay the loan.
4
Understanding of Bailout
Revised Financials of Bank A after maturity of Loan A : Liabilities Loan B 10B Loan C 3B Equity 2B 15B Assets Commercial Motrg. 10B Residential CDOs 4B Cash in Hand 1B 15B
Loan B matures : Bank A will sell off the Commercial mortgages at $10B to repay the amount for Loan B.
Understanding of Bailout
Financials of Bank A after maturity of Loan B : Liabilities Loan C 3B Equity 2B 5B Assets Residential CDOs Cash in Hand 4B 1B 5B
Current Book value per share is 2B/500M = $4 per share Loan C matures : Bank A is liable to make payment of $3B on the maturity of Loan C. Bank A is holding an asset in form of residential CDOs worth of $4B, but Bank A is not able to sell these CDOs in market because these are considered to be a risky assets, as default happened on the residential mortgages which are collateral against there residential CDOs. As a result of this although the assets had a book value of $4B but there is external buyers to purchase these CDOs . Bank A will approach Hedge Funds or Pvt. Equity firms to sell these CDOs. They have sell these CDOs at loss , as they only get $1B against these investments.
4
Understanding of Bailout
Bank A now had Cash of $1B along with $1B which is realized from the sale of CDOs which comes to $2B but they have to make payment of $3B to Loan C and they didnt had any other assets in there balance sheet which can be sold to make payment to there creditors.
Understanding of Bailout
Scenario I - Capital/Equity Infusion Bank A will look for some external customer, who can invest some funds to save the institution from filing the bankruptcy. One vendor from Japan ( ABC Ltd) was interested in taking equity stake in bank A . This Japanese company believes that Bank A is in bad shape only due to there bad investment policies , but Bank A had a brand in US market and if they work strategically they can generate big gains out of this in future. ABC Ltd. is ready to buy 2B shares of Bank A @ $1.5 per share leads to the capital infusion of $3B. Now ABC Ltd had a major shareholding stake in the Bank A . New Financials for Bank A will be as follows : Liabilities Loan C 3B Equity 5B 8B Assets Residential CDOs Cash in Hand
4B 4B 8B
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Understanding of Bailout
Scenario I - Capital/Equity Infusion The book value of share = $5B/2.5B = $2 per share In this case the existing share holder i.e. 500M shareholder will be at loss, as the book value of share has been moved from $4per share to $2 per share after the capital infusion. One good thing for existing shareholders is that Bank A is out of liquidity crisis now and able to avoid the situation of Bankruptcy which might have bought big losses for them.
Understanding of Bailout
Scenario II - Insolvency Filing of Bankruptcy Now lets think of a scenario in case, Bank A didnt get any customer who can make the capital infusion and you are able to get only $1B for Residential CDOs . Financials of Bank A : Liabilities Loan C 3B Equity 2B 5B Assets Residential CDOs Cash in Hand
4B 1B 5B
Now , Bank A might approach FED for getting the Financial Bailout. FED will evaluate the financial impact on the US economy, if the Bank A files bankruptcy. If FED believe that it might give rise to a systemic risk in the economy ,they will come with a bailout option. But in this case no Systemic risk will turnaround , if Bank A defaults . So FED will not come with any bail out option. Now, as Bank A is insolvent ,as his equity is eroded i.e. ( Cash + CDOs Loan C= -$1B). The had a negative Equity , the only option they are left with is to file a Bankruptcy under Chapter 11.
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Understanding of Bailout
Scenario II - Insolvency Filing of Bankruptcy The Dissolution of Bank A will be done. Liquidators are appointed who will take