Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Value
Indicator
08 January 2012
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Contents
Market Pictures - Indices ......................................................................... 5
FTSE 100 ................................................................................................ 5
FTSE 250 ................................................................................................ 6
FTSE All Share Index ................................................................................ 7
FTSE AIM All Share .................................................................................. 8
Market Pictures Interest Rates ............................................................ 10
UK Bank Lending Rates ........................................................................... 10
Eurozone Lending Rates.......................................................................... 11
US Federal Funds Rate ........................................................................... 12
Market Pictures Exchange Rates ......................................................... 13
Market Pictures - Oil............................................................................... 15
Over Valued 16
Aerospace & Defence
...............................................
Automobiles & Parts
Banks
................................................
...............................................................
Beverages
..........................................................
Chemicals
..........................................................
................................
...............................
..........................................
.................................................
.....................................
.......................................................
................................................................
......................................
............................
..........................................................
....................................................
Life Assurance
....................................................
............................................
................................................................
.............................................................
................................
...................................
........................................
....................................................
Telecommunication Services
Transport
............................
......................................
..........................................................
Over Valued 16
Over Valued 16
Over Valued 16
Over Valued 16
Over Valued 17
Under Valued 17
Over Valued 17
Under Valued 18
Over Valued 18
Over Valued 18
Over Valued 18
Under Valued 18
Over Valued 19
Over Valued 19
Under Valued 19
Over Valued 19
Over Valued 20
Under Valued 20
Under Valued 20
Over Valued 20
Under Valued 21
Over Valued 21
Over Valued 21
Under Valued 22
Under Valued 22
Under Valued 23
Utilities
............................................................. Under Valued 23
DISCLAIMER ............................................................................................. 24
Page 2 of 25
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide
that will identify those shares that merit their investment attention in an
increasingly time critical and information noisy trading environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box,
typically, before the official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an
investment are the two primary drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key
factors that influence investment timing. Having identified the key parameters,
these have been established as rules that reflect market dynamics and cut
through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental
factors as well as the daily pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters
(analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage,
the trading indicators appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in
identifying good trading points as well as some 74% accurate for overall trend
correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40
stocks analysed.
120.0%
110.0%
110.0%
100.0%
100.0%
90.0%
90.0%
80.0%
80.0%
70.0%
70.0%
60.0%
60.0%
50.0%
50.0%
40.0%
40.0%
30.0%
30.0%
20.0%
20.0%
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell
Trend
Source: Intellisys
Page 3 of 25
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Prices.
On a daily basis, Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not
only the Profit & Loss Account but also the Balance Sheet and Cashflow
Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his
investment research for the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment
valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate cross-border analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the
Target as realistically valid as possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Price delivery is not only a
function of market levels but a management teams ability to establish and
maintain a value generating operating environment set against a constantly
changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start
with a modest range of some 6 10 valuation measures and remove those that
are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis approach is the opposite we use
as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target prices may appear strange or
extreme. However, subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them
as starting points to challenge their established or perceived valuation opinion of
a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist
investors from falling in love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by
management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and
investment systems active position monitoring is critical for maximised
investment performance.
Page 4 of 25
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
PE
FTSE 100
5Y Hi
FTSE 100 PE
6,732.4
5Y Hi
18.2
18.2
3Y Hi
6,091.3
3Y Hi
1Y Hi
6,091.3
1Y Hi
Last Close
Last Close
5,649.7
1Y Lo
14.1
10.2
1Y Lo
4,944.4
7.9
3Y Lo
3,512.1
3Y Lo
7.0
5Y Lo
3,512.1
5Y Lo
7.0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10
% change
1M
1.5; 3M
15
20
% change
6.8; 12M
-6.1
1M
2.4; 3M
21.3; 12M
Yield
-17.7
RSI
FTSE 100 DY
5Y Hi
6.2
Hi
3Y Hi
74.8
6.0
1Y Hi
3.9
Last Close
Last Close
3.5
1Y Lo
2.9
3Y Lo
2.9
5Y Lo
2.9
64.3
Lo
1.0
3.0
5.0
11.1
7.0
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
-1.9; 3M
Page 5 of 25
-3.3; 12M
20.4
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
PE
FTSE 250
FTSE 250 PE
5Y Hi
12,220.2
5Y Hi
27.8
3Y Hi
12,167.8
3Y Hi
27.8
1Y Hi
12,167.8
1Y Hi
Last Close
Last Close
10,245.9
1Y Lo
3Y Lo 7.1
5,769.8
5Y Lo
5Y Lo 7.1
5,491.5
500
15.5
1Y Lo 7.1
9,425.9
3Y Lo
19.5
5500
10500
15500
% change
1M
-0.6; 3M
10
15
20
25
30
% change
3.6; 12M
-12.6
1M
104.2; 3M
Yield
6.7; 12M
-20.2
RSI
FTSE 250 RSI
FTSE 250 DY
5.7
5Y Hi
Hi
3Y Hi
72.5
5.1
1Y Hi
3.3
Last Close
3.1
Last Close
1Y Lo
2.2
3Y Lo
2.2
60.1
Lo 7.9
5Y Lo
1.9
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
1.0; 3M
Page 6 of 25
2.0; 12M
40.8
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
PE
5Y Hi
3,479.0
5Y Hi
19.5
19.5
3Y Hi
3,160.9
3Y Hi
1Y Hi
3,160.9
1Y Hi
Last Close
Last Close
2,897.0
1Y Lo
14.6
10.8
1Y Lo
2,557.8
8.5
3Y Lo
1,781.6
3Y Lo
7.4
5Y Lo
1,781.6
5Y Lo
7.4
500
1500
2500
3500
4500
% change
1M
1.2; 3M
10
15
20
25
% change
6.2; 12M
-7.2
1M
11.3; 3M
Yield
19.6; 12M
-18.3
RSI
FTSE ALL SHARE RSI
5Y Hi
6.1
Hi
3Y Hi
74.8
5.8
1Y Hi
3.8
Last Close
Last Close
3.5
1Y Lo
2.8
3Y Lo
2.8
63.7
Lo 10.4
5Y Lo
2.7
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
-1.4; 3M
Page 7 of 25
-2.3; 12M
23.0
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
PE
5Y Hi
1,236.6
5Y1,439.5
Hi
3Y Hi
968.3
3Y1,240.8
Hi
1Y Hi
968.3
1Y 211.5
Hi
Last Close
712.5
1Y Lo
100.2
Last Close
657.8
203,906.0
1Y
Lo-
3Y Lo373.8
203,906.0
3Y
Lo-
5Y Lo373.8
203,906.0
5Y
Lo-
200
700
1200
1700
-250000
-200000
% change
1M
1.2; 3M
-150000
-50000
50000
% change
3.3; 12M
-24.2
Yield
RSI
5Y Hi
2.1
3Y Hi
2.1
1Y Hi
-100000
Hi
77.3
Last Close
77.3
0.8
Last Close
0.7
1Y Lo
0.5
3Y Lo
0.5
Lo 6.9
5Y Lo 0.4
0.2
0.7
1.2
1.7
2.2
20
40
60
80
100
% change
1M
-2.7; 3M
Page 8 of 25
-7.8; 12M
29.1
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
PE
5Y Hi
1,565.2
5Y Hi
146.3
146.3
3Y Hi
1,363.6
3Y Hi
1Y Hi
1,363.6
1Y Hi
18.4
Last Close
Last Close
14.7
1,277.8
1Y Lo
1Y 13.4
Lo
1,099.2
3Y Lo
676.5
3Y 13.4
Lo
5Y Lo
676.5
5Y 13.4
Lo
400
900
1400
10
1900
60
% change
1M
1.5; 3M
110
160
9.6; 12M
-17.3
% change
9.7; 12M
0.3
1M
2.4; 3M
Yield
RSI
S&P 500 COMPOSITE RSI
5Y Hi
3.4
Hi
3Y Hi
73.6
3.2
1Y Hi
2.4
Last Close
Last Close
2.2
1Y Lo
1.8
3Y Lo
1.8
5Y Lo
1.8
63.5
Lo
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
11.2
4.5
20
40
60
80
% change
1M
-0.9; 3M
Page 9 of 25
-9.5; 12M
18.4
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
5.75
3Y Hi
2.00
1Y Hi 0.50
Last Close 0.50
1Y Lo 0.50
3Y Lo 0.50
5Y Lo 0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
% change
1M
0.0; 3M
0.0; 12M
0.0
UK Lending PE
50.0
1Y Lo
200.0
Last Close
200.0
1Y Hi
200.0
3Y Hi
200.0
5Y Hi
200.0
10
Page 10 of 25
60
110
160
210
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
5.25
3Y Hi
3.00
1Y Hi
2.25
Last Close
1.75
1Y Lo
1.75
3Y Lo
1.75
5Y Lo
1.75
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
% change
1M
-12.5; 3M
-22.2; 12M
0.0
Eurozone Lending PE
19.0
3Y Lo
33.3
1Y Lo
44.4
Last Close
57.1
1Y Hi
57.1
3Y Hi
57.1
5Y Hi
57.1
10
Page 11 of 25
20
30
40
50
60
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
5.41
3Y Hi0.25
1Y Hi
0.19
Last Close
0.07
1Y 0.04
Lo
3Y 0.04
Lo
5Y 0.04
Lo
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
% change
1M
-12.5; 3M
0.0; 12M
-58.8
US Lending PE
400.0
1Y Lo
526.3
Last Close
1,428.6
1Y Hi
2,500.0
3Y Hi
2,500.0
5Y Hi
2,500.0
10
Page 12 of 25
510
1010
1510
2010
2510
3010
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
US$/
5Y Hi
2.11
3Y Hi
1.70
1Y Hi
1.67
Last Close
1.54
1Y Lo
1.53
3Y Lo
1.37
5Y Lo
1.37
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
2.20
% change
1M
-1.2; 3M
0.2; 12M
-0.5
EURO/
5Y Hi
1.53
3Y Hi
1.24
1Y Hi
1.21
Last Close
1.21
1Y Lo
3Y Lo
1.11
1.06
5Y Lo
1.02
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
1.60
% change
1M
Page 13 of 25
4.0; 3M
5.6; 12M
2.1
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
US$/EURO
5Y Hi
1.60
3Y Hi
1.51
1Y Hi
1.48
Last Close
1.27
1Y Lo
1.27
3Y Lo
1.19
5Y Lo
1.19
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
% change
1M
-5.1; 3M
-5.3; 12M
-2.2
YEN/
5Y Hi
250.1
3Y Hi
162.5
1Y Hi
Last Close
139.4
118.8
1Y Lo 117.1
3Y Lo 117.1
5Y Lo 117.1
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
% change
1M
Page 14 of 25
-2.1; 3M
0.7; 12M
-7.8
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
145.6
3Y Hi
126.6
1Y Hi
126.6
Last Close
114.7
1Y Lo
94.3
3Y Lo
39.1
5Y Lo
34.6
0
50
100
150
200
% change
1M
3.85; 3M
7.94; 12M
20.58
If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other equity investments, you
should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone.
The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated
in a foreign currency, fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value
of stocks and shares and the income from them. Past performance is not
necessarily a guide to future performance.
Page 15 of 25
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Over Valued
Price
287.00
394.20
180.30
356.60
754.00
936.50
1434.00
355.00
12M Lo
248.10
368.80
165.90
305.00
552.19
869.50
1305.00
243.50
12M Hi
361.10
736.50
236.50
397.60
757.00
1429.00
1830.00
512.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
190.10
294.50
50.00
7.74
12M Lo
157.00
268.60
47.00
6.80
12M Hi
245.00
425.40
72.75
19.71
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
183.65
497.60
26.35
20.27
1435.00
12M Lo
138.85
463.50
21.84
17.34
1169.50
12M Hi
333.55
730.90
69.61
49.00
1744.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Price
1216.00
1415.00
2330.50
12M Lo
1031.00
1112.00
1979.00
12M Hi
1395.00
1428.00
2354.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 16 of 25
Target
151
267
60
8
Beta
1.93
1.40
1.34
1.08
LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Target
53
837
143
-29
1282
Beta
1.81
1.12
1.72
1.23
1.69
LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Buy
Target
1235
1273
2743
Beta
0.42
0.55
0.97
Over Valued
Chemicals
Stock
CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY
VICTREX
YULE CATTO
ZOTEFOAMS
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Buy
Sell
Over Valued
Beverages
Stock
BARR (AG)
DIAGEO
SABMILLER
Beta
0.63
0.53
0.94
1.34
1.09
0.71
0.59
0.80
Over Valued
Banks
Stock
BARCLAYS
HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP
ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.
STANDARD CHARTERED
Target
587
449
228
320
580
961
1155
357
Over Valued
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Price
1818.00
136.00
1890.00
1110.00
168.40
111.50
12M Lo
1456.00
107.50
1523.00
1025.00
148.00
109.00
12M Hi
2081.00
187.40
2119.00
1590.00
253.00
158.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Target
1484
138
1554
1061
278
181
Beta
1.06
1.06
1.43
1.20
1.25
1.01
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Over Valued
Price
272.70
89.95
671.50
1235.00
408.50
305.00
39.75
202.00
463.50
265.00
1395.00
41.75
90.75
620.00
473.00
116.50
85.35
36.93
794.00
2141.00
12M Lo
214.60
67.50
540.50
884.50
326.50
281.00
35.50
180.00
307.50
239.25
1097.00
38.00
83.25
510.00
374.00
103.50
76.95
28.71
715.00
1404.00
12M Hi
357.30
119.00
776.50
1360.00
499.60
403.20
126.50
265.00
530.00
698.50
1458.00
76.75
124.50
720.00
518.50
136.20
153.50
43.31
1127.00
2261.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Price
687.00
530.00
104.00
211.70
148.10
978.50
1019.00
1302.00
0.17
135.00
247.50
12M Lo
536.00
434.30
86.75
180.90
127.90
600.50
800.00
1039.00
0.14
120.50
207.50
12M Hi
847.00
705.00
146.00
364.30
207.00
1010.00
1886.00
1679.00
0.34
208.00
295.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 17 of 25
Beta
0.85
1.39
1.00
0.69
1.07
1.10
0.84
0.58
1.02
1.26
1.05
1.04
1.35
0.88
1.05
0.95
1.56
1.48
1.85
1.41
LT Rec
Sell
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Target
382
542
132
324
155
686
1597
1025
0
208
110
Beta
0.73
1.15
1.30
1.51
2.20
0.97
1.22
1.37
0.65
1.55
1.13
Over Valued
Target
263
54
610
1209
185
428
179
701
502
344
2839
53
59
1281
578
77
-5
11
963
1571
Under Valued
LT Rec
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Buy
Sell
Price
70.00
271.40
270.00
532.50
405.20
336.40
252.75
790.50
8.00
271.40
1854.00
176.30
168.50
1858.00
554.00
2091.00
12M Lo
62.50
225.60
250.50
395.80
280.00
306.30
235.00
636.50
7.37
224.00
1501.00
132.60
150.00
1649.00
488.00
1375.00
12M Hi
138.00
397.70
358.00
724.50
422.50
429.60
393.50
1119.00
12.00
357.10
1979.00
190.60
330.00
2063.00
661.75
2218.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Neutral
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Buy
Buy
Sell
Target
280
332
482
718
263
343
546
1277
7
317
1672
173
157
2111
683
753
Beta
1.31
1.56
0.96
2.26
1.39
0.74
1.36
1.40
0.85
1.73
1.01
1.75
1.03
0.84
1.51
1.41
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Under Valued
Price
515.50
316.00
298.00
393.90
18.75
12M Lo
445.00
262.70
263.50
356.25
17.75
12M Hi
550.50
328.00
391.50
429.65
100.75
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
1113.00
726.50
330.10
251.00
5.69
242.00
706.00
2170.00
12M Lo
940.00
588.50
318.80
223.50
3.29
233.25
520.00
1793.00
12M Hi
1150.00
882.00
410.40
296.90
35.12
356.50
720.50
2189.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
19.38
1.38
231.40
1203.00
493.10
11.50
9.64
3.26
39.75
6.71
288.70
7.70
592.50
66.60
247.40
306.20
35.00
154.00
2614.00
659.00
26.50
12M Lo
16.00
0.75
227.00
1030.00
375.00
7.50
9.36
2.20
37.50
6.20
269.50
5.20
570.00
60.20
217.00
301.80
23.75
127.30
1868.00
572.50
21.50
12M Hi
25.25
42.25
311.20
1600.00
835.50
27.50
23.73
10.72
134.00
73.25
435.00
52.70
1030.00
164.00
287.10
402.20
40.00
558.50
2810.00
830.00
84.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
550.00
43.50
606.00
12M Lo
498.00
36.50
521.00
12M Hi
590.00
59.00
742.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 18 of 25
Target
524
693
335
403
-5
491
381
1759
Beta
0.59
0.58
0.96
0.31
1.43
0.38
0.65
0.63
LT Rec
Neutral
Target
22
183
409
143
7
22
0
81
130
300
971
927
221
220
280
18
266
1581
355
19
Beta
0.73
0.27
0.50
1.34
0.98
0.64
1.40
0.96
0.91
0.91
0.62
0.86
0.46
1.27
0.98
0.73
1.02
0.51
0.81
0.52
1.30
Target
480
41
621
Beta
0.39
0.70
0.39
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Under Valued
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Over Valued
Health
Stock
CONSORT MEDICAL
CORIN GROUP
SMITH & NEPHEW
Beta
0.54
0.50
0.65
0.81
0.80
Over Valued
General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BLACKS LEISURE
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
CLINTON CARDS
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
GAME GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS
JD SPORTS FASHION
KESA ELECTRICALS
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES
Target
431
358
540
422
21
Over Valued
LT Rec
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Price
37.63
490.00
258.00
128.25
12M Lo
21.75
342.50
233.25
105.00
12M Hi
40.00
515.00
354.00
145.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Buy
Neutral
Target
32
463
342
143
Beta
0.47
0.34
0.91
0.70
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Over Valued
Price
610.00
187.80
19.50
548.00
44.50
115.40
127.75
12M Lo
459.60
154.10
14.50
296.90
43.88
105.80
96.00
12M Hi
651.00
447.00
62.00
568.00
102.75
160.00
312.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
866.00
314.80
131.00
387.30
369.30
670.00
106.90
324.25
12M Lo
787.00
270.60
109.60
334.00
340.50
576.00
99.60
285.00
12M Hi
1754.00
427.00
139.20
421.40
424.70
764.50
143.50
410.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
36.75
2145.00
26.50
161.10
695.00
476.30
132.50
1160.00
393.50
229.80
170.50
9.55
130.00
281.70
418.40
1566.00
202.20
90.15
12M Lo
26.00
1742.00
26.50
136.70
590.00
410.00
114.00
955.00
371.20
215.60
100.60
9.14
109.50
254.90
380.50
1409.00
168.60
84.60
12M Hi
42.75
3147.00
118.90
271.90
752.00
518.00
155.30
1435.00
600.50
357.10
214.70
15.70
153.70
335.00
468.30
1887.00
244.10
112.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 19 of 25
LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Target
343
2274
1186
64
2255
1791
954
2176
Beta
0.50
0.45
0.51
0.32
0.49
0.32
0.45
0.49
LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Target
17
3648
86
578
723
727
236
856
512
95
135
-165
194
340
703
1821
303
169
Beta
0.76
1.13
1.69
0.95
0.45
0.87
0.99
1.29
1.39
1.02
1.29
1.28
0.97
0.88
0.75
1.04
0.93
1.24
Over Valued
Life Assurance
Stock
AVIVA
CHESNARA
LEGAL & GENERAL
OLD MUTUAL
PRUDENTIAL
ST.JAMES'S PLACE
Beta
0.77
1.13
0.59
0.96
1.19
1.01
1.02
Under Valued
Target
1267
5116
-188
1104
2346
1180
20
Over Valued
Insurance
Stock
ADMIRAL GROUP
AMLIN
BEAZLEY
CATLIN GROUP
HISCOX
JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON
RSA INSURANCE GROUP
NOVAE GROUP
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Price
303.50
181.00
103.00
137.50
633.50
320.10
12M Lo
275.30
161.75
89.80
98.05
509.00
272.50
12M Hi
477.90
264.00
123.80
144.80
777.00
376.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Target
435
177
83
160
316
121
Beta
1.22
0.60
1.65
1.62
1.72
0.79
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Over Valued
Price
140.00
95.00
721.00
33.13
392.60
645.00
355.80
201.00
69.45
6.20
1212.00
53.50
275.50
27.45
82.63
80.50
49.00
471.40
84.50
669.00
5.10
12M Lo
116.17
91.25
618.50
32.50
343.40
522.50
313.90
157.70
51.65
4.11
983.00
39.50
132.75
26.21
76.25
68.50
37.50
416.00
82.50
578.00
3.35
12M Hi
159.08
138.00
850.00
73.00
594.50
736.00
461.10
258.20
93.45
12.75
1234.00
67.00
277.50
41.49
168.00
108.50
93.00
725.00
183.00
846.50
14.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
2455.00
266.20
1263.00
1951.00
975.00
6960.00
3321.00
29.50
1021.50
12M Lo
2138.50
237.90
900.50
1667.00
941.00
4425.00
2712.50
28.50
928.00
764.00
12M Hi
3437.00
369.25
1571.00
2631.50
1896.00
7555.00
4712.00
55.25
2518.00
1550.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
1430.50
474.05
262.50
11.00
762.50
135.00
118.00
374.90
2350.00
2437.00
290.90
1393.00
666.00
12M Lo
1144.00
363.20
257.80
9.00
530.00
128.00
95.25
310.00
1883.50
1890.50
278.00
945.50
469.90
12M Hi
1564.50
509.00
469.70
14.75
817.00
335.10
297.00
535.00
2385.00
2478.50
400.00
1493.00
715.75
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 20 of 25
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Target
6306
359
1062
4507
824
1830
5198
-73
5263
1167
Beta
1.74
0.92
1.38
1.40
1.90
0.30
1.41
1.05
2.05
1.76
Price
117.00
333.40
3274.00
LT Rec
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Target
1867
1213
327
23
914
357
617
514
6283
6346
194
450
753
Beta
0.70
1.06
1.34
0.87
1.31
1.35
1.12
1.34
0.94
0.95
0.50
1.07
1.34
Over Valued
Beta
1.30
0.48
0.64
1.00
1.08
1.04
1.50
1.39
1.49
1.45
0.70
0.86
0.37
0.52
0.77
1.31
1.58
1.28
0.86
1.27
1.32
Under Valued
Target
83
116
626
-52
532
615
296
143
74
56
1001
82
138
24
102
207
438
1536
101
767
41
Under Valued
Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERICAN
ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
LONMIN
RANDGOLD RESOURCES
RIO TINTO
UK COAL
VEDANTA RESOURCES
XSTRATA
LT Rec
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
12M Lo
110.75
308.70
3015.00
12M Hi
161.64
404.00
3578.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Target
108
356
3128
Beta
0.85
0.80
0.32
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Under Valued
Price
3.38
3009.50
321.90
517.50
1482.00
3.30
7.93
2152.00
35.38
19.50
12M Lo
3.13
2543.50
210.10
433.00
1127.50
2.91
6.40
1589.00
31.50
18.75
12M Hi
5.68
3194.00
331.30
535.00
1497.00
7.20
9.75
2243.00
66.13
50.00
ST Rec
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Price
24.00
89.50
1450.00
340.50
236.25
20.13
65.95
394.30
239.20
159.50
62.50
1580.00
294.70
12M Lo
21.50
57.75
1298.00
324.70
225.00
15.00
58.95
239.40
214.90
154.75
41.50
1444.00
231.70
12M Hi
27.00
95.00
1799.00
490.00
535.00
23.00
147.20
426.20
420.20
290.00
175.00
2109.00
302.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 21 of 25
Beta
0.92
0.46
0.72
0.32
0.49
0.60
0.89
0.64
0.71
0.81
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Target
42
53
852
793
242
15
161
385
333
399
326
1484
278
Beta
0.73
0.82
1.44
1.07
1.05
0.91
1.33
0.71
1.29
0.85
0.39
0.79
0.65
Over Valued
Target
10
10783
120
967
1451
-2
-2
1401
283
-20
Over Valued
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Price
215.10
142.00
9787.50
267.50
127.50
603.00
62.10
1.88
100.90
329.10
231.30
335.40
784.00
123.00
1044.00
1289.00
1069.00
12M Lo
167.80
113.70
8800.00
240.00
115.63
590.00
56.05
1.36
95.05
311.60
197.90
318.40
756.50
112.70
977.00
1183.00
970.00
12M Hi
240.00
185.40
10950.00
350.00
165.00
888.50
92.90
17.38
173.10
570.50
360.30
534.00
1076.00
311.00
1257.00
1922.00
1554.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Buy
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Target
86
126
15685
261
183
281
80
4
84
276
226
203
643
163
1126
1491
1491
Beta
1.07
0.70
0.87
0.94
0.70
0.80
0.91
0.64
1.41
1.08
1.62
1.53
1.15
1.27
0.73
1.30
1.29
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Under Valued
Support Services
Stock
ACAL
AGGREKO
AMEC
ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
CAPITA
COMMUNISIS
COMPASS GROUP
BERENDSEN
DE LA RUE
DIGNITY
DIPLOMA
ELECTROCOMP.
FILTRONA
G4S
HAYS
HOMESERVE
INTERSERVE
INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.
MENZIES (JOHN)
MICHAEL PAGE INTL.
MITIE GROUP
MOUCHEL GROUP
OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT
PREMIER FARNELL
REGUS
RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RICARDO
ROBERT WALTERS
RPC GROUP
RPS GROUP
SERCO GROUP
SHANKS GROUP
SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG
WSP GROUP
Price
167.50
2049.00
933.50
217.90
730.00
344.50
882.00
226.25
644.00
28.75
600.50
434.20
887.00
810.00
360.20
202.90
395.00
271.50
64.45
299.00
315.90
2047.00
26.63
31.00
527.00
342.90
264.10
4.99
138.50
565.00
193.40
86.50
63.55
360.60
383.50
163.00
367.80
179.60
488.40
96.05
19.50
45.25
38.50
219.37
51.50
206.50
12M Lo
166.25
1394.48
740.50
99.40
542.00
230.00
676.50
192.25
611.50
23.75
512.50
402.70
667.00
648.50
263.50
182.20
250.00
219.90
58.85
218.50
233.50
1715.00
25.25
27.75
425.00
323.00
195.90
4.95
112.50
327.25
144.50
64.00
58.20
299.80
293.00
158.25
231.50
156.60
458.00
90.80
18.50
36.25
36.25
191.00
48.38
160.00
12M Hi
367.50
2089.00
1251.00
230.20
737.00
348.00
888.50
331.50
786.50
37.00
616.00
568.00
936.00
854.50
414.25
294.90
399.90
291.00
132.40
532.00
341.25
2148.00
36.00
45.50
550.00
567.00
269.00
154.75
166.50
570.00
308.80
119.00
104.90
400.00
410.00
347.00
384.80
253.00
618.50
130.90
34.00
51.00
52.88
253.75
1237.51
385.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 22 of 25
Target
318
1172
1192
114
646
1005
937
507
653
89
680
651
984
916
300
347
401
360
133
439
738
1518
63
52
1140
412
375
-268
262
690
329
66
48
486
507
328
412
274
626
151
-7
-267
58
540
-8360
534
Beta
0.93
1.18
1.01
1.50
0.56
0.70
0.55
0.28
0.42
0.72
0.75
1.03
#NA
0.22
0.98
0.99
1.13
0.60
0.95
0.67
1.40
0.86
1.16
0.67
1.44
1.33
0.60
0.84
0.36
0.76
1.18
1.39
1.29
0.87
0.83
1.18
0.81
1.55
0.57
1.44
1.27
0.54
0.86
0.89
0.77
0.92
Under Valued
Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP
LT Rec
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Neutral
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Neutral
Buy
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Price
194.90
35.75
416.60
67.60
702.00
177.30
12M Lo
161.00
31.25
389.30
57.50
433.00
155.05
12M Hi
204.10
51.20
719.50
84.00
802.00
182.75
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Buy
Strong Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Neutral
Target
257
136
358
83
475
186
Beta
0.92
0.65
0.52
1.27
0.06
0.65
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
Under Valued
Transport
Stock
BBA AVIATION
BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.
CLARKSON
EASYJET
FIRST GROUP
FISHER(JAMES)& SONS
GO-AHEAD GROUP
NATIONAL EXPRESS
NORTHGATE
STAGECOACH GROUP
WINCANTON
Price
175.60
293.50
1134.00
383.50
335.00
512.25
1368.00
220.40
190.90
263.80
65.75
12M Lo
156.00
282.00
1015.00
301.00
301.80
440.50
1190.00
201.60
190.90
199.97
56.00
12M Hi
240.80
545.00
1355.00
474.00
406.30
574.00
1598.00
270.20
346.70
272.41
162.50
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Page 23 of 25
Target
170
664
1558
381
429
345
1802
189
369
209
164
Beta
1.40
0.90
0.81
0.76
1.10
0.83
0.97
1.30
1.34
0.90
0.86
Under Valued
Utilities
Stock
CENTRICA
NATIONAL GRID
PENNON GROUP
SEVERN TRENT
UNITED UTILITIES GROUP
LT Rec
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Price
290.80
613.00
718.50
1532.00
618.50
12M Lo
278.80
530.00
584.50
1368.00
543.50
12M Hi
345.80
649.50
737.50
1600.00
637.00
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Target
291
783
625
1355
620
Beta
0.50
0.57
0.63
0.47
0.60
Intellisys
www.intellisys.uk.com
08 January 2012
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Intellisys
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08 January 2012
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